European Tour Golf: Open de España Preview

The European Tour is the often overlooked cousin of the lucrative PGA Tour.  However, the Tour still boasts some quality players and a lucrative race for honours of its own.  The Race to Dubai is the FedEx Cup equivalent, and although currently being led by world number one, Rory McIlroy, has a number of quality players with a realistic chance of taking it out.

This week’s tournament has a million Race to Dubai points on offer (like every tournament), with a handy 1,666,600 for the winner (seriously who came up with this point system).

Check out our preview of the Open de España.

The Course

The Real Club Golf el Prat is affectionately known as “El Prat”.  However, unlike the juvenile arragonace behind its nickname, the course is actually refreshing beautiful / honest.  El Prat is a Greg Norman design – his first in continental Europe – and brilliantly combines landscape with playability.  The course is open to the public throughout the year and is a favourite of travelling hackers.  Just check TripAdvisor for some of the reviews from the tourists that have stopped by the Real Club Golf el Prat course.  Of note, is the 470-yard par four 16th, which offers plenty of challenges to the players.  The length is the obvious one, but the green is also guarded by water on the right.  Expect most players to gladly accept four here and move on.

The course plays par 72.  7326 yards.  The greens are likely to pose the biggest threat to low scores.

The Sound Bites

“The greens are certainly the toughest part of this golf course. They’re very tricky, which adds to the importance of putting your approaches on the right part of the greens.” – Hometown hero Pablo Larrazábal spoke to European Tour reporters about the difficulty of the greens.

“I played a lot of great golf – I didn’t putt particularly great until Sunday, but even like that I still had a great chance of winning which is very positive.” – Sergio commenting on his Players Championship performance and his chances here.

The Defending Champion

Cigar puffing fan favourite Miguel Angel Jiménez took the honours last year, delivering the home fans a Spanish winner for the first time since 2010.  With the win Jiménez sealed his first national open win (at the 27th time of trying) and became the first player over 50 to win on the European Tour.  The win came the hard way, defeating Richard Green and Thomas Pieters in a play-off at the PGA Catalunya Resort.

He’s paying $41.00 to defend his title this week.

The Contenders*

Sergio Garcia – The best player in the field is also in some handy form after tying for second last week at Sawgrass.  Garcia was an excellent chance to win last week before Rickie Fowler forced a playoff and beat him and Kevin Kisner in four holes.  Garcia has won five times in Spain making him a great bet this week – $6.00

Victor Dubisson – Most people loved Dubisson’s story of dropping out of school at 12 years of age to become a golfing superstar.  However, the golfing stardom has eluded him in 2015.  After a missed cut at the Masters and failing to make it past the qualifications round in the matchplay it’s a wonder he’s even on this list.  But with a weakfish field we expect the Frenchman to Frenchman to be one of the contenders – $26.00.

Tommy Fleetwood – Currently sitting 11th in the Race to Dubai, and enters the tournament on the back of making the quarterfinals of the WGC Matchplay event in San Francisco recently.  Playing with Nicolas Colsaerts and Jiménez is also sure to motivate him – $26.00.

Richie Ramsay –  The Scotsman sits 26th in the Race to Dubai, but his recent form indicates he could move even higher.  Ramsay was a winner only weeks ago at the Trophee Hassan II in Morocco and looks attractive money at these odds – $31.00

Thorbjørn Olesen – Led last week’s AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open pretty much the whole tournament before losing in a playoff to George Coetzee.  Seems to be hitting the ball a lot better after a troublesome wrist injury – $34.00

*Open de España odds available at Sportsbet.

The Winner

Smart money is on Sergio.  For a little outsider flirt try Pablo Larrazábal ($29).

Premier League Darts: Week 15 – Brighton Preview

Although the play-off positions have all been confirmed heading into this final round of ‘regular’ fixtures for Premier League Darts 2015, there is still the small matter of who will top the table and a tussle between the remaining – admittedly relatively irrelevant – positions.

Michael van Gerwen, Dave Chisnall, Gary Anderson and Raymond van Barneveld are all set to battle it out in the play-offs at The O2 in London next week for the grand title. But there is a notable absentee in Phil Taylor, who will miss out in the Premier League Darts play-offs for the first time in the competitions 11-year history. If nothing else, his absence really shows the progress the profession of darts has made over the past five years or so.

And so, onto the Brighton Centre on the south coast for what will be a slightly disappointing finale to the regular season for spectators – although I’m surely they’ll be suitably entertained regardless.

Phil Taylor v James Wade

In a disappointing end to the tournament for Phil Taylor, he must battle it out with James Wade to avoid slipping even further down the Premier League table.

It’s been a miserable campaign for The Power, who has won just five of his 15 fixtures – and just one of his last seven. Is this really the end for Taylor?

James Wade is well out of form too, and hasn’t won since relegation week – but will there be a silver lining for Taylor?

Verdict: Phil Taylor win – 4/5 at bet365

Adrian Lewis v Gary Anderson

Adrian Lewis recorded an impressive victory over Michael van Gerwen last week to move him up to fifth-place in the table, but, with results going against him later in the evening, it wasn’t enough to keep him in contention for the play-offs.

Gary Anderson has his play-off position assured, meanwhile, but he’ll hope to keep hold of third-place in order to avoid a likely semi-final encounter with MVG in London next week. He can secure his position with a win here or hope that Barney doesn’t better his result.

Verdict: Draw – 19/5 at 888sport

Raymond van Barneveld v Stephen Bunting

Barney’s stunning five-match winning streak came to an unlikely halt last week as James Wade held him to a draw in Newcastle. With Taylor being beaten by Anderson, it turned out to be enough for the Dutchman to claim a play-off position, though.

Facing him is Stephen Bunting who has enjoyed a decent first year in Premier League Darts, although one that won’t see him finish higher than sixth.

Verdict: Raymond van Barneveld win – 10/11 at William Hill

Michael van Gerwen v Dave Chisnall

The night rounds off in style as Mighty Mike faces an unlikely challenger for top position in Dave Chisnall. It’s a case of winner takes all in this encounter – with the victor finishing top of the table – although MVG will stay top with a draw.

Michael van Gerwen has topped the last two Premier League Darts league tables, but can he finish top again with an unlikely challenger in second-place Chisnall hot on his tail?

Verdict: Michael van Gerwen win – 8/13 at Paddy Power

York Preview – Thursday 14th May

Betcirca followers were up 25 points to level stakes on Wednesday’s sports betting advice. Mahsoob (7-2) started the ball rolling at York and was followed by Algar Lad (16-1). The Champions League semi-final second leg between Real Madrid and Juventus yielded a further ten points profit after we correctly forecast the score line, the first goal scorer and the number of goals.

Thursday’s racing at York is all about the Dante Stakes, a race which looks certain to spark a major shake-up in the Epsom Derby betting. I have been scratching my head to think of an occasion when a handicap winner was made Derby favourite and I have so far failed to come up with one. Even trainer John Gosden has described it as “a bit silly” but we will know how silly after the Dante. Jack Hobbs is the horse in question and he is joined by stable companion Golden Horn.

Aidan O’Brien’s John F Kennedy ran too badly to be true last time but does not carry maximum stable confidence and I’m sticking with the Group 1 form of Elm Park. I followed him as a two-year-old and missing the Guineas due to the ground may have been a blessing in disguise.

After solving the conundrum of the six-furlong sprint on Wednesday I have to take a stab at Thursday’s five furlong dash. David O’Meara sounded certain that he would not be running Algar Lad again so I’m going for Desert Law who was not far behind him at Ripon. Unlike many of these, he is better at five furlongs than six.

Bragging is difficult to oppose having won at Newmarket despite looking likely to need the race. That was her first race beyond a mile and she was finishing strongly so could be quite a force over ten furlongs. Several of her rivals would prefer more cut in the ground and/or a longer trip.

David O’Meara could strike in another competitive handicap with Fort Bastion. He went for a repeat win in the Thirsk Hunt Cup but never saw daylight all the way up the straight, finishing on a tight rein. He can reverse the form with runner-up Off Art who is lightly raced and feared most.

Tendu looks solid in the sprint at 4.20 after chasing home Limato at Ascot. The winner is surely going to take high honours in the sprinting division this season. Moscato is a typically progressive Sir Mark Prescott stayer and can extend his sequence to five in the last.

Desert Law 2.10 @14-1 William Hill

Bragging 2.40 @5-2 Paddy Power

Elm Park 3.15 @4-1 Paddy Power

Fort Bastion 3.45 @8-1 Betfair

Tendu 4.20 @5-4 Ladbrokes

Moscato 5.20 @11-4 Ladbrokes

AFL Round 6 Results

An unimaginable number of upsets gave bookie all sorts of headaches over the AFL weekend.  The upsets also made a mockery of our predictions – we struggled to four tips for the week.

All the action reviewed in our weekly piece titled AFL Round 6 Results below:

Collingwood (8-11-59) vs Geelong Cats (15-10-100)

A hot first half from the unfancied Geelong team helped them get the better of the Collingwood Pies at the MCG on Friday night.  In the first of many upsets in Round 6, the Cats jumped out of the gates and kicked the first seven goals of the match before surviving a brief comeback in the second stanza to win by 41 goals.

An incredible 425 possession form the Cats undid the Magpies and confounded them to their second loss of the season, no doubt incredibly flummoxed as to how they gave up 11 goals in the first half to their 2.

Mitch Duncan, Steven Motlop (3 goals) and Cory Gregson (3 goals) were all standouts for Gellong.  While Scott Pendlebury was excellent in a losing cause for Collingwood.

Geelong’s third win of the campaign gets them to three wins from six matches and up to 12th on the ladder, however they’re equal on points with Hawthorne who currently occupy 8th.

North Melbourne (16-13-109) vs Richmond (10-14-74)

A 16,000 strong crowd at Blundstone Arena saw North Melbourne get the better of Richmond in the first of Round 6’s Saturday games.

In a close first half only a goal separated the teams as both teams benefitted from a direct running game and tight control of the ruck.  However, six consecutive goals in the crucial third term sent North Melbourne on their way as Richmond suffered a monumental lapse in concentration.  They’ll need to get to the bottom of that ahead of their difficult upcoming fixtures against Collingwood, Port Adelaide, Essendon and Fremantle.

Lindsay Thomas will receive most of the praise for his five goal effort (from just nine attempts), but Shaun Higgins and Brent Harvey were also key contributors.

North move to 9th on the competition ladder but will face much more tougher matches than this one.  They were gifted 92 points from Richmond turnovers, a statistic that is unlikely to be offered by the competitions stronger teams.

Western Bulldogs (13-9-87) vs St Kilda (14-10-94)

St Kilda staged a dramatic comeback to shock almost everyone and beat the Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium.  The cellar dwellers were down by 55 points in the third quarter but amazingly kicked twelve goals to three in an incredible second half.  The comeback is the fifth biggest comeback in AFL history and will no doubt have had bookies seething.

The comeback may have been sparked by an all in brawl right on the stroke of halftime because directly after the break the teams showed up with wildly different energies.

St Kilda midfielder David Armitage was the star of the show.  He had a career best 45 possessions and 8 clearances.  Together with Jack Billings who kicked 4 goals, he was largely responsible for sparking the wild scenes.

GWS Giants (16-12-108) vs Hawthorn (14-14-98)

In another Round 6 match we failed to predict the Giants beat last year’s premiers by ten points in Sydney.

The win is arguably the Giants greatest ever in their short history and was delivered courtesy of an incredible second half that completely shocked the Hawks.  Jeremy Cameron was the hero at Spotless Stadium kicking seven goals to help reel in a 27 goal first half deficit.

Much like other games in the round the impetus came in a flurry.  GWS kicked five straight goals to finish the half and take an unexpected cushion into the second half.  They managed to hold on to that lead and with it two valuable completion points.  They are now ahead of Hawthorne six games into the season.

The Giants’ 2015 record resembles a symmetrical gang sign – WLWLW.  They’ll be hoping to turn this into a web address over the next few weeks.

Gold Coast Suns (11-12-78) vs Adelaide Crows (18-11-109)

Fellow league infants, the Gold Coast Suns, couldn’t replicate the amazing win of the Giants, instead suffering a large defeat at the hands of the Adelaide Crows.  The match was largely one-sided.  The undermanned Suns struggling to feature after conceding five straight goals in the first quarter.

After a number of their players were given bans for breaching the alcohol policies of the Club, the Suns were always destined to struggle, and that’s exactly how it panned out.  The Suns were simply not good enough.  The only silver lining was a last quarter win.

Eddie Betts had five goals, taking him to twenty for the season.  He’s currently second behind West Coast’s Josh Kennedy in the Coleman Medal race, and the Crows are back on track.

Melbourne (7-8-50) vs Sydney Swans (12-16-88)

Sydney atoned for last week’s shock loss to the Western Bulldogs by beating a wasteful Melbourne side in Melbourne on Saturday night.  The Swans got plenty of return from star forward Kurt Tippet (4 goals) but are facing six weeks without talented youngster Isaac Heeney who badly injured his knee.

The Swans crushed the haunting memories of last years grand final disappointment and reeled of seven goals to one in a first half that essentially killed off the contest.

Melbourne may cling to some positives from a gutsy second half.  They actually took the half out by two points in a display that had coach Paul Roos pleased his side didn’t lose by 100.

Fremantle (12-8-80) vs Essendon (7-10-52)

The Dockers kept up their unbeaten start to the season by beating the Bombers in a low scoring encounter at home on Saturday night.  A crowd of 37,000 packed Domain Stadium to see their ladder topping heroes get the better of an Essendon side that were expected to give them more trouble than they did.

The Bombers have gone away form their aggressive hard nosed footy and looked directionless at times in the face of constant Fremantle pressure.

Aaron Sandilands, was brilliant for the home side, registering 33 hit-outs, and he was aptly supported by the disposals of Lachie Neale (33), David Mundy (28) and Nat Fyfe (27).  That service was in stark contrast to the ball Fremantle had to deal with, but they were wrong around the stoppages.

A 54 goal three quarter lead was shortened in a fourth quarter that won’t concern the Dockers coach Ross Lyon too much.  It felt as though the Dockers were simply going through the motions, and that’s understandable after five consecutive wins and a handy lead in the sixth.

Carlton (11-9-75) vs Brisbane Lions (12-12-84)

Carlton lost to the Brisbane Lions in the battle of the early season wooden spoon.  The Lions were given little chance by the bookies ahead of their matchup, however overturned their $4.00 odds to grab a narrow victory over 17th placed Carlton.

The nine point win came courtesy of a brave second half as they built up a third quarter lead and held on to it during a tense finale.  The win gets them underway for the season and helped answer the critics who accused them of not caring about their results.

Dayne Beams and big off season recruit Allen Christensen were instrumental in winning quality ball for their unlikely attacking spearhead to kick the goals.  Daniel McStay was that unlikely spearhead – he kicked a career best 4 goals in what turned out to be a one on one battle with Brisbane’s Levi Casboult (4).

The drought breaking win will give Carlton some confidence ahead of their Round 7 home match against the Giants, whereas the Lions have now lost four in a row, amounting to huge pressure on coach Mick Malthouse.

Port Adelaide (10-8-68) vs West Coast Eagles (11-12-78)

The final match of the round at the Adelaide Oval continue the trend of Round 6 upsets as the West Coast Eagles got up over the more favourited home side.

The Eagles ripped the form book, and their pre match odds of $4.50, to shreds as they responded brilliantly to a fierce last quarter barrage by the Power.  Port gave it their all in an engrossing last quarter, but their all wasn’t enough to get past the Eagles desperate backline.

We had said before the game that the Eagles start to the season was a little misleading because of their favourable draw, however, on this evidence that is simply not true.  They are genuine contenders, and with a number of youngsters (Jeremy McGovern, Elliot Yeo) starting to hit their straps they have the basis of a strong team for a number of seasons.

The Eagles remain near the top of their leaderboard after the win.  The four points gets them to second on percentage.  Port are in 10th, but with no cause for immediate panic.

Champions League – Real Madrid v Juventus

Juventus have been the surprise package of the Champions League this season but they are being taken very seriously now. The deservedly ran out 2-1 winners of their semi-final first leg against Real Madrid in Turin and must fancy their chances of eliminating the champions on Wednesday night.

Barcelona fell to a 3-2 defeat against Bayern Munich on Tuesday but the result of the tie was never in any doubt. A 3-0 win in the first leg have put them in an unassailable position and it was really just a case of going through the motions. There should be more fire and passion about Wednesday night’s encounter.

Juventus were cut from 9-1 to 6-1 to win the Champions League after the first leg and are only around even money to reach the final. Real Madrid are still leaning heavily on Cristiano Ronaldo, although there is a chance that Benzema may play some part here. He has been injured for around a month so I cannot see him lasting the full ninety minutes.

Juventus do welcome back Paul Pogba who scored on his return at the weekend. That should have been enough to earn his place in the starting line-up. With Arturo Vidal and Andrea Pirlo also in the midfield, they look to have enough strength to cause the home side serious problems. Carlos Tevez and Alvaro Morata were outstanding in the first leg and the former is certainly worth supporting to score at some point in the match.

Real Madrid have only failed to score at home twice in the past four seasons. Ronaldo looks good value to open the scoring but I believe that Juventus have enough resilience to hold their own in this tie. They are dominant in their domestic league and there is a growing belief that Real Madrid are vulnerable.

I don’t think it will be a thrilling match so it is probably best to go low on goals and the 1-1 scoreline makes some appeal, a result that would send Juventus through to the final.

Cristiano Ronaldo to score first @10-3 Ladbrokes

Carlos Tevez to score at any time @3-1 Boylesports

Real Madrid 1 Juventus 1 @15-2 Paddy Power

Goals under 2.5 @11-10 Paddy Power

York Preview – Wednesday 13th May

The York Dante meeting will surely clarify the picture for this year’s Epsom Derby. I can’t remember ever having a handicap winner at the head of the Derby market going into the York meeting but Jack Hobbs has some serious rivals including Elm Park and John F Kennedy. The big race is on Thursday but there is some cracking entertainment on the opening day including the Musidora Stakes.

Together Forever was expected to line up in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket but she missed the race, along with stable companion Found. That horse was beaten at odds-on when she did finally appear and Together Forever shoulders a 4lbs Group 1 penalty on Wednesday. Her main rival is Star Of Seville who was a comfortable winner at Newbury for John Gosden. She beat Ooty Hill and the disappointing Winters Moon so it is easy to pick holes in the form.

The day’s feature race is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes with some very promising sprinters in action. I am reluctant to pass over Naadirr, having tipped him ahead of his impressive win at Doncaster. However, I followed Muthmir religiously last season and he ended the season in fine style by winning the Portland Handicap. Lightning Moon is another worthy of respect and is unbeaten in three starts. It certainly looks a cracking renewal and should provide a good guide to the top sprints this season.

Mahsoob also gave us a winner when beating a big field at Newbury. I was concerned about his high draw that day and he has not fared any better here with stall 18. Field Of Fame was third that day and also ran a terrific race for such an inexperienced horse. We’ll keep faith with Mahsoob who has some very ambitious entries this summer including the Eclipse at Sandown.

The sprint handicap at 2.40 looks wide open and a good case can be made for Pipers Note and Polybius. I’m going to take a chance on Algar Lad who didn’t see much daylight up the far rail last time but was only beaten a little over a length at the line. He looks worth each-way support at around 16-1.

It could be a great day for William Haggas who follows Muthmir with two live chances in handicap races. Foreign Diplomat won with his head in his chest last time out and Graham Lee will be looking to deliver him late on in the 4.20. Ryan Moore gets the leg up on the unbeaten Osaruveetil in the final race. He looks to have been let in lightly off a mark of 81 after winning well at Kempton. Frankie Dettori can steer home Dheban for Richard Hannon in receipt of 10lbs from Ravenhoe in the two-year-old race.

Mahsoob 2.10 @7-2 William Hill

Algar Lad 2.40 @16-1 Paddy Power (each-way)

Muthmir 3.15 @5-1 Paddy Power

Together Forever 3.45 @7-4 Paddy Power

Foreign Diplomat 4.20 @7-1 Betfair

Dheban 4.50 @Evens Bet365

Osaruveetil 5.20 @11-2 Betfair