Champions League – Bayern Munich v Barcelona

We correctly forecast a win for Barcelona with Neymar on target in the first leg of their semi-final against Bayern Munich. He was outshone on the night by Lionel Messi and Barcelona’s all-star line-up have one foot in the final as they prepare for the return leg on Tuesday.

It is probably dangerous to dismiss Bayern out of hand but the fact that they are 20-1 to qualify for the final says it all. Pep Guardiola undoubtedly had a game plan at the Nou Camp to stifle the Spaniards and hope to escape with a draw. That plan looked likely to succeed until the 77th minute when Messi opened the floodgates. A second goal followed from the Argentinian within three minutes before Neymar’s injury-time goal virtually sealed the tie.

Bayern Munich beat Barcelona 7-0 on aggregate two years ago but there seems more chance of that score being reversed than of Guardiola’s side reaching the final. A spate of injuries, notably to Ribery and Robben, has left Bayern looking a pale shadow of the side that were favourites for the Champions League only a few weeks ago. They have lost their last four matches without scoring a goal and there is no encouraging news on the injury front. It will still be a makeshift side that starts on Tuesday needing to score three times without reply to take the tie into extra-time.

By contrast, Barcelona have gone from strength to strength. They brushed aside Manchester City and PSG without ever looking in danger of defeat. They have found a way for Messi, Suarez and Neymar all to play in the same side and that is a fearsome front-line by any standards. In recent weeks they have beaten Getafe 6-0 and Cordoba 8-0.

Coach Pep Guardiola has dismissed rumours of a move to Manchester City in the Premier League and is contracted to stay at Bayern until the summer of 2016. Bayern had already wrapped up the Bundesliga prior to their recent run of defeats. Ribery, Robben, Alaba, Rode and Badstuber are all out and it is difficult to see anything other than a comfortable night for Barcelona.

Barcelona to win @13-8 William Hill

Bayern Munich 0 Barcelona 2 @17-1 BetVictor

Messi to score and Barcelona win @11-4 Paddy Power

Rugby League: NRL Round 9 Results

After a representative round break the NRL kicked back into gear with all 16 teams in action.  The Brisbane Broncos and Melbourne Storm continued their top of the table form, whereas fellow frontrunners the Dragons finally dropped points to the resurgent Rabbitohs.

Check out all of the games in our recap of the NRL Round 9 Results below:

Brisbane Broncos (8) v Penrith Panthers (5)

A clutch last minute try to replacement forward Corey Oates was enough for the Broncos to sneak past the Panthers at Suncorp Stadium on Friday night, and with it, briefly snatch the overall competition lead (before later being joined by Melbourne and St George).

The tight low scoring encounter was settled when Ben Hunt chose not to take another field goal attempt (after missing one a relatively simple one moments earlier) and instead flung the ball lo the right edge to set up Oates.  The desperate throw of the dice got the Broncos out of jail after Matt Moylan had put the Panthers ahead in the 74th minute with an expertly taken field goal.

Matt Moylan was Penrith’s only point scorer – all form the boot as his team failed to cross the try line.  The fact that they were still in the game despite conceding a try to Jordan Kahu on the stroke of half time, said wonders for their pesky defence.

Brisbane’s win is another example of winning ugly, something they have become accustomed to this season.  They struggled to contain second phase play, but will be thrilled with the efforts of returning stars Darius Boyd and Justin Hodges.

Sydney Roosters (36) v Wests Tigers (4)

The Roosters returned to near their best with a dominant performance over a sloppy West Tigers team, and in the process saw several of their stars steam back into Origin contention.  Daniel Tupou was the obviously benefactor of the dusting.  He dotted down for three tries and on the back of a solid performance for City last week is likely to be straight back into the reckoning.  The others were halves colleagues Mitchell Pearce and James Maloney.  Pearce was already looking good for a return to Prigin thanks to ill-discipline and inconsistent form from the Bulldogs’ pair, but Maloney also strengthened his chances with a composed effort of his own.

Boyd Cordner and Michael Jennings were also excellent, which would have please NSW coach Laurie Daley immeasurably.  It also showed just how important the rep weekend was to the Roosters – their players returned refreshed but in-form.

Plenty of attention will go on the missed tackles from Luke Brooks and Mitch Moses, however the Tigers big men did little to lessen the pressure on their littles and all too often left them isolated.  Not many Tigers highlights other than the form of James Tedesco who was one of the better Tigers players, and how good is Siua Taukeiaho looking.

Canberra Raiders (56) v Gold Coast Titans (16)

Ricky Stuart’s creative recruitment drives continues to pay dividends for the Raiders.  Stuart’s money-bal like signings (the likes of Waqa, Williams, Nu’uausala, Hodgson and Soliola) delivered win number five and catapulted them up to fifth on the competition ladder.

Leading the charge was the origin bound five eighth Blake Austin who was instrumental in everything good about the Raiders game.  Two line breaks, two tries and over a hundred running metres summed up the ex-Tigers players night and easily earn him man of the match honours in the 56-16 win.

The Titans, missing their aggressive talisman Greg Bird struggled to get into the game, and barring Ryan James lost out in too many individual battles to build on last week’s in against the Warriors.  James went face to face with several of the Raiders big men including Nu’uausala in a sideshow that at one stage threatened to upstage the main event.

The scoresheets proved an interesting anomaly.  The Raiders had eight different try scorers whereas the Titans three tries all came from wing Anthony Don.

Cronulla Sharks (16) v New Zealand Warriors (20)

The best and worst of Shaun Johnson was on display in Saturday nights tight matchup between the Warriors and Sharks at Remondis Stadium.  After an indifferent first 70 minutes featuring disappointing final tackle kicking options and poor goal kicking from the Kiwi’s number 7, Johnson sparked his side to a late lead by setting up Solomone Kata with a quick break and clever kick.  From the resulting short kickoff Johnson knocked on, undoing all of the good work and allowing Andrew Fafita the chance to score a hulking solo try, before finally sealing a victory with his own solo spectacular (credit to Ryan Hoffman too for his crucial chargedown to put the Warriors in a scoring position).

The Round’s second low scoring affair provided as much drama as the Brisbane/Tigers game and had commentator Andrew Voss declaring it a 15 on the “incredible-metre”.  Admittedly, that was during the frantic final few moments, however the earlier action contained plenty of good watching attritional footy.  Testament to the arm wrestle nature of the match was the high tackle count from the likes of Ennis (44), Fifita (37), Mannering (47) and Thompson (40).

The two points were crucial for the Warriors season chances, especially after announcing two marque signings in the past few weeks.  They needed the momentum and will need to build on this next week when they play the Eels.  They could be without Konrad Hurrell and Manu Vatuvei after they were placed on report and injured respectively.

North Queensland Cowboys (23) v Canterbury Bulldogs (16)

Two important pre-origin competition points were up for grabs in Townsville on Saturday night as the Cowboys took on the Bulldogs in a tense yet entertaining Round 9 clash.  The Cowboys got the better of the Bulldogs thanks to a hint of x-factor from utility back Michael Morgan and a late Jonathan Thurston field goal.

A 12-0 half time score line suggested the Cowboys would run away with this one at home, however, the Bulldogs intensified their efforts in the second half and piled on 16 unanswered points with tries to Josh Jackson, Corey Thompson and Curtis Rona to steal the lead and send the match to a nervy finale.

Enter Morgan, and the match winner Morgan, not just the handy fullback / halve that has had potential for years without grabbing games by the scruff and settling them.  Morgan built on a Gavin Cooper try and put the Cowboys ahead by 6 with 6 to play and deserved the plaudits for his entertaining double.

The win was crucial for the Cowboys who will lose Matt Scott, James Tamou and Thurston to origin.  Although they’ll be content with the progress of the likes of John Asiata, Kelepi Tanginoa, Ben Hannant and Ben Spina to see them through the difficult representative period.

As for the Bulldogs, they need more form Hopkinson, they need Josh Reynolds to stay clean (he’s just a pest, he’s not on steroids), and they need to find a way to get Tony Williams energised and involved.

Manly Sea Eagles (30) v Newcastle Knights (10)

Manly finally managed to put together a decent representation of their attacking ability in a comfortable victory over the Knights in front of 10,000 fans at Borrkvale.

Led by the Titans bound Daly Cherry Evans and veteran fullback Brett Stewart, the Sea Eagles mustered win number three of the season and enjoyed an encouraging 90% completion rate.

The Knights on the other hand are in nothing short of turmoil.  After winning their first four they have now lost five on the bounce and resorted to genital pinches (Youtube the Willie Mason, Korbin Simms exchange) to try and unsettle their opponents – because certainly their attack couldn’t.

Highlights included, Brett Stewart becoming the 10th player in NRL history to score 150 tries, Blake Leary playing brilliantly in a display that proves his form is not limited to Queensland Cup, and Jamie Lyon enjoyed a perfect day off the kicking tee.

Parramatta Eels (10) v Melbourne Storm (28)

Billy Slater returned form injury to stamp his undoubted class on proceedings as his Melbourne Storm side proved too efficient for the Eels at Pirtek Stadium.  Slater had two first half tries – also is first of the year – in a performance full of percentages and professionalism.  Not to be read as a criticism, the composed showing was an important win for a side that traditionally struggles during origin.

It was also crucial given the differing mindsets coach Craig Bellamy would have put up with during the week after his troops returned from national duty.  For Bromwich, Harris and Procter who experienced being on an Anzac winning side for the first time, Bellamy was keen to take the opportunity to give them some rest, but for Cooper Cronk and Will Chambers he needed to get their confidence back after poor showings in the same test.

Both were achieved and a position at the top of the ladder also secured for another week.

Back to the drawing board for the now 15th placed Eels.

South Sydney Rabbitohs v St George-Illawarra Dragons

Four consecutive loses for the Rabbitohs side was hard to fathom based on their NRL Nines, Club Challenge and early season form.  However that’s exactly what looked likely to happen midway through their match against the Dragons at ANZ Stadium on Monday.

The Dragons attack looked sharp thanks to decisive decision making by Benji Marshall and elusive running by the impressive Josh Dugan.  The Dragons took advantage of some sloppy defending on both fringes by the reigning premiers to set up tries for Jason Nightingale and Gareth Widdop, and take a 10-6 lead into the break.

The second half was a different story as the Rabbitohs were finally able to build some pressure through repeat sets.  From a huge number of tackles inside the Dragons 20m line, they were able to set up young winers Aaron Gray (his second of the game) and Alex Johnston.  Resolute defence then saw them hold on to the 16-10 lead despite some enterprising second phase play by the Dragons.

The win halts the Rabbitohs horror run and also inflicts a third defeat of the season on the Dragons.  The St-George men will be looking for ways to get more fro their attack as they have scored more than 14 points in a game on only two occasions this year.

 

Windsor Preview – Monday 11th May

Windsor on a Monday night is always popular with punters and there is a typically competitive card this evening. The feature race is the Royal Windsor Stakes at 7.20 with Shifting Power expected to start a short-priced favourite.

This race is something of a conundrum with none of the seven runners ideally suited by the good to fast ground. Shifting Power certainly has the best form on his Irish 2000 Guineas run behind Kingman in soft ground and he was fourth in the Newmarket classic on good ground. He produced his best run in very testing ground in France and he did seem to carry his head awkwardly at Sandown last time.

Clon Brulee really needs a mile and a quarter while Baltic Knight is fitted with blinkers for the first time. I like Intransigent but he’s never won over a mile or at this time of year. By process of elimination, I’m going for Complicit who has been running well on the all-weather. Tom Queally tried to steal a march on Tryster in the all-weather championships but was just run out of it in the final stages.

The two-year-old picture takes a while to settle down and experience counts for a lot in these early races. Alaskan Phantom ran well over course and distance on his debut for Daniel Kubler and could be worth a bet at around 9-2. The obvious dangers are the unraced Bournemouth Belle and Tears In My Eyes, from the yards of Richard Hannon and Jeremy Noseda respectively.

Ryan Moore seldom leaves Windsor without a winner and he should score on Genres in the 6.20. He made a very pleasing debut when just beaten by Exosphere having headed that horse inside the final furlong. John Gosden’s colt only needs to find normal improvement to get off the mark here. The main threat could come from Andrew Balding’s Scarlet Minstrel.

The 6.50 is a trappy handicap with only five remaining runners. You can make a case for each of them but I just prefer the claims of top weight Subcontinent. He put up a gutsy display to win at Doncaster last time out and has only been raised 3lbs. Shadow Rock ran well for a long way at Salisbury and could pose a bigger threat than the favourite Quick Defence.

Alaskan Phantom 5.50 @9-2 William Hill

Genres 6.20 @5-6 Ladbrokes

Subcontinent 6.50 @3-1 Boylesports

Complicit 7.20 @5-1 Bet365

Super Rugby Round 13 Results

The Super Rugby weekend again turned in a handful of surprises, and in general wasn’t a good time to be leading at halftime or late in the game.  The Highlanders, Brumbies and Sharks all saw leads disappear late and with it valuable competition points.

Read our round-up of the Super Rugby Round 13 Results with descriptions from each game below:

Crusaders (58) v Reds (17)

The Crusaders turned back the clock and delivered one of their most memorable performances in recent time when they defeated the Reds at home on Friday night.  In what was billed as a farewell for Crusaders legends Richie McCaw and Dan Carter, the Crusaders dominated all 80 minutes and by registering a bonus point win could fins themselves in the playoff reckoning.

The combination between Andy Ellis, Colin Slade and Nemani Nadolo was the winning of the math as the numbers 9, 10 and 11 put on a clinical display and Nadolo kept up his incredible try scoring strike rate.  He also set up Ellis’ 90 second opener, before intercepting a stray James O’Connor pass for his own first try and then finally accepting a Carter pass to cross for a second.

Watching the Waratahs an Highlanders lose further rectified the likelihood of a playoff position, and will send the Crusaders into their bye week positively beaming.

Crusaders: Tries – A.Ellis, C.Slade, N.Nadolo 2, S.Whitelock, M.Todd, J.Macilai, D.Bird, Pen – C.Slade 2, Con – C.Slade 6

Reds: Tries – S.Kerevi, C.Feauai-Sautia, Pen – J.O’Connor, Con – J.,O’Connor 2

Rebels (42) v Blues (22)

The Blues again failed to win an away game.  The loss is their eighth away loss of the season and means they have only won away form home twice in the last three years under John Kirwan.

In this one the Rebels were better in every facet throughout.  The Rebels noticed their second consecutive win and their sixth of the season – the most they have record in their short Super Rugby history.  The Rebels benefitted from the Blues keenness to throw the ball around by exploiting the copious amounts of space available and picking up several intercepts from loose passes.

Scott Higginbotham was one of the Rebels players to take his chances.  He ran over for his 30th Super Rugby try – the most by a forward in the history of the competition.

Credit due to both teams for the attractive and enterprising way the game was played.

Rebels: Tries – C.Fainga’a, T.Smith, S.Higginbotham, D.Shipperley, J. Debreczeni, Pen – M.Harris 3, Con – M.Harris 3

Blues: Tries – M.Nanai, J.Gibson-Park, G.Moala, Pen – I.West, Con -I.West 2

Hurricanes (32) v Sharks (24)

Prince Harry brought good luck to the Hurricanes as they avoided a potentially trick encounter against the Sharks in the capital.  Trailing 24-21 late in the game, the Hurricanes needed late tries from Reggie Goodes and Jeremy Thrush to seal the points and continue their utter domination of the New Zealand conference.

Despite trailing at half time the Sharks got the better start, and had the lead early when Bismarck du Plessis opened the scoring.  However, the Canes worked themselves into the contest, and Cory Jane levelled things up prior to Conrad Smith dotting down to grab a half-time lead.

The Canes trailed twice in the second half but utilised the home crowd and their big game experience to get through the potential banana skin game by a narrow margin.

Hurricanes: Tries – C.Jane, C.Smith, R.Goodes, J.Thrush, Pen – J.Marshall 2, Con – J.Marshall 3

Sharks: Tries – B. du Plessis,  S.Sithole, O.Ndungane, Pen –  L.Cronje, Con – F.Steyn 3

Force (18) v Waratahs (11)

For the second time in 2015 the Western Force beat the reigning Super Rugby Champions.  The Force beat the Waratahs in Round One and completed the double over their NSW opponents with a narrow win in another low-scoring match.

The Waratahs entered the game as one of the form teams of the competition, but lacked accuracy and intensity.  They struggled to break through a staunch defensive effort and managed a solitary try and a solitary competition point (losing margin).  Not a catastrophic result though given the Brumbies loss.

The Force won’t make the playoffs, especially considering their woeful form with the boot (they gave away 17 points in this one), but have gained plenty of admirers for their bizarre record of 10 losses, 2 wins, but both of them against the defending champions.

Force: Tries – R.Louwrens, M.Hodgson, Pen – L.Burton 2, Con – L.Burton

Waratahs: Tries – T.Naiyaravoro, Pen – B.Foley 2

Lions (28) v Highlanders (23)

The Highlanders’ inability to close their match out against the Lions at Ellis Park on Sunday morning might come back to haunt them in the race for playoff spots.  The Otago men led 20-3 at halftime after Gareth Evans and Malakai Fekitoa took opportunist tries with Fekitoa’s in particular a fine 70m effort after goof work from Richard Buckman.  Lima Sopoaga’s soon to be All Black boots were also on form, slotting conversions, penalties and droppies from all over the place.  Probably in response to the 51m monster kicked by Marnitz Boshoff to open the scoring.

The second half was a different story.  The Lions completely dominated the final 28 minutes where they edged ahead with two tries (Kriel for one and the uber- impressive Vorster the other) after a Ben Smith drop goal had pushed the Highlanders back in front.  A further penalty to replacement Elton Jantjies prevented any last minute heartache and sent the Johannesburg crowd into hysterics.

Lions: Tries – Skosan, Kriel, Vorster, Pen – Jantjies 2, Boshoff, Con – Jantjies 2

Highlanders: Tries – Evans, Fekitoa, Pen – Sopoaga, Con – Sopoaga 2, Drop – Sopoaga, B Smith

Stormers (25) v Brumbies (24)

The Newlands match will be remembered only for Christian Lealliifano’s glaring miss in the closing stages that should have delivered his Brumbies side a win adjacent the Stormers.  A conversion right in front of the sticks that many 12 year olds will kick today during their lunch breaks drifted wide and the Stormers were gifted the win.

Demetri Catrakilis contributed all but five of his sides points.  The five came via Schalk Burger who bravely brushed off a dangerous tackle moments earlier to dive over and send the Stormers into the bye round ahead of the Bulls thanks to their superior wins.

The loss was yet another example of a narrow Brumbies defeat, a trait undoubtedly frustrating the Canberra side.  It should never have been though as Lealliifano would kick that goal 9 times out of 1o, blindfolded.  The Brumbies single point gets them up to third courtesy of topping the Australian conference.

Stormers: Tries – S.Burger, Pen – D.Catrakilis 5, Con – D.Catrakilis, Drop – D.Catrakilis

Brumbies: Tries – J.Tomane, D.Pocock, Pen – C.Lealiifano 3, J.Mogg, Con – C.Lealiifano

Arsenal v Swansea – Premiership Preview

Betcirca soccer fans were in profit on Sunday to the tune of 9 ½ points after we correctly forecast the Chelsea result and goals for Aguero in Manchester City’s mauling of QPR. Monday’s action comes from the Emirates Stadium where Arsene Wenger’s Gunners bid to draw level on points with City in the battle for second spot.

Arsenal play host to Swansea who are in excellent form following victories against Stoke and Newcastle. The Gunners start the evening three points behind City in the Premiership but with two games in hand.

Garry Monk has done a remarkable job at Swansea who are pressing the fading Tottenham and Southampton in a sideshow for sixth and seventh places. There is no doubt that they should put up a good show but they have lost four of their five away games against sides in the top six this season. However, their record against Arsenal is good with three wins and a draw in seven meetings. The Swans won here in 2012 and held the Gunners to a draw last season so there is some cause for optimism for the travelling fans.

They have compensated for the loss of Bony with goals from Ki Sung-yueng, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Jonjo Shelvey but Arsenal are on the crest of a wave. Only their dour stalemate with Chelsea has prevented them from a winning run of nine consecutive matches, leading at half-time and full-time in the other eight. Wenger’s men are also keen to impress the boss and secure a place in the starting XI at Wembley for the FA Cup final against Aston Villa.

Arsenal have only lost once in 34 home games and injuries to Danny Welbeck and Aaron Ramsey are unlikely to halt their progress. Alexis Sanchez has now scored 16 league goals from 30 starts including four in his last three appearances and he looks the man to follow in the goal markets on Monday.

With only two goals conceded in their last seven home games, I’m going for a 2-0 win for the Gunners with Sanchez sending them on their way.

Arsenal 2 Swansea 0 @6-1 Paddy Power

Alexis Sanchez to score first @17-4 Spreadex

Sanchez to score and Arsenal win @7-5 Paddy Power

Doncaster Preview – Monday 11th May

Betcirca followers enjoyed a French Guineas double on Sunday with Make Believe (6-1) and Ervedya (15-8) as well as a 9.5 point profit on Sunday’s Premiership football. This week’s racing action will revolve around the Dante meeting at York which will hopefully shed some light on a very murky Epsom Derby picture.

The pick of Monday’s action comes from Doncaster with eight races starting at 2.10. The maiden race at 3.50 has brought together two very promising colts that finished runner-up on their racecourse debuts.

The Sir Michael Stoute-trained Mustaaqeem is a son of Dynaformer out of a Danzig mare and finished second in the Wood Ditton at Newmarket. That race didn’t look anything special this year but Mustaaqeem stuck on really well up the far rail and is a very imposing individual. His market rival is Druids Ridge, trained by John Gosden.

He made his debut Newbury where he was beaten a length by Sahaafy after making his challenge on the wide outside. That was a very commendable first effort and he travelled nicely for a long way. I’m just going for the Stoute colt because the stable’s runners usually improve significantly for the outing.

The feature race is a seven-furlong handicap at 4.25 with sixteen runners. The one that I like here is Shared Equity, trained by Jedd O’Keeffe and ridden by Graham Lee. He has won three of his seven starts including a win at Newcastle over this distance. He ran a great race when third in a six-furlong handicap at the Lincoln meeting and can reverse the form with runner-up Farlow.

Shared Equity was drawn on the far side that day and Lee tried to keep a bit up his sleeve for the final stages. He was chopped off in his run when passed by eventual winner Tatlisu but ran on again close home. The return to seven furlongs could see him returning to the winners’ enclosure.

We enjoyed a couple of big priced winners in three-year-old handicaps at Chester with Not Never (11-1) and Navigate (10-1). The 5.00 at Doncaster is another interesting handicap with some promising runners, notably the unbeaten Mulaaseq.

He is trained by Marcus Tregoning and came with a late run to beat Nortron by a short-head here on his debut. Paul Hanagan was looking after him in the closing stages and it looked for a long time as though he would finish a promising third or fourth. Once Hanagan got after him, he quickened really nicely and he could prove better than his rating of 80.

The one I fear most is the Ralph Beckett-trained Master Of Irony, a winner at Lingfield on the all-weather in December. He did everything wrong that day, starting slowly and running very wide on the bend into the straight. It was to his credit that he was still able to win quite comfortably and he is the obvious threat.

Mustaaqeem 3.50 @11-10 Betfair

Shared Equity 4.25 @5-1 Ladbrokes

Mulaaseq 5.00 @9-4 Betfair