Aintree Thursday Preview

The Betfred Bowl is one of four Grade 1 races in the opening day of the Grand National meeting at Aintree.

Tony McCoy is re-united with Jonjo O’Neill’s Holywell after being claimed to ride Carlingford Lough in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Holywell briefly looked threatening four from home but could only plug on at one pace into fourth behind Coneygree. That was still a fine effort, particularly as the rain-softened ground went against him.

He is a real spring horse with all of his seven career victories having come between January and April. He had won at the previous two Cheltenham festivals and also won here last year when slamming Don Cossack by ten lengths in the Mildmay Novices’ Chase. The obvious danger is Silviniaco Conti who was a disappointing favourite in the Gold Cup. He bounced back to win this race last year and I expect to see Noel Fehily adopt more positive tactics than at Cheltenham.

Cheltenham form is also tested in the Aintree Hurdle at 3.25 when Arctic Fire lines up against Jezki. We tipped Arctic Fire at 25-1 for the Champion Hurdle so were delighted with his run in second place behind Faugheen. He holds Jezki on that form and McCoy’s mount is prone to pull too hard for his own good. The only question mark is whether Arctic Fire stays this longer trip but his style of racing suggests that he will.

McCoy should have register a victory in the McManus colours on Hargam in the Juvenile Hurdle. He was third in the Henderson-dominated Triumph Hurdle and was ten lengths clear of Devilment in fourth place. The green and gold colours have several chances on the card, notably with On The Fringe and Ned Buntline.

On The Fringe was always travelling best in the Foxhunters at Cheltenham and Nina Carberry has a great chance of landing the double here. He has yet to tackle these fences and a huge field of thirty is always a worry. If he settles over the first few fences, he is capable of following up. Ned Buntline gets a handy pull in the weights with Next Sensation for Cheltenham. He was fancied to give Tony McCoy a winning send-off but the ground was too soft for him.

Call The Cops is up 7lbs for his Pertemps Final victory but that may not be enough to prevent him from following up in the last. Vibrato Valtat tried to go after Un De Sceaux in the Arkle and had nothing left in the closing stages. He will be ridden with more restraint in the opener where he clashes with Josses Hill.

Vibrato Valtat 1.40 @9-4 Ladbrokes

Hargam 2.15 @Evens Bet365

Holywell 2.50 @15-8 Skybet

Arctic Fire 3.25 @2-1 Bet365

On The Fringe 4.05 @4-1 Bet365

Ned Buntline 4.40 @8-1 Ladbrokes

Call The Cops 5.15 @7-1 Ladbrokes

Nottingham Wednesday Preview

The Flat turf racing season continues its stop-start progress at Nottingham on Wednesday with an interesting seven-race card.

It’s always a fascinating time of year to see which horses have improved over the winter and John Gosden will be hoping that Forever Now has done exactly that. He lines up in the Barry Hills Further Flight Stakes at 3.40, a listed race over a mile and three-quarters.

I followed him with interest last season after he caught my eye when finishing second at Newmarket in May. He was very impressive when sauntering to an eight-length win in his maiden at Doncaster next time but only scrambled home in the March Stakes at Goodwood in September.

He was only considered to be Gosden’s second string in the St Leger but he ran a fine race. He led between the two furlong and furlong markers before fading into sixth behind Kingston Hill and Romsdal. The latter came out and won impressively on the all-weather recently and Windshear (fourth) won at Doncaster last week.

The best of the opposition looks to be Island Remede who ran on well behind Windshear last week while Cinnilla improved throughout the season for Ralph Beckett. Godolphin are represented by Blue Rambler who is something of an unknown quantity after one moderate start in Britain. Forever Now should take this on the way to better things.

Gosden also saddles the favourite in the following handicap with Sacred Act. He won over course and distance last year and looked a very exciting prospect. He was confidently backed to win off a mark of 90 at Sandown next time but never looked happy at any stage and finished fifth. Presumably something was amiss and it will be interesting to see how he goes off the same mark.

It’s a question of balancing potential against proven form in this one and I just favour the Doncaster third, Youartisonfire. He had no answer to Chatez in the closing stages of the Spring Mile but it was still a decent effort. He has run his best races at Haydock in the past and this is a similar galloping track. He should go well under Silvestre De Sousa and looks good each-way value at 5-1.

There are several other interesting races on the card and Gosden has Alkawn in the opener and Waady in the sprint, both ridden by Paul Hanagan. There could also be some improvers in the closing three-year-old handicap with the weights headed by Luca Cumani’s Noro Lim.

Forever Now 3.40 Nottingham @11-8 Bet365

Youartisonfire 4.10 Nottingham @5-1 BetVictor (each-way)

Super 15 Rugby Results Round 8 2015

Super 15 Rugby Results Round 8 2015. Can the Hurricanes continue their winning ways and extend their overall lead? Could the Lions make it 3 in a row against the Bulls? Will there be a Crusaders backlash for their humilating loss in round 7? We recap all the games for you.

 

Wellington Hurricanes (25) v (20) Stormers

Conference and league leaders hosted the Stormers in Wellington, the Hurricanes looking to extend their good fortune. Penalties were exchanged early on throughout the first half and with a solid drive outside the 22 from a lineout the Canes looked to attack with a pinpoint cross-kick bouncing just out of reach of both attacker and defender for Milner-Skudder to juggle the pill and crash over (25th). Milner-Skudder was at it again after the Canes had an attacking scrum 40 out, Perenara fed the backs attacking the short side where Milner-Skudder found a huge gap and offloaded to Savea 10 out for the bus to dot down (35th). Moments later the Stormers had possession inside the Hurricanes 30 and were building phases but a steal by Goodes began a counterattack by the Hurricanes. Nonu and Shields breaking out up the middle of the field with excellent support of each other throwing multiple passes where Shields finally found Barrett racing up his outside who took the pass and dove over for a 90metre try (39th).  Early into the second half a series of scrum penalties inside the Hurricanes 22 saw the Stormers awarded a penalty try after the final collapse (47th) getting the Stormers back into the game. The Stormers continued their fight back with some powerful running gaining the advantage line each time and with Vermuelen running hard at the line 10 out he took the tackle and offloaded to Jones who dotted down in the corner (65th). The Stormers having the best chances rounding the half of were repelled nicely in the last 10 with the game going into 82 minutes, ended with a Hurricanes turnover. Hurricanes 25-20.

Hurricanes 
Tries – N. Milner-Skudder, J. Savea, B. Barrett
Pen – B. Barrett 2
Con – B. Barrett 2

Stormers
Tries – Penalty Try, H Jones
Pen – D. Catrakilis, K. Coleman
Con – D. Catrakilis 2

 

Melbourne Rebels (23) v (15) Queensland Reds

Melbourne Rebels hosted the Queensland Reds, both sides with checkered form throughout the season. The Reds camping inside the Rebels 22 through some nice phase play early on seeing Horwill crash over after 16 phases and a well timed short ball from Genia (5th). The Reds were at it again with Cooper and O’Connor switching receiver roles multiple times to ensure quick ball through the line and with a storming run from Liam Gill bumping off one and charging into his next with an offload in the tackle, Schatz running a perfect line off his shoulder to claim the spoils (13th).  Horwill was sent from the field for a punch (20th) and the Reds capitulated. Minutes later a strong line out drive from the Rebels inside the Reds 22 made its way over the try line, exposing the man advantage (22nd) Timani claiming the try. The Rebels continued their onslaught with some powerful running with slick ruck time play ensured they were on the front foot, with numbers the Rebels made it 5 out near the posts and turned it back into the backline where they found an overlap and English picked up his first (31st). A second half dominated by poor play from both sides was eventually closed out with a Rebels try from Stirzaker (66th), an excellent counter attack and hands pushing the Rebels over the advantage line and a perfect inside cut from Naivalu into a small gap his shear pace seeing him through forcing the last man to take him, a nice offload to Stirzaker who dotted down for the win.
Rebels
Tries – L. Timani, T. English, S. Naivalu
Pen – B. Barrett 2
Con – B. Barrett 2

Reds
Tries – J. Horwill, J Schatz
Pen – Q. Cooper
Con – Q. Cooper

 

Waikato Chiefs (23) v (16) Auckland Blues

Waikato Stadium hosted the Chiefs v Blues. The Chiefs clear favorites after the Blues have had a horrible start to the season losing 7 on the trot. The Chiefs were first to dot down after a scrum infringement led to an excellent kick from Cruden, cementing a Chiefs lineout 10 out. Good defense but even better patience and retention from the Chiefs saw Lowe dive over close to the posts (25th). Into half time some good pressure and position the Blues with a scrum 5 out managed to twist the Chiefs pack and a charging Kaino from the base of the scrum was unstoppable so close (47th). The Chiefs broke out from their 22 with Leitch leading the charge for 40 meters were he offloaded to settle the play down, the Blues struggling to contain the Chiefs counter and finally after 10 phases of pressure Marshall bet his man on the outside to dive over (68th). The Chiefs do the double on the Blues for the season, taking this one 23 – 16.

Chiefs 
Tries – J. Lowe, T. Marshall
Pen – A. Cruden 3
Con – A. Cruden 2

Blues
Tries – J. Kaino
Pen – D. Bowden 2, I. West
Con – D. Bowden

 

ACT Brumbies (20) v (3) Free State Cheetahs

The Brumbies hosted the Cheetahs GIO stadium Saturday night, the hosts currently on top of the Australian conference. The hosts were on the board inside 5 minutes with with Leali’ifano crashing through a weak Cheetahs defense (3rd).  Leali’ifano and Pietersen exchanged penalties for the remainder of the half (16th) (20th) and (40th) in a half dominated by defense. Much like the first half the Brumbies were quickest out of the break scoring early, their forwards dominating the early exchanges and lock Blake Enever crashed over for his maiden try (44th). The Brumbies could not extend the lead any further with multiple errors around the pitch seeing attacking opportunities squandered. An excellent display of defense from the Brumbies, closing out the match 20-3

Brumbies
Tries – C. Leali’ifano, B. Enever
Pen – C. Leali’ifano 2
Con – C. Leali’ifano 2

Cheetahs
Pen – J. Pietersen

 

Sharks (10) v (52) Canterbury Crusaders

After being humiliated in round 7 by the Bulls the Crusaders had a lot to play for and were hosted by a Sharks team guilty of ill discipline over the course of the competition. The Crusaders explosive out of the blocks with Ellis dotting down early (2nd) after a messy attack in the middle expose the Sharks fringe defense with Read ranging down the sideline to feed Ellis on his inside who casually dotted down. Next Dagg was on the board after he had an attacking run inside the 10, simply too quick (4th). A good kick chase from the Crusaders caught the man on the end of the kick after he was thrown a poor pass, Crusaders blowing over, grinding pick and go feeding it out flat and wide for Fonotia (21st). The Crusaders were camped in the Sharks 22 and more pick and go phase play close to the line was rewarded when the Crusaders spun the ball out to the backs, Dagg hitting the line and offloading in the tackle, Crotty too strong close diving over (34th). Minutes later the sin bin curse struck, Laulala was binned for a shoulder charge (36th), Fonotia was next for a shoulder charge on Deysel (38th) and then Nadolo for kicking the ball away after the refs whistle (39th). The final act of the half was a brave defensive display from the Crusaders a red card for Jean Deysel who struck the the head of a Crusaders player in the ruck with his knee (40+1). 2 men down the Crusaders managed to apply pressure early on and pin point chip from Slade saw a favourable bounce right back into his hands and he raced away to dot down (42nd). An attacking scrum 40 out turned into a cross field kick from Ellis, the ball contested into the Sharks hands and scrappy unsupported play for the Sharks players was blown over by a rampant Crusaders counter-ruck, quick play catching the Sharks out with Havili shear pace getting on the outside of his opposite (46th). Crusaders dominating play with men still in the bin scoring again with a tactical line out move (similar to what the All Blacks used in RWC final) 22 out, Todd racing threw the lineout opening to dive over (51st). The Sharks retaining the ball for multiple phases finally got over the line after sucking in the Crusaders defense, a perfect long pass from Lambie right into  the hands of Ndungane (54th). A turnover late in the game from a Sharks knock on was toed ahead by Taylor, a nice pickup seeing the young playmaker run 70 meters to close the game out (79th).

 

Sharks
Tries  O. Ndungane
Pen  P. Lambie
Con  F. Zeilinger

Crusaders
Tries  A. Ellis, I. Dagg, K. Fonotia, R. Crotty, C. Slade, DK. Havili, M. Todd, T. Taylor
Con  C. Slade 5, T. Taylor

 

Lions (23) v (18) Bulls

Ellis park hosted the Lions v Bulls, the Lions looking to make it three in a row v the Bulls and for the Bulls to extend their season winning streak. Penalties were exchanged throughout the half, both teams dealing with pressure and defending well. Jantjies (10th & 16th) and Potgieter (26th, 34th, & 37th). The second 40 similar to the first, both teams pressuring the other only to be countered or nullified in their attack, again penalties exchanged by Jantjies (57th & 61st) and Potgieter (65th & 69th). The final 10 minutes dominated by the forwards play, grinding for ascendancy with Jantjies (73rd) and Potgieter (78th) take the points on offer. With minutes to play the Bulls were caught napping with a quick tap from Faf de Klerk putting van der Merwe in possession close to the line, to be and strong powering over.

 

Lions
Tries – A. van der Merwe
Pen – E. Jantjies
Con – E. Jantjies 5

Bulls
Pen – J. Potgieter 6

Pontefract Tuesday Preview

National Hunt racing will be making all of the headlines this week as the build-up to the Grand National goes into overdrive. The Aintree festival begins on Thursday and we will be previewing all of the big races and provide a preview of each day’s racing.

The pick of the action on Tuesday is the flat turf meeting at Pontefract which sees Sir Michael Stoute’s first runners of 2015. He does not have a reputation for having his horses fully wound up first time out but they are always a force to be reckoned with in maidens and I think Dannyday could start him off with a winner.

The son of Dansili is out of a Daylami mare and showed plenty of promise as a two-year-old. Both he and Secateur ran in the Doncaster maiden won by Commemorative in September and finished within a nostril of one another in seventh and eighth. Secateur finished his season with a fair second at Goodwood while Dannyday appeared to disappoint when only fourth at Windsor.

A closer look at the form suggests that perhaps it was a better race than it first appeared. The winner, Master Apprentice, was raised in class next time while the runner-up won at Newbury and the third is entered in the Dante Stakes at York. Dannyday has quite a rounded action so will appreciate any give in the ground at Pontefract and has the assistance of Ryan Moore in the saddle.

Stoute and Moore also team up with Gothic in the day’s feature event at 4.00. He is closely matched with Astronereus on Ascot form last season and both horses look capable of winning decent handicaps this season. Astronereus did not quite deliver as much as was promised for Amanda Perrett as a three-year-old but starts the season on a fair mark. Perrett did send out a rare first-time-out winner recently so perhaps this one can be another.

For my final selection on the card I am siding with Richard Hannon’s Thofa in the fillies’ maiden at 4.30. She ran well when finishing a close third at Newmarket and maiden races from HQ usually pay to follow. The one I fear most is Richard Fahey’s Bonds Choice who ran really well at York on her latest start. Midnight Dance attracted significant support on her second outing last season for Ralph Beckett so she could be one to keep an eye on.

Dannyday 2.30 @15-8 Bet365

Astronereus 4.00 @3-1 Bet365

Tohfa 4.30 @5-2 Betfair

Katie Walsh wins Irish National on Thunder And Roses

Punters will be hoping that the Aintree Grand National is a lot easier to solve than the Irish equivalent after Thunder And Roses took the Easter Monday feature at Fairyhouse at 20-1. He was followed home by Rule The World (20-1), Sizing Coal (40-1) and Band Of Blood (50-1). Tony McCoy finished sixth on Cantlow on his final ride in the race.

Thunder And Roses was an emotional success for Sandra Hughes who only took over the stables of her late father Dessie in November. He races in the colours of Gigginstown House Stud who had the first three jumping the last with only Sizing Coal’s late run preventing a 1,2,3. Katie Walsh has not ridden the horse previously and would not have taken much encouragement from his last run at Cheltenham where he unseated Jonny King.

Walsh came close to winning the Grand National on Seabass in 2012 when finishing third to Neptune Collonges but now faces an anxious wait to see if she has a ride this year. She has been provisionally booked to ride Broadway Buffalo for David Pipe but the gelding still needs five more horses to drop out. He is one of three David Pipe entries among the 65 left in with only Soll guaranteed a run. Cheltenham winner The Package is just one place above Broadway Buffalo and both could be re-routed to the Topham Chase if they do not make the cut.

It seems likely that Nina Carberry will be the only female rider in the race this year when she partners First Lieutenant for Mouse Morris. The stable will be full of hope after saddling the runner-up and the fourth on Monday, although naturally disappointed that neither could cling on for the victory. First Lieutenant is a high class performer and he will carry the hopes of a famous National double for Gigginstown in the National.

Sandra Hughes is another left anxiously waiting for the final cut with her entry, Raz De Maree. He needs just three runners to come out in order to sneak into the starting line up on Saturday. First Lieutenant is a top price 33-1 with Paddy Power while Broadway Buffalo is a general 50-1 chance. Most firms are now offering non-runner – no bet terms on the race. For the best each-way value, BetVictor are also paying out on the first six home at Aintree!

Fairyhouse Monday Preview

We opened the Fairyhouse Sunday card with two winners but our treble was thwarted when Apache Stronghold unseated his rider in the Ryanair Gold Cup. Still, four winners out of six selections over the weekend is not a bad return.

We previewed the Irish Grand National last week and have two selections in Grand Jesture and Los Amigos. The former is entitled to run well after his fine run at the Cheltenham festival while Los Amigos has been trained for this race all season. It’s impossible to be confident in a race such as this but hopefully one of them can sneak into the money.

There is a good supporting card, kicking off at 2.45 with a four-year-old hurdle. Dicosimo is likely to start favourite here on the strength of his eighth place in the Triumph Hurdle. He led for a long way before being passed by the Henderson trio and Ruby Walsh was easy on him once his chance had gone. It is too early to say whether it was a vintage renewal of the Triumph so I’d prefer to take a chance on stable companion Whiteout at 10-1.

She has won her only start since joining Mullins from France where she was the winner of a modest claimer on the level. She had Sam Red back in third on her debut and that rival has won easily since. She has to be worth an each-way bet against the favourite.

Dedigout has won his last two races at Grade 2 level but missed Cheltenham as he did not get his favoured soft ground. He could probably do with a downpour before racing on Monday but he has won on yielding ground and should not be inconvenienced by the current conditions. Thousand Stars has not raced since the summer and could be vulnerable and I am more wary of Cheltenham runner-up Noble Endeavour. He moved well in the Martin Pipe Hurdle and was just beaten on the nod.

Tony McCoy treated his legion of followers to another fine display on Gilgamboa on Sunday and can chalk up another victory on Blair Perrone in the 4.25. He is trained by Mouse Morris and won last time without coming off the bridle. Connections considered a tilt at the Betfair Hurdle earlier in the season and he could be the value bet against some exposed Mullins-trained runners. There was little between Max Dynamite and Sempre Medici in the Vincent O’Brien County Hurdle and Ruby Walsh has switched from one to the other here.

Whiteout 2.45 @10-1 Paddy Power (each-way)

Dedigout 3.20 @9-4 Ladbrokes

Blair Perrone 4.25 @4-1 Bet365

Grand Jesture 5.00 @20-1 Betdaq (each-way)

Los Amigos 5.00 @ 14-1 Paddy Power (each-way)