Champions League – Quarter-final draw and odds update

In our September Champions League preview we recommended Atletico Madrid (25-1) and PSG (16-1) as the value bets in this season’s competition. Both sides have made it safely through to the last eight but the draw has not been kind.

Atletico Madrid gave us a tremendous run for  our money last season in reaching the final before losing in extra-time to rivals Real. They face Ronaldo and co again in the two-legged quarter-final but will be more than hopeful of causing an upset this time.

Diego Simeone’s side have beaten the reigning champions twice in the league and knocked them out of the Copa del Rey this season. That surely entitles them to some respect here but the bookmakers have them at a top price 18-1 to lift the trophy. Anyone who saw Real Madrid scrape past Roberto di Matteo’s Schalke in that astonishing second leg match will regard the champions as suspect. Their price has eased to 9-2 third favourite in the wake of that display and a defeat against Barcelona at the weekend has dented their domestic league prospects.

Ronaldo has already dragged them through a few tricky matches this season and he will be the main threat to Atletico but it should be a fascinating tie.

PSG were extremely fortunate to get past Chelsea who were guilty of sitting back against ten men in the hope of seeing out time. I am always happy to praise Jose Mourinho for his tactical genius but he failed to galvanise his troops that day. Credit to PSG for hanging on long enough to get a result but I can see why they are a longer price now than they were back in September.

As well as their average form, there is the little matter of Barcelona to overcome in the last eight. The Spaniards saw off Man City and would have run up a cricket score but for Joe Hart’s brilliance between the posts.

Bayern Munich have emerged as the new favourites and they face Porto while Juventus face Arsenal’s conqueror’s, Monaco. The Gunners came close to turning around a 3-1 deficit and Monaco were on the ropes for almost 90 minutes. Few will be rushing out to take the Coral price of 80-1. Juventus are in to 8-1 after thrashing Borussia Dortmund and could be this year’s surprise package.

Best odds

Bayern Munich 13-8 Ladbrokes

Barcelona 28-11 Unibet

Real Madrid 9-2 Ladbrokes

Juventus 8-1 Ladbrokes

Atletico Madrid 18-1 Boylesports

PSG 20-1 Paddy Power

Porto 80-1 Coral

Monaco 80-1 Coral

1/3 odds, 1,2

Quarter-finals to be played April 14th, 15th, 21st, 22nd

Rugby League: NRL Round 3 Review

We enjoyed our strongest week of tipping last week, correctly picking the winning team in 7 of the 8 games, and the winning team and margin in 6 0f the 8 games.  It counts for nothing in a multi bet without boxing it though and we were left to rue the Dragons late win against the Raiders.  A team that had scored 8 points in 160 minutes of Rugby League in the first two weeks somehow found a way to score 8 points in the last 11 minutes of their Round 3 match.  The surge providing one of the few surprises of the weekend.

Here’s how the rest of the games finished up:

Manly Sea Eagles (12) v Canterbury Bulldogs (16)

The Bulldogs got the better of an intense froward battle at Brookvale, edging the contest by two points despite a contentious refereeing decision going against them.  That decision was the bizarre overturning of a Matt Ceccin no-try call by the TMO when he blindly guessed Steve Matai had scored a four pointer amongst several strewn bodies.  That said, the Bulldogs survived the strange call and a late try Pita Hiku to chalk up their second win of the season.  They got plenty of metres out of Aidan Tolman and James Graham, while Sam Perrett and Tim Lafai were dangerous in the outside backs.  Manly’s effort was full of enthusiasm and energy, unfortunately their execution was again missing.  Barring Daly Cheery-Evans, who was one again at the heart of everything his side did in both attack and defence, there were no Manly standouts.

Brisbane Broncos (44) v North Queensland Cowboys (22)

North Queensland’s abysmal start to the season got worse with a heavy defeat to the Brisbane Broncos at Suncorp in Friday night’s second game.  An entertaining affair early on with the Broncos opening their account twice inside 12 minutes courtesy of Ben Hunt and Josh MacGuire only to have a the Cowboys break the Broncos defense a few minutes later with Michael Morgan dotting down after a well constructed Cowboys play. Broncos dominated the late stages of the half with a 10 minute master class of finesse and power resulting in 3 tries to Corey Parker, Lachlan Maranta, and McCullough, 32-6 into half time. Winger Kyle Feldt crossed the line 2 minutes into the half to get the Cowboys revival going only to have the Broncos captain Justin Hodges snap up a loose pass moments later and dot down to extend his teams lead. Winger Kyle Feldt picked up a second try with a runaway try in the final minutes to soften the blow for the Cowboys, still a very dominant performance from the Broncos.

New Zealand Warriors (29) v Parramatta Eels (16)

Saturday started off with the Warriors hosting the Eels at Mt Smart. The host’s dominant early on with their new signing Ryan Hoffman crashing over the white wash courtesy of lazy marking, and five minutes later a pin point grubber was snapped up by Solomone Kata. 80 meters out Thomas Leuluai took advantage of lazy marking once again racing away and drawing the last man perfectly with Tuimoala Lolohea dotting down to have the hosts 16-0 up. Manu Vatuvei was on the end of more lazy marking as Chad Townsend cut up the Eels to send the Beast over. The Warriors dominant into the half time break 22-0 up. Early into the second half another pin point kick from Townsend was diffused by Solomone Kata as he rose high to claim the spoils for his second.  Moments later the Eels were back in the game with Takairangi racing down the line to dot down Parramatta’s first of the game. What looked like a strip from Watmough saw the Eels break a Warriors attacking set early, the Eels pouncing on the mistake to dot down in quick successions courtesy of David Gower.

The Eels were in a purple patch and were looking the better of the two claiming another try mid way through the second half with Reece Robinson staying in field to roll over the try line for his second. Shaun Johnson showed his maturity with a drop goal on the 75th minute to put the game out of reach.

Canberra Raiders (20) v St George Illawarra Dragons (22)

Next up was the Raiders hosting the Dragons at GIO stadium. The visitors were the quickest out of the blocks nearly touching down out wide only to be wrestled into touch millimeters away from the goal line. In return the hosts dominated possession with new signing Josh Hodgson crashing over from 10 out to put the Raiders ahead. Some slick footwork from the Raiders halves and creative passing put Sia Soliola into space and the big man took the advantage close to the line to bust through and open his account. The hosts struck again 5 minutes later after a unforced error from the Dragons gifted the Raiders a scrum 30 out with Blake Austin running at the defense dummying multiple times only to race through the defensive line un touched for a try of his own.

The Dragons denied themselves another try scoring opportunity with a fumble then Blake Austin was denied a second deemed to have made a double movement as he touched down. Dragons captain Nightingale then stripped Crocker and the Dragons were on the attack to once again lose possession but resilient defense saw the Dragons keep the Raiders in their half, 2 out from half time Merrin rumbled over for a well deserved try. On the stroke of half time an early charge by the Raiders saw the Dragons gifted another 2 points for the penalty. Halftime, 18-8 Raiders.

The second half opened with a Dragons attack as Nightingale scored out wide through some quick hands. Moments later the Dragons were penalized for holding a player off the ball resulting in a converted penalty by Crocker to extend the lead 20-12. Josh Dugan was sent to the bin moments later for interfering with the Raiders dead ball restart, deemed a professional foul.  Mitch Rein cut through the guts of the Raiders exposing lazy marking and poor tackling 10 minutes from time to ignite a Dragons comeback. Ex Raider Joel Thompson muscled his way over after quick hands through the line gave him the advantage at contact locking the game up 20-20 kick to come which was slotted beautifully 22-20 fulltime, spoils to the Dragons in an excellent come back.

Melbourne Storm (36) v Cronulla Sharks (18)

The Melbourne Storm hosted the Sharks at AAMI Park with the visitor’s winless coming into the game. Melbourne absorbed an early attack from the Sharks only to return the favor which the Sharks could not the brute strength of Tohu Harris crashing over to open the Storms account. Cooper Cronk was next on the board after putting up a bomb which was fumbled by the Sharks defense and fed back Cronk’s way he darted over to put the Storm up 8-0 inside 20. The Storm continued with pressure through the centre of the pitch and finding the Sharks right hand defense weak with Tohu Harris crashing over again from 10 meters out. A wealth of possession 5 minutes from half time saw the Sharks get one back through sustain pressure, Jeff Robson dotting down, halftime 18-6.

Like the first the Storm were back on the scoreboard early, Marika Koroibete claiming the spoils out wide after the Sharks defense swarmed Tohu Harris. More pressure from the Storm was rewarded through Cameron Smith dotting down after a failed strip by the Sharks and messy defense the Captain guided through. Will Chambers crashing over 5 minutes out this time exposing the left hand defense. What looked to be a big defeat for the Sharks was reduced when the Sharks decided to open up more on attack and wild pass from Barba saw Valentine Holmes dot down out wide. With 10 to go a short ball close to the line saw Andrew Fifita crash over to close in on the deficit, for the Sharks too little too late.

South Sydney Rabbitohs (20) v Wests Tigers (6)

ANZ hosted the Rabbitohs and Tigers. The first 30 minutes saw multiple chances from both sides declined through offside and forward pass plays, the Tiger’s intentions were to be the more physical side with some early big hits and runs. Farah darted through the ruck close to the line to open the Tigers account, only to have the Rabbitohs replied minutes later through quick hands out wide with Inglis feeding Alex Johnston. Rabbitohs continued to dominate the remainder of the half scoring again with a Tigers handling knock on in their own half saw the Rabbitohs pounce at the mistake and Reynolds grubber through for Dylan Walker to race through and dot down on the stroke of half time. 10-6 Rabbitohs. 6 minutes into the half Rabbitohs captain Inglis claimed his own 4 pointer with a powerful run 10 out, crashing over his opposite. The remainder of the half continued the physical battle and tempers flared on multiple occasions with Galloway and Grant squaring up after Galloway received some unwanted attention in a tackle.

The reigning premiers closing out the game in the final 5 minutes with Dylan Walker gliding through for his second.

Gold Coast Titans (18) v Newcastle Knights (20)

The Gold Coast Titans hosting the Newcastle Knights with the Titans stars Bird, Taylor, and Fallon returning from their respective drug investigations. The Titans out wide opened the scoring through some slick hands, Anthony Don dotting down with Aiden Sezar slotting the kick from touch. A flat footed Newcastle defense was caught napping and Beau Scott strolled through a gaping hole to open his teams account. The Knights were denied another try after an amazing run from Gagai, a knock on earlier in the play taking away the brilliance of the would be try. The remainder of the half relatively uneventful with Tyrone Roberts slotting a late penalty to end the half 14-6, Knights. Aiden Sezar claimed a try 3 minutes in when two Knights hesitated under a highball. Midway through the second half Aiden Sezar was at it again running nicely off a tackled player to dot down and converted to take the Titans 4 up with 15 to go. The Knights claiming victory minutes out from full time as Jeremy Smith crashes through the line and Roberts converts.

Sydney Roosters (20) v Penrith Panthers (12)

The final game of the round had the Roosters and Panthers at Allianz Stadium. Both sides with similar form in the 2015 season. The Roosters opened the scoring early on through some hard yards up the middle only to have the ball swung out to Kenny-Dowall who dotted down out wide. Panthers denied shortly after catching the Roosters napping out wide man for man only for the diving effort to be deemed lost forward. A rake cost the Panthers another 2 points. Minutes out from half-time a big bomb was claimed by the Panthers and Mansour off loaded in the tackle to Idris who powered over close to the line. Halftime, 8-6 to the Roosters.

After being dominated by Idris, Blake Ferguson got the better of his opposite by easily stepping inside to open his season account 3 minutes into the half. Ferguson crossing 20 minutes later with the Roosters showing quick hands to get the outside men an overlap and Ferguson picking up his second. 15 minutes from time a rather complacent Roosters outfit were caught napping and Lewis Brown cut through the centre and a slick pass to beat the last man saw Segeyaro dot down. The Panthers guilty of the same play moments later was well received with Dylan Napa smashing Segeyaro and forcing a fumble to round out the match 20-12.

Cricket World Cup: NZ v South Africa – SF 1 Review

Grant Elliot held his nerve on the penultimate ball to swat Dale Steyn over the long on boundary, sending a 45,000 strong Eden Park into a frenzy, and New Zealand to the World Cup final.  South African born Elliot played the innings of his life to help New Zealand find 29 from the final 17 balls and 12 from the final over in a pulsating finish the World Cup richly deserved.

After four one-sided quarterfinals the tournament was screaming out for a close and memorable encounter.  Auckland duly delivered with a day’s play that constantly saw momentum ebb and flow, as two teams desperate to book their first ever World Cup final appearance traded blows under intense duress.

New Zealand fired the first shot; Trent Boult matching his deadly late swing with unparalleled accuracy, at one stage bowling to a 7-2 offside field with five slips, and taking two early wickets.  Hashim Amla chopped on when he through the hands loosely at a widish drivable length, and when Quinton de Kock gave his wicket away after surviving an earlier storm for 14, South Africa were reeling at 31/2.

While the electric Eden Park crowd bayed for more blood, Faf du Plessis personified the fight and heart of his South African side with a brilliantly composed 82.  He withstood the early pressure along with Rilee Rossouw to help build an AB de Villers shaped platform from which the aggressive captain could launch from.

Launch they did too as the 10 overs between 30 and 40 brought 110 runs.  The de Villiers led impetus had South Africa perfectly set-up to press on to 350+ before a one and a half hour rain delay curtailed the possibility.  The rain delay reduced the contest to 43 hours and meant South Africa had just five more overs to add to their total.  The post break hero for South Africa was David Miller who thrashed 49 from just 18 balls to set up the daunting total.  Remarkably, de Villiers faced just 7 balls in the final five overs.

Duckworth-Lewis entered the fray at the innings break and adjusted New Zealand’s target t0 298.  In the process, asking the Black Caps to successfully complete the largest run chase in World Cup knockout history.  History looked entirely plausible when Brendon McCullum launched a familiar attack in the first five overs.  He dispatched everything that came his way, including reducing some of the World’s best fast bowlers to club cricket cannon fodder.  McCullum’s 26-ball 59 was crucial to his side’s chances and set the perfect tone for the stiff target as well as denting the confidence of Dale Steyn and Vernon Philander – confidence that did not return when they both needed it in the crunch overs.

Despite the fall of McCullum, and a collection of others through the middle overs, Grant Elliot remained calm, found support from Corey Anderson and expertly controlled the asking rate under unimaginable stress.  Elliot and Anderson’s 103 run partnership was the determinative contribution of the innings.  The pair survived multiple run out chances, and dropped catch collisions to put together their match-winning effort.  It shouldn’t go down as a choke, as South Africa left everything out on the park, but there were some interesting options taken by the eventual losers.

In particular, JP Duminy’s early introduction and subsequent choice to bowl round the wicket was head scratching.  He can bowl better, as the quarterfinal hat-trick outline, but he picked a poor day to bowl some of his worst stuff.  That forced de Villiers himself to make up some of the overs, and he did an okay job until trying a bouncer every over that resulted in boundaries.  Rossouw’s decision to throw the ball flat and hard while trying to run out Corey Anderson will be questioned as will Steyn’s final delivery length option.

New Zealand’s win did get a little closer than perhaps it should have.  Tight Imran Tahir and Morne Morkel overs asked the South African faithful to believe, but with ten needed from four balls, Daniel Vettori squeezed and important boundary and then Elliot connected perfectly to book New Zealand a spot in Melbourne’s tournament decider.

Dream big New Zealand.

New Zealand 299 for 6 in 42.5 overs (Elliott 84*, McCullum 59, Anderson 58, Morkel 3-59) beat South Africa 281 for 5 in 43 overs (Du Plessis 82, De Villiers 65*, Miller 49) by 4 wickets (D/L method)

Grand National – 74 remain after latest declaration stage

There are 74 horses remaining in the £1million Aintree Grand National on April 11th after thirteen were taken out on Tuesday.

As expected, Carlingford Lough was withdrawn after a disappointing run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Also out are: Rolling Aces, Alderwood, Boston Bob, Shotgun Paddy, Theatrical Star, Roi Du Mee, Katenko, Living Next Door, Make A Track, Prince De Beauchene, Cedre Bleu and Buddy Bolero.

The good news for followers of our ante-post advice is that Monbeg Dude has been given the all-clear despite a poor run at Cheltenham. Connections could find nothing wrong with the horse physically and have decided that he resented the tongue-strap which will not be used at Aintree.

Our other selections also remain in contention with Shutthefrontdoor, Spring Heeled and Cause Of Causes all prominent in the betting. We highlighted the chance of Shutthefrontdoor prior to Cheltenham and his price has collapsed from 20-1 to 8-1. Champion jockey Tony McCoy will almost certainly be on board the favourite and has said that victory in the race may well be the perfect time to retire.

Spring Heeled (tipped at 33-1) is now a top priced 20-1 for Jim Culloty who still has top weight Lord Windermere entered in the race. Jockey Davy Russell has joined Barry Geraghty on the side lines through injury while Bryan Cooper is suspended. Russell revealed earlier this week that Culloty had removed him from the ride on Lord Windermere after his poor run in the Gold Cup. He became detached soon after the start and was eventually pulled up. The ground had gone against him on the day but Culloty clearly was not satisfied with Russell’s performance.

Paul Nicholls intends to run all six of his remaining entries headed by Rocky Creek and Unioniste. Rocky Creek looks the obvious pick after finishing fifth last year and putting up a lifetime best to win at Kempton last time out. Unioniste could yet emerge as one of the gambles of the race if the going becomes soft.

Last week we added Cause Of Causes to our portfolio at 33-1 and he is now a top price 20-1. He also races in the JP McManus colours carried by Shutthefrontdoor.

If you have not yet had a bet on the race, look out for non-runner – no bet terms. Bet365, Totesport, Betfred, Stan James and Betfair are already offering this provision.

Super Rugby Round 6 Review

Super Rugby’s Round 6 had everything.  Red Cards, yellow cards, slurs, tries and upsets.  Catch up on Round 6 in our wrap up below:

Highlanders v Hurricanes

Round 6 kicked off with the Highlander’s hosting the unbeaten Hurricanes in Dunedin. What promised to be a spectacle of attacking rugby between two confident sides turned out to be a rather sluggish first half affair as both teams pushed passes and spoiled opportunities for that elusive first try. Half time, 3-3. The Hurricanes took a solid pick and go approach building phases early into the second half finally scoring through a powerful Reggie Goodes drive for the line. Both team continued to battle for supremecy however the Hurricanes struck again close to the line with Perenara driving through a weak fringe defence. A late consolation try (77min) courtesy of Sopoga brought the Highlanders back into the game and after the restart the men from the deep south found themselves attacking a tired Hurricanes defensive line and looked to have broken the Hurricanes defense to dot down with a kick to come for a draw, however the officials ruled a forward pass to save the Hurricanes and keep their unbeaten record.

Hurricanes win 20-13.

Rebels v Lions

The Melbourne Rebels played host to the Lions, both teams lingering just outside the top half of the competition ladder. The hosts dominating possession and territory for the first half,  dotting down twice through Mitch Inman and debutant at fullback Jonah Placid. The Rebels pressure was not always rewarded as they blew multiple chances throughout the half to extend the lead. Half time 13-3. The Lions came out of halftime with a long range try early on, Mastriet drew the last defender perfectly and offloaded to Boshoff who dotted under the posts and converted to bring the match level. Mike Harris replied with a penalty (2 from 5) midway through the second half to lead 16-13. A strong phase of attack and strength from the Lions in the dying minutes caught the Rebels short on the wing, Lions dotting down to take the game 20-13.

Lions win 20-13

Crusaders v Cheetahs

Saturday evening the Crusaders hosted the Cheetahs in Christchurch. A 6th minute yellow card early on for Keiron Fonotia for taking the man in the air resulted in a relatively quiet opening 15 minutes from both teams. Taufua strong drive for the line after some good pressure from the Crusaders saw the hosts go up 7-0. Cheetahs had the better of the half dotting down twice in quick succession through a 70 metre interception to Francois Venter then 3 minutes later to Sadie courtesy of some slick play. Carter working on the defecet with a penalty goal on half time, Cheetahs up 10-14. The second 40 painted a different picture for both sides, fullback Willy le Roux binned early into the second half for a high tackle on Nadolo and sustained pressure resulted in a penalty try. The Cheetahs appear helpless with le Roux in the bin as the Crusaders ruthlessly chalked up 4 tries in his absence. The Crusaders continued their onslaught of a degraded Cheetahs outfit dotting down another 3 times throughout the game. Carter returning to his former best with 2 tries and 7 conversions. Full time 57-14.

Crusaders win 57-14.

Bulls v Force

Loftus hosted the Bulls and Western Force Saturday, prior to the game the pitch subject to torrential rain and a spectacular display of lightening. The Western Force the more aggressive on attack throughout the half seeing them go up 7-0 inside 15 minutes however the Force had discipline issues early on and a dead eye Pollard ensured the hosts kept close with 3 converted penalties going into the break, 9-7 Bulls. Early into the second the Force were reduced to 13 men with cynical infringements at ruck and maul time through sustained Bulls pressure, seeing Coleman and Faulkner binned within minutes of each other. Bulls taking full advantage of the extra men, dotting down minutes later. Pollard ensured the Forces’ ill discipline was punished with converting 2 more chances throughout the half. A light footed Kyle Goodwin took advantage of props in the defensive line and dotted down on the 71st minute mark seeing the defecit return to one as Ebersohn converted. An Ebersohn penalty put the visitors ahead with 3 to go. A match marred by ill discipline for the Force came back to haunt them with Steve Mafi spearing Pollard who bravely converted the penalty to ensure the hosts took the win by 1. 25-24 Bulls.

Bulls win 25-24

Sharks v Chiefs

Sharks hosted the Chiefs in Durban, an ugly affair, both team guilty of ill-discipline. Both Lambie and Cruden converted early penalties. Chiefs hooker Hika Elliot cited for a shoulder charge in the ruck, this saw him red carded inside 15 minutes. Not to be out done by his opposite Bismarck du Plessis lashed out with a boot against a off the ball tackler resulting in a red card 2 minutes later. 10 minutes later Frans Steyn was sent from the field for a cringing spear tackle on Chiefts 10, Aaron Cruden. Lambie and Cruden continued to trade penalties with Same Cane dotting down for the Chiefs  late into the half, 9-11 Chiefs. Much like the first half, ill discipline cost both sides momentum and Lambie clinching the only points on the half with a penalty on the 60th minute. A game that promised much in terms of attacking flair and positional match ups resulted in a flop.

Sharks win 12-11

Waratahs v Brumbies

Sunday afternoon rugby went to Sydney for the Waratahs hosting the Brumbies. A physical battle between two sides in the running for conference honors. At times the game looked much like other games throughout the weekend with cynical play and red mist tempers. The Brumbies opened their account early on with a try to Matt Toomua inside 10 minutes with Fardy binned for intentionally knocking the ball down. Foley and Lealiífano traded penalties with Foley getting the better of the Brumbies in a five minute route dotting down and Folau shortly after. Beale converted a penalty early to extend the lead and a physical half resumed by starving both teams of any spoils until sustained pressure late in the game saw Latu dot down out wide and then in the dying minutes receive a yellow for collapsing the maul after multiple team warnings. The match tainted by claims of Waratah players using homophobic slurs which are being investigated.

Waratahs win 28-13.

Lincoln Handicap – Ante-post Update

In last week’s Lincoln preview we recommended Zarwaan at 12-1 and he is now a top-priced 10-1 with Bet Victor.

Mange All and Gm Hopkins continue to dominate the market for William Haggas and John Gosden. Both stables have a fine record in the race so they should certainly give their supporters a run for their money. I don’t think that there can be much value left at odds of 11-2 and 7-1 respectively so I’ve been looking further down the weights in the hope of unearthing an each-way alternative.

With recent winners returned at 16-1, 25-1, 20-1 and 20-1, we know from experience that the market can get this race badly wrong. The draw is another factor to take into account, although that too is something of a mystery. Most pundits had satisfied themselves that a middle to high draw is ideal. Lo and behold, the winner Ocean Tempest emerged from stall 3 last season.

One horse that does catch my eye is Peter Chapple-Hyam’s Buckstay. I tipped him for last season’s Cambridgeshire and he ran a fine race to be fourth behind Bronze Angel. He is now a staggering 16lbs better off with the winner.

Maxime Guyon rode him that day and hit the front over a furlong from home before being swamped in the closing stages. He again clashed with Bronze Angel at Ascot in heavy ground in the Balmoral Handicap but the draw gave him no chance that day. He finished third on his side but was only ninth overall and that run can be safely ignored.

Buckstay has some form with cut in the ground but does not look as though he appreciates extremes of going. Cam Hardie has been booked for the ride and he takes off a handy 3lbs. With a massive 93 horses left in, Buckstay may not get a run from 33 in the handicap but we can take a bit of the 25-1 and get a refund if he is balloted out.

It looks as though Bronze Angel will carry top weight for Marcus Tregoning with Ocean Tempest just below him, attempting to repeat last year’s triumph. The three market leaders are safely in the top of the handicap and Richard Fahey hopes to run three including both Gabrial’s Kaka and Gabrial. It’s anybody’s guess how Gabrial will cope with this large field but Gabrial’s Kaka should go well. Fahey is optimistic about his chances and 14-1 represents fair value.

Zarwaan @12-1*

Buckstay @25-1 BetVictor (non-runner – no bet)

Gabrial’s Kaka @14-1 William Hill

*Ante-post