HONG KONG RACING SUNDAY 8 March 1915
SHA TIN
Hong Kong Wrap Up
It’s another great days racing at Sha Tin today and yet another group race with the Hong Kong Group Three Macau Cup which is always a hotly contested race and nothing has changed this time around.
Arpinati does look extremely well placed here at the weights in the Cup race. Comes up with gate one which will suite his racing style. Ran a very impressive race at HKG1 two starts back when he finished not far away in 4th position. Certainly looks suited here and he does have Joao Moreira in the saddle. Not an overly strong HKG3 but very competitive just the same. Super Lifeline has been racing at Class 1 or above for a while now and has done very well in the process. Comes up with a nice draw today in gate 4 and on current form looks ok at the weights and they have lost nothing in having Mattie Chadwick in the saddle for the first time today. Looks a very good chance.
The last four races today look to be great races and our form is done and dusted and I hope our results continue as we hit 6 exactas last Sunday and had a great day so follow the form and let’s take it to the bookies. The exotics look to hold some value today so best of luck if having a go.
Track and Conditions: Turf C+3 Course with the exception of Races 1-3-7 which will be on the All Weather Dirt Track.
Expected Weather: Mainly cloudy with a few mist patches in the morning which should clear during the day. There will be a top temperature of 21 degrees and the wind will be from the east gusting up to and around the 30Km/h mark. This will create a cross to head wind down the straight which will aid on paced runners but it is expected to be a fair playing ground just the same.
Best Bet: Race 3 No 3 Sergeant Titanium
Best Value: Race 8 No 1 Disciples Twelve
Exotic Races: Race No’s 7-8-9-10
Quaddie:-
Race 7: 1-3-8-6-7 Race 8: 8-9-2-1-3-7 Race 9: 9-3 Race 10: 9-7
Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1650m—Class 5 – AWT
Top Pick: No 5 La Cote De Bleu
Value Selection: No 1 Mr Marc
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Sledge Hammer and No 6 South China Command / No 7 Croatia
Race Overview
La Cote De Bleu Produced a nice win over this distance on this surface last start after some fairly consistent form throughout the season. That run was from a wide draw in gate 12 and gets in a fair bit closer today in gate 7.Certainly looks a good chance once again today, retains Mattie Chadwick in the saddle and still looks in well at the weights. Mister Marc had been very consistent at class five this season and went up to class four last start to taste the waters again but was well and truly run over in the latter parts of that race which was over the 2200m on the turf. His previous form at Happy Valley which does lend itself to the AWT has been good along with some nice performances on the AWT. Certainly looks much better suited today despite having to carry top weight. Has the new Kid on the block in the saddle in Jack Wong and as a result will get a 10 Lb weight drop. Jack has had a fair bit of experience in New Zealand and I am sure he will go well.
Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 2 Diamond Master
Selection: No 4 The Prince
Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Lean Journey and No 1 Addole / No 11 Diamond Mysterious
Race Overview
Diamond Master has been in reasonable form since arriving in Hong Kong however had excuses last start and he does come up with a very nice draw today in gate 12 and Neil Callan is back in the saddle. Carries top weight once again today but does appear to be much better placed here. The Prince has not gone over this trip this season and the last time he did go over this trip it was at class three so he does look much better suited today. Comes up with a nice draw in gate 11 and should have enough speed to take up a very nice position in the running. Certainly has appeal here.
Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1650m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 4 Happy Moments
Value Selection: No 2 Expedite
Exotic Inclusions: No 7 Harbour Delight and No 1 Health Wise
Race Overview
Happy Moments certainly has the ability to be hot and cold but if on song he can certainly get into the finish here. Joao is sticking with him however he does not have a great gate and will need a bit of luck early. However this field is a bit ordinary and his hoop may play a good part here. Expedite has bounced up and down between class 3 and class 4 this season and ran a very nice race last start on this surface at this class last start. Had top weight on that occasion and gets a little of weight relief today and most important he retains Zac Purton in the saddle. Draw a bit of a query but should go well just the same.
Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 2 Dashing Fortune
Value Selection: No 9 Athena Baby
Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Penny Lane and No 1 Sunny Pearl
Race Overview
Dashing Fortune Has been up and down in class since arriving in Hong Kong and does look better suited here. Just has to get a nice run in transit which he should get from gate 4 today. Even though he was 6th last start he was only 1 1/4 lengths from the winner and he does have Zac Purton in the saddle today for the very first time. Athena Baby just the three runs in Hong Kong and all have been fairly even and does show promise. Only needs to lift a bit to be right in the finish here. Comes up with a nice draw in gate 5 and has Joao Moreira in the saddle for the first time.
Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1800m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 3 Sergeant Titanium
Value Selection: No 1 Faster More
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Percy Jackson and No 5 Electronic Phoenix
Race Overview
Sergeant Titanium did very well last start after coming from a near impossible position to get up on the line. If he gets an open shot at them today he has to be right in this once again. Draw the only queary but he does no how to find the line. Faster More is dropping back in class today for the first time this season and his class three form was not too bad at all as he was placed on two occasions and ran 4th on another three. His form last season was all at class four and he was most consistent and went up in class after winning over the Sha Tin mile by a good margin. Has to be a certain consideration today at each way odds even with top weight. Neil Callan rides. Electronic Phoenix is an interesting runner here. He has only had the three starts in Hong Kong and has been moving up in distance and may even appreciate longer but he was starting to get interested last start and made up a fair bit of ground over the concluding stages. Does look like he will be even better placed over this distance today. Gets a couple of Lb’s off his back today with the allowance so will be 5 Lbs better off than last start. Should be each way odds here and a nice inclusion as he does look an improving type as he steps up in distance. At current odds of around the 18/1 mark he goes in as my BOLTER of the day here.
Race 6: — Time: 7.35am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 2
Top Pick: No 1 Brilliant Shine
Value Selection: No 2 Santa Fe Sun
Exotic Inclusions: No 14 Principal and No 1 Travel Brother
Race Overview
Brilliant Shine has won all three starts this season and is a very improving type. Only just got up last start at this class over the 1400m and it does look like a good move to go up to the 1600m today as he has been closing off extremely well and does look well placed here. Has to be a strong chance if he gets the distance but it is expected and he does retain Zac Purton in the saddle. Santa Fe Sun Does look well placed in a race of this type. Comes up with a nice draw in gate four and should suit his running style and get a nice trail in the running. Very nice closing third last start over this distance and would only have to repeat that effort to be a very good chance once again today.
Race 7: — Time: 8.05am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 1 Startling Power
Value Selection: No 3 Dehere’s The Love
Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Hidden Value and No 6 Able Warrior / No 7 Hearts Keeper
Race Overview
Interesting training tactics here and it is always worth looking at. Startling Power has won well with Joao Moreira in the saddle at his last two starts and does look to still hold a fair bit of potential. Gets six Lb weight rise today but it will be offset with a 5lb weight allowance with the jockey change. Drawn well and does look a very good hope here. Well ! Joao is off him and onto Dehere’s The Love but is no stranger to this horse and has ridden him on a fair few occasions as well so he does know this horse and has to go in as a very positive chance in that situation. Drawn exceptionally well in gate one as well. Looks like a nice exotic race as the next three in line all have chances.
Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 8 Lovely Deloverly e/w
Value Selection: No 1 Disciples Twelve
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 My Little Friend and No 9 Dane Patrol / No 3 Supreme Falcon
Race Overview
Lovely Deloverly is a very consistent sprinter who goes well over this course. Has to be a very good chance after coming up with gate 13 which is right in the rails section of this course. Gets in extremely well at the weights after a 7 Lb allowance and will trot around today with just 122lb’s on his back. Just has to be pointed in the right direction to go close here. Disiples Twelve does perform very well over this distance and at this class. Won over the Happy Valley 1000m last start with top weight but more importantly he ran a very solid race the previous start at Sha Tin down the 1000m straight. Comes up with another very nice draw in gate 10 which will see him very well positioned down the grandstand rail and even though Zac is not on him today he gets a bit of weight relief as well. No 9 Dane Patrol goes around with just 115Lbs on his back with the new hoop in Jack Wong in the saddle. He can certainly be hard to run down with that weight. No 3 Supreme Falcon even though going over this distance for the first time is far too good at this class to leave out and has came up with the best draw in gate 14 which is the rails over this course. I also like the newcomer No 7 High Five but only room for so many but if going for a Trifecta or 1st 4 looks like a possible inclusion. Watch the markets. Currently 9/1.
Race 9: — Time: 9.10pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class – Hong Kong Group Three
Top Pick: No Arpinati
Value Selection: No 3 Super Lifeline
Exotic Inclusions: No 1 All You Wish and No 11 Pikachu
Race Overview
Arpinati does look extremely well placed here at the weights. Comes up with gate one which will suite his racing style. Ran a very impressive race at HKG1 two starts back when he finished not far away in 4th position. Certainly looks suited here and he does have Joao Moreira in the saddle. Not an overly strong HKG3 but very competitive just the same. Super Lifeline has been racing at Class 1 or above for a while now and has done very well in the process. Comes up with a nice draw today in gate 4 and on current form looks ok at the weights and they have lost nothing in having Mattie Chadwick in the saddle for the first time today. Looks a very good chance.
Race 10: — Time: 9.45pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 3
Top Pick: No: 9 Packing Pins
Value Selection: No 7 Up And Coming
Exotic Inclusions: No 1 Dr Good Habit and No 2 Ho In One
Race Overview
Nice race here with a few chances however I do like Packing Pins. Always liked this horse since arriving in Hong Kong. Only the three starts but has never been worse than 2nd at this class and does look to be a certain chance once again today if he can handle the wide draw in gate 13. Should be eased back but what he does have in his favour is that the pace should be good enough to close off well and put him in with a good chance. Up And Coming has really picked up the bit since moving up to this distance. Just the four runs this season but he did win at this class over this distance last start and still looks very well weighted today. Retains Douglas Whyte in the saddle and is expected to come up at decent odds.
Head over to bet365 for Sha Tin betting!
