Premier League Preview 4th March

There are some cracking Premier League matches lined up for Wednesday night as Chelsea and Man City continue their chase for the title.

The Blues were given some valuable breathing space by City’s 2-1 defeat at Anfield on Sunday but will need to be at their best to take three points at West Ham. Sam Allardyce usually has a trick or two up his sleeve against the Blues and managed to enrage Jose Mourinho with a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge last season.

West Ham’s season is in danger of petering out but they will surely be up for a London derby. Oscar only played a few minutes as substitute in the Cup final on Sunday and he could be worth a bet to score the opener in a narrow win for Chelsea.

City are not exactly in a slump after losing to Barcelona and Liverpool and it is worth remembering that they scored nine in their previous two matches. Normal service should be resumed at the expense of Leicester City at the Etihad. The bookmakers aren’t giving much away here but Sergio Aguero could be worth a look in the goal scorer markets.

BTSport are at St James’s Park to see Newcastle play Man United, traditionally a fixture that brings plenty of goals. United have made steady if not spectacular progress under Louis van Gaal and can just edge this one. You are not going to get rich by backing Liverpool to beat Burnley following their impressive win over City on Sunday. The Clarets usually put up a brave fight and may give Reds’ supporters a few nervy moments.

If there is to be an upset on Wednesday it could come at White Hart Lane. Mauricio Pochettino looked a thoroughly miserable figure in the Wembley rain as he saw his side crash out of a second Cup competition within the space of a few days. He will doubtless ring the changes for the visit of Swansea but may find it difficult to motivate his dishevelled troops. The Swans look worth a bet to sneak a victory with 1-0 being generously priced.

Arsenal bounced back from their embarrassing defeat against Monaco with a comfortable 2-0 win over Everton. They now face struggling QPR and should come away with all three points. Stoke play Everton in the night’s remaining fixture. The Toffees are proving impossible to predict at present, following their impressive Europa League form with a poor display at Arsenal. Stoke have a way of grinding out the results lately and will fancy their chances of another three points here.

Sergio Aguero to score two or more @7-2 Boyle Sports

Man United to win by one goal @11-4 Skybet

Santi Cazorla scores and Arsenal win @100-30 Paddy Power

Stoke 1 Everton 0 @13-2 Bet365

Tottenham 0 Swansea 1 @15-1 BetVictor

Swansea to beat Tottenham @9-2 Totesport

Oscar to score and Chelsea win @4-1 Paddy Power

Liverpool to win by one goal @14-5 BetVictor

Rugby League: NRL Betting Promotions

The bookies are going to town with promotions for the opening round of the NRL season (and beyond).  Check out the NRL Betting Promotions from your favourite bookmaker below:

1. William Hill Australia / Sportingbet Australia / Tom Waterhouse / Centrebet

Place a first Tryscorer bet and if the First Try is converted you’ll receive double your winnings as a bonus bet (5/03/15 – 9/03/15). *Excludes NSW & SA residents; Maximum bonus $200; Applies to first ‘First Tryscorer’ bet on the market;

2. BetEasy

a.) Multi Bonus

Place a 4+ leg NRL multibet on Round 1 matches. (Head to Head markets only).  If one of your legs does not win, we’ll match your stake with a Bonus Bet up to $50!  Applies to matches played in Round 1 only.  Applies to your first bet multi bet placed after 1pm AEST Tuesday.  All Bonus Bets will be credited by 11pm on Monday March 9th, after the conclusion of Round 1.

b.) Weekly Special (Likely to change throughout season – keep eyes peeled)

Place a bet on the Head to Head market for the Eels vs Sea Eagles, Friday 7:45pm AEST.  If Jamie Lyon scores a try, and your bet does not win, we’ll match your stake with a Bonus Bet up to $50!  Applies to your first bet placed on the Head to Head market after Tuesday 1pm AEST.

c.) Weekly Special

Place a bet on the Head to Head market for the Broncos vs Rabbitohs, Thursday 8:05pm AEST.  If Anthony Milford scores a try, and your bet does not win, we’ll match your stake with a Bonus Bet up to $50!  Applies to your first bet placed on the Head to Head market after Tuesday 1pm AEST.

3. Sportsbet Australia

NRL Season Opener Money Back Special!

Place a head-to-head win bet on any NRL game from rounds 1-4.  If your selection is ahead at half-time but goes on to lose the game, we’ll refund your bet.  Max refund $100, first bet on market per game only, excludes live betting.

4. Palmerbet

Palmerbet offer a tipping competition for the entire season.  NRL Last Man Standing is based on all matches played in the 2015 NRL season. The game will start from the 5th March 2015 and runs until there is only one player left! To participate in this competition, you must register by 7:30pm AEDST on 5th March 2015.

5. Bet 365 Australia

Footy Multi Bonus

Earn up to 65% more on your pre-game multi bets on Australia’s major Footy leagues.  The offer applies to Handicap (2-Way), Totals (2-Way) and To Win (2-Way) markets on Footy from the AFL, NRL and Super Rugby.  All you have to do is place a pre-match multi bet of 3 or more selections combining teams in any of the above competitions and, if successful, we will add the following bonuses to your winnings:

6. Bookmaker Australia 

Bookmaker Au run a weekly special and should do so for most of the season.  As an example, here’s this week’s.

Footy Freaks – Brisbane Broncos v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Anthony Milford to Score and Brisbane to Win – $6.50

Greg Inglis to Score and Souths to Win – $3.25

Rugby League: NRL Season Preview

The NRL gets underway on Thursday and we’ve made your tips and your fantasy team selection easy with our comprehensive team by team guide.

See details of every side’s chances and the players that are crucial to their chances below.  Odds are taken from Sportsbet Australia.

Brisbane Broncos

Ins: Adam Blair (Tigers), Darius Boyd (Knights), Anthony Milford (Raiders), Travis Waddell (Knights), Mitch Garbutt (Storm), Greg Eden (Hull KR), James Gavet (Tigers), Matt Parcell

Outs: Ben Barba (Sharks), Josh Hoffman (Titans), Ben Hannant (Cowboys), Martin Kennedy (Roosters), Jake Granville (Cowboys), David Hala (Titans)

The player to watch: Anthony Milford’s transition to Brisbane, and into the number 6 jersey, will make for interesting when the 2015 season kicks off.  The nimble runner is expected to do what Ben Barba couldn’t do in the jersey and spark the Bronco’s attacking game week after week.

The youngster to watch: Kodi Nikorima is a name well known to followers of the NRL Nines.  The youngster has made a name for himself in the reduced format thanks to his fleet footwork and clever rugby league mind.  He’ll grab a utility spot on Brisbane’s interchange for their opener and should make waves all year.

The odds: $11.00

Last Year: Eighth (elimination finalist)

This Year: Uncle Wayne and his fragile frame should ensure the Broncos make the top 8 again this year.  He’s recruited well (including his favourites), and he knows the NRL game better than most, we’re thinking 6th on the back of an awesome Suncorp Friday night record.

Canterbury Bulldogs

Ins: Brett Morris (Dragons), Michael Lichaa (Sharks), Curtis Rona (Cowboys), Antonio Kaufusi (Huddersfield)

Outs: Reni Maitua (Featherstone), Michael Ennis (Sharks), Dale Finucane (Storm), Mitch Brown (Sharks), Krisnan Inu (Stade Francais), Lachlan Burr (Titans), John Sila (Tigers)

The player to watch: Josh Jackson was the most improved player in the competition last year (in our view).  He’s gone from solid ball running forward with little responsibility, to creative spark on the right hand edge where all of the Bulldogs plays run (after James Graham takes on the line).  His test experience will be crucial in helping the talented but enigmatic Bulldogs pack flourish in 2015.

The youngster to watch: Former Sharks man Michael Lichaa looks set to step straight into Michael Ennis boots as replacement hooker, despite Moses Mbye being used in the grand final.  The Junior Kangaroos reps has always been tipped for big things and this could be his year to shine.

The odds: $7.50

Last Year: Seventh (finalist)

This Year: The beaten finalists have lost one inspirational captain but gained another.  Tough as nails English import James Graham replaces Mick Ennis for 2015 in the role in a move that will only strengthen the Doggies (and improve their gamesmanship…slightly).  We think they’ll finish 4-8 this year.

Canberra Raiders

Ins: Blake Austin (Tigers), Sisa Waqa (Storm), Frank-Paul Nu’uausala (Roosters), Iosia Soliola (St Helens), Josh Hodgson (Hull KR), Sam Williams (Catalans), Rhys Kennedy (Storm)

Outs: Terry Campese (Hull KR) Anthony Milford (Broncos), Tom Learoyd-Lahrs (Storm), Reece Robinson (Eels), Sami Sauiluma (Sharks), Matt Allwood (Warriors), Matt McIlwrick (Roosters), Sam Mataora (Knights), Lagi Setu (Roosters)

The player to watch: Paul Vaughan, the high running, interchange specialist with a knack for the try line will go very close to origin this year.  Relatively unknown heading in to 2014, the 23-year-old Italian representative burst on to the scene with a series of quality performances off the bench, quickly making him a favourite of Dream Team coaches.  With Papalii and Fensom susceptible to injury, Vaughan is crucial to the green machine’s chances.

The youngster to watch: At just 22, it feels as though we’ve seen plenty of Edrick Lee already.  However, that’s probably because his highlight packages are so memorable and not an indicator of his age or longevity.  Lee spent most of last season on the sideline, but the cousin of NBA superstar Patty Mills, is now fitter than ever and in the best position to use his height and speed to his advantage.

The odds: $81.00

Last Year: 15th

This Year: Anthony Milford gone, Terry Campese gone.  Ricky Stuart still there but making no real impact at the club.  Equals another year of despair for the Raiders.  They’ll do well to finish higher than last year (which was second to last).

Cronulla Sharks 

Ins: Ben Barba (Broncos), Michael Ennis (Bulldogs), Jayson Bukuya (Warriors), Mitch Brown (Bulldogs), Sami Sauiluma (Raiders), Jack Bird (Dragons), Gerard Beale (Dragons), Kyle Stanley (Dragons), Saulala Houma (Roosters)

Outs: Todd Carney (Catalans), Michael Lichaa (Bulldogs), Siosaia Vave (Sea Eagles), Jonathan Wright (Warriors), Tupou Sopoaga (Panthers), Sione Masima (Rabbitohs), John Morris (retired)

The player to watch: Putting contract negotiations, injuries and drug scandals to the side might allow Andrew Fifita to play the damaging football he’s capable of week in week out.  The enforcer who played 6o minutes against the Warriors last season with a broken arm is one of the toughest forwards in the game, and where expecting big things from him this NRL season.

The youngster to watch: Valentine Holmes has already proven his ability in first grade with a couple of standout performances on the wing last season.  This year he will also get the opportunity to share the fullback spot with Michael Gordon; a position we think he’ll be fantastic in.

The odds: $19.00

Last Year: 16th

This Year: Much better prospects this year after a rough couple of seasons.  The addition of Ennis will add much needed leadership during periods of origin and inevitable injury to Gallen / Fifita and could help them to a finish around 7-10.

Gold Coast Titans

Ins: Kierran Moseley (Panthers), Josh Hoffman (Broncos), David Hala (Broncos), Eddy Pettybourne (Wigan), Matt Robinson (Panthers), Ryan Simpkins (Panthers), Lachlan Burr (Bulldogs)

Outs: Brad Takairangi (Eels), Mark Minichiello (Hull), Cody Nelson (Eels), Sam Irwin (Featherstone), Steve Michaels (Hull), Albert Kelly (Hull KR), Maurice Blair (Hull KR), Beau Henry (Dragons), Ashley Harrison (retired)

The player to watch: The candidates for featuring this section have diminished over the past weeks as the NRL traces lines of inquiry in a cocaine scandal (see the pun).  Therefore, we’ll predict a big season for Josh Hoffman.  On the great hope of New Zealand rugby league, but competition for places in Brisbane seemed to have curtailed his growth.  Looked sharp at the Nines, and could be on his way back up.

The youngster to watch: Kierran Moseley’s a nice addition to the Titan’s side and will provide stiff competition for Matt Srama in the hooking berth.  Having experienced the big stage of the 2013 NYC Grand Final, Moseley will be right at home with all the media attention on his club.

The odds: $101.00

Last Year: 14th

This Year: Will finish last.  May even go bust.

Manly Sea Eagles

Ins: Willie Mason (Knights), Feleti Mateo (Warriors), Siosaia Vave (Sharks), Brayden Wiliame (Knights), Blake Leary (Cowboys), Jason King (retired)

Outs: Anthony Watmough (Eels), Glenn Stewart (Rabbitohs), Daniel Harrison (London)

The player to watch: Daly Cherry Evans and Kieran Foran create a dynamic halves duo – probably the best in the competition – but from next year they’re likely to experience what it is like without the other.  While Foran’s future is sorted, Cherry-Evans will have to balance contract negotiations with his footy while also managing the club’s and the stakeholder’s expectations.  He’s our player to watch because we think he can.

The youngster to watch: Clinton Gutherson’s speed is much better than his haircut.  The young flyer has shown real potential in the Nines format and with injuries to Jorge Taufua will get the opportunity to nail down a starting wing spot for some time.

The odds: $13.00

Last Year: Second (semifinalist)

This Year: Not enough support around Foran and DCE to warrant too much attention and in the midst of an early season injury crisis.  Will just scrape into the top eight.

Melbourne Storm

Ins: Dale Finucane (Bulldogs), Tom Learoyd-Lahrs (Raiders), Blake Green (Wigan)

Outs: Justin O’Neill (Cowboys), George Rose (Dragons), Ryan Hoffman (Warriors), Sisa Waqa (Raiders), Siosaia Vave (Sea Eagles), Ben Roberts (Castleford), Mitch Garbutt (Broncos), Junior Moors (Castleford), Cody Walker (Rabbitohs)

The player to watch: Something fairly uncommon happened at the end of last year.  Jesse Bromwich not only turned himself into the best prop in his team, he became the best prop in the NRL with a startling display in the business end of the NRL season and in the international Four Nations competition.  Bromwich has the feet, hands and size to better most and will play a crucial supporting role to the Storm’s ageing big three.

The youngster to watch: Jordan McLean didn’t get the chance to kick on last year after playing a role in the unfortunate Alex McKinnon tackle. Hopefully, this year the kid can deliver on his tremendous promise without the added scrutiny.

The odds: $13.00

Last Year: Sixth (elimination finalist)

This Year: Some punters will have you believe the Storm will miss the eight this year, and it is a possibility given they still haven’t found a way to cope during the origin period.  They have recruited nicely but still probably miss someone in the 6 jumper that will deliver them a trophy. 6th – 8th again this year.

Newcastle Knights

Ins: Jack Stockwell (Dragons), Tariq Sims (Cowboys), Carlos Tuimavave (Warriors), Sam Mataora (Raiders)

Outs: Darius Boyd (Broncos), Willie Mason (Sea Eagles), Adam Cuthbertson (Leeds), Travis Waddell (Broncos), Michael Dobson (Salford), Josh Mantellato (Hull KR), Zane Tetevano (Sea Eagles), Brayden Wiliame (Sea Eagles), Timana Tahu (retired)

The player to watch: Joseph Leilua has apparently slacked off over the summer and might not even feature in the opening round against the Storm.  That’s a shame because in last year’s Four Nations he was impossible to stop, and one of the stars of the tournament.  He’s still our player to watch because, the Knight’s lack others, and he’ll get on the park at some stage.

The youngster to watch: Sione Mata’utia is officially the youngest player to have ever played a test match for Australia.  He broke Israel Folau’s record when he debuted against England last year, and is destined to break even more records in 2015 – perhaps an NRL try-scoring record.  Keep an eye out.

The odds: $31.00

Last Year: 12th

This Year: We expect them to finish around 11th.  Rick Stone has his work cut out this year.

New Zealand Warriors

Ins: Ryan Hoffman (Storm), Matt Allwood (Raiders), Bodene Thompson (Tigers), Jonathan Wright (Sharks), Api Pewhairangi (Eels)

Outs: Feleti Mateo (Sea Eagles), Carlos Tuimavave (Knights), Jayson Bukuya (Sharks), Abraham Papalii (Roosters), Adam Tuimavave-Gerrard (Dragons), Dane Nielsen (Dragons), Sam Lousi (Waratahs)

The player to watch: The Mt Smart faithful will be hoping there’s plenty of running in Ryan Hoffman’s legs after the Warriors were the only club to offer the Melbourne veteran a three year deal.  The Warriors have a history of recruiting senior Australian players who do big things for them and this could be another example.  Will add seniority and defensive surety to an already promising squad.

The youngster to watch: His man bun might not be as impressive as some of the others that are set to take the NRL by storm this year, but his game is.  Solomone Kata was a revelation at the NRL Nines, and after injuries to Glen Fisiiahi and David Fusitu’a, Kata will make his debut on the wing, and get to show off his ridiculous wheels (and man bun).

The odds: $17.00

Last Year: Ninth

This Year: Will be surprised if they don’t finish in the top 8.  Possibly around 6th or 7th.  Sam Tomkins will be better in his second year and Hoffman’s addition will help ease the leadership tension on Simon Mannering.

North Queensland Cowboys

Ins: Ben Hannant (Broncos), Jake Granville (Broncos), Kelepi Tanginoa (Eels), Ben Spina (Pride), Justin O’Neill (Storm)

Outs: Tariq Sims (Knights), Ashton Sims (Warrington), Curtis Rona (Bulldogs), Brent Tate (retired)

The player to watch: Jason Taumalolo turned his back on a huge Warriors payday last week to stick with the Cowboys for a further three years.  His loyalty is another fantastic trait to go with his size, feet, and offloading abilities that make him so dynamic in the NRL.  He’ll flourish this year in his preferred middle of the park role.

The youngster to watch: Michael Morgan’s move to partner Jonathan Thurston in the halves has been met with widespread approval from NRL experts.  After a breakout year in 2014, Morgan’s star looks set to rise again with more time on the ball.

The odds: $9.00

Last Year: Fifth (semifinalist)

This Year: This could be the year that the Cowboys go all the way – depending on the refereeing standard in the playoffs of course.  Will finish in the top 3.

Parramatta Eels

Ins: Anthony Watmough (Sea Eagles), Brad Takairangi (Titans), Reece Robinson (Raiders), Beau Champion (Rabbitohs), Cody Nelson (Titans), Ben Crooks (Hull)

Outs: Jarryd Hayne (NFL), Api Pewhairangi (Warriors), Willie Tonga (Catalans), Mitchell Allgood (Hull KR), Kelepi Tanginoa (Cowboys), Lee Mossop (Wigan), Liam Foran (London), Fuifui Moimoi (Leigh)

The player to watch: Jarryd Hayne is irreplaceable we get that.  However, Will Hopoate is a damn fine footballer in his own right.  He looked a little off the place early in his first season back last year, but should be better for the experience of regular footy (and origin footy), and he’ll be more comfortable in the fullback jersey in 2015.

The youngster to watch: The two rugby [league] players that people often compare 19-year-old Tepai Moeroa to are Sonny Bill Williams and Nathan Hindmarsh, which showcases the high regard many hold him in.  The former rugby player is a tackling machine, and the Eels environment has already proven conducive to breeding quality forwards.  He’s in our fantasy team.

The odds: $41.00

Last Year: 10th

This Year: Losing a Dally M Medal winners leaves a massive void in a squad, but it also frees up some salary cap to sign the like of Anthony Watmough and Kieran Foran.  Even with the addition of Watmough we think the Eels will struggle to 12th / 13th this year.

Penrith Panthers

Ins: Apisai Koroisau (Rabbitohs), Tupou Sopoaga (Sharks)

Outs: Kierran Moseley (Titans), Eto Nabuli (Dragons), Tim Grant (Rabbitohs), Kevin Naiqama (Tigers), Wes Naiqama (London), Matt Robinson (Titans), Ryan Simpkins (Titans), Kevin Kingston (retired)

The player to watch: James Segeyaro’s arrival as an 80-minute hooker was both high quality and unexpected.  For someone that made his bread and butter with cameo appearances, the young hooker surprised many by taking his game to the next level at the end of last year.  He’ll be crucial this year too – but he’ll have live wire South’s recruit Apisai Koroisau to keep him company.

The youngster to watch: Matt Moylan’s probably not considered young by NRL standards anymore, especially now that he has a couple of seasons up his sleeve.  He’s still incredible however.  Moylan knows exactly when to inject himself into the backline and it’s that nous that will serve the Panthers well this year.

The odds: $10.00

Last Year: Fourth (elimination finalist)

This Year: Ivan Clearly and Phil Gould have transformed this team from overrated individuals to accomplished title contenders.  They’ll go close this year again and should finish in the top 5.

St George Illawarra Dragons 

Ins: Dane Nielsen (Warriors), Eto Nabuli (Panthers), Kris Keating (Hull KR), George Rose (Storm), Beau Henry (Titans), Heath L’Estrange (Roosters), Adam Tuimavave-Gerrard (Warriors)

Outs: Brett Morris (Bulldogs), Kyle Stanley (Sharks), Jack Stockwell (Knights), Sam Williams (Raiders), Jack Bird (Sharks), Matt Groat (Salford Red Devils), Gerard Beale (Sharks), Michael Witt (Dragons)

The player to watch: On paper Josh Dugan is the Dragons best player (sorry Gareth and Trent).  Whether he’s mucking in at centre or sparking from fullback, Dugan is origin quality, and if he stays injury free will have a big impact for the Dragons in 2015.

The youngster to watch: Eto Nabuli looks to be the buy of the season if NRL Nines form is anything go by.  Nabuli stole the show in Auckland and will almost certainly get a start in week one.  Euan Aitken is pretty handy too.

The odds: $41.00

Last Year: 11th

This Year: Still finding their feet under Paul McGregor (as is Benji Marshall).  Therefore, likely to finish around 14th.

Sydney Roosters

Ins: Blake Ferguson, Martin Kennedy (Broncos), Lagi Setu (Raiders), Abraham Papalii (Warriors), Matt McIlwrick (Raiders)

Outs: Sonny Bill Williams (Chiefs), Frank-Paul Nu’uausala (Raiders), Tautau Moga (Cowboys), Remi Casty (Catalans), Heath L’Estrange (Dragons), Curtis Naughton (Hull), Saulala Houma (Sharks), Anthony Minichiello (Roosters)

The player to watch: Blake Ferguson is no stranger to the headlines.  We’re predicting a return to the headlines for the right reasons this year with devastating attacking play.  Keep him off the booze and the Roosters will go well.

The youngster to watch: Jackson Hastings is a former Australian Schoolboys representative who predominantly plays in the halves or at hooker.  With Jake Friend out for the first 6 weeks, Hastings should get his chance from the interchange bench.

The odds: $6.00

Last Year: First (preliminary finalist)

This Year: Too many big names to not feature in the finals series.  Sonny Bill is not too big a loss when you have Aidan Guerra and Boyd Cordner to pick up the slack.  Top 4 again this year.

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Ins: Glenn Stewart (Sea Eagles), Tim Grant (Panthers), Cody Walker (Storm), Sione Masima (Sharks), Daryl Millard (Catalans)

Outs: Sam Burgess (Bath), Ben Te’o (Leinster), Beau Champion (Eels), Apisai Koroisau (Panthers)

The player to watch: Dylan Walker’s form last year was rewarded with a representative jersey, and there’s no doubt he’ll be better for the experience.  Looked in ominous form in the World Club Challenge against St Helens recently.

The youngster to watch: Chris Grevsmuhl’s second year with the Rabbitoh’s top grade side is expected to bring better things than his first.  A knee reconstruction prevented him from taking any part last year, but he should be on the interchange for round 1 against the Broncos.  Rightly so.

The odds: $5.00

Last Year: Third (winners)

This Year: Sam Burgess leaves a big hole, but George Burgess, Issac Luke and Greg Inglis are still around to shoulder the burden of being current NRL and NRL Nines champions.  They’ll finish in the top 4 again this year and will go close to defending.

Wests Tigers

Ins: Kevin Naiqama (Panthers), Josh Drinkwater (London)

Outs: Adam Blair (Broncos), Blake Austin (Raiders), Braith Anasta (retired), James Gavet (Broncos), Bodene Thompson (Warriors), Jy Hitchcox (Featherstone)

The player to watch: If James Tedesco can stay on the park for longer than 80 minutes he’s our player to watch.  If not, it’s probably Aaron Woods.  Fullbacks make more interesting players to watch than props though, so we’ll stick with Tedesco.

The youngster to watch: Matthew Lodge isn’t that likeable.  He was sanctioned for writing a c-bomd on his wrist strapping in the Under 20’s last year and was arrested as recently as 11 January.  Nonetheless, he’s supposedly a decent player – so look out.

The odds: $41.00

Last Year: 13th

This Year: The Tigers have some handy players, and will cause many an upset in 2015.  Just not enough to feature in the playoffs.  10th for Farah’s men.

Super Rugby Round 3 Review

The Super Rugby table seems to be separating into three strong teams (Hurricanes, Stormers, Chiefs – maybe harsh on the Brumbies) and then everyone else.  The three unbeaten sides look comfortably better than most on show and are destined to spend a fair bit of time near the top of the table this year.

Read below for our review of Round 3.

Highlanders (20) v Reds (13)

Dunedin’s Forsyth Barr stadium (or “the Zoo” as its affectionately known) hosted a bumper crowd for Friday night’s Super Rugby Round 3 opener, and the stadium demographic (drunk students) were treated to an even encounter between the Reds and the Highlanders.  The Reds are still finding their feet this year; they’ve had injury concerns, off field distractions and look a little unfit if we’re honest, and again struggled to build on a good start, this time against the Otago men.  The visitors dominated the opening thirty minutes with Reds recruit James O’Connor and veteran Will Genia combining nicely, however, they fell behind when another new recruit, the Highlander’s Waisake Naholo crossed the line to effectively seal the points.

The Highlanders need to find the right balance between their world class backline and workmanlike forward pack.  The forwards just dragging the chain.  Still they’re on the board in 2015.

Highlanders: Tries – W.Naholo, Pen – M.Banks 4, H.Parker

Reds: Tries – J.Schatz, Pen – J.O.Connor 2, Con – J.O.Connor

Force (13) v Hurricanes (42)

The Hurricanes continued the unbeaten start to the Super Rugby season with a comfortable win over the Force in Perth.  Basing their game on strong defence, the Wellington side are now three from three without having played a match at home.  Chris Boyd is having no trouble getting the best out of his All Blacks – Cory Jane, Victor Vito and Beauden Barrett all going up a gear from last year.  The Hurricanes are out on their own at the top of the Super Rugby table, and we’re already looking forward to their New Zealand conference showdown with the Chiefs.

The Force’s opening win is now a distant memory as they disappointed in their first effort in front of home fans.  Not many positives in this one unfortunately.

Force : Tries – M.Scott, Pen – Z.Holmes, S.Ebersohn, Con – L.Burton

Hurricanes: Tries – C.Jane, M.Abbott,V.Vito, J.Savea, J.Marshall, Pen – B.Barrett 3, Con – B.Barrett 2, J.Marshall 2

Cheetahs (25) v Blues (24)

The Cheetahs are unexpectedly still unbeaten after disposing of the Blues in Bloemfontein.  Mind you, they shouldn’t be.  The Blues lost this one rather than the Cheetahs winning it.  The Blues should have sealed the match comfortably but some questionable decision making led to the one point loss that heaps even more pressure on John Kirwan.  As likeable as he is, JK just hasn’t been able to come up with a winning game plan at the Blues and his position is becoming increasingly untenable.

The Cheetahs look okay.  They’ll play better than this and still lose though when they meet sterner competition.

Cheetahs: Tries – C.Hendricks 2, S.Pretorius, Pen – J.Pietersen 2, Con – J.Pietersen 2

Blues: Tries – L.Braid, C. Faumuina, J.Kaino, Pen – I.West, Con – I.West 3

Chiefs (40) v Crusaders (16)

The Chiefs signalled their title aspirations with a demolition of the consistently decent Crusaders outfit at home on Saturday night.  The bonus point win, built around another fine performance from the most impressive 9, 10, 12 in the competition, is certain to worry the other sides due to make the trip to Waikato.  The Highlanders make the trip next, but are unlikely to fare any better.

The Crusaders are still struggling to shake the early season rust, and while they’ll have easier matches to make up the points, they are looking fractured and unenthused.  Tom Taylor struggled at fullback, Colin Slade didn’t run enough and Todd Blackadder needs to give his whole troop some advice on decision-making.

Chiefs: Tries – SB Williams, A.Pulu, C.Ngatai, T.Marshall, J.Lowe, Pen – A.Cruden 3, Con – A.Cruden 3

Crusaders: Tries – A.Ellis, Pen – C.Slade 3, Con – C.Slade

Rebels (15) v Brumbies (20)

The driving rain put paid to any chance of this one being an entertaining classic.  It also curtailed the Rebels chance of winning the game, as the Brumbies’ Wallabies-packed forward unit exercised complete control to stifle their opponents.  Led by the retuning Stephen Moore, the Brumbies choked the life out of the game with a possession based tip of the hat to percentage footy.

Nothing really to write home about in the entire eighty minutes, but enough to put the Brumbies in control of the Australian conference.

Rebels: Pen – M.Harris 5

Brumbies: Tries – T.Kuridrani, J.Butler, Pen – C.Lealiffano 2, Con – C.Lealiffano 2

Bulls (43) v Sharks (35)

The match of the round saw six tries and plenty of points as the Bulls finally recorded a win at home.  Facing the South African conference favourites, the Sharks, the Bulls scored four tries to two and survived the boot of Patrick Lambie to get their 2015 Super Rugby campaign back on course.

The battle featuring Adriaan Strauss and Pierre Spies against Ryan Kankowski was epic, with Kankowski celebrating his return from Japan with a try, as did Spies.

Neither the Sharks or Bulls are looking like contenders at this early stage of the competition.  Both have plenty to work on – and we suggest it begins with defence.  The Sharks have conceded the most points in Super Rugby, and the Bulls the second most.

Bulls: Tries – F.Hougaard, D.Stegmann, P.Spies, J.Serfontein , Pen – H.Pollard 3, T. Schoeman, Con – H.Pollard 3, T.Schoeman

Sharks: Tries – R.Kankowski, C.Reinach, Pen – P.Lambie 7, Con – P.Lambie 2

Lions (19) v Stormers (22)

The Stormers have started the best out of any of the South African teams and just as everyone was singing their praises they almost suffered a shock loss to the Lions.  It could have been a tie too, with the Lions turning down a shot at goal to tie things up after being awarded a penalty late on; instead seeking an unlikely win.

The enterprise wasn’t rewarded, much to the dismay of the home stand, but they put up a brave fight that was worth more than their place at the bottom of the Super Rugby table.  They are a lot more competitive than in seasons gone by and will not be easy beats at home.

The Stormers have their work cut out for them next week when they meet the high flying Stormers in Cape Town.  They must improve.

Lions: Tries – W. Tecklenburg, Pen – E.Jantjies 4, Con – E.Jantjies

Stormers: Tries – S.Kolisi, Pen – D.Catrakilis 5, Con – K.Coleman

World Hurdle Preview

The World Hurdle is the big staying hurdle of the Cheltenham festival and looks wide open this year. Big Buck’s dominated the event for Paul Nicholls between 2009 and 2012 but has now been retired while More Of That is not able to defend his title due to injury.

Annie Power remains favourite with some firms but looks virtually certain to run in the Mares’ Hurdle instead. Willie Mullins is presumably leaving her in here until the last moment in case of any calamities in the earlier race. Nicholls could easily start with the two joint-favourites here in Saphir Du Rheu and Zarkandar.

Saphir Du Rheu did this column a couple of favours last season when winning at Kempton and Chepstow. His excursion over the bigger obstacles did not go to plan and connections wisely decided to revert to hurdling after he failed to complete for the second time in three starts. He only had a neck to spare over the gallant Reve de Sivola at Cheltenham in the Cleeve Hurdle but he travelled like the winner throughout.

Zarkandar won a valuable race in France over three miles earlier this season and looked set to follow up in the Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot. He found very little off the bridle from the last and allowed Reve de Sivola to get back up and beat him. He was probably just idling but you can be sure that Noel Fehily will be delaying his challenge until as late as possible here. Of the Nicholls duo, I just prefer Saphir Du Rheu who looks a straight-forward ride.

If you fancy Saphir Du Rheu, it is very difficult to ignore the claims of Whisper at 14-1. Nicky Henderson’s gelding won the Coral Cup last season to give us a 28-1 winning ante-post tip. He showed that he was better than a handicapper when winning the Aintree Hurdle and he is another one who did not take to fences. He could still be improving and must have each-way claims.

Rock On Ruby has been winning over two and a half miles but is yet to show that he stays this trip. The Irish pair Monksland and Dedigout surely need plenty of cut in the ground and that seems unlikely at present. There is even talk of the possibility of watering during the meeting. Un Temps Pour Tout would also appreciate some give in the ground and looks more of a chaser in the making.

Saphir Du Rheu @5-1 Bet365

Whisper @14-1 William Hill

Each-way ¼ odds, 1,2,3 (non-runner – no bet)

Cricket World Cup: Day 17 Preview

After the whirlwind cricketing action that was the weekend, we needed a day to take stock.  Just a day though, the Cricket World Cup returns with another Pool B blockbuster.  

Read more for the best odds for today’s game:

The Three Big Questions

What has been the best individual batting performance of the World Cup?

There are three main contenders.  Chris Gayle’s double hundred against Zimbabwe, Kumar Sangakkara’s graceful hundred against England, and AB de Villiers freakish effort against the West Indies.  Choosing one, it has to be de Villiers.  Having taken the time to assess conditions after scoring 19 from his first 18, AB then exploded with a range of shots rarely seen in international cricket.  With scant disregard for the whereabouts of his stumps, or the deliveries themselves, de Villers unfurled a bewildering assault on the hapless Windies.  He finished on 162* from just 66 balls.  His last 67 runs come off just 16 balls.

What has been the best individual bowling performance of the World Cup?

Apart from James Anderson who is swinging it less than Dan Vettori, swing bowlers have enjoyed the conditions on offer in Australia and New Zealand.  Late swing is proving incredibly effective against batsman paranoid about scoring rates.  Thus, two quality swing bowling performances spring to mind as the best in the tournament.  Tim Southee’s effort against England was tremendous – the third best figures in World Cup history.  Mitchell Starc though was a bit better.  His 6-28 against New Zealand at Eden Park was a one man comeback show.  Quick, hostile and accurate, and far too good for New Zealand’s middle to lower order.  Starc is one of the absolute best one day bowlers going around at the moment.

What has been the best game of the World Cup?

The associate matches have provided plenty of excitement for avid cricketing fans even if the quality is slightly poorer, and the players less known.  The Scotland vs Afghanistan and Ireland v UAE encounters were both close affairs, but our favourite was the Trans-Tasman affair at Eden Park.  The drama of the final stages of the Pool A encounter are unlikely to be seen again in this World Cup.  Low scoring affairs featuring 19 wickets are always the most exciting.

Today’s Matchup

South Africa v Ireland, Manuka Oval, (Canberra – fine weather expected), starts 2:30pm local time

South Africa – $1.05

Ireland – $10.00

Sure, it’s predicted to be fine for the Pool B encounter between South Africa and Ireland in Canberra today, but we’ll give you a different forecast – it will rain.  Rain runs.  Ireland have already shown an appetite for big totals in this World Cup, and their opponents have AB de Villiers (oh, and Hashim Amla, Faf du Plessis and David Miller).

South Africa will be too strong for Ireland.  The odds reflect that, but Ireland, as they do in every game they play will account for themselves well and get within 60 runs of their more fancied opposition.

Today’s Bet

If you want to double your money just get on de Villers To Score a 50 at $2.10.  The only way he wouldn’t is if Ireland bat first and don’t post more than 200.  Otherwise it’s a shoo in.

We also like Kyle Abbott to be Top Wicketaker at $5.50.

And Ed Joyce To Score a 50 at $3.50.

Odds from Betstar.