Rugby League: NRL Round 2 Preview

Round 1 threw up more surprises than the results of a Tiger Woods drug test.

Round 2 could go a similar way with a series of matches that are proving difficult to predict.  The Bulldogs and Eels games looks tricky; the Rabbitohs and Roosters are almost impossible to separate; and the Warriors match too.

Let’s have a look at all the matches from Round 2:

Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs v Parramatta Eels

Bulldogs – $1.65

Eels – $2.28

The Bulldogs are slight favourites at ANZ Stadium despite losing last week and watching tonight’s rivals get the better of Manly.  Des Hasler needs a win, not because it will bring two valuable competition points, but to bring him back to reality after spending much of the week at Hogwarts.  The only changes to the sides see loose unit Josh Reynolds miss out for the Bulldogs, and Junior Paulo suspended for a mammoth nine weeks.  Brett Morris was sterling in his debut for the Bulldogs and he’ll be looking to make another strong attacking impact, while also doing his best to defuse the kicking games of Norman and Sandow. Bulldogs 1-12.

Bulldogs: 1. Brett Morris, 2 Curtis Rona, 3 Josh Morris, 4 Tim Lafai, 5 Sam Perrett, 6 Moses Mbye, 7 Trent Hodkinson, 8 Aiden Tolman, 9 Michael Lichaa, 10 James Graham, 11 Josh Jackson, 12 Tony Williams, 13 Greg Eastwood.

Interchange: 14 Sam Kasiano, 15 David Klemmer, 16 Frank Pritchard, 17 Tim Browne

Eels: 1. Will Hopoate, 2. Semi Radradra, 3. Beau Champion, 4. Brad Takairangi, 5. Reece Robinson, 6. Corey Norman, 7. Chris Sandow, 8. Darcy Lussick, 9. Nathan Peats, 10. Tim Mannah (c), 11. Manu Ma’u, 12. Tepai Moeroa, 13. Anthony Watmough.

Interchange: 14. Isaac De Gois, 15. Joseph Paulo, 16. Junior Paulo, 17. David Gower, 18. Danny Wicks, 19. Pauli Pauli.

Cronulla Sharks v Brisbane Broncos

Sharks – $1.98

Broncos – $1.85

Two first round losers square off in Friday’s second match, and un-surprisingly the Broncos feature in it.  The Broncos were woefully inept in Round 1 and must find an immediate solution to the problems at five eighth and fullback.  Whether the solution is to give Milford the freedom to roam between the two positions, or to give Kodi Nikorima some game time instead, only Wayne Bennett knows.  The Sharks have their own number six struggles with former Bronco Ben Barba, but they have forwards who could outmuscle the Bronocs pack that got humiliated last week.  Sharks 1-12.

Sharks: 1 Michael Gordon 2 Sosaia Feki 3 Gerard Beale 4 Ricky Leutele 5 Mitch Brown 6 Ben Barba 7 Jeff Robson 8 Andrew Fifita 9 Michael Ennis 10 Matt Prior 11 Jayson Bukuya 12 Wade Graham 13 Paul Gallen (c).

Interchange: 14 Chris Heighington 15 Tinirau Arona 16 Anthony Tupou 17 David Fifita 18 Valentine Holmes 21 Sami Sauiluma.

Broncos: 1 Jordan Kahu 2 Dale Copley 3 Jack Reed 4 Justin Hodges (c) 5 Lachlan Maranta 6 Anthony Milford 7 Ben Hunt 8 Josh McGuire 9 Andrew McCullough 10 Adam Blair 11 Alex Glenn 12 Matt Gillett 13 Corey Parker.

Interchange: 14 Jarrod Wallace 15 Jo Ofahengaue 16 Sam Thaiday 17 Kodi Nikorima

Penrith Panthers v Gold Coast Titans

Panthers – $1.23

Titans – $4.33

Top three shoo ins the Panthers will get the better off the club currently in the most disarray in the NRL.  The Titans were not at all bad last week, but they still don’t have the quality to compete with the Panthers over 80 minutes due to most of their best players being behind bars.  The Panthers were nigh on perfect for 60 minutes last week and have two of the most exciting wing prospects in the game in Watene Zelezniak and Jennings.  We’re eagerly looking forward to see what those two can do again this week.  Panthers 13+.

Panthers: 1 Matt Moylan, 2 George Jennings, 3 Dean Whare, 4 Jamal Idris, 5 Dallin Watene Zelezniak, 6 Jamie Soward, 7 Peter Wallace (c), 8 Sam McKendry, 9 James Segeyaro, 10 Brent Kite, 11 Sika Manu, 12 Lewis Brown, 13 Elijah Taylor

Interchange: 14 Tyrone Peachey, 15 Jeremy Latimore, 16 Reagan Campbell-Gillard, 17 Bryce Cartwright, 18 Isaah Yeo

Titans: 1 William Zillman, 2 Kevin Gordon, 3 James Roberts, 4 Josh Hoffman, 5 David Mead, 6 Aidan Sezer, 7 Daniel Mortimer, 8 Luke Douglas, 9 Kierran Moseley, 10 Edward Pettybourne, 11 Ryan James, 12 Lachlan Burr, 13 Nate Myles (c)

Interchange: 14 Agnatius Paasi, 15 Mark Ioane, 16 Matt Robinson, 17 Matt Srama, 18 Ryan Simpkins

Manly Sea-Eagles v Melbourne Storm

Sea Eagles – $2.15

Storm – $1.72

The match that used to define an NRL season is now somewhat of a middle of the pack type matchup.  Both sides have been predicted to struggle this year as their ageing squads tire, inevitably get hit by origin and disband.  There’s plenty of niggle around the Daly Cherry-Evans departure which could be a disturbance as Manly look to recover from a disastrous first up effort against the Eels.  They get back a useful bit of experience from Steve Matai, but that might be enough to penetrate the structure of the consistent Storm side that pack plenty of power up front.  We’ll go the for the never flappable Storm to get up by 1-12.

Sea Eagles: 1 Brett Stewart 2 Cheyse Blair 3 Jamie Lyon (c) 4 Steve Matai 5 Peta Hiku 6 Jack Littlejohn 7 Daly Cherry-Evans 8 Willie Mason 9 Matt Ballin 10 Brenton Lawrence 11 Feleti Mateo 12 Tom Symonds 13 Dunamis Lui.

Interchange: 14 Jesse Sene-Lefao 15 Blake Leary 16 Luke Burgess 17 Ligi Sao 18 Justin Horo.

Storm: 1 Billy Slater 2 Young Tonumaipea 3 Will Chambers 4 Kurt Mann 5 Marika Koroibete 6 Blake Green 7 Cooper Cronk 8 Jesse Bromwich 9 Cameron Smith (c) 10 Jordan McLean 11 Kevin Proctor 12 Tohu Harris 13 Dale Finucane.

Interchange: 14 Ryan Hinchcliffe 15 Tim Glasby 16 Dayne Weston 17 Felise Kaufusi.

North Queensland Cowboys v Newcastle Knights

Cowboys – $1.38

Knights – $3.10

The Cowboys put very few smiles on the faces of their fans at their aptly named home ground in week one.  They get the chance to atone for that again this week at Smiles Stadium when they host the Newcastle Knights.  Jonathan Thurston will will never play as badly again as he did in Round 1, and he’s that good he probably only needs to be marginally better to be Dally M winner.  He’ll turn it around.  The Cowboys will be hoping to deliver a win for Antonio Winterstein who is in doubt after his brother sadly passed away during the week.  Cowboys 13+.

Knights: 1 Kurt Gidley (c), 2 James McManus, 3 Dane Gagai, 4 Joseph Leilua, 5 Akuila Uate, 6 Jarrod Mullen, 7 Tyrone Roberts, 8 Kade Snowden, 9 Adam Clydsdale, 10 Korbin Sims, 11 Beau Scott, 12 Robbie Rochow, 13 Jeremy Smith

Interchange: 14 Tyler Randell, 15 Chris Houston, 16 David Fa’alogo, 17 Jack Stockwell, 18 Sione Mata’utia

Cowboys: 1 Michael Morgan, 2 Justin O’Neill, 3 Matthew Wright, 4 Kane Linnett, 5 Antonio Winterstein, 6 Robert Lui, 7 Johnathan Thurston (c), 8 Matthew Scott (c), 9 Rory Kostjasyn, 10 Ben Hannant, 11 Gavin Cooper, 12 Ethan Lowe, 13 Jason Taumalolo

Interchange: 14 Jake Granville, 15 Kelepi Tanginoa, 16 Scott Bolton, 17 James Tamou, 18 Lachlan Coote

South Sydney Rabbitohs v Sydney Roosters

Rabbitohs – $1.80

Roosters – $2.03

It was difficult to separate these two teams last year (in fact probably over the last two years), so we’re expecting something similar again this week.  Both teams were incredibly impressive last week in what could’ve been tricky encounters.  That bodes well for a cliffhanger this week that will be determined up front.  The George Burgess v Jared Waerea-Hargreaves is the individual match up of the round. Picking an upset, Roosters 1-12.

Rabbitohs: 1 Greg Inglis (c) 2 Alex Johnston 3 Dylan Walker 4 Bryson Goodwin 5 Joel Reddy 6 Luke Keary 7 Adam Reynolds 8 George Burgess 9 Issac Luke 10 Dave Tyrrell 11 Glenn Stewart 12 John Sutton 13 Ben Lowe.

Interchange: 14 Chris Grevsmuhl 15 Jason Clark 16 Chris McQueen 17 Thomas Burgess 18 Tim Grant 19 Cameron McInnes 20 Daryl Millard.

Roosters: 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck 2 Daniel Tupou 3 Michael Jennings 4 Blake Ferguson 5 Shaun Kenny-Dowall 6 James Maloney 7 Mitchell Pearce (c) 8 Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9 Matt McIlwrick 10 Sam Moa 11 Boyd Cordner 12 Aidan Guerra 13 Isaac Liu.

Interchange: 14 Mitchell Aubusson 15 Dylan Napa 16 Kane Evans 17 Sio Siua Taukeiaho 19 Martin Kennedy 20 Nene Macdonald.

Canberra Raiders v New Zealand Warriors

Raiders – $2.08

Warriors – $1.77

It’s fair to say the Warriors got the better of the Raiders in last years two games.  They won 54-12 and 54-18 in two utter hidings.  On 2015’s evidence the Warriors won’t make it three 50-pointers in a row.  Simply put, they still don’t have the leadership in the halves that will deliver them more wins than losses, or get them to a third Grand Final.  They had some positives last week; particularly Kata and Lolohea, however their inability to register second half points is a big worry.

The Raiders got past the Sharks thanks to two Jordan Rapana tries, and a scintillating Jack Wight effort. In addition, Frank-Paul Nuuausala and Iosia Soliola made pleasing starts to their Raiders careers.  With no confidence at all we’ll give it to the Warriors by 1-12.

Raiders: 1 Jack Wighton 2 Sisa Waqa 3 Jarrod Croker (c) 4 Edrick Lee 5 Jordan Rapana 6 Blake Austin 7 Mitchell Cornish 8 Josh Papalii 9 Josh Hodgson 10 Dane Tilse 11 Jarrad Kennedy 12 Iosia Soliola 13 Shaun Fensom

Interchange: 14 Josh McCrone 15 Frank-Paul Nuuausala 16 Paul Vaughan 17 Luke Bateman

Warriors: 1 Sam Tomkins 2 Jonathan Wright 3 Tuimoala Lolohea 4 Solomone Kata 5 Manu Vatuvei 6 Chad Townsend 7 Shaun Johnson 8 Jacob Lillyman 9 Thomas Leuluai 10 Ben Matulino 11 Bodene Thompson 12 Ryan Hoffman 13 Simon Mannering (c)

Interchange: 14 Nathan Friend 15 Ben Henry 16 Sam Lisone 17 Albert Vete 18 Matthew Allwood

West Tigers v St George Illawarra Dragons 

Tigers – $1.55

Dragons – $2.50

The final match of the round could be one of the more one-sided.  A Benji Marshall sub-plot is one of the only interesting storylines for two teams that have enjoyed an inauspicious week in build up.  Pat Richards helped his Tigers side get past the Titans last week, while the Dragons were outclassed in a low scorer by the Storm.

A team that consists of Dugan, Marshall and Widdop that only scores four points in a game is a massive headache for the coaching staff.  Sure they played the Storm but Farah, Woods and Taupau are some of the best middle of the park defenders in the game and they could well struggle for points again.  Therefore we’re going Tigers by 1-12.

Wests Tigers: 1 James Tedesco 2 Kevin Naiqama 3 Tim Simona 4 Chris Lawrence 5 Pat Richards 6 Mitchell Moses 7 Luke Brooks 8 Aaron Woods 9 Robbie Farah (c) 10 Keith Galloway 11 Curtis Sironen 12 Sauaso Sue 13 Martin Taupau.

Interchange: 14 Dene Halatau 15 Ava Seumanufagai 16 Matthew Lodge 17 Brenden Santi 18 Kyle Lovett.

Dragons: 1 Josh Dugan 2 Etonia Nabuli 3 Dane Nielsen 4 Dylan Farrell 5 Jason Nightingale 6 Gareth Widdop 7 Benji Marshall 8 Leeson Ah Mau 9 Mitch Rein 10 George Rose 11 Tyson Frizell 12 Joel Thompson 13 Ben Creagh (c).

Interchange: 14 Rory O’Brien 15 Trent Merrin 16 Mike Cooper 17 Jack de Belin 19 Jake Marketo 21 Heath L’Estrange.

The Multi

The margin multi on these predictions pays $4191.31

Rugby League: NRL Round 1 Review

The first week of NRL action featured plenty of rust, and more than a few surprises.

The Rabbitohs, Roosters and Panthers look head and shoulders over the others in the competition, but it’s unfair to make rash comments like that this early in the season.  It’s not rash to quit Fantasy NRL after one week though.  598 points (including 11 to Milford and 20 to Josh Jackson) warrants quitting.

Here’s how the round played out:

Brisbane Broncos (6) v South Sydney Rabbitohs (36)

The year’s season opener was an unexpected boilover as last years champions eased past a disappointing Brisbane side at Suncorp.  Led by the astute direction and expert goal kicking of Adam Reynolds, the Bunnies were the better side throughout and chalked up their first two points without a hint of fuss.

Glenn Stewart’s ball playing abilities added versatility to an already strong side, indicating that the Rabbits will again be tough to beat.  Test players Dylan Walker and Greg Inglis both got on the scoresheet, while the Broncs were left to rue ill-discipline and a stuttering halves pairing of Ben Hunt and Anthony Milford – desperately lacking cohesion in their first outing together.

Parramatta Eels (42) v Manly Sea Eagles (12)

Anthony Watmough’s grudge match against his old club was not nearly as brutal as experts predicted.  Instead, the Eels overwhelmingly got the better of the injury hit Sea Eagles, who appear to be on the brink of an internal halves crisis with rumours swirling around both Kieran Foran and Daly Cherry-Evans.

The enigmatic Chris Sandow was brilliant for the Eels, as was Semi Radradra who bagged the first hat-trick of the season.  Will Hopoate took over from Jarryd Hayne with aplomb; leading raids into Sea Eagles territory often, and showing some positive signs with his defensive reads.

In a word, Manly were, useless.

Newcastle Knights (24) v New Zealand Warriors (14)

More of the same for the frustrating New Zealand outfit.  The Warriors butchered a nice start, and a dominating share of possession to go scoreless in the second half and gift Newcastle two competition points.

The Warriors had positives in the performances of youngsters Kata, Lolohea, and Lisone, but will be dreadfully disappointed with their poor completion rate, poor fifth tackle kicking options and soft one and one defence.

For the Knights, Joey Leilua was dangerous with ball in hand and Tyler Randell played nicely from the bench.  They’ll still feel as though they escaped with points from this one though.

Gold Coast Titans (18) v Wests Tigers (19)

The Titans put to the side and incredibly challenging buildup, and a host of unavailable players to surprise many with a  fighting effort adjacent the West Tigers.  Pat Richards slotted a late field goal to complete a greedy individual haul for him and a win for his side.

Earlier, the James’ were dominating the scoring.  James Roberts had two tries for the Titans,  Ryan James also crossed the line, and walking sick note James Tedesco dotted over for the Tigers.

Robbie Farah and Aaron Woods were in the thick of everything for the visitors, while the Titans just want their players to return from a long pool game.

North Queensland Cowboys (4) v Sydney Roosters (28)

We predicted a Roosters win, but the manner and margin still surprised us.  That’s factoring in many people’s predictions that 2015 is the year of the Cowboys.

The Roosters proved Sonny Bill Williams wasn’t the key to their NRL success, with a complete team performance capped off by a memorable Mitchell Pearce showing.  They still look an excellent side and with Guerra and Cordner picking up the SBW slack, they will go along way.

The Cowboys shouldn’t play this badly again; Jonathan Thurston certainly won’t.  So don’t hit the panic button just yet if you’re a Cowboys fan or have Thurston in your fantasy team.

Penrith Panthers (24) v Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs (18)

Penrith were incredible for 60 minutes; the Bulldogs were good for twenty minutes.  The net result was a close win to the Panthers in a difficult first round match.

After building their squad, their experience and confidence over the past two season under Ivan Clearly, the Panthers are now genuine title contenders, and displayed their credentials in an efficient first 60 minutes.  They’ll be smarting they gave the Bulldogs a sniff but pleased they withheld the fast finishers.

Individually, James Segeyaro has carried on his form from last season’s playoffs; George Jennings justified the hype; and for the Doggies, Brett Morris was impressive in joining his brother at the club.

Cronulla Sharks (20) v Canberra Raiders (24)

Canberra’s win was a little surprising to tell the truth, but thoroughly deserved in a close encounter with the Cronulla Sharks.  Jack Wighton was the star of the show, both for his electric running that led to two tries and his almighty haymaker aimed at Sosaia Feki.  The young fullback was involved in everything, and although lucky to escape sanction for the punch (don’t the NRL have a one punch rule?), his performance suggests he’ll be a Dally M smokey this year.

Fifita and Gallend were excellent for the Sharks as they so often are, however, Ben Barba failed to find opportunities in the number 6 jersey.  The kindest thing we can say about Barba’s performance was that he was on the field.  I’m calling the fullback to number 6 failed experiments – the Lockyer curse.

St George-Illawarra Dragons (4) v Melbourne Storm (12)

Just the 16 points in a pretty dour encounter at Jubilee Oval.

The less said about this game the better.  Although we were pleased for former hotel porter Eto Nabuli crossing for a try on debut.

The statistic that sums up how much of an arm wrestle this match was is the tackle count of the two hookers; Cameron Smith had 48; Mitch Rein had 47.

Don’t expect either of these sides to set your pulse racing this season.

NRL Round 1 Preview

Welcome to the NRL!

The world’s best Rugby League competition gets underway with a blockbuster opening round.  Check out our Round 1 Preview below with odds taken from Betstar.

Brisbane Broncos v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Broncos – $2.30

Rabbitohs – $1.57

The 2015 NRL season kicks off with the defending champion Rabbitohs against one of the most successful teams in the history of Rugby League.  The Thursday night Suncorp showdown will set the scene for an intriguing season of skill and scandal.  The Rabbitohs have everything going for them heading into the season opener; Premiership rings, Nines titles, and a World Club Challenge win over St Helens.  Therefore, they are favourites to get the better of a Brisbane side looking to remerge as title contenders with prodigal coach Wayne Bennett.  Of interest will be the performances of Anthony Milford, Adam Blair and Glenn Stewart for their new teams.  We expect Stewart to have the biggest impact and the Rabbitohs to win by 13+.

Broncos: 1 Jordan Kahu, 2 Dale Copley, 3 Jack Reed, 4 Justin Hodges (c), 5 Lachlan Maranta, 6 Anthony Milford, 7 Ben Hunt, 8 Josh McGuire, 9 Andrew McCullough, 10 Adam Blair, 11 Alex Glenn, 12 Sam Thaiday, 13 Corey Parker.

Interchange: 14 Mitchell Dodds, 15 James Gavet, 16 Matt Gillett, 17 Aaron Whitchurch.

Rabbitohs: 1 Greg Inglis (c), 2 Alex Johnston, 3 Dylan Walker, 4 Bryson Goodwin, 5 Joel Reddy, 6 Luke Keary, 7 Adam Reynolds, 8 George Burgess, 9 Issac Luke, 10 Dave Tyrrell, 11 Glenn Stewart, 12 John Sutton, 13 Ben Lowe.

Interchange: 14 Chris Grevsmuhl, 15 Jason Clark, 16 Chris McQueen, 17 Thomas Burgess.

Parramatta Eels v Manly Sea Eagles

Eels – $1.92

Sea Eagles – $1.92

The bookmakers are finding it impossible to separate two even sides in the round’s second match.  Consistent top 8 finishers, the Manly Sea Eagles are in the midst of somewhat of an injury crisis with Steve Matai, Jorge Taufua, Jamie Buhrer and Brenton Lawrence all out injured, while the Eels are looking to shake off the loss of Dally M Medal winner Jarryd Hayne to NFL.

Manly’s forward pack look short on experience and class in the one major are of concern for us.  The Eels on the other hand have an exciting blend of youth and experience, but they’ll need Hopoate to provide the spark from the back.

The match shapes as an interesting grudge match for Anthony Watmough who plays against his old side for the first time.  As he exited he commented frequently about the poisonous nature of the Manly club – there will be plenty of players who disagree with his disclosure.  Eagles 1-12.

Eels: 1. Will Hopoate, 2 Semi Radradra, 3 Beau Champion, 4 Brad Takairangi, 5 Reece Robinson, 6 Corey Norman, 7 Chris Sandow, 8 Darcy Lussick, 9 Nathan Peats, 10 Tim Mannah (c), 11 Manu Ma’u, 12 Tepai Moeroa, 13 Anthony Watmough.

Interchange: 14 Isaac De Gois, 15 Joseph Paulo, 16 Junior Paulo, 17 David Gower, 18 Danny Wicks, 19 Pauli Pauli.

Sea Eagles: 1 Brett Stewart, 2 Cheyse Blair, 3 Jamie Lyon (c), 4 Clinton Gutherson, 5 Peta Hiku, 6 Kieran Foran, 7 Daly Cherry-Evans, 8 Willie Mason, 9 Matt Ballin, 10 Brenton Lawrence, 11 Feleti Mateo, 12 Tom Symonds, 13 Dunamis Lui.

Interchange: 14 Jesse Sene-Lefao, 15 Blake Leary, 16 James Hasson, 17 Luke Burgess, 18 Justin Horo.

Newcastle Knights v New Zealand Warriors

Knights – $1.85

Warriors – $2.00

The start of an NRL season is always a hopeful time for New Zealand Warriors fans.  The disappointed of the previous season has worn off, replaced by the excitement of new signings and top 8 finish predictions from those in the know.  Generally, it lasts a couple of games.

Could this season be different?

Ryan Hoffman is the big addition to the Mt Smart based squad and is expected to bring a wealth of experience and a workhorse like defensive load.  Shaun Johnson and Sam Tomkins are both a season more canny so will burden most of the hopes of the nation.

The Knights start a new era under Rick Stone with little hope or expectation.  They may be favourites on Saturday night but we’ll go against the bookies and pick the Warriors 1-12.

Knights: 1 Kurt Gidley (c), 2 James McManus, 3 Dane Gagai, 4 Joseph Leilua, 5 Akuila Uate, 6 Jarrod Mullen, 7 Tyrone Roberts, 8 Kade Snowden, 9 Adam Clydsdale, 10 Korbin Sims, 11 Beau Scott, 12 Robbie Rochow, 13 Jeremy Smith.

Interchange: 14 Tyler Randell, 15 Chris Houston, 16 David Fa’alogo, 17 Jack Stockwell, 18 Sione Mata’utia

Warriors: 1 Sam Tomkins, 2 Tuimoala Lolohea, 3 Konrad Hurrell, 4 Solomone Kata, 5 Manu Vatuvei, 6 Chad Townsend, 7 Shaun Johnson, 8 Jacob Lillyman, 9 Thomas Leuluai, 10 Ben Matulino, 11 Bodene Thompson, 12 Ryan Hoffman, 13 Simon Mannering (c).

Interchange: 14 Nathan Friend, 15 Ben Henry, 16 Sam Lisone, 17 Albert Vete, 18 Suaia Matagi

Gold Coast Titans v Wests Tigers

Titans – $2.55

Tigers – $1.52

Depending on which way you look at it the Titans are either; and absolute rabble with no chance of wining more than five games this year; or a Fantasy NRL gold pot, full of cheapies that will get plenty of game time while Greg Bird, Jaime Dowling and Dave Taylor are stood down.  The Titans may surprise, but we tend to think they’ll struggle big time this year, starting with a loss to the Tigers.

The Tigers have a trio of the most exciting players in Rugby League generally in Tedesco, Moses and Brooks.  We’ll watch with keen interest their development this year.  Tigers 13+.

Titans: 1 William Zillman, 2 Kevin Gordon, 3 James Roberts, 4 Josh Hoffman, 5 David Mead, 6 Aidan Sezer, 7 Daniel Mortimer, 8 Luke Douglas, 9 Kierran Moseley, 10 Edward Pettybourne, 11 Ryan James, 12 Matt Robinson, 13 Nate Myles (c).

Interchange: 14 Agnatius Paasi, 15 Mark Ioane, 16 Lachlan Burr, 17 Matt Srama, 18 Ryan Simpkins.

Tigers: 1 James Tedesco, 2 Kevin Naiqama, 3 Tim Simona, 4 Chris Lawrence, 5 Pat Richards, 6 Mitchell Moses, 7 Luke Brooks, 8 Aaron Woods, 9 Robbie Farah (c), 10 Keith Galloway, 11 Curtis Sironen, 12 Sauaso Sue, 13 Dene Halatau.

Interchange: 14 Ava Seumanufagai, 15 Martin Taupau, 16 Matthew Lodge, 17 Brenden Santi, 18 Kyle Lovett.

North Queensland Cowboys v Sydney Roosters

Cowboys – $1.70

Roosters – $2.20

Two of the favourites to take out this years Proven-Summons trophy meet in Townsville in the match of the round on Saturday night.  After being stitched up for a second straight year in a playoff referee blunder, the Cowboys are hoping 2015 brings slightly better luck.  They have a well settled side that has created success around a big forward pack and the best halfback in the world.  That will be the plan this year again, especially with the amount Jason Taumalolo has come on after his experience with the Kiwis in the Four Nations.

Their opponents are the defending minor premiers, and 2013 champions. They have lost Sonny Bill Williams, and Anthony Minichielio, but gained troublemaker Blake Ferguson. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck is given the number one jersey in a major positional switch for 2015, and Aidan Guerra and Boyd Cordner will be asked to assume added responsibility to offset the SBW exit.

Jake Friend’s absence worries us, but not enough to bet against the Roosters. They’ll win by 1-12.

Cowboys: 1 Michael Morgan, 2 Justin O’Neill, 3 Matthew Wright, 4 Kane Linnett, 5 Antonio Winterstein, 6 Johnathan Thurston (c), 7 Robert Lui, 8 Matthew Scott (c), 9 Rory Kostjasyn, 10 Ben Hannant, 11 Gavin Cooper, 12 Ethan Lowe, 13 Jason Taumalolo.

Interchange: 14 Jake Granville, 15 Glenn Hall, 16 Scott Bolton, 17 James Tamou, 18 Kelepi Tanginoa, 19 Ray Thompson.

Roosters: 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, 2 Daniel Tupou, 3 Michael Jennings, 4 Blake Ferguson, 5 Shaun Kenny-Dowall, 6 James Maloney, 7 Mitchell Pearce (c), 8 Jared Waerea-Hargreaves, 9 Matt McIlwrick, 10 Sam Moa, 11 Boyd Cordner, 12 Aidan Guerra, 13 Isaac Liu.

Interchange: 14 Mitchell Aubusson, 15 Dylan Napa, 16 Kane Evans, 17 Sio Siua Taukeiaho, 18 Martin Kennedy, 19 Nene Macdonald.

Penrith Panthers v Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs

Panthers – $1.96

Bulldogs – $1.87

Sundays games feature two of the better coached sides in the competition: The Des Hasler led Bulldogs, and the Ivan Cleary guided Penrith Panthers.  Thus, a tactful match full of structure and discipline is predicted at the freshly named Pepper Stadium.  Penrith have been the competitions big improvers over the past few seasons.  They appear to have flourished under Clearly and Gould, and should again feature in the top 4 when the season wraps up.  Very little by way of recruitment was needed by the Panthers so expect much of the same from their household names.

Hasler’s men disappointed in the Grand Final last year.  They’ll be keen to make amends, starting as early as possible with a win first up.  Losing career grub Michael Ennis is a shame, but James Graham will fill in nicely and is probably the greatest example of leading by example you will ever see.

Bulldogs 1-12 – the toughest pick of the round.

Panthers: 1 Matt Moylan, 2 George Jennings, 3 Dean Whare, 4 Jamal Idris, 5 Dallin Watene Zelezniak, 6 Jamie Soward, 7 Peter Wallace (c), 8 Sam McKendry, 9 James Segeyaro, 10 Brent Kite, 11 Sika Manu, 12 Lewis Brown, 13 Elijah Taylor.

Interchange: 14 Tyrone Peachey, 15 Jeremy Latimore, 16 Reagan Campbell-Gillard, 17 Bryce Cartwright, 18 Isaah Yeo, 19 Apisai Koroisau

Bulldogs: 1 Brett Morris, 2 Curtis Rona, 3 Josh Morris, 4 Timoteo Lafai, 5 Sam Perrett, 6 Josh Reynolds, 7 Trent Hodkinson, 8 Aiden Tolman, 9 Michael Lichaa, 10 James Graham (c), 11 Josh Jackson, 12 Tony Williams, 13 Greg Eastwood.

Interchange: 14 Sam Kasiano, 15 David Klemmer, 16 Frank Pritchard, 17 Tim Browne, 18 Moses Mbye

Cronulla Sharks v Canberra Raiders

Sharks – $1.42

Raiders – $2.90

With respect to the teams I’m about to include in this list, there are some teams that are just not that enjoyable to watch.  I’d put the Knights in the list along with the Titans, the Raiders, and at times the Dragons or Sharks.

Clearly, we’re not predicting a blockbuster.

The Sharks might be better this year without all the talk of peptides. If Fifita, Gallen and Graham stay fit they have an incredibly powerful trio of 80 minute workman who can compete with the best in the business. The Raiders, oh boy, where to start.  The Raiders are poor.  We hope they improve.  But more than likely they’ll just battle it out for the wooden spoon. What price for Ricky Stuart to go mid-season?

Sharks: 1 Michael Gordon, 2 Sosaia Feki, 3 Gerard Beale, 4 Ricky Leutele, 5 Mitch Brown, 6 Ben Barba, 7 Jeff Robson, 8 Andrew Fifita, 9 Michael Ennis, 10 Matt Prior, 11 Jayson Bukuya, 12 Wade Graham, 13 Paul Gallen (c).

Interchange: 14 Chris Heighington, 15 Tinirau Arona, 16 Anthony Tupou, 17 David Fifita, 18 Valentine Holmes, 19 Jack Bird.

Raiders: 1 Jack Wighton, 2 Sisa Waqa, 3 Jarrod Croker (c), 4 Edrick Lee, 5 Jordan Rapana, 6 Blake Austin, 7 Mitchell Cornish, 8 David Shillington, 9 Josh Hodgson, 10 Dane Tilse, 11 Josh Papalii, 12 Sia Soliola, 13 Shaun Fensom.

Interchange: 14 Josh McCrone, 15 Frank-Paul Nuuausala, 16 Paul Vaughan, 17 Shannon Boyd

St George-Illawarra Dragons v Melbourne Storm

Dragons – $2.20

Storm – $1.70

The final match of the round  has the Dragons hosting the Storm on Monday night.  It’s a match that has predominantly been won by the Storm – 20 wins from 29 games – but the Dragons did sneak a win in Round 16 of 2014.  The Dragons are still developing under Paul McGregor.  He deserves some more time to impart his plans, personnel and performance expectations on his side before being more closely scrutinised.  Benji Marshall and Gareth Widdop believe they have the formula for a successful halves pairing, and if Dugan can keep himself off the booze and off the injured list, they could be good for a few upsets this year.  Starting George Rose in week one worries me though.

Cameron Smith has been cleared fit to lead the Storm.  They’ll win on Monday but might not make the Top 8 this year, Shock!

Storm 1-12.

Dragons: 1 Josh Dugan 2 Etonia Nabuli 3 Dane Nielsen 4 Dylan Farrell 5 Jason Nightingale 6 Gareth Widdop 7 Benji Marshall 8 Leeson Ah Mau 9 Mitch Rein 10 George Rose 11 Tyson Frizell 12 Joel Thompson 13 Ben Creagh (c).

Interchange: 14 Rory O’Brien, 15 Trent Merrin, 16 Mike Cooper, 17 Jack de Belin, 18 Jake Marketo 19 Heath L’Estrange

Storm: 1 Billy Slater 2 Young Tonumaipea 3 Will Chambers 4 Kurt Mann 5 Marika Koroibete 6 Blake Green 7 Cooper Cronk 8 Jesse Bromwich 9 Cameron Smith (c) 10 Jordan McLean 11 Kevin Proctor 12 Tohu Harris 13 Dale Finucane.

Interchange: 14 Ryan Hinchcliffe 15 Tim Glasby 16 Dayne Weston17 Felise Kaufusi

Rugby League: NRL Season Preview

The NRL gets underway on Thursday and we’ve made your tips and your fantasy team selection easy with our comprehensive team by team guide.

See details of every side’s chances and the players that are crucial to their chances below.  Odds are taken from Sportsbet Australia.

Brisbane Broncos

Ins: Adam Blair (Tigers), Darius Boyd (Knights), Anthony Milford (Raiders), Travis Waddell (Knights), Mitch Garbutt (Storm), Greg Eden (Hull KR), James Gavet (Tigers), Matt Parcell

Outs: Ben Barba (Sharks), Josh Hoffman (Titans), Ben Hannant (Cowboys), Martin Kennedy (Roosters), Jake Granville (Cowboys), David Hala (Titans)

The player to watch: Anthony Milford’s transition to Brisbane, and into the number 6 jersey, will make for interesting when the 2015 season kicks off.  The nimble runner is expected to do what Ben Barba couldn’t do in the jersey and spark the Bronco’s attacking game week after week.

The youngster to watch: Kodi Nikorima is a name well known to followers of the NRL Nines.  The youngster has made a name for himself in the reduced format thanks to his fleet footwork and clever rugby league mind.  He’ll grab a utility spot on Brisbane’s interchange for their opener and should make waves all year.

The odds: $11.00

Last Year: Eighth (elimination finalist)

This Year: Uncle Wayne and his fragile frame should ensure the Broncos make the top 8 again this year.  He’s recruited well (including his favourites), and he knows the NRL game better than most, we’re thinking 6th on the back of an awesome Suncorp Friday night record.

Canterbury Bulldogs

Ins: Brett Morris (Dragons), Michael Lichaa (Sharks), Curtis Rona (Cowboys), Antonio Kaufusi (Huddersfield)

Outs: Reni Maitua (Featherstone), Michael Ennis (Sharks), Dale Finucane (Storm), Mitch Brown (Sharks), Krisnan Inu (Stade Francais), Lachlan Burr (Titans), John Sila (Tigers)

The player to watch: Josh Jackson was the most improved player in the competition last year (in our view).  He’s gone from solid ball running forward with little responsibility, to creative spark on the right hand edge where all of the Bulldogs plays run (after James Graham takes on the line).  His test experience will be crucial in helping the talented but enigmatic Bulldogs pack flourish in 2015.

The youngster to watch: Former Sharks man Michael Lichaa looks set to step straight into Michael Ennis boots as replacement hooker, despite Moses Mbye being used in the grand final.  The Junior Kangaroos reps has always been tipped for big things and this could be his year to shine.

The odds: $7.50

Last Year: Seventh (finalist)

This Year: The beaten finalists have lost one inspirational captain but gained another.  Tough as nails English import James Graham replaces Mick Ennis for 2015 in the role in a move that will only strengthen the Doggies (and improve their gamesmanship…slightly).  We think they’ll finish 4-8 this year.

Canberra Raiders

Ins: Blake Austin (Tigers), Sisa Waqa (Storm), Frank-Paul Nu’uausala (Roosters), Iosia Soliola (St Helens), Josh Hodgson (Hull KR), Sam Williams (Catalans), Rhys Kennedy (Storm)

Outs: Terry Campese (Hull KR) Anthony Milford (Broncos), Tom Learoyd-Lahrs (Storm), Reece Robinson (Eels), Sami Sauiluma (Sharks), Matt Allwood (Warriors), Matt McIlwrick (Roosters), Sam Mataora (Knights), Lagi Setu (Roosters)

The player to watch: Paul Vaughan, the high running, interchange specialist with a knack for the try line will go very close to origin this year.  Relatively unknown heading in to 2014, the 23-year-old Italian representative burst on to the scene with a series of quality performances off the bench, quickly making him a favourite of Dream Team coaches.  With Papalii and Fensom susceptible to injury, Vaughan is crucial to the green machine’s chances.

The youngster to watch: At just 22, it feels as though we’ve seen plenty of Edrick Lee already.  However, that’s probably because his highlight packages are so memorable and not an indicator of his age or longevity.  Lee spent most of last season on the sideline, but the cousin of NBA superstar Patty Mills, is now fitter than ever and in the best position to use his height and speed to his advantage.

The odds: $81.00

Last Year: 15th

This Year: Anthony Milford gone, Terry Campese gone.  Ricky Stuart still there but making no real impact at the club.  Equals another year of despair for the Raiders.  They’ll do well to finish higher than last year (which was second to last).

Cronulla Sharks 

Ins: Ben Barba (Broncos), Michael Ennis (Bulldogs), Jayson Bukuya (Warriors), Mitch Brown (Bulldogs), Sami Sauiluma (Raiders), Jack Bird (Dragons), Gerard Beale (Dragons), Kyle Stanley (Dragons), Saulala Houma (Roosters)

Outs: Todd Carney (Catalans), Michael Lichaa (Bulldogs), Siosaia Vave (Sea Eagles), Jonathan Wright (Warriors), Tupou Sopoaga (Panthers), Sione Masima (Rabbitohs), John Morris (retired)

The player to watch: Putting contract negotiations, injuries and drug scandals to the side might allow Andrew Fifita to play the damaging football he’s capable of week in week out.  The enforcer who played 6o minutes against the Warriors last season with a broken arm is one of the toughest forwards in the game, and where expecting big things from him this NRL season.

The youngster to watch: Valentine Holmes has already proven his ability in first grade with a couple of standout performances on the wing last season.  This year he will also get the opportunity to share the fullback spot with Michael Gordon; a position we think he’ll be fantastic in.

The odds: $19.00

Last Year: 16th

This Year: Much better prospects this year after a rough couple of seasons.  The addition of Ennis will add much needed leadership during periods of origin and inevitable injury to Gallen / Fifita and could help them to a finish around 7-10.

Gold Coast Titans

Ins: Kierran Moseley (Panthers), Josh Hoffman (Broncos), David Hala (Broncos), Eddy Pettybourne (Wigan), Matt Robinson (Panthers), Ryan Simpkins (Panthers), Lachlan Burr (Bulldogs)

Outs: Brad Takairangi (Eels), Mark Minichiello (Hull), Cody Nelson (Eels), Sam Irwin (Featherstone), Steve Michaels (Hull), Albert Kelly (Hull KR), Maurice Blair (Hull KR), Beau Henry (Dragons), Ashley Harrison (retired)

The player to watch: The candidates for featuring this section have diminished over the past weeks as the NRL traces lines of inquiry in a cocaine scandal (see the pun).  Therefore, we’ll predict a big season for Josh Hoffman.  On the great hope of New Zealand rugby league, but competition for places in Brisbane seemed to have curtailed his growth.  Looked sharp at the Nines, and could be on his way back up.

The youngster to watch: Kierran Moseley’s a nice addition to the Titan’s side and will provide stiff competition for Matt Srama in the hooking berth.  Having experienced the big stage of the 2013 NYC Grand Final, Moseley will be right at home with all the media attention on his club.

The odds: $101.00

Last Year: 14th

This Year: Will finish last.  May even go bust.

Manly Sea Eagles

Ins: Willie Mason (Knights), Feleti Mateo (Warriors), Siosaia Vave (Sharks), Brayden Wiliame (Knights), Blake Leary (Cowboys), Jason King (retired)

Outs: Anthony Watmough (Eels), Glenn Stewart (Rabbitohs), Daniel Harrison (London)

The player to watch: Daly Cherry Evans and Kieran Foran create a dynamic halves duo – probably the best in the competition – but from next year they’re likely to experience what it is like without the other.  While Foran’s future is sorted, Cherry-Evans will have to balance contract negotiations with his footy while also managing the club’s and the stakeholder’s expectations.  He’s our player to watch because we think he can.

The youngster to watch: Clinton Gutherson’s speed is much better than his haircut.  The young flyer has shown real potential in the Nines format and with injuries to Jorge Taufua will get the opportunity to nail down a starting wing spot for some time.

The odds: $13.00

Last Year: Second (semifinalist)

This Year: Not enough support around Foran and DCE to warrant too much attention and in the midst of an early season injury crisis.  Will just scrape into the top eight.

Melbourne Storm

Ins: Dale Finucane (Bulldogs), Tom Learoyd-Lahrs (Raiders), Blake Green (Wigan)

Outs: Justin O’Neill (Cowboys), George Rose (Dragons), Ryan Hoffman (Warriors), Sisa Waqa (Raiders), Siosaia Vave (Sea Eagles), Ben Roberts (Castleford), Mitch Garbutt (Broncos), Junior Moors (Castleford), Cody Walker (Rabbitohs)

The player to watch: Something fairly uncommon happened at the end of last year.  Jesse Bromwich not only turned himself into the best prop in his team, he became the best prop in the NRL with a startling display in the business end of the NRL season and in the international Four Nations competition.  Bromwich has the feet, hands and size to better most and will play a crucial supporting role to the Storm’s ageing big three.

The youngster to watch: Jordan McLean didn’t get the chance to kick on last year after playing a role in the unfortunate Alex McKinnon tackle. Hopefully, this year the kid can deliver on his tremendous promise without the added scrutiny.

The odds: $13.00

Last Year: Sixth (elimination finalist)

This Year: Some punters will have you believe the Storm will miss the eight this year, and it is a possibility given they still haven’t found a way to cope during the origin period.  They have recruited nicely but still probably miss someone in the 6 jumper that will deliver them a trophy. 6th – 8th again this year.

Newcastle Knights

Ins: Jack Stockwell (Dragons), Tariq Sims (Cowboys), Carlos Tuimavave (Warriors), Sam Mataora (Raiders)

Outs: Darius Boyd (Broncos), Willie Mason (Sea Eagles), Adam Cuthbertson (Leeds), Travis Waddell (Broncos), Michael Dobson (Salford), Josh Mantellato (Hull KR), Zane Tetevano (Sea Eagles), Brayden Wiliame (Sea Eagles), Timana Tahu (retired)

The player to watch: Joseph Leilua has apparently slacked off over the summer and might not even feature in the opening round against the Storm.  That’s a shame because in last year’s Four Nations he was impossible to stop, and one of the stars of the tournament.  He’s still our player to watch because, the Knight’s lack others, and he’ll get on the park at some stage.

The youngster to watch: Sione Mata’utia is officially the youngest player to have ever played a test match for Australia.  He broke Israel Folau’s record when he debuted against England last year, and is destined to break even more records in 2015 – perhaps an NRL try-scoring record.  Keep an eye out.

The odds: $31.00

Last Year: 12th

This Year: We expect them to finish around 11th.  Rick Stone has his work cut out this year.

New Zealand Warriors

Ins: Ryan Hoffman (Storm), Matt Allwood (Raiders), Bodene Thompson (Tigers), Jonathan Wright (Sharks), Api Pewhairangi (Eels)

Outs: Feleti Mateo (Sea Eagles), Carlos Tuimavave (Knights), Jayson Bukuya (Sharks), Abraham Papalii (Roosters), Adam Tuimavave-Gerrard (Dragons), Dane Nielsen (Dragons), Sam Lousi (Waratahs)

The player to watch: The Mt Smart faithful will be hoping there’s plenty of running in Ryan Hoffman’s legs after the Warriors were the only club to offer the Melbourne veteran a three year deal.  The Warriors have a history of recruiting senior Australian players who do big things for them and this could be another example.  Will add seniority and defensive surety to an already promising squad.

The youngster to watch: His man bun might not be as impressive as some of the others that are set to take the NRL by storm this year, but his game is.  Solomone Kata was a revelation at the NRL Nines, and after injuries to Glen Fisiiahi and David Fusitu’a, Kata will make his debut on the wing, and get to show off his ridiculous wheels (and man bun).

The odds: $17.00

Last Year: Ninth

This Year: Will be surprised if they don’t finish in the top 8.  Possibly around 6th or 7th.  Sam Tomkins will be better in his second year and Hoffman’s addition will help ease the leadership tension on Simon Mannering.

North Queensland Cowboys

Ins: Ben Hannant (Broncos), Jake Granville (Broncos), Kelepi Tanginoa (Eels), Ben Spina (Pride), Justin O’Neill (Storm)

Outs: Tariq Sims (Knights), Ashton Sims (Warrington), Curtis Rona (Bulldogs), Brent Tate (retired)

The player to watch: Jason Taumalolo turned his back on a huge Warriors payday last week to stick with the Cowboys for a further three years.  His loyalty is another fantastic trait to go with his size, feet, and offloading abilities that make him so dynamic in the NRL.  He’ll flourish this year in his preferred middle of the park role.

The youngster to watch: Michael Morgan’s move to partner Jonathan Thurston in the halves has been met with widespread approval from NRL experts.  After a breakout year in 2014, Morgan’s star looks set to rise again with more time on the ball.

The odds: $9.00

Last Year: Fifth (semifinalist)

This Year: This could be the year that the Cowboys go all the way – depending on the refereeing standard in the playoffs of course.  Will finish in the top 3.

Parramatta Eels

Ins: Anthony Watmough (Sea Eagles), Brad Takairangi (Titans), Reece Robinson (Raiders), Beau Champion (Rabbitohs), Cody Nelson (Titans), Ben Crooks (Hull)

Outs: Jarryd Hayne (NFL), Api Pewhairangi (Warriors), Willie Tonga (Catalans), Mitchell Allgood (Hull KR), Kelepi Tanginoa (Cowboys), Lee Mossop (Wigan), Liam Foran (London), Fuifui Moimoi (Leigh)

The player to watch: Jarryd Hayne is irreplaceable we get that.  However, Will Hopoate is a damn fine footballer in his own right.  He looked a little off the place early in his first season back last year, but should be better for the experience of regular footy (and origin footy), and he’ll be more comfortable in the fullback jersey in 2015.

The youngster to watch: The two rugby [league] players that people often compare 19-year-old Tepai Moeroa to are Sonny Bill Williams and Nathan Hindmarsh, which showcases the high regard many hold him in.  The former rugby player is a tackling machine, and the Eels environment has already proven conducive to breeding quality forwards.  He’s in our fantasy team.

The odds: $41.00

Last Year: 10th

This Year: Losing a Dally M Medal winners leaves a massive void in a squad, but it also frees up some salary cap to sign the like of Anthony Watmough and Kieran Foran.  Even with the addition of Watmough we think the Eels will struggle to 12th / 13th this year.

Penrith Panthers

Ins: Apisai Koroisau (Rabbitohs), Tupou Sopoaga (Sharks)

Outs: Kierran Moseley (Titans), Eto Nabuli (Dragons), Tim Grant (Rabbitohs), Kevin Naiqama (Tigers), Wes Naiqama (London), Matt Robinson (Titans), Ryan Simpkins (Titans), Kevin Kingston (retired)

The player to watch: James Segeyaro’s arrival as an 80-minute hooker was both high quality and unexpected.  For someone that made his bread and butter with cameo appearances, the young hooker surprised many by taking his game to the next level at the end of last year.  He’ll be crucial this year too – but he’ll have live wire South’s recruit Apisai Koroisau to keep him company.

The youngster to watch: Matt Moylan’s probably not considered young by NRL standards anymore, especially now that he has a couple of seasons up his sleeve.  He’s still incredible however.  Moylan knows exactly when to inject himself into the backline and it’s that nous that will serve the Panthers well this year.

The odds: $10.00

Last Year: Fourth (elimination finalist)

This Year: Ivan Clearly and Phil Gould have transformed this team from overrated individuals to accomplished title contenders.  They’ll go close this year again and should finish in the top 5.

St George Illawarra Dragons 

Ins: Dane Nielsen (Warriors), Eto Nabuli (Panthers), Kris Keating (Hull KR), George Rose (Storm), Beau Henry (Titans), Heath L’Estrange (Roosters), Adam Tuimavave-Gerrard (Warriors)

Outs: Brett Morris (Bulldogs), Kyle Stanley (Sharks), Jack Stockwell (Knights), Sam Williams (Raiders), Jack Bird (Sharks), Matt Groat (Salford Red Devils), Gerard Beale (Sharks), Michael Witt (Dragons)

The player to watch: On paper Josh Dugan is the Dragons best player (sorry Gareth and Trent).  Whether he’s mucking in at centre or sparking from fullback, Dugan is origin quality, and if he stays injury free will have a big impact for the Dragons in 2015.

The youngster to watch: Eto Nabuli looks to be the buy of the season if NRL Nines form is anything go by.  Nabuli stole the show in Auckland and will almost certainly get a start in week one.  Euan Aitken is pretty handy too.

The odds: $41.00

Last Year: 11th

This Year: Still finding their feet under Paul McGregor (as is Benji Marshall).  Therefore, likely to finish around 14th.

Sydney Roosters

Ins: Blake Ferguson, Martin Kennedy (Broncos), Lagi Setu (Raiders), Abraham Papalii (Warriors), Matt McIlwrick (Raiders)

Outs: Sonny Bill Williams (Chiefs), Frank-Paul Nu’uausala (Raiders), Tautau Moga (Cowboys), Remi Casty (Catalans), Heath L’Estrange (Dragons), Curtis Naughton (Hull), Saulala Houma (Sharks), Anthony Minichiello (Roosters)

The player to watch: Blake Ferguson is no stranger to the headlines.  We’re predicting a return to the headlines for the right reasons this year with devastating attacking play.  Keep him off the booze and the Roosters will go well.

The youngster to watch: Jackson Hastings is a former Australian Schoolboys representative who predominantly plays in the halves or at hooker.  With Jake Friend out for the first 6 weeks, Hastings should get his chance from the interchange bench.

The odds: $6.00

Last Year: First (preliminary finalist)

This Year: Too many big names to not feature in the finals series.  Sonny Bill is not too big a loss when you have Aidan Guerra and Boyd Cordner to pick up the slack.  Top 4 again this year.

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Ins: Glenn Stewart (Sea Eagles), Tim Grant (Panthers), Cody Walker (Storm), Sione Masima (Sharks), Daryl Millard (Catalans)

Outs: Sam Burgess (Bath), Ben Te’o (Leinster), Beau Champion (Eels), Apisai Koroisau (Panthers)

The player to watch: Dylan Walker’s form last year was rewarded with a representative jersey, and there’s no doubt he’ll be better for the experience.  Looked in ominous form in the World Club Challenge against St Helens recently.

The youngster to watch: Chris Grevsmuhl’s second year with the Rabbitoh’s top grade side is expected to bring better things than his first.  A knee reconstruction prevented him from taking any part last year, but he should be on the interchange for round 1 against the Broncos.  Rightly so.

The odds: $5.00

Last Year: Third (winners)

This Year: Sam Burgess leaves a big hole, but George Burgess, Issac Luke and Greg Inglis are still around to shoulder the burden of being current NRL and NRL Nines champions.  They’ll finish in the top 4 again this year and will go close to defending.

Wests Tigers

Ins: Kevin Naiqama (Panthers), Josh Drinkwater (London)

Outs: Adam Blair (Broncos), Blake Austin (Raiders), Braith Anasta (retired), James Gavet (Broncos), Bodene Thompson (Warriors), Jy Hitchcox (Featherstone)

The player to watch: If James Tedesco can stay on the park for longer than 80 minutes he’s our player to watch.  If not, it’s probably Aaron Woods.  Fullbacks make more interesting players to watch than props though, so we’ll stick with Tedesco.

The youngster to watch: Matthew Lodge isn’t that likeable.  He was sanctioned for writing a c-bomd on his wrist strapping in the Under 20’s last year and was arrested as recently as 11 January.  Nonetheless, he’s supposedly a decent player – so look out.

The odds: $41.00

Last Year: 13th

This Year: The Tigers have some handy players, and will cause many an upset in 2015.  Just not enough to feature in the playoffs.  10th for Farah’s men.

Rugby League: NRL Nines Preview

The Auckland NRL Nines is an extravaganza of sun, fun and booze (the stadium stopped serving alcohol last year on account of “the entire stadium being drunk”).  The 2015 edition is set to be another action packed showcase featuring all 16 NRL teams. Check out preview of each of those sides below with odds courtesy of BetEasy:

Brisbane Broncos

The squad: Andrew McCullough (captain), Ajuma Adams, Elijah Alick, Joe Boyce, Greg Eden, James Gavet, Alex Glenn, Todd Lowrie, Lachlan Maranta, Anthony Milford, Francis Molo, Darren Nicholls, Jayden Nikorima, Kodi Nikorima, Joe Ofahengaue, Tom Opacic, Matt Parcell, Aaron Whitchurch.

The player to watch: Andrew McCullough made the tournament team last year after a host of quality performances that saw his team through to the final.  The 80-minute NRL player can easily go the distance in the shorter format, and in 2014 showed an improvement in his running game that makes him ideally suited to this format.

The odds: $17.00

Last Year: Beaten Finalists

This Year: Should go well again this year with Milford, Kodi Nikorima and other speedsters.  Top four finish achievable.

Canterbury Bulldogs

The squad: Tim Browne, Damien Cook, Levi Dodd, Adam Elliott, Herman Ese’ese, Antonio Kaufusi, Shaun Lane, Michael Lichaa, Moses Mbye, Josh Morris, Sam Perrett, Lloyd Perrett, Tyrone Phillips, Frank Pritchard, Curtis Rona, Corey Thompson, Aiden Tolman, Tony Williams.

The player to watch: Josh Morris is the name that stands out in a squad of useful but vulnerable players.  We expect the NRL Nines first timer to use his pace to stamp his mark on the Auckland event.  The squad also features the exciting Sharks recruit Michael Lichaa.

The odds: $19.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: Like last year, the Bulldogs are light on superstars, but they have bolstered their squad with the likes of Tolman, Pritchard and Williams, who should bolster the defence that leaked 46 points in a difficult pool last year.  Group stages again.

Canberra Raiders

The squad: Sam Williams, Mitch Cornish, Jarrod Croker (c), Lachlan Croker, Sisa Waqa, Joel Edwards, Josh McCrone, Rhys Kennedy, Glen Buttriss, Brenko Lee, Bill Tupou, Jack Ahearn, Luke Bateman, Haydon Hodge, Mark Nicholls, Kyle O’Donnell, Tevita Pangai Jnr, Ken Nagas

The player to watch: Sisa Waqa was often seen running in tries for Melbourne during most weeks of the NRL season, and despite his new colours of the Canberra green machine we expect him to do the same this weekend.  Also of note, 41-year old Ken Nagas plays the Brad Fittler role of old NRL Nines veteran.

The odds: $34.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: Will probably struggle. Aside from Brenko Lee, not enough x-factor to trouble the stronger sides.  Resigned to the group stages again.

Cronulla Sharks 

The squad: Valentine Holmes, Sosaia Feki, Gerard Beale, Ricky Leutele, Jack Bird, Nu Brown, Kyle Stanley, Sam Tagataese, Pat Politoni, Tinirau Arona, Matt Prior, Chris Heighington, Blake Ayshford, Nathan Gardner, Todd Murphy, Sami Sauiluma, Junior Roqica.

The player to watch: Valentine Holmes was a revelation at the end of last season amongst the Sharks’ peptide debacle.  After being named in the Holden Cup team of the year big things are expected of the winger.  We’re picking him to be one of the NRL Nines best.

The odds: $12.00

Last Year: Semi-Finals

This Year: Could do well again, but as teams have more experience in the format and improved their squads, the Sharks could be one of the teams that go backwards.  Quarter-Finals.

Gold Coast Titans

The squad: Will Zillman, James Roberts, Anthony Don, David Mead, Josh Hoffman, Brad Tighe, Kalifa Faifai Loa, Aidan Sezer, Daniel Mortimer, Christian Hazard, Kierran Moseley, Ryan James, Mark Ioane, Luke Douglas, Lachlan Burr, Davin Crampton, Dave Taylor, Matt Robinson.

The player to watch: The post season addition of Josh Hoffman is a massive coup for the traditionally disappointing Titans.  Hoffman is a test quality outside back that will do very well in this format surrounded by the likes of Zillman, Mead, Sezer, Mortimer, and Taylor.

The odds: $11.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: The Titans certainly have a strong side, even if it is made up of similar players to last year.  Just two wins gets you to the Quarter-Finals, and we’re backing the Titans for one.  Group Stage.

Manly Sea Eagles

The squad: Daly Cherry-Evans (c), Manaia Rudolph, Jayden Hodges, Brayden Wiliame, Tony Satini, Kieran Foran, Clinton Gutherson, Tom Trbojevic, Peta Hiku, Tom Symonds, Cheyse Blair, James Hasson, Feleti Mateo, Jesse Sene-Lefao, Josh Starling, Michael Chee Kam, Blake Leary, Dunamis Lui.

The player to watch: Daly Cherry-Evans has played test football in the forwards and in the backs.  He’s versatile and this year has his mate Kieran Foran playing alongside of him.  Opening up space for Gutherson and Hiku to finish off the plays.  The Sea Eagles has an abundance of depth with Mateo the third ball playing option.

The odds: $13.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: Despite beating the tournament winners – North Queensland Cowboys – the Sea Eagles couldn’t make the Quarter Finals.  We think they will this year though.  Semi-Finals too.  The bookies like the look of the team as shown by the halving of their odds once the squad was released.

Melbourne Storm

The squad: Young Tonumaipea, Kenny Bromwich, Will Chambers (c), Kurt Mann, Richie Kennar, Dayne Weston, Cameron Munster, Hymel Hunt, Tim Glasby, Marika Koroibete, Travis Robinson, Christian Welch, Ben Hampton, Billy Brittain, Francis Tualau, Nelson Asofa-Solomona, Suliasi Vunivalu, Shaun Nona.

The player(s) to watch: Cameron Munster and Kurt Mann both got their opportunity last year during the notoriously difficult origin period, and both made impacts much larger than their diminutive frames.  The small players go well in this format and these two will be particularly elusive.

The odds: $26.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: Melbourne don’t tend to worry too much about the nines.  None of the big three are available.  No decent NRL Nines history.  No chance.  Group Stage.

Newcastle Knights

The squad: Sione Mata’utia, Jake Mamo, Dane Gagai, Chanel Mata’utia, Carlos Tuimavave, Jarrod Mullen (c), Tyrone Roberts, Pat Mata’utia, Adam Clydsdale, Paterika Vaivai, Tyler Randell, Chris Houston, Robbie Rochow, Nathan Ross, Korbin Sims, Joseph Tapine, Jack Stockwell, Danny Levi.

The player to watch: Sione Mata’utia is an 18-year old of immense promise.  The youngster has already tasted test football with the Kangaroos during the Four Nations last year, and displayed so many characteristics that are shared with quality sevens and nines players.  With his brothers also a part of the squad Mata’utia will be a key component of the Knights finals march.

The odds: $11.00

Last Year: Quarter-Finals

This Year: The Knights are second favourites; partly because of the brothers and partly because of a number of repeat performers who made a decent fist of it last year in making the quarters.  Quarters to Semis this year again.

New Zealand Warriors

The squad: Shaun Johnson (c), Matthew Allwood, Nathan Friend, Ben Henry, Ryan Hoffman, Solomone Kata, Ngani Laumape, Sam Lisone, Tuimoala Lolohea, Sione Lousi, Suaia Matagi, Ben Matulino, Ken Maumalo, Nathaniel Roache, Bodene Thompson, Sam Tomkins, Chad Townsend, Manu Vatuvei.

The player to watch: Last years player of the tournament, Shaun Johnson, was incredibly disappointed not to deliver Auckland an NRL Nines title last year.  He gets a chance this year to atone and has included some of the Warriors best to help him do so.  New recruits Allwood, Wright, Thompson and Hoffman join last years team of the tournament inductee Suaia Matagi to help Johnson live up to their overwhelming favourites tag.

The odds: $3.75

Last Year: Semi-Finals

This Year: Were unfortunately held scoreless in last years semi against the Cowboys, but won’t have any problem scoring points this year with Tomkins and Johnson.  They will be finalists and should take it out.

North Queensland Cowboys

The squad: Michael Morgan, Justin O’Neill, Tautau Moga, Kyle Feldt, Matthew Wright, Ray Thompson, Robert Lui, John Asiata, Rory Kostjasyn, Kelepi Tanginoa, Gavin Cooper (c), Ethan Lowe, Jason Taumalolo, Jake Granville, Zac Santo, Coen Hess, Javid Bowen, Ben Spina.

The player to watch: Kyle Feldt was the breakout star of last years tournament and the joint top scorer. He’s also part of a strong Cowboys team that is led by Gavin Cooper who made the tournament team in 2014.  In Jonathan Thurston’s absence, Feldt provides the x-factor and is one to watch.

The odds: $12.00

Last Year: Champions

This Year: We don’t think they have the side to go back to back, but could sneak by some better teams that take them lightly.

Parramatta Eels

The squad: Wil Hopoate, Semi Radradra, John Folau, Brad Takairangi, Reece Robinson, Corey Norman, Chris Sandow (c), Junior Paulo, Kaysa Pritchard, Peni Terepo, Manu Ma’u, Tepai Moeroa, Joseph Paulo, David Gower, Kenny Edwards, Halauafu Lavaka, Pauli Pauli, Luke Kelly

The player to watch: Manu Ma’u has gone from a New Zealand prison to a Rugby League superstar thanks to his breakout season last year for the Eels.  Although he broke his arm late in the NRL season, he was still one of the finds of the competition.  He’ll be hoping to pick up where he left off last year (in the 13 man code).

The odds: $13.00

Last Year: Quarter-Finals

This Year: The Eels have a useful little side – packed with experience, with enough flair to trouble some of the better sides.  They’ll make the quarters and could push the Semis too.

Penrith Panthers

The squad: Brendan Attwood, Christian Crichton, Joshua Jay, Isaac John, Apisai Koroisau, Kieran Moss, Andy Aunders, Nathan Smith, Tupou Sopoaga, Reagan Campbell-Gillard, Adrian Davis, George Jennings, Kevin Kingston, Sika Manu, Ben Murdoch-Masila, Chris Smith, Will Smith, Isaah Yeo.

The player to watch: Tupou Sopoaga is a great acquisition for the Panthers, moving from the Sharks after some eye-opening performances in 16 games last season.  Sopoaga runs hard and works hard, meaning the pace of the NRL Nines won’t be too much for him to handle.

The odds: $15.00

Last Year: Quarter-Finals

This Year: The Panthers odds have gone a bit from early projections.  The squad doesn’t install confidence, and in all honesty, includes the most names we had to research as we didn’t know who they were.  Only Group Stages for the Sydney boys.

St George Illawarra Dragons 

The squad: Euan Aitken, Mike Cooper, Shannon Crook, Josh Dugan, Tyson Frizell, Craig Garvey, Nathan Green, Yaw Kiti Glymin, Beau Henry, Dan Hunt, Benji Marshall (c), Peter Mata’utia, Will Matthews, Eto Nabuli, Jason Nightingale, Adam Quinlan, Joel Thompson, Shannon Wakeman.

The player to watch: Benji Marshall has trimmed the fat (literally) after a failed rugby stint and just about discovered some of his best form at the end of the NRL season.  He’ll undoubtedly want to make a point at Eden Park – the home of his rugby career with the Blues.

The odds: $21.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: Will improve from last years effort. Quarter Finals for sure and then anything goes.  Look for fine individual efforts from Dugan, Frizzle, Thompson and Marshall to win them games.  Adam Quinlan might be scratched from this line-up as he has just agreed in principle to an Eels switch.

Sydney Roosters

The squad: Mitchell Aubusson, Brendan Elliot, Kane Evans, Jackson Hastings, Samisoni Langi, Nene Macdonald, James Maloney, Willie Manu, Sam Moa, Taane Milne, Dylan Napa, Mitchell Pearce (c), Lagi Setu, Nathan Stapleton, Siosiua Taukeiaho, Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, Jared Waerea-Hargreaves (c), Mitchell Williams.

The player to watch: If there has ever been a player born to play NRL Nines it’s Roger Tuivasa-Sheck.  Graceful feet, impeccable balance and a brutal turn of speed are the attributes that make him such a dynamic threat in the open field carnival.

The odds: $12.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: Aside from the wonder kid, there will also be interest in Brendan Elliot a Holden Cup tournament team inclusion.  Interest is also coming from the bookies, they have slashed the Roosters odds from $26.00 to $12.00.

South Sydney Rabbitohs

The squad: Joel Reddy, Bryson Goodwin, Dylan Walker, Matt King, Chris McQueen, Issac Luke (c), Adam Reynolds, George Burgess, Angus Crichton, Ben Lowe, Jason Clark, Tom Hughes, David Tyrrell, Aaron Gray, Kyle Turner, Cameron McInnes, Chris Grevsmuhl, Setefano Taukafa.

The player to watch: Dylan Walker made the NRL Nines team of the tournament, then he won a Grand Final and then he made the Australian team.  It was a great year for him.  2015 could be equally as impressive with a win at the Nines and if the Rabbitohs are to have a chance he’ll be at the forefront of the action.

The odds: $15.00

Last Year: Quarter-Finals

This Year: The team has an interesting mix of experience and youth, and could compete better than they did last year, where they lost to the Warriors by one point in the Quarters.  Back them to go even better this year.

Wests Tigers

The squad: Sitaleki Akauola, Nathan Brown, Jack Buchanan, Manaia Cherrington, Josh Drinkwater, Asipeli Fine, Salesi Funaki, Delouise Hoeter, Chris Lawrence (c), Lamar Liolevave, Kyle Lovett, Joel Luani, Kevin Naiqama, Pat Richards, Brenden Santi, Ava Seumanufagai, Tim Simona, Sauaso Sue.

The player to watch: Josh Drinkwater left the NRL having not achieved too much game time.  Thus a stint in London Broncos is exactly what the doctor ordered.  Drinkwater racked up 136 points in his 25 appearances and now with the Tigers is expected to push on from junior footy promise and get that game time.

The odds: $26.00

Last Year: Group Stage (1 win)

This Year: No surprises the Tigers are rank outsiders.  The side looks weak on paper, which isn’t always the defining indicator, but it is influencing our decision to mark them as Groupies only.

 

Kiwi’s Claim Four Nations Title in Thriller

A sodden and windy ‘Cake Tin’ was the venue on Saturday night for a thrilling match completely befitting of the high quality Four Nations tournament where the Kiwi’s were the worthy winners, withstanding a late kangaroos onslaught to win 22-18.

The Kiwi’s led by an impressive display by their forward pack, and in particular Simon Mannering and Mattin Taupau, were well on their way to their first consecutive over Australia in 61 years when Mani Vatuvei crossed to give them a ten point lead with twenty minutes to play.

But as is their want the Australians never went away. An incredible team try finished off by Ben Hunt saw them close the gap to jut six points and when they had a full as of six inside the opposition twenty, heart break seem entirely possible.

As it was, referee Paul Bentham spotted a forward pass in a play that rule out a Sione Mata’utia equalizer, and the Kiwis escaped.

However, it was all the Kiwi’s deserved given they were the better side throughout the Four Nations finale.  Showing rare poise the Kiwi’s have potentially ushered in a new area of increased competitiveness against the traditionally superior Kangaroos.  The young side will undoubtedly take tremendous heart and belief from the four week series where the roles of Pita Hiku, Dean Whare, and Shaun Johnson have become more defined.

The result was not always inevitable, especially after Australia made the faster start.  Benefitting from two early penalties the visitors heaped pressure on the NZ goal line and that told when Whare and Johnson collided and failed to defuse a fairly innocuous bomb to allow Michael Jennings to score.  As the penalty count evened up, Shaun Kenny-Dowall was able to find open space and put the wheels in motion for NZ’s first try through  Jason Nightingale.  When Vatuvei scored his first try by isolating young winger Mata’utia the Kiwis ran out to an impressive half time advantage and finished strongly to nullify the shaky start.

Despite anxious moments at the beginning and end of the second half Shaun Johnson glorious solo effort was enough to crown the Kiwi’s Four Nations champions for the second time.  The memory of Johnson’s blistering speed and skinning of Greg Inglis will long live in the memory of Kiwi fans as they cling to a new hope of a golden era of New Zealand Rugby Leaue spearheaded by Johnson and Kieran Foran.

Observations

  • Australia missed Jonathan Turston enormously in this Four Nations tournament.  Cooper Cronk’s frailties were brought to fore, and the entire squad lacked Thurston’s spark and creativity, not to mention his extreme desire to win.

 

  • Jason Taumalolo deserves all the hype.  The fleet footed forward is the real deal; a destructive metre eater who last night added some cute offloads to his game.  Steven Kearney will do well to focus the Kiwi’s future game plans around him, Jesse Bromwich, and Taupau.

 

  • Australia will bounce back strongly.  Giving 11 debutants from a squad of 24 a taste of Four Nations rugby league was never going to be easy.  Ultimately, it proved too tricky for Tim Sheens, but the depth that has now been built in the wider squad will hold the team in good stead for the 2017 World Cup.

 

  • The one referee concept made a mockery of the 10m offside line.  Despite allowing a focus on decision making consistency the system didn’t necessarily settle the debate on whether the NRL should move back to one ref.