International Cricket Preview – NZ v South Africa

New Zealand and South Africa begin their 2015 Cricket World Cup preparations today in an unusually scheduled October three match series kicking off at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui.  Winter has only just finished in New Zealand, and the nations favourite sporting team (the All Blacks) are still commanding most of the media coverage on the back of a narrow weekend victory and an end of season tour squad announcement.  That has allowed South Africa to sneak into the country, and the Black Caps to prepare for the series without too much fuss.  In fact to be even talking about cricket in New Zealand during October is unheard of; there has never been an international cricket match played in New Zealand in October.

The players could command some headline space with some series heroics, however, most will be using the series to press their claims for inclusion in their sides’ World Cup squads.  Fine tuning combinations, testing new game plans and managing workloads / injuries will be the norm in the series.  The combination of small New Zealand grounds and the fact that 350 scores will win the World Cup (not 280) should see some decent scores in the series if weather does not intervene.

New Zealand 

1 Jimmy Neesham, 2 Martin Guptill, 3 Dean Brownlie, 4 Brendon McCullum (capt), 5 Tom Latham, 6 Corey Anderson, 7 Luke Ronchi (wk), 8 Daniel Vettori, 9 Kyle Mills, 10 Mitchell McClenaghan, 11 Trent Boult/Matt Henry

New Zealand’s probable line-up features a number of talking points.  Injuries to Ross Taylor, Kane Williamson, and Tim Southee mean plenty of opportunities for fringe squad members to prove their wares.  All-rounder Jimmy Neesham will get the chance to open although it doesn’t appear to be a baptism of fire rather than an opportunity to savour.  Facing Steyn, Morkel and Philander on an October pitch seems scary.  Middle order novices Dean Brownlie and Tom Latham come in to the middle order basting of decent winter form.  With Taylor, Williamson, and potentially wild child Jessie Ryder to return, the pair appear to be fighting for a batting back up spot only.  Daniel Vettori also returns; he’ll bowl his ten overs for very few runs and generally labour around the outfield.

South Africa

1 Hashim Amla, 2 Quinton de Kock (wk), 3 Faf du Plessis, 4 AB de Villiers (capt), 5 JP Duminy, 6 David Miller, 7 Ryan McLaren, 8 Vernon Philander, 9 Dale Steyn, 10 Morne Morkel, 11 Imran Tahir

On paper the South African squad is Beyonce flawless.  The squad is well settled; they have no injury concerns.  The team also enter the series in a rich vein of form having toppled Australia (and Zimbabwe) in a recent ti-series.  A couple of question marks remain about their soft middle order of Duminy, Miller and McLaren, but those three are only required if du Pleases, de Villiers and Amla miss out (which is incredibly rare).

Predictions 

Win Match 1 – New Zealand – $2.68 – Topbetta (NZ are a strong ODI side at home, worth a punt)

Most Runs SA – Faf du Plessis – $4.50 – Tom Waterhouse (Faf du Plessis’ last nine international innings include three centuries, two nineties, and two fifties)

Most Runs NZ – Dean Brownlie – $6 – Tom Waterhouse (In dominant form for NZA recently. A quality back foot player, which will help against Morkel, Steyn.  Test century against SA.  Other NZ’ers without much cricket recently)

Most 6’s – South Africa – $2.10 – Unibet (Nothing in the odds, but aside from McCullum and Anderson they don’t hit sixes.  de Villiers, Miller and de Kock will).

 

2014 Champions League Twenty20 Catch Up and Predictions

Diehard cricket fans would not have been as slow off the mark as I have been, and have undoubtedly be watching the early stages of the Champions League Twenty20 competition with interest.

The 2014 Champions League Twenty20 is the sixth edition of Champions League Twenty20. Despite a couple of editions being played in South Africa, this year’s spectacle is being held in India. The tournament features domestic Twenty20 teams from Australia, India, New Zealand, Pakistan, South Africa, Sri Lanka and the West Indies.

After a three match qualifying process, New Zealand’s Northern Knights and Pakistan’s Lahore Lions joined three IPL teams, two BBL teams, two Standard Bank Twenty20 teams, and the Barbados Tridents (CPL).

Although the teams play for a huge cash pool, the tournament has generally failed to attract widespread attention. However, the 2014 Champions League Twenty20 event has featured some massive performances that warrant critical acclaim. Here’s the catch-up from the first few games:

  1. Kane Williamson – Williamson hit the fastest Champions League Twenty20 hundred. Off just 48 balls against the Cape Cobras (an attack which featured a host of past and present South African bowlers). Williamson is not known for his big hitting which makes the feat even more impressive – as is his latest decision to try bowling left handed (he chucks it with his right).
  1. Sunil Narine – Narine is essentially unplayable in Twenty20 cricket. This held true against the Lahore Lions. He enjoyed figures of 4-1-9-3. His first game against Chennai wasn’t bad either (4-0-9-1).
  1. Cameron Delport – Short but sweet. The Dolphins player smashed 34 off 9 including 7 boundaries and a broken bat against the Chennai Super Kings.
  1. Other mentions – Mitchell Marsh carting the last two balls off the game for six to help the Perth Scorchers win their first game. Suresh Raina scored 90 off 43 balls (CSK scored 242 off their 20 overs in this one). Andre Russell and Aiden Blizzard scored big runs too.

Predictions

Indian or Australian teams have only ever won the tournament and that looks set to continue again in the 2014 Champions League Twenty20. Yet, this year the Australian teams do not appear overly appealing. I’m picking an IPL team. They simply play so much Twenty20 cricket compared to the other nations and are familiar with the conditions and venues. Here are some other predictions courtesy of Betfair.

Top Run Scorer – Kane Williamson is already way ahead thanks to his qualifying form. However, there is no guarantee his Knights team will make the playoffs. Suresh Raina looks good but is only paying 2.64. I prefer Glenn Maxwell at 7.4 or Robin Uthappa at 10.

Top Wicket Taker – I can’t go past Tim Southee here paying 14. He already has 7 wickets in the tournament (again I didn’t check the specific rules of the qualifying tournament so be careful with these options depending on the bookmaker from our list to the left you choose). Back to Southee. He’s proven in Indian conditions and is likely to benefit from cheap wickets when bowling at the death. Worth the punt even if the Knights get eliminated.

Winner – There’s not great money on any of the Indian teams. Nevertheless if I was abetting man my money would go to Chennai just ahead of Kings XI Punjab.   Quick tip – If your going to pick one of these as the eventual winner, you may as well have them winning each head to head game and the final in a multi too.

Can David Warner be Australia’s wild card this summer?

Not content with a foul mouthed online tirade via Twitter with Australian journalists, Australia’s David Warner turned his attention to England’s Joe Root in a drunken late night attack more reminiscent of the spoilt behaviour the public have become accustomed to seeing from overpaid footballers. From becoming a potential future captain of Australia Warner now finds himself firmly starring at an extended break this summer and watching the Ashes from the comfort of his sofa, rather than being in the heat of the battle.

Australia will do well not to push the panic button just yet – anyone who has seen Warner’s test hundreds against South Africa and India will know that despite a modest test average of 39 from 19 games, Warner’s strike rate of just under 70 in test matches suggests he can transform a passage of play, a match and indeed a series in the space of a couple of hours.

Australia have picked a squad with potentially five players vying for the two opening spots, but the alternatives do not provide the same x-factor as Warner – Ed Cowan is solid but unspectacular, Shane Watson ego-driven and inconsistent, Phil Hughes a sitting duck for England’s seam attack, and Chris Rodgers only proven at domestic level and no higher. Warner’s refreshing approach to batting is exactly what Australia need if they are to come out on top against England’s potent bowling attack, who although are an impressive unit, are definitely vulnerable when the attack is taken to them. Even West Indies’ Tino Best became close to becoming the first number 11 in test match history to score a century with an audacious display of strokeplay against England.

Australia’s past two defeats in the Ashes have primarily come from being too timid and backing down, surely they need an in your face character like Warner to carry the fight (not literally) to England this summer?