Category: Horse Racing Tips

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Royal Ascot Tuesday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Royal Ascot kicks off on Tuesday and it will be interesting to see how it competes with the World Cup in Brazil. It will certainly lose some valuable column inches and I think Channel 4’s viewing figures will be down but none of that concerns the true racing fan.

The highlight of day 1 is undoubtedly the clash between Irish 2000 Guineas winner Kingman and his Newmarket conqueror Night Of Thunder. After Kingman’s effortless Newbury win in the Greenham I fully expected to collect on my 16-1 ante-post tip but 40-1 shot Night Of Thunder came to the bookies rescue.

With the benefit of hindsight, Night Of Thunder ran a perfectly good trial at Newbury but was no match for Kingman. He should not have been 40-1 but I have to favour Kingman to gain his revenge on Tuesday. Much has been made of the draw on Guineas day being a factor but Night Of Thunder did hang badly in the closing stages but still got up to win.

Tactics will play a part but there is only a small field and I’m guessing that Toormore will be allowed to dictate the pace with Kingman and Night Of Thunder held up behind. It should be a great race but Kingman can establish himself as the best miler of his generation.

Last year, Dawn Approach appeared to have done exactly that when holding off Toronado in the same race. Toronado finally got the better of him at Goodwood in the Sussex Stakes before flopping over a mile and a quarter at York. He reappears here and is the class horse in an otherwise modest renewal. He has not raced for 300 days so even money does not offer great value but he should win if sharp enough.

War Command was a brilliant winner of the Coventry Stakes 12 months ago and I doubt very much whether anything will win as easily this year. Adaay looks a nice colt and beat a speedy type in Mind Of Madness at Yarmouth. My only worry is that he may be run off his legs a bit early on and you can get some funny results in big fields here. I’m going to have a saver on Godolphin’s Portamento. He was well beaten on his debut but was slowly away and put up a much better show at Goodwood. He slammed a subsequent winner with ease that day and 16-1 is too big to refuse.

I’m not a great fan of the sprints at this meeting but the King’s Stand looks top class tomorrow. Sole Power, Shea Shea and Pearl Secret are all entitled to respect but Hot Streak won with a little in hand at Haydock and could have the legs of them. Oisin Murphy rode him that day but Jamie Spencer is back on board and just gets the verdict in a very tight race.

Toronado 2.30 Royal Ascot at Evens Paddy Power

Adaay 3.05 Royal Ascot at 6-1 Boylesports

Portamento 3.05 Royal Ascot at 16-1 Totesport

Hot Streak 3.45 Royal Ascot at 9-2 Paddy Power

Kingman 4.25 Royal Ascot at 11-10 Bet Victor

York Saturday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Winners may be hard to find at York on Saturday with some typically competitive racing. It is hardly the sort of meeting you want to see when you are looking for some extra pounds for Royal Ascot!

The good news is that one winner will probably cover your day’s betting and Fury can give us a good run for our money in the 2.40. The grey has been gradually coming down the handicap and now appears to be on a more reasonable mark.

He last ran at the Epsom Derby meeting when noted making late progress behind Sir Michael Stoute’s Abseil. He is a previous winner of the Listed Hambleton Stakes at York and should have everything in his favour on Saturday. Frankie Dettori takes the ride and he looks a good bet at around 5-1.

The 3.15 is a tricky little contest in which a case can be made for Lockwood, Fencing or Guest Of Honour. Lockwood did not really hit form until late summer last year but didn’t run badly at Haydock first time out. He has yet to win over a mile but there seems no reason why he won’t get it. Kieren Fallon did not cover himself in glory with his Derby and Oaks rides but can drive this one home ahead of the frustrating Fencing.

The six-furlong three-year-old handicap is the feature race and I make no apologies for picking two in this race! Ironically they are drawn 1 and 2 so I hope they can bounce out quickly and hold a good position.

Betimes is the John Gosden runner and he must hold her in high regard to have run her in the 1000 Guineas first time out. She got impeded soon after the start and was always too buzzy thereafter, weakening out of contention. She dropped back to six furlongs at Haydock and was restrained before running on late to finish second to Aeolus.

The other one I like is Charles Molson who got no run at all in a similarly competitive sprint at Newmarket. He finished full of running in fifth place and you’d have to give him an each-way chance here. Henry Candy is a fine trainer of sprinters and Fergus Sweeney can take advantage of his low draw.

Fury 2.40 York at 5-1 Coral

Lockwood 3.15 York at 7-2 Paddy Power

Charles Molson 3.50 York at 9-1 Bet365

Betimes 3.50 York at 11-1 BetVictor

Sandown Saturday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Sandown’s Saturday card gets under way at 1.50 with a nine furlong handicap for three-year-olds. The one we want to be on here is Sir Michael Stoute’s Gothic who looked a little unlucky at Goodwood last time out.

Ryan Moore had him tucked in on the rail as they turned for home and, as often happens at Goodwood, he had difficulty getting a clear run. After switching out and then back again, Gothic flew home to finish only a length behind Solo Hunter. That was a big improvement on his first run of the season where he seemed to get bogged down here in the race won by Windshear.

His dam Riberac was a real battler and Gothic looks to have inherited those qualities. Hopefully Moore can give him a better sight of the front on this occasion. The most dangerous rival may be course winner Reedcutter who beat Cape Icon and the disappointing Provenance last time. He was always travelling comfortably in front and it is difficult to know how much he had to spare.

The one-mile handicap at 2.20 looks virtually impossible to call with several last-time-out winners. St Moritz appears to have been galvanised by a visor and has bolted up in his last two outings. The handicapper has taken a dim view of his most success by lumping him up 12lbs but it is worth mentioning that he is still 17lbs lower than his career best figure.

Richard Hannon’s Aertex is seeking a fourth win on the bounce in the 4.05 and looks well up to the task. She was given a fair bit to do by Richard Hughes at Newbury last time but came through strongly to beat Token Of Love. The form was boosted today by the fourth Cay Dancer, a stable companion of the winner.

The biggest threat could come from Captain Bob who looked set to score at Chester in May before hanging away from the rail in the home straight. Had he kept straight, he could possibly have held on and he now drops back a furlong in trip.

The maiden race at 4.40 looks packed full of promise with the Newbury race won by Second Step coming under the spotlight. Kings Fete (fourth), Fastnet Red (fifth) and Jonny Rae (sixth) all ran well that day but preference is for Sir Michael Stoute’s colt who was not touched with the whip and finished only a length down at the line.

Gothic 1.50 Sandown at 5-2 William Hill

St Moritz 2.20 Sandown at 7-1 BetBright

Aertex 4.05 Sandown at 9-4 Boylesports

Kings Fete 4.40 Sandown

 

 

 

York Friday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

John Gosden came to our rescue again on Thursday when Eastern Belle won the Listed race at Newbury. Unfortunately his runner in the handicap could not land the double but the early 7-2 was enough to keep our noses in front.

It is all about quantity rather than quality at York on Friday with the usual mixture of maiden races and wide open handicaps. Not surprisingly, the top yards are keeping their powder dry for Royal Ascot next week.

There are still some promising types on show in the mile and a quarter three-year-old handicap at 2.30 and preference is just for Richard Hannon’s Tabreek. The chestnut colt has only raced twice, following up his promising debut run at the Craven meeting with a victory at Newmarket the following month.

He was forced to battle hard to fend off the persistent challenge of Venezia by a neck but both look capable of winning their share of races. The early money has been for Luca Cumani’s Newmarket winner Connecticut who is an obvious threat while Arabian Comet is on a hat-trick after winning a couple of minor contests.

True Pleasure looks generously priced as she bids for a hat-trick in the 3.40 race. She is one of four last time out winners in the field and ought to be well exposed at the age of seven. However, I liked the style of her win at Catterick last time and she is worth a bet at double-figure odds.

The big danger is probably Dusky Queen who represents the Richard Fahey – Ryan Moore combination. She is already a course and distance winner although she had precious little to spare.

The pick of the action over at Sandown is the fillies handicap at 3.15 with Token Of Love expected to make up for her Newbury defeat. It was a messy race won by Aertex and she will not have been suited by the slow early pace. The field spread across the track when the pace quickened and she was doing all of her best work at the finish.

The danger here is the improving Ghinia who bolted up at Newmarket despite hanging away from the whip. The handicapper has put her up 8lbs and that may just be enough to give Token Of Love the edge.

Tabreek 2.30 York at 11-2 BetBright

True Pleasure 3.40 York at 11-1 Bet Victor, Coral

Token Of Love 3.15 Sandown 11-8 Stan James

Newbury Thursday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

With Royal Ascot less than a week away, horse racing finds itself facing an uphill struggle for column inches as the World Cup gets under way in Brazil. With the US Open also taking place this weekend, the build up to the Royal meeting is certainly going to be well down on recent years.

I think it has already had an impact because I have not even had an ante-post bet on the meeting! It does seem to be right on top of the Epsom Derby meeting this year and I would be very surprised if we see any classic runners pulled out again so quickly.

Newbury stages a more modest card on Thursday but there are some interesting contests and the all-conquering John Gosden team are out in force. The quality race on the card is the Lord Weinstock Memorial Stakes at 3.25 for three-year-old fillies.

Gosden’s Eastern Belle would probably not get within a bargepole of Taghrooda but has acquitted herself well at Newmarket and Goodwood and is the form choice. She easily holds Jordan Princess and Uchenna on her second to Marsh Daisy on the Sussex track. The proximity of Jordan Princess in the betting suggests that the Cumani team had an excuse for her poor effort last time. She was six lengths behind the Oaks winner in the Pretty Polly Stakes so must be considered the obvious threat.

Gosden then saddles The Third Man in the one mile handicap at 4.00. On the face of it, the grey colt has a tough task with 9st 7lb and only one race under his belt. That race resulted in a victory in a modest Lingfield maiden but he fairly rattled home that day and 75 seems a low estimate of his potential.

I don’t know why it has taken this long for Mr G to get him on the track but the fact that he is running in a handicap suggests he has a chance. Most of the opposition have far more experience and seem well exposed, the possible exception being Spirit Raiser. James Fanshawe is no mug and it will be interesting to see how the Hayley Turner-ridden filly gets on here.

The handicap at 4.30 looks tricky but I liked the run of Suitsus at Salisbury last time and he is worth a bet at around 6-1. Steve Drowne tucked him just behind the pace that day and he looked like challenging the winner Iseemist until lack of fitness told.

Eastern Belle 3.25 Newbury at 7-2 BetVictor

The Third Man 4.00 Newbury at 2-1 Paddy Power

Suitsus 4.30 Newbury at 6-1 Betfair

Haydock Wednesday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The Derby meeting at Epsom proved a real money-spinner for Betcirca followers with seven winners from nine races covered over the two days. After forecasting four out of five winners on Oaks day, we followed up with wins for Baitha Alga and Cirrus des Aigles plus each-way profits on Kingston Hill and Romsdal in the big race.

There is hardly time to blink before Royal Ascot is upon us but there is an interesting card at Haydock on Wednesday. Lady Cecil does not have strength in depth at her yard but she does have quality and is sending four runners up north tomorrow.

Button Down runs in the opening maiden race and must have claims following her second to Hidden Dream at Salisbury. The winner hardly advertised the form this week but this promising filly by Oasis Dream is still improving and the extra two furlongs should help. The most interesting rival is the seven-year-old Montbazon, a classy hurdler trained by Alan King. He is having his first flat race a little late in life but King always felt he was Champion Hurdle class so it will be fascinating to see how he runs.

Magic Of Reality should go close in the one-mile handicap at 3.40 with only 9st 2lb on her back. The Galileo filly won twice last season at Salisbury over a mile and was second to Zurigha at Kempton on her comeback.

Lady Cecil and Richard Hughes team up again with Morning Watch in the 4.10 race. He was having only his second race when getting off the mark over a mile and a half at Lingfield and he should relish the extra two furlongs. The big threat is likely to come from Ryan Moore on Sandown winner Vent De Force. He beat habitual runner-up Tarabela by two lengths at Sandown over this distance and may still confirm the form despite a 9lbs rise.

Sea Meets Sky completes the Lady Cecil raid in the 4.40 race and this filly by Dansili also looks to have a winning chance. She won on her debut at Ascot last May and has been second on both of her subsequent outings. She should strip fitter for her seasonal reappearance at Doncaster last month and could round off a very successful day for the Warren Place yard.

Button Down 2.10 Haydock

Magic Of Reality 3.40 Haydock at 5-2 Coral

Morning Watch 4.10 Haydock at 7-2 Coral

Sea Meets Sky 4.40 Haydock at 5-2 Bet365