Well, I’m still trying to work out how Opera Og didn’t win. The eventual winner was ridden going to 3 out, Opera Og kicked on 2 out, went 6 lengths clear, jumped the last 4l clear, but lost by 6l on the 1 furlong run in. Sensational stuff. Not seen a horse come to such an abrupt halt in a long time, so annoying!!
Rebel fitz on the other hand was soundly beaten, fair enough.
The flat season starts tomorrow, not sure how i feel about that. Results are going to be random as horses return to the turf after either the whole winter off running, or after running on the all weather. So with that being said, I’ll be looking elsewhere for my selections.
Ancient Times NAP 14:50 Sedgefield
This horse has won twice out of the last 3 runs, once on Heavy and once on soft. The ground currently for the card tomorrow is Heavy. Only one other horse has won on Heavy (or has any form of note) and that’s Dun To Perfection. I can see this being a match between the two. Ancient times has won over C&D and his last two wins have been won by 22lengths and 6 lengths in this grade. The only downside to my NAP is the 12lb higher mark he now has, but Philip Kirby has his horses in fine order lately with a 28% strike rate over chases and 10% over hurdles.
Treble Jig NP 11:30 – Jebel Ali (UAE) (Forecast 2-1)
This horse is a course specialist, the tip in its last 3 runs is because he tried Meydan and didn’t like it, returning now to Jebel Ali i’d fully expect him scoot in. He’s 5 from 5 at Jebel Ali having won a class 1 and group 3 events at Jebel Ali.
I feel dirty tipping this up, as it’ll be odds-on, but i’d eat my hat if it didn’t win. There is very little opposition in the race. The only horse with any reasonable form is Zain Shamardal, this horse in 2011 won a class 5 maiden at Newmarket and has run several times at Meydan as well as Jebel Ali. The horse started 3 starts ago at Meydan in a handicap, then contested a group 2 and grade 1 finishing 10th and 4th, that’s what’s known as punching above his weight. He could be an interesting alternative to Treble Jig if you didn’t want to take a short price.
Betfair:
Bet on Henrik Stenson to become the BMW PGA Championship Winner.
Paddypower:
Back Australia to take the Ashes home with them.
Betway:
Back Rafael Nadal to become the Mens French Open Winner.
Coral:
Back One For Arthur to win the Grand National.
Bet365:
Back Mexico to win the Confederations Cup.
