Moviesta (tipped at 9-1) and Montiridge (13-8) did us proud on day 4 of Glorious Goodwood but it could have been even better with three second place finishes. I always thought Moviesta could take the step up in class after being unlucky twice in big three-year-old handicaps and the furious gallop was right up his street.
The fact that he was pipped by Heaven’s Guest at Newmarket last time hasn’t gone unnoticed and the bookies have already trimmed his price for the Stewards’ Cup. 12-1 is now the best price for Richard Fahey’s runner but I think that still represents a bit of value. I think Moviesta would be less than half of those odds if he were running here off nine stone. Stall 22 may not be that great as the far side seem to have had the edge all week and I have similar concerns for my other selection, Shropshire.
He actually starts from the adjacent stall to Heaven’s Guest (21) but has the assistance of Ryan Moore in the saddle. He has been running well all season and is probably handicapped to sneak into the frame again at a top price of 14-1. I’m not tempted by the price for Tropics because it wasn’t the greatest race that he won last weekend whilst Ninjago may find them going a bit too quick early on.
The focus of attention in the Nassau Stakes will inevitably be on Sky Lantern after her unlucky defeat in the Falmouth Stakes. I think quite enough has been written about that race but it didn’t really give us any clues as to whether or not she will stay ten furlongs. It is difficult to see any of her Ascot victims reversing the form here but I think there may be some value in the older horses.
The one that stands out at the price is Godolphin’s Sajjhaa. She won four on the bounce in Meydan before finishing fourth in a Group 1 at Sha Tin. It’s anybody’s guess how fit she will be for this but you’d like to think they would have given her plenty of work. Hannon and Hughes can do no wrong this week (in stark contrast to Royal Ascot) and it would be no surprise to see Sky Lantern cruising up at the furlong marker but she’s no great value at the price.
Heaven’s Guest 12-1 (NAP) Bet365
Shropshire 14-1 Coral
Sajjhaa 11-1 Bet365
Betfair:
Bet on Henrik Stenson to become the BMW PGA Championship Winner.
Paddypower:
Back Australia to take the Ashes home with them.
Betway:
Back Rafael Nadal to become the Mens French Open Winner.
Coral:
Back One For Arthur to win the Grand National.
Bet365:
Back Mexico to win the Confederations Cup.
