Well ladies and gents, today is Grand National day, and i for one, couldn’t a flying expletive.
Don’t get me wrong, as a spectacle, it’s great. As a betting proposition, it’s horrible. I’m going to stick to horses i have more of a read on, as opposed to trying to find the winner of the yearly equine lottery.
Greenhead High – 1:35 Newcastle – NAP 2-1 Bet365
Pass the fire extinguisher, this horse is on fucking fire. After a successful AW campaign Greenhead High came out on turf last time (Previous best placing was 3rd) and won in decisive fashion. The draw is a concern, and the extra weight is a concern, but i have got a soft spot for a horse that can dominate all weather, then head to turf and continue the trend. He obviously likes the ground and although he has an extra 6lbs to carry, he firmly put two of todays rivals (Roy’s Legacy & Pull The Pin) in their places last time. Roy’s legacy who finished 2nd that day has an extra 5lbs to carry, a weight he’s only managed to win off once.
Greenhead High won off 10-6 three runs ago, 10-2 two starts ago..
Decent Fella – 17:25 Lingfield – NB – 9/2 Bet365
Now, i feel dirty next besting this. But i was alerted on Twitter earlier as to a potential dirty plot being setup by Violet Jordan, the dodgiest, and Rakebackmypoker who own the horse. This horse has run over a wide range of different trips to what it’s used to, and is now back to a distance he’s won at, and at a weight he’s won off.. This could go horribly wrong, but if we know Violet Jordan like we do, we feel this was obviously one big plan to win here today. Two years ago it won a class 3 event at Newmarket, and came 5th in the Buckingham Palace stakes at Royal Ascot, but has done very little since, hmmmm…
UPDATE Oh look, what a surprise, Decent Fella has been withdrawn..
Time for a quick replacement:
Up & Go – 13:45 Aintree – NB – 2/1 Paddy Power
I’ve won some decent money on this beast so he owes me nothing, but as a replacement for Decent Fella he’ll be my NB. In Feburary this horse demolished a decent class 2 field that included the ceaserwitch winner Aim To Prosper. Today he takes on a proven class 1 winner in Dodging Bullets who will find this lineup easier to beat than before, but he hasnt really shown his class over his last few runs, so hes a live danger. Uptoie Des Bordes was one of my Cheltenham Antepost selections and she ultimatly disappointed despite finishing 5th behind At Fishers Cross. She’s a group 1 winner in france, so rates as a real danger if she puts her best foot forward, but I’m more than happy to stick by Up & Go.
Betfair:
Bet on Henrik Stenson to become the BMW PGA Championship Winner.
Paddypower:
Back Australia to take the Ashes home with them.
Betway:
Back Rafael Nadal to become the Mens French Open Winner.
Coral:
Back One For Arthur to win the Grand National.
Bet365:
Back Mexico to win the Confederations Cup.
