Well, this year looks to be one of the closest relegation battles ever. Will Wigan escape again? Will Villa finally lose their premiership status after being one of the founding members? Can QPR perform miracles? Well, the latter doesnt seem possible, but the other two are more likely.
However, we’ve found a right cracking bet for relegation. Sunderland. Sunderland are currently 7/2 to go down. Let’s see why they could well be getting relegated:
Next 5 games –
Home – Manchester United
Away – Chelsea
Away – Newcastle
Home – Everton
Away – Aston Villa
Now, on all known form, they could lose to Manchester United, Chelsea, Newcastle and Everton. Aston Villa could be the nail in the coffin, a real 6 pointer.
Final 3 games:
Home – Stoke
Home – Southampton
Away – Tottenham
Wigan have a game in hand and currently sit on 27 points, Sunderland on 31 points, Villa on 30 points.
Aston Villa’s next 5 games:
Home – Liverpool
Away – Stoke
Home – Fulham
Away – Manchester United
Home – Sunderland
Now, Villa are on a 2 game winning “streak” – but this could and should end with the visit of Liverpool to Villa park. Stoke and Fulham are both winnable games for the Villans, and should they beat Sunderland, Villa could secure safety after these next 5 games.
Wigan, with a game in hand, have the following 5 games:
Home – Norwich
Away – QPR
Away – Manchester City
Home – West Ham
Away – Tottenham
Wigan could easily perform their amazing end of season run that sees them secure premiership status. Norwich, QPR and West Ham are all winnable games for Wigan, should they win those 3 and lose the other 2, they’ll be on 36 points.
If Villa beat Stoke or Fulham they’ll be on 33 points. Then Sunderland comes to Villa park. On the assumption Sunderland don’t pick up any points in the 4 games between now and the Villa trip, they’ll be sitting on 31 points, potentially in the bottom 3. Should Villa win, Villa would move 5 points clear of Sunderland and would give Sunderland a massive task to escape relegation.
This is obviously all based on opinion. Sunderland could quite easily go on a winning streak and win all 5 games, but we don’t think they will. 7/2 (Stanjames) is the price on them getting relegated and with their next 5 games being so difficult compared to those teams below them, we think this is a great interest bet.
I’ve missed out Southampton in all of this because i feel it’s a 3 horse race for the dreaded 18th spot.
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