HONG KONG RACING SATURDAY 16 MAY 2015
SHA TIN
Hong Kong Wrap Up
Back to back meets on a Saturday but we will be back to Sunday next week with some great racing leading into some very high class Group racing the following week so stick with it and enjoy what is heading our way. Not an easy card today but the last four races certainly look full of some excellent talent and we should be getting collects in those races. Singapore is the main focus this weekend in this part of the world and we have some great Hong Kong raiders who should make their mark once again in this International Group Meet and I really do like their chances.
In the 4th Leg of the Global Sprint Challenge we have Lucky Nine-Aerovelocity and Rich Tapestry and I believe we will go very close to trifecting this race if not the exacta. You can throw in No 5 Zac Spirit for the added exotic selection.
In race 10 we have Military Attack and Dan Excel. Dan Excel won this race last year and has been working up very well leading into this and does look primed for today but you cannot leave out Military Attack who has looked a bit under his normal self recently but on his best form will certainly go close here.
Both races look exciting and the Hong Kong raiders should prove to be very hard to hold out here.
Enjoy the form this weekend at Sha Tin and Singapore and above all good luck.
Track and Conditions: Turf C Course with the exception of races 1 and 10 which are on the All Weather Dirt Track.
Expected Weather: Mainly cloudy with a few showers and a top temperature of 31 degrees. The wind will be from the south at about the 30 Km/h mark but occasionally gusting up to 40Km/h which will aid closers with a tailwind down the straight but more so on the turf than the AWT.
Best Bet: Race 6 No 1 Athena Baby
Best Value: Race 8 No 7 Sergeant Titanium
Best Exotic Races: 7-8-9-10
Quaddie:-
Race 7: 7-10-9-1 Race 8: 6-7 Race 9: 5-2-8-7 Race 10: 7-5-1-2-12
Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 5- AWT
Top Pick: No 3 Dragon Energy
Value Selection: No 6 Joy Together
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Super King Star and No 1 Palepale
Race Overview
This is the most difficult race that I have had to look at all season so for me it is not the type of race you want to get involved in at all but having said that we may get lucky. Dragon Energy drops back in class today and his last run at this class produced a nice win on this surface over this distance with a similar weight to what he carries today. Comes up with a nice draw in gate three and should be given every chance with Zac Purton in the saddle. Joy Together dropped back in class last start and should have improved as he was not too far away at his previous starts at class four. However he gave ground entering the straight and may very well have had a few issues but was unable to be scoped as he was fractious. May prove to overlook that run and give him a bit of a chance here at decent odds.
Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 14 Horse Supremo
Selection: No 9 Golden Bauhinia
Exotic Inclusions: No 6 Panang Hall and No 2 Sugar / No 4 Mr Wright
Race Overview
Horse Supremo does appear to go best on the All Weather Track however he does possess good gate speed and has came up with a nice draw in gate 12 which should see him in a nice position throughout the running down the grandstand rail and can sneak into the finish with a bit of a chance if he can hold on over the concluding stages. Golden Bauhinia it’s been a fair while since he carried a weight as light as this and it has to put him in a decent position down the Sha Tin straight which is his main course and distance. His form has been reasonable this season without winning and not too far away recently considering he has not had much of a draw but comes up with gate 10 today which will help him get down the grandstand rail and should be well positioned in the running.
Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 2200m—Class 5
Top Pick: No 4 Win Chance
Value Selection: No 10 High Speed Metro
Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Sweet Bean and No 9 Smart Guy
Race Overview
Win Chance looks to have found a bit of form since dropping back to this class and his last two runs have been quite solid with a 2nd followed up with a nice win last start over the 2000m at Sha Tin. Has placed on two occasions this season over this distance all be it at Happy Valley. If he holds form he should run well today. High Speed Metro has put together a few nice runs recently and won over this distance three starts back all be it at Happy Valley at this class but appears to be holding form with two good 2nd’s since. He has trained on well and still looks well weighted and has to be a consideration once again today at current nice each way odds.
Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 2 Run Forrest
Value Selection: No 3 Ah Bo
Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Beauty Ahead and No 10 Chevalier Star
. Race Overview
Run Forrest showed good improvement to win at his third start in Hong Kong over this distance last start. As a result he goes up in the weights but would not have to improve too much to give this a good shake as well. Suited by the draw in gate 6 and has Zac Purton in the saddle. Ah Bo looks very close to breaking his Hong Kong duck as he has been placed on five occasions this season and has gone very close at the last two occasions. Drawn wide but he retains his last start hoop and he can close and should be getting home hard once again today.
Race Overview
Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 1 Sun Jewellery
Value Selection: No 6 Lucky Bubbles
Exotic Inclusions: No 7 Spice Sure and No 4 Star Of Bond
Race Overview
Sun Jewellery having his first start in Hong Kong and looks to have the ability to go well first up as his trails have been good and all have been with race day hoop in Joao Moreira in the saddle. Comes to Hong Kong with decent Victorian form and put together a couple of wins there. Drawn wide but does possess decent gate speed and is expected to cross and be in a decent position in the running. Lucky Bubbles just the one start in Hong Kong and it was for a nice closing 3rd over the 1000m from an outside draw which was not really suitable over the straight course. Comes up with a nice draw today in gate 4 and retains Brett Prebble in the saddle and does look a touch of value as he has trained on nicely as well.
Race 6: — Time: 07.35am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 1 Athena Baby
Value Selection: No 5 Winnam
Exotic Inclusions: No 10 Glorious Ryder and No 3 Fighting Boy
Race Overview
Athena Baby has certainly improved leaps and bounds at his last two starts which he won well with Joao Moreira in the saddle. He retains the mount today and should get a nice trail in the running from gate 2. Only has to carry the weight here to be another very solid chance looking at this field. Winnam won over this distance five starts back and has had to shoulder extra weight since then. Stuck on well last start for a good third and does look a bit of an each way chance today with Zac Purton back in the saddle.
Race 7: — Time: 8.05am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 2
Top Pick: No 7 Celestial Smile
Value Selection: No 10 Club Life
Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Selkirk Star and No 1 Apollo’s Choice
Race Overview
Celestial Smile is far too consistent to leave out here. He has had 14 starts in Hong and has not been out of a place which is most amazing and Joao Moreira has been on him more times than not. Carried a light weight last start and ran a nice 2nd. Up a touch in the weights as a result of his consistency but still looks in ok. Comes up with a nice draw and should get a good trail in the running. Looks a very good chance if you can get each way odds but he may very well be a bit unders with Joao in the saddle. Club Life rarely runs a bad race, a consistent type and more times than not he is at each way odds and looks fairly well placed once again today. Up a touch in the weights but still looks ok for his 3rd start at class 2.
Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 1280m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 6 Holmes Legend
Value Selection: No Sergeant Titanium
Exotic Inclusions: No 11 Cash Courier and No 13 Monsieur Mogok
Race Overview
Holmes Legend does not stay in form for too long but he did run a nice 3rd over this distance last start and Joao Moreira has jumped straight on board today which gives you the impression that he should run well once again today as he still looks in well at the weights. Sergeant Titanium has shown to be an improving type and went up to this class two starts back. Went well on the first occasion for a nice 3rd but looked to have issues last start when he was found to be lame in the right front leg. He certainly was not happy and refused to be scoped. Has worked well since and should be back on track today. Looks value on his previous form. Interesting to see that Joao Moreira has gone off him and jumped straight onto Holmes Legend. However he has a very good replacement in Brett Prebble “The Master of the Weave ” 🙂 in the saddle.
Race 9: — Time: 9.10pm GMT—Distance: 1400m— Class 3
Top Pick: No 5 Amazing Kids
Value Selection: No 2 Why Why
Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Super Talent and No 7 Laugh Out Loud
Race Overview
Amazing Kids just the one start in Hong Kong and it was for a very nice closing win over the 1200m. Was to step up to the 1400m which does look right up his ally last start but was found to be sweating up a bit and as a result was withdrawn as he did look to have a fever. All good since then and track work has been spot on. Drawn well to suite and Joao Moreira jumps straight into the saddle. Why Why has only been out of a place on one occasion since arriving in Hong Kong and that was for a 4th. Up in distance today but has been closing off very hard recently over the 1200m and this just may suite. He is certainly weighted at his best but does come across as a decent chance here.
Race 10: — Time: 9.45pm GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 1
Top Pick: No: 7 Dehere’s The Love
Value Selection: No 5 Master Kochanwong
Exotic Inclusions: No 1 Domineer and No 2 Access Years / No 12 Pablosky
Race Overview
A fair few chances here once again but Dehere’s The Love has been lightly races this season but is in cracking form and really does appreciate this surface. Comes up with a nice draw in gate 4 and retains Joao Moreira in the saddle. Only has to stay in form to give this a real shake once again and his track work does indicate that. Master Kochanwong has been going through the classes well and had a crack at group racing last start, found it a bit rich but still ran a very nice race. Up in the weights but still looks in well against this field and has to come under consideration today as he has came up with a nice draw in gate 5 and Douglas Whyte is back in the saddle.
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