HONG KONG RACING SATURDAY 9 MAY 2015
SHA TIN
Hong Kong Wrap Up
I hope you enjoyed the racing at Sha Tin last Sunday as we really did see some special races and none better than Able Friend winning the Champions Mile. He now rates on top as equal rated best runner in the world. Now that is very special for Hong Kong runners and they have proved it time after time with some fantastic runners coming from Australia and New Zealand. Today the feature race is the Queen Mother memorial Cup and it does look to be a very competitive race over the 2400m. A Group race which does have some very good stayers. I do also like No 8 in race 10 Travel first as a very solid chance today and for the value selection I am going for Race Nine No 1 Up And Coming. Good luck if having a go and enjoy the days racing at sha Tin which is always a great meet.
Track and Conditions: Turf B+2 Course with the exception of races 1 and 6 which will be on the All Weather Dirt Track.
Expected Weather: Sunny intervals with a few showers and a top temperature of 30 degrees. Wind will be from the south gusting up to and around the 30 Km/h mark which will create a tail wind down the straight which will assist closers.
_ _ _
Best Bet: Race 10 No 8 Travel First
Best Value: Race 9 No 1 Up And Coming
Best Exotic Races: 7-8-9-10
Quaddie:-
Race 7: 14-2-3 Race 8: 5-4 Race 9: 1-3-12-7 Race 10:
Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1650m-AWT—Class 5
Top Pick: No 2 Safari Magic
Value Selection: No 1 Cultural City
Exotic Inclusions: No 11 Lucky Bole and No 6 Sure Peace
Race Overview
Safari Magic Class four runner dropping back to class five for the first time this season. Had been a bit hot and cold at class four but has also put in some nice performances. Mainly a Happy Valley and AWT runner and does go well on this surface. Comes up with a decent draw in gate 6 and has Brett Prebble in the saddle for the first time. Should be each way odds and a good chance at this class today even with the extra weight. Cultural City The last time he won a race was over this distance on this course and surface at class four earlier this season. Drops back to this class for the first time this season and even though he has top weight he comes up with a nice draw in gate four and you would have to think he should be competitive here.
Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 2000m—Class 4
Top Pick : No 5 Rouge Et Blanc
Selection: No 11 Crouse Control
Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Navel Orange and No Ambassadorship
Race Overview
Rouge Et Blanc Has shown a fair bit of improvement at his last two starts winning for Joao Moreira over the 1600m and put in a very nice on paced performance for Zac Purton last start over the 2000m which he goes over today. Drawn in gate seven and should cross ok to be positioned well in the running once again. A repeat of his last start performance sees him right in this. Cruise Control his last two starts have been over this distance and the 2nd last was at Sha Tin over this course when he finished 3rd but was only a short head from the winner. Both those who finished in front of him on that occasion are also engaged in this race and will be looking at a form line from that race today as they all look well suited once again. Cruise Control does retain leading hoop in Joao Moreira in the saddle which will most likely not do his odds much good but he does appear another strong chance here.
Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 6 Glacier Blue
Value Selection: No 2 Plenty Of Speed
Exotic Inclusions: No 5 Penny Lane and No 3 Hoxo / No 4 King Of Reason
Race Overview
Ordinary class four here and take out the on top selection it quickly gets pretty skinny to find decent form. Not the race you want to get too involved in however Glacier Blue has only came up with one decent gate all season and not much better today in gate nine however his last start performance was very good over this distance and class and only missed by a neck in the wash up. Up 2 lbs as a result of that which is still ok for this runner and he has Douglas Whyte in the saddle for the first time which may do the trick. Plenty Of Speed has raced over this distance all season and after dropping back from class three has not been too far away with the exception of one start when he did not begin well and never really got into the finish at all but having said that he has not been to far off on three other occasions. Drawn a bit wide today but has the pace to cross and may give a cheeky site over the concluding stages. Weight the only query.
Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 1 All My Gain
Value Selection: No 9 Lean Journey
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Go Go Win and No 12 One More World / No 10 Elegance Klammer
Race Overview
All My Gain comes into this today after recording two very good wins both over this distance at this class and both were from wide gates. Not a real lot better today after coming up with a bit of a squeeze draw in gate nine but he has certainly improved since stepping up to this distance and looks another decent chance once again today with Douglas Whyte retaining the ride. Should also stay at current each way odds. Lean Journey was on track for a tilt at this distance as he was closing off well over the 1200m but at his 2nd last start he was galloped on but just the same was disappointing and may have not been suited by being ridden in a forward position as well. Was having his first go last start at this distance when another runner fell in front of him and he also hit the turf as a result of not being able to avoid that incident. Was travelling well in a nice position before that. Has trialled well since and gets another crack at it today and his last start hoop in Zac Purton is back in the saddle. Can turn things around today.
Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 1 Thunder Dash
Value Selection: No 7 Top Bonus
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Fish And Chips and No 3 Yo-Yo Da
Race Overview
Thunder Dash does come across as hard to hold out here despite top weight. Drawn well and should get a nice trail in transit. Won well two starts back and went very close again last start under a light weight with young Jack Wong in the saddle but they have gone for a senior hoop today in Neil Callan and looking at this field he should run well once again. Top Bonus went up to this distance two starts back and went close on the first occasion and was expected to be right in the finish once again last start but was disappointing and his hoop claimed that he appeared to have a breathing issue which was abnormal. Track work since has been fine and Joao Moreira has been on him at all Hong Kong starts so you would expect he will break through sooner rather than later. Nice draw and well weighted.
Race 6: — Time: 7.35am GMT—Distance: 1650m – AWT—Class 3
Top Pick: No 3 Verdane e/w
Value Selection: No 4 Rumba King
Exotic Inclusions: No 13 Terrific Master and No 9 Buddy Buddies /No 5 Happy Journey
Race Overview
This race is very open to say the least and will most likely jump at each way the field. However Verdane always looks a bit of a chance in races of this type and does handle this surface as well. Comes up with a decent draw in gate 4 and will get his chance from that gate with Douglas Whyte back in the saddle. Rumba King does not win too often but does appreciate this surface and has been close up at his last two starts and may be getting close to another win here. Brett Prebble who is the master of the weave stays on board and just scraps in with the barrier in gate eight and has a similar weight as last start when he put in a nice on paced 3rd.Can certainly go well once again today at nice odds.
Race 7: — Time: 8.05am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 14 E-Super
Value Selection: No 2 Country Melody
Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Accepted and No
Race Overview
E-Super Only the two starts in Hong Kong and both have been over this distance all be it at Class four. Won first up and just missed by a very short margin last start. Up in class today but does have a 19 Lb weight drop with the class rise which has to be a bonus after coming up with a nice draw in gate 11. Strong consideration here. Country Melody does like the straight 1000m at Sha Tin and may prove hard to keep out here. Still has not came up with a really good draw since arriving in Hong Kong but not too bad in gate eight today so he should be in the leading pack towards the rails as they go down the grandstand side of the track here. Yet another Joao Moreira ride which does look to have a very good chance.
Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 2400m—Hong Kong Group III
Top Pick: No 5 Got Fly
Value Selection: No 4 Thunder Fantasy
Exotic Inclusions: No 7 Helene Happy Star and No 11 Renaissance Art / No 9 Savvy Nature
Race Overview
Got Fly does look well placed in a race of this type. Closed off very hard last start over the 2000m at HKG1 and it does look like the extra distance will be right up his ally today as he has been breed for staying over this distance and similar. Thunder Fantasy certainly showed what he is capable of last start when Brett took him out a touch early and caught them off guard. Just love it when he does those type of moves, You just do not know when it is coming but he is a very good hoop and certainly knows how to read things. Up in class here but it does look like the distance will be ideal and don’t be surprised if they go too slow he will be revved up and sent out early once again.
Race 9: — Time: 9.10am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 1 Up And Coming
Value Selection: No 3 Jaeger Bomb
Exotic Inclusions: No 12 So Caffe and No 7 Razor Sharp
Race Overview
Up And Coming is a very nice type and has put together two wins and a very close second since going up to this class and even with top weight today can certainly go on with it. Usually races on the pace and may drop into a cover position today but just the same he does look like he will progress beyond this class at some point and looks a very nice chance here once again today. Jaeger Bomb went very close last start and only has to continue that type of form to give this a serious shake. Up a touch in the weights but still looks ok looking at this field and he does retain Zac Purton in the saddle.
Race 10: — Time: 9.45am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 2
Top Pick: No: 8 Travel First
Value Selection: No 11 Universal Union
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Quanternion Eagle and No 3 Glorious Lad / No 6 Marvel Tribe
Race Overview
Travel First Has been extremely consistent since arriving in Hong Kong and really does deserve to break through very soon and it just may be today. Up a touch in the weights after his first up 3rd at class two but still looks well in this just the same. Drawn a touch wide but should be able to settle in well enough in the running to give him another good chance once again today and he does retain his last start hoop. Universal Union has been very good since arriving in Hong Kong which has prompted his trainer to step him up to class two. Looked good on the first occasion but did not perform well last start and I have the feeling it may have been that he was at Happy Valley under lights for the first time. Can certainly turn it around back at Sha Tin today over a distance which he has shown he does like and he does come up with a decent draw today with Zac Purton back in the saddle. Quanternion Eagle has won over this distance on two occasions and it was nice to see that he picked up a win at his first start which was over the 1200m. Should be further improved and better suited today over this distance.
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