Sha Tin Racing Sunday 7th February Tips

HONG KONG RACING SUNDAY 7 February

SHA TIN

Hong Kong Wrap Up

Another great days racing coming up at Sha Tin today with the Group Three Centenary Vase Handicap over the 1800m. Certainly looks like a very exciting race even with the scratching of the top weight Military Attack. Designs On Rome now takes the place of favourite and has to be the one to beat on current form but he will be giving away a fair bit of weight to the rest of the field so today we will certainly see just how good he is. The last five races on the card today all look good and you can certainly expect some very competitive racing however Massive Move in race two does look extremely hard to hold out over the 1000m where they run down the grandstand side of the track which make for spectacular viewing and entertainment and he goes in as our best of the day. The best value is represented in Race 10 where No 1 Wonderful Moments is currently at each way odds. He has been racing in stronger company than he is today so if he carries the extra weight he but certainly appeals as a bit of value today.

Track and Conditions: Turf – C+3 Course with the exception of races 1-4-6 which will be on the All Weather Dirt Track. Track will be rated Good.

Expected Weather: Mainly Cloudy and dry with sunny periods and a top temperature of 18 Degrees. Wind will be from the east to northeast gusting up to 30 Km/h which will create a head wind down the straight and assisting on paced runners but it should be a mainly fair playing ground just the same.

Best Bet: Race 2 No 4 Massive Move

Best Value: Race 10 No 1 Wonderful Moments

Exotic Races: Race No’s 6-7-8-9-10

Quaddie:-

Race 7: 5-2 Race 8: 2-3-6-8-11 Race 9: 1-5 Race 10: 13-1-10-2

Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 5 – AWT

Top Pick: No 9 Always Wonderful

Value Selection: No 2 Sledge Hammer

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Mighty Gains and No 1 Glorious Avenue

Race Overview

Always Wonderful Dropped back to this class late last season and switched to the AWT this season and did nothing at his first two go’s but turned it around last start when he ran a very good on paced third in a very similar class field. Would not have to improve too much on that effort to go close here. Has drawn well in gate four and will jump in a forward position today and should be in the finish at some point. Sledge Hammer last won over this distance on this surface and drops back to that class today. Drawn ok and does get the services on Joao Moreira in the saddle. May make the price a bit unders but has to go in as a good chance today.

Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 4 Massive Move

Selection: No 13 Glory Horsie

Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Top Bonus and No 6 Timely Arrived / No 8 Peace Combination

Race Overview

Massive Move certainly looks suited over this course today having came up with a very nice draw in gate 12 and does get his chance here. Looks in a treat at the weights and should be hard to run down. Glory Horsie does look the main pace influence in this race and with his light weight you would expect he should lead. May run a cheeky race at decent odds.

Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 10 Sparkling Sword

Value Selection: No 4 Secret Agent

Exotic Inclusions: No 11 Fire Starter and No 1 Hard Ball Get

Race Overview

Sparkling Sword still to win at this class but has gone very close on a few occasions. Dropped back to class five recently and picked up a race over this distance with 132Lbs on his back. Back up to class four and ran a fairly solid on paced race last start over this distance and was not far away on the post. Would not have to do too much more to break through here. Still nicely weighted and comes up with a nice barrier draw in gate three .Secret Agent has been bouncing up and down in class a bit lately but does look a bit of a chance here today after winning at this class recently. This looks about as far as he will get so will need a soft run but if so will certainly be in with a very good chance here.

Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 4 – AWT

Top Pick: No 9 Horse Supremo

Value Selection: No 2 Confucius Elite

Exotic Inclusions: No 4 Easy Success and No 5 Star Of Wai Bo

Race Overview

Horse Supremo they have tried him on all tracks but looks best at home on the AWT and produced a nice run last start on the dirt after leading most of the way. Will most likely attempt the same tactics today and if not pressured too much may very well be the one to run down over the concluding stages. Confucius Elite Has been a very consistent runner over this season and there is no reason to doubt he will put in once again today. Weighted at his best but he does have his race day hoop in Max Guyon in the saddle and certainly has appeal in a race of this type.

Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 3 Supreme Profit

Value Selection: No 11 Elite Pride

Exotic Inclusions: No 5 Born To Win and No 4 Mac Row

Race Overview

Supreme Profit has been closing off extremely well recently and ran very well last start only missing by a very short margin. Only has to repeat that effort to give this a big shake. Drawn well and should get a nice trail in the running and gets Zac Purton in the saddle for the first time today as well. Elite Pride put in a nice effort two starts back over the 1400m then stepped up to the Mile last start and did not perform as expected but it does appear that he had excused on that occasion after losing a plate early in the running. Gets another chance today with a similar weight and they have thrown Joao Moreira in the saddle as well. Will be a bit of value if he stays at each way odds.

Race 6: — Time: 7.35am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3 – AWT

Top Pick: No 4 Startling Power

Value Selection: No 3 Dehere’s The Love

Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Hidden Value and No 12 Hit The Bid / No 7 Able Warrior

Race Overview

Startling Power all bar one run this season has been very consistent and after going up to this class two runs back he recorded a very nice win last start over this distance all be it with a very light weight. Gets a decent weight rise today but he does retain Joao Moreira as his pilot and this is not an overly strong Class three. The only query is the wide draw in gate 10. Dehere’s The Love was in sparkling form before going up to class three and was going well early on as well but the extra weight seems to have got him on an even playing field at the moment. however he does come up with a nice draw today in gate 4 which will certainly suite and may very well give this a very good shake.

Race 7: — Time: 8.05am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 5 Eroico

Value Selection: No 2 Supreme Falcon

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Dining World and No 9 Ovett / No 7 Golden Deer

Race Overview

Eroico does look a bit above average but will have to work hard this time in from a wide gate and has a couple of more Lb’s to work with today as well but having said that he is a very improving type and would not have to improve too much to get away with this as well before he goes right up in the weights. Supreme Falcon does look weighted at his best now after recording some nice wins at this class. Most recently at Happy Valley but he also put two together early in the season over this distance at Sha Tin. Should enjoy a good run in transit and has to go in as a bit of value here.

Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 1800m—Class HKG3

The Centenary Vase

Top Pick: No 2 Designs On Rome

Value Selection: No 3 California Memory

Exotic Inclusions: No 6 Willie Cazals and No 8 Khaya and if hunting for a trifecta or 1^st 4 then you can throw in No 11 Packing Llaregyb

Race Overview

Awesome race here and the weights are certainly spread out a fair bit so if Designs On Rome can go close then he is certainly a very good runner as he giving away a fair bit in weight today. With the scratching of Military Attack it does appear that Designs On Rome may very well have this race at his mercy. Won his last start at Group One over the 2000m and had been working up to that. Should still be in top fitness as his track work indicates and the drop back in distance should not be a problem. California Memory Going to throw a bit of value into the exotics here with this one. Always closes on most occasions as a result of being ridden back and even though he has not won for a while there is one key factor here and that is his weight. He raced on the pace two starts back and was only beaten by 3/4 of a length in a G2 over the 2000m then was beaten by 4 lengths in a G1 over the same distance last start in a race which developed into a sprint home and did not really suit. That race was at set weights and won be Designs On Rome goes up 5 lbs today where as California Memory go’s down 5 Lbs so there is a 10 Lb difference today and if one of the lighter weighted runners of which there are a few decide to take it up then he just may get the pace to suit and is certainly worth a look at current odds.

Race 9: — Time: 9.10pm GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 1 Ishvara

Value Selection: No 5 Jun Huo

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Red Dancer and No 2 Winning Instinct / No 6 Kerkeni

Race Overview

Ishvara has really shown that he is a very good type since arriving in Hong Kong and has been right on the job this season. Very hard to leave out here even though he has top weight today. If he wins today he will certainly progress to Group racing and that certainly looks a strong possibility. Drawn well in gate 3 and has Zac Purton in the saddle and this does look like one of Zac’s best chances today. Jun Huo only the three runs in Hong Kong and the first two were good and won over this distance two starts back. Put in a sub standard performance last start over the 1800m and the only explanation they could come up with was that he just did not appreciate the jump up in distance. Has trailed well since and is expected to perform much better today. In the absence of Brett Prebble he gets Douglas Whyte in the saddle so he loses nothing here. May pay to follow at decent odds here.

Race 10: — Time: 9.45pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 2

Top Pick: No: 13 Pikachu

Value Selection: No 1 Wonderful Moments

Exotic Inclusions: No 10 Precision King and No 2 What You Dream

Race Overview

Pikachu just the one start at this class and looks to have measured up after running a very nice third with 120Lbs on his back from a wide gate over this distance. Actually drops 4 Lbs today and comes up with a nice draw in gate five. Neil Callan is off him but looses nothing in Maxi Guyon in the saddle today. Wonderful Moments Is a very nice type and has been mixing it with better class runner’s lately in stronger company and comes up with a reasonable gate today and should be in the firing line once again. Up in the weights but if he carries it he will go very close here.

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