SHA TIN
Hong Kong Wrap Up
It’s always a great day’s racing at Hong Kong and in particular Sha Tin. Looks a sensational day once again today especially looking at the last five races. We have a great Hong Kong Group Three in race 9 which does certainly appeal as a very good chance to get amongst the exotics. Our best bet of the day in race is 10 is No 6 Eroico he will have a bit of value if not too much but he does look a very strong chance just the same and looking at our best value selection of the day in Thor The Greatest he does look to be a strong each way chance. Enjoy the form guide as I know you will get collects and continue to enjoy Hong Kong racing as it is certainly user friendly when you have this form which is on target.
Track and Conditions: Turf A+3 Course.
Expected Weather:Cloudy with sunny intervals and coastal fog in the morning which will clear by race time and a top temperature of 25 degrees. Wind will be from the east gusting up to around the 30 Km/h at times which will aid the on paced runners with a head wind down the straight.
Best Bet: Race 10 No 6 Eroico
Best Value: Race 5 No 5 Thor The Greatest
Best Exotic Races: Race No’s 5-6-7-8-9-10
Quaddie:-
Race 7: 5-4 Race 8: 7-2 Race 9: 7-1-11-6-2 Race 10: 6-1-4-2
Race 1: — Time: 7.45am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 5
Top Pick: No 13 Lucky Bole
Value Selection: No 2 Jun Ju
Exotic Inclusions: No 1 Enchanted Diamond-5 Good Thinker-No 6 La Cota De Blue
Race Overview
Each way the field and a very open race to kick off the card today. Lucky Bole I had a close look at the footage of his last start effort and it was a good run. He drew wide on that occasion and was in no man’s land after they jumped and was pushed forward and looped the field leading all the way until about 50m out. That was a pretty good effort all be it on the All Weather Track. Gets in with a similar weight today and I have the sneaky feeling he may be close to a win. Jun Ju dropped back in class after three starts at class four this season and has not been too far away. Went well over this distance last start and closed off very well from a wide gate. Gets another wide gate today and they should adopt the same tactics. Just needs the tempo to be enough to allow him time to run on. Looks a bit of a chance in this if there is a bit of pressure on the obvious leader in Oriential Fantasia.
Race 2: — Time: 8.15am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 5
Top Pick: No 5 Elegant Frames
Selection: No 1 Friends of Yan Oi
Exotic Inclusions: No 8 King Tai Sing and No 11 Chans Delight
Race Overview
Elegant Frames dropped back to this class last start over this distance at Happy Valley but had excuses just after the jump and never really got into it although he finished ok. His only other start when he dropped back to this class was over this course, distance and track and it was also with Joao Moreira in the saddle and he is back on him once again today for the first time since that run when he scored with three Lb’s more than what he has today and he does come up with a very nice draw in gate one. You would think he has to be a chance here. Friends of Yan Oi Has not had too many runs at Sha Tin and is mostly a Happy Valley horse however he comes across as a bit of a chance with the class drop. The last time he was at class five he performed well and was in the finish on most occasions with a similar weight to what he has today. Comes up with a decent draw today in gate five and Douglas Whyte is sticking with him.
Race 3: — Time: 8.45am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 3 Unique Joyful
Value Selection: No 9 Diamond Mysterious
Exotic Inclusions: No 7 Lucky Year- No 1 The Prince – No 8 One More World
Race Overview
Unique Joyful has been consistent all season at this class and even though being touched up in the weights he does look to be very close to another win. Retains his usual hoop and comes up with a very nice draw in gate three which should see him very well placed in the running. Closed off very hard from an unfavourable gate last start and only has to retain that form to give this a big shake. Diamond Mysterious looks to be an improving type at this class and although most starts have been over the 1000m he did close off well last start over the 1000m at Sha Tin all be it from a nice draw. Comes up with another nice draw today in gate two and is still well weighted after his last start 2nd.
Race 4: — Time: 9.15am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 7 Unique Happiest
Value Selection: No 4 Master Mind
Exotic Inclusions: No 1 Short Squeeze and No 8 Elite Pride/No 5 G-One Bo Bo
Race Overview
Unique Happiest has performed very consistently at his last four starts and does not look too far away from a win going on those efforts. Only up 1 lb on his last start 2nd and retains the Master of the Weave in Brett Prebble in the saddle and he may have to use those talents late as should be close up near the rails throughout the running just the same. Master Mind Just the one start in Hong Kong and it was over this distance at Sha Tin when he closed off well and was only 1.5 lengths away in the wash up. Comes up with a nice draw once again in gate five and Douglas Whyte retains the ride. May very well pay to follow here as his track work has been very good.
Race 5: — Time: 10.05am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 3 Strathmore
Value Selection: No 8 Thor The Greatest
Exotic Inclusions: No 5 Amazing Kids and No 11 Lucky Day/No 12 Blizzard
Race Overview
Strathmore only the four starts in Hong Kong and went over the 1400m last start for the first time and performed well from a wide gate on that occasion. He is down 4 Lb’s in weight today and has Joao Moreira in the saddle. Comes up with a nice draw in gate three and certainly has plenty of appeal in this field. Thor The Greatest went well for Jack Wong at his first start at this class last start and was only run down late after leading almost all the way with a light weight. He should once again take the lead today and if not too much pressure appeals as a each way chance with Brett Prebble back in the saddle. He is a smart hoop and is always looking for something special.
Race 6: — Time: 10.35am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 4 Winnam
Value Selection: No 7 Gold Dragon
Exotic Inclusions: No 6 Unique Joyous-No 2 Grand Harbour-No 1 Fighting Boy
Race Overview
Winnam has performed very well this season at this class over this distance and similar. Comes up with a decent draw today in gate six and should be well placed in the running. Having Joao Moreira in the saddle certainly will not help the odds but he does look a decent chance today. Gold Dragon has only had the 5 starts in Hong Kong and all have been at Sha Tin. He has shown improvement since moving up in distance and put in a nice effort over this distance last start and was only a length away in the wash up after a nice even on paced run. Should do the same today from barrier seven with the same weight as last start. Looks to be getting close to a win. Fighting Boy does look suited over this distance going on his recent form as he has been right in the finish at his last three starts and winning one of those. He does have a habit of getting away slow but if he gets away ok today that should make the difference and put him in the finish with a better chance today. Goes in as my BOLTER of the day.
Race 7: — Time: 11.05am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 5 Bossie
Value Selection: No 4 Too Fast
Exotic Inclusions: No 13 Sunny Pearl and No 7 Fine Rock
Race Overview
Bossiee is a very consistent type and does look a very good chance in this field. Won well over this distance at this class all be it with a lighter weight last start. But does still get into this at a weight that does look good and he also has Joao Moreira retaining the ride. Looks in fine from gate 8 and appeals as a very good chance here. Too Fast showed marked improvement last start with a very nice 3rd after closing off from a long way back and from his draw today will be doing the same. There just may be enough early pace here to allow him to close off well enough to get into the finish again today. Retains same hoop and certainly has to come under consideration here. Fine Rock gets into this race today with a big weight drop with Jack Wong in the saddle and will trot around with just 114lbs on his back which is 10 Lb’s less than he has carried in his three Hong Kong starts to date. His efforts have been fair without winning and with the weight drop today it just may make the difference. BOLTER.
Race 8: — Time: 11.35am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 7 Wild Boy
Value Selection: No 2 Regency Ho Ho
Exotic Inclusions: No 13 Packing Go Go and No 4 Tango Fire
Race Overview Wild Boy bounced back into form last start with an all the way win. Up in class today and gets an 8 Lb weight drop which I feel is a bit on the skinny side and may have got a bit more as this is his first go at class three. Should certainly be on the pace and in a good position entering the home straight. Regency Ho Ho is hard to go past here even though most of his runs have been at Happy Valley. He is never very far away and does look well placed in this field. Up a touch in the weights but has drawn well and he has Brett Prebble in the saddle who retains the ride today.
Race 9: — Time: 12.10pm GMT—Distance: 1800m— Hong Kong Group III
Top Pick: No 7 Helene Super Star
Value Selection: No 1 Blazing Speed
Exotic Inclusions: No 11 Packing Llaregyb – No 6 Harbour Master and No 2 California Memory
Race Overview
Nice Group Three here with some good runners engaged but when you look at it Helene Super Star does look in very well at the weights today. Carried 126Lbs last start at set weights at G1 and only went down by 1.5 lengths to Designs on Rome who will start at a short price early today in the Dubai Sheema Classic G1. That has to be a very good pointer. Blazing Speed even with top weight is the best performed in this field and most likely deserves to have top weight. Finished off very well behind Designs On Rome last start and does have very good form behind that runner. Having said that there will most likely be a heap with the lighter weights getting right into the finish here and no more so than Packing Llaregyb who went very close over this distance two starts back chasing down Designs on Rome and with a similar weight has to be a solid chance.
Race 10: — Time: 12.45pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 2
Top Pick: No: 6 Erioco
Value Selection: No 1 Let Me Go
Exotic Inclusions: No 4 Multivictory and No 2 Full Talent
Race Overview
Nice Class Two here with some chances but if we go with the form then Eroico has to come under strong consideration here as he has been extremely consistent since arriving in Hong Kong. He performed extremely well last start which was at this class for the first time and over this distance. He was only .5 of a length away on that occasion from an unsuitable gate and gets in so much better today in gate three. Retains Joao Moreira in the saddle and he has been with this runner from day one which tells me he has a very good opinion of this horse. But then again he does have a Brazilian name 🙂 Let Me Go has improved leaps and bounds this season and most likely deserves top weight as he won last start with 127Lbs at this class after finishing 2nd at Class One last start all be it with a much lighter weight. He should race mid field but there should be enough pace on here to run home strong. Multivictory is touched up a bit in the weights but does have the ability to get into this and should be well placed in the running after coming up with the rails draw.
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