Tag: Australia

Cricket: New dawn for India in emotional decider

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

India usher in a new era of their test history with a swirl of praise and rumours for their retired guardian Mahendra Singh Dhoni.  The conjecture on the “whys” of Dhoni’s retirement will continue for some time, so the task of silencing them comes down to new captain Virat Kohli and the rest of his team.  Many, including their opponents chief firebrand Mitchell Johnson, are tipping India to have a more aggressive edge under Kohli.  An edge that would certainly help the self belief within the team, but one that also comes with a risk of recklessness.

Australia have less to ponder.  They may consider using Ashton Agar in a second spinner / allrounder role, and they may carefully watch the performance of Shane Watson as to determine his suitability for their next important test cricket assignment – the Ashes – given his continue run of mediocrity.

Sydney traditionally takes more spin than any other local ground, so the teams could spring some surprises at the toss, but the placid nature of most of the pitches this series will help alleviate the Johnson threat (much to his dismay) and should see plenty of runs scored.

The Last Time These Two Met

The MCG encounter had all the bluster and bravado of a pre-bout boxing weigh in, but unfortunately lacked the knock out punches as both teams lost their nerve on the final day.  Amongst all the aggression and agitation the Australians dominated much of the game through their superior lower order batting and India’s inability to build enough pressure with the ball.  Not for the first time in the series Steven Smith and Virat Kohli were the stars with the bat, in this one they lead their teams against each other for the first time.

The Teams

Australia (likely): 1 Chris Rogers, 2 David Warner, 3 Shane Watson, 4 Steven Smith (capt), 5 Shaun Marsh, 6 Joe Burns, 7 Brad Haddin (wk), 8 Ryan Harris, 9 Mitchell Starc, 10 Josh Hazlewood, 11 Nathan Lyon.

Johnson is injured and could be replaced by Mitchell Starc, Ashton Agar, or Peter Siddle.  We believe they’ll use Starc, who gets the opportunity to once again revive a stop start test career.  He’s been good in the Big Bash League so at the very least he brings with him some good form.

India (likely): 1 M Vijay, 2 Shikhar Dhawan, 3 Cheteshwar Pujara, 4 Virat Kohli (capt), 5 Ajinkya Rahane, 6 Suresh Raina/KL Rahul, 7 Wriddhiman Saha (wk), 8 R Ashwin, 9 Bhuvneshwar Kumar/Umesh Yadav, 10 Varun Aaron, 11 Ishant Sharma.

India could be tempted to give KL Rahul another go after his terrible debut and may even consider him at the top of the order instead of Dhawan.  If not, Raina will come in at six.  Rumours are he has practiced extensively in the Sydney nets.  Bhuvneshwar Kumar could also come into the mix if he is over his injury concerns; Umesh Yada’s position is the most under threat if he does.  Wriddhiman Saha will take the gloves from MS Dhoni if he recovers from illness.  And lastly, Varun Aaron has returned to Australia after a funeral back home and should play instead of Mohammad Shami.

The Key Players

Shane Watson – For all of his talent Watson should have more than four test hundreds.  From 103 test innings’ in a nine year career the return is underwhelming for such a genuine match winner.  As much it would be nice to feature a key player at the top of their game and delivering the hundreds the public deserve, unfortunately, we’re picking Watson as a key player to save his test career.  He’s been steady with the ball in the series, but if the 33-year-old wants to book an Ashes ticket next year, he needs runs.

Wriddhiman Saha – After waiting patiently in the wings of an alright shadow, perhaps the most influential shadow in Indian cricket, Saha gets the opportunity to let his keeping do the talking.  One stumping chance aside, Saha gloved the ball nicely in Adelaide in his only start of the test series thus far, but he’s also going to play an important role with the bat.  Coming in at 7 it is crucial the 30-year-old manages to bat some time and forge a partnership with whichever set batsman he joins.  Otherwise the tail will continue their house of cards impression.

The Odds*

Australia – $1.70

Draw – $3.50

India – $5

*International Cricket odds courtesy of Bookmaker.com.au.

The Prediction

Australia 3-0.  I cannot see any other result in this one.  Even Melbourne’s draw was tight.  India only have three players on form (Vijay, Rahane, Kohli, with maybe a case for Ashwin) and it’s too much to ask for them to get the better of a quality Australia attack time and time again.  Form also means they are due failures.

If you fancy it, consider Warner and Watson for top 3 runscorers.  They were both playing in the SCG game where Phillip Hughes was fatally injured.  They’ll be looking to pay a special tribute in this match.

Cricket: Draw settles series in Australia’s favour

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Australia missed out on an opportunity to take a 3-0 lead in their series against India when the third test concluded in Melbourne yesterday, favouring instead, a safety first approach and an unassailable lead.

Much of the final day centred around Steven Smith’s declaration, and rather than give his bowlers plenty of time to bowl India out, Smith opted strangely to put the series beyond doubt (in the process possibly trying to give Shaun Marsh the opportunity to register a first home century) and ensure his side could not lose.  He declared Australia’s second innings at 318/9 to leave India a chase of 384 in 70 overs.

The total was never an option, especially as India fell to an alarming 19/3.  They did however manage to hold out.  They were six down when the game was abruptly called off by Smith and MS Dhoni; Australia running out of time but still winning the Border-Gavaskar trophy.

It was up to Virat Kohli and Ajinkya Rahane to do the bulk of the rescue work, not for the first time in the match.  The two look the most assured as Australia struggled to take the final wickets on a flat MCG wicket that produced its first draw for 17 years.  While they both fell in the final session, Dhoni, Cheteshwar Pujara and Ravichandran Aswin all took up enough valuable time to avoid defeat.  Earlier in the match Kohli and Rahane had also starred in a 262 run first innings partnership that saw India respond to Australia’s first innings 530 with 465 of their own.  Rahane had 147 and Kohli 169 in highly entertaining knocks both for their batsmanship and the confrontations with Mitchell Johnson.

Australia should never been allowed to set the first innings foundations for the fifth day win.  They were 216/5 when new boy Joe Burns was dismissed, but as there tail has done so often during the series, wagged as if it were a labrador at a dinner party.  Australia’s lower order (partnerships 6-10) have contributed 784 runs this series, India’s 389, and that difference was glaringly obvious as the Aussies recovered.  Steven Smith was yet again the hero for Australia.  He dug in for another century (third of the series, fifth of the year, seventh of career) and scored 192 important runs.  Ryan Harris was also a surprise package with the bat, enhancing his reputation as the hardest training bowler of his batting, and scoring 74.

Harris was also the most likely to take Indian wickets on the final day.  He, along with Johnson and Josh Hazlewwod, had two wickets, but he easily look the most threatening.  He didn’t have the ball in his hand at the time but he undoubtedly found Steven Smith’s decision not to bowl the final four overs of the game bizarre.

Four wickets in twenty four balls was a distinct possibility given India’s fragile lower order.  In the end, he must have determined the best retirement gift for MS Dhoni was to save him a possible loss.

Luxbet are still offering their top run scorer special for the fourth test in Sydney.  Place a Team High Bat bet (1st Inn) on the 3rd or 4th Australia vs India Test Matches, and if your player scores 50 or more in the first innings, they’ll give you a bonus bet equal to your stake up to $100.

Australia 530 (Smith 192) and 9 for 318 dec (Marsh 99, Rogers 69) drew with India 465 (Kohli 169, Rahane 147, Harris 4-70) and 6 for 174 (Kohli 54)

Cricket: Australia look to overpower troubled India

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Bay 13 at the MCG on Boxing Day is an institution.  Hot, rowdy, and full of Australia hundreds.  In the past Australian centuries on the 26th of December had been on the Christmas wish-lists of many Bay 13 cricket fans, and Santa almost always delivered.  This year, Warner and Smith will be leading the charge, and Bay 13 will be expecting big runs from their boys against an Indian bowling attack that last match struggled to dislodge any of Australia’s final four batsman.

A series that started with so much promise appears to be heading in the same direction as most other Indian tours of Australia – a whitewash.  It shouldn’t be though – the Indians have been competitive (rarely with the ball, but definitely with the bat) throughout and could have taken something from either of the first two games by winning the key sessions.

The viewing therefore, from Bay 13, will be of that of a dominant team against an underdog.  Powerful and confident Australia against an India side desperate to plug a leaky ship.  Either way and whoever you support, it should make for intriguing viewing.

The Last Time These Two Met

Brisbane served up an anti-climax after such a fascinating beginning to the series in Adelaide.  Although the Indians had two moments of opportunity on day one and day three the match finished abruptly and in a state of unrest.  Mitchell Johnson was the chief destroyer in the four wicket win, but it has also emerged that a dressing room spat between Virat Kohli and Shikhar Dhawan played a part too.

The Teams

Australia (likely): 1 Chris Rogers, 2 David Warner, 3 Shane Watson, 4 Steven Smith (capt), 5 Shaun Marsh, 6 Joe Burns, 7 Brad Haddin (wk), 8 Mitchell Johnson, 9 Ryan Harris, 10 Josh Hazlewood, 11 Nathan Lyon.

India (likely): 1 M Vijay, 2 Shikhar Dhawan, 3 Cheteshwar Pujara, 4 Virat Kohli, 5 Ajinkya Rahane, 6 Rohit Sharma, 7 MS Dhoni (capt,wk), 8 R Ashwin, 9 Bhuvneshwar Kumar/Varun Aaron, 10 Umesh Yadav, 11 Ishant Sharma.

The Key Players

Brad Haddin – Michael Clarke came out during the week in full support of his struggling wicket-keeper demanding he is a part of the Ashes squad next year.  However, Haddin’s form with the bat will need to drastically improve over the coming game to guarantee a plane seat.  Often the saviour for the home side, Haddin has been so short of runs in the series that Murphy (Law) is telling me he’s a good tip for top scorer in this one.

Ishant Sharma – The giant fast bowler has been in the spotlight this tour but not always for the right reasons.  There were rumours he was late to day four of the Brisbane test then had to buy food outside of the ground and wasn’t allowed back in, and he was also fined some of his match fee for offensive language.  Bowling wise he has mixed the good with the bad, and has struggled to find the consistency needed for the most experience bowler in the side.  Perhaps his three wickets in Australia’s second innings in Brisbane could turn around his fortunes.

The Odds*

Australia – $1.56

Draw – $4.00

India – $6.00

*International Cricket odds courtesy of BetEasy.

The Prediction

The media focus this week has been on India’s shambolic Brisbane defeat and the rumoured disharmony in the camp.  Therefore it’s difficult to predict anything other than an Australian victory.  There are some injury concerns for the hosts including Shaun March and Shane Watson but any replacements should be able to build on the Brisbane momentum and send Australia three clear.

Also have a look at these BetEasy options:

Highest Opening Partnership – India $2.15

Man of the Match – Brad Haddin $34.00

Cricket: Mean Johnson inspires Aussie win

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Mitchell Johnson returned to his aggressive bearded best on day four of the second Border-Gavaskar test in Brisbane with an emphatic display of angry seam bowling that temporarily reduced India to 117/6 and ultimately delivered a four wicket win.

The match didn’t follow the obvious theme established in game one.  In fact India were at several times in significant positions of strength before either gifting Australia back the momentum or having it wrestled back by Mitchell Johnson.

The imploding version happened initially during their first effort at bat.  After surviving a sweltering hot first day to finish on 311/4 the Indians struggled on day two, giving away their next six wickets for the addition of just 97 further runs.  The wickets of Ajinkya Rahane, Rohit Sharma, MS Dhonia and Ravichandran Ashwin undid Murali Vijay’s sensational effort of 144.  Only tiredness managed to dislodge Vijay when he lost concentration and tried to hit Lyon out of the ground.  The same couldn’t be said for the rest of the order as they lost their advantage to Josh Hazlewood and looseness.

Despite the collapse, the tourists were still in control as Australia failed to impress in their first innings.  They themselves fell to 247/6, still 161 behind.  Cue Johnson the batsman to rescue the situation and thrash the questionable short pitch bowling tactic.  Johnson had already been reminded that he had taken few wickets in the series (and none in the first innings) which appeared to spurn him on.  His response was to remind the Indian batsmen how few runs some of them had scored as he tore into the Indian attack for 88.  His role was the aggressor in a partnership with century maker and first time captain Steven Smith, who continued his fine form for 133.  Even Mitchell Starc (52), Nathan Lyon (23), and Hazlewood (32) got in on the action to rub salt into the fast bowlers’ wounds – Australia led by 97.

India survived the night – comfortably reaching 71/1.  However, Shikhar Dhawan couldn’t bat in the morning after taking an unpopular knock in the practice nets, leaving Virat Kohli just five minutes to try and settle into his work.  He couldn’t and India lost the plot to a menacing Johnson.  His morning spell was worth 3-14 and in truth was the winning of the game.

A target of just 128 was never going to truly test Australia, and even though they did lose six wickets getting there, that was in a final session that drifted in a lazy manner until the end, rather than any great Indian bowling.  Chris Rogers guided the chase skilfully outlining his benefit to Australia in a range of conditions.  He backed up his first innings 55 with a second 55 to ease any nerves in the Australian camp.  Steven Smith narrowly took out the man of the match award from Johnson and Hazlewood for his third score in the series at a crucial time.

Once more the game could easily be classified as times of fight vs. times of one-sidedness.  We fear now that most of the fight may have left the Indians as they resign themselves to another overseas whitewash.  That and their inability to take twenty wickets means they’ll struggle in the rest of the series.  Unibet agrees with their just updated series odds below:

Series Odds*

Australia 4-0 – $2.20

Australia 3-1 – $5.50

Australia 3-0 – $3.5

Australia 2-1 – $12.00

Australia 2-0 – $13

Drawn 2-2 – $21

*Series odds from Unibet.

Australia 505 (Smith 133, Johnson 88) and 6 for 130 (Rogers 55) beat India 408 (Vijay 144, Rahane 81) and 224 (Dhawan 81, Johnson 4-61) by four wickets

Cricket: Big Bash League Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The fourth stanza of the Big Bash League gets underway tonight.  We review all the teams; their best players; and their chances of winning the T20 showpiece, with odds from Bet365.

Adelaide Strikers

The squad: Johan Botha, Jonathon Dean, Travis Head, Brad Hodge, Jon Holland, Michael Neser, Craig Simmons, Ben Laughlin, Trent Lawford, Tim Ludeman, Kieron Pollard, Gary Putland, Kane Richardson, Alex Ross, Chadd Sayers, Shaun Tait, Adam Zampa.

The player to watch: Kieron Pollard is easily the most destructive batsman in the Strikers squad if not the entire tournament.  He’s warmed up nicely by smashing six 6’s in a recent warm up game and is set to torment opposing bowlers in the coming weeks.  The hugely experienced T20 traveller is also a handy medium paced bowler as well as possessing bucket like catching mitts.

The odds: $8.00

The history: sixth, fifth, seventh

The 2014 chances: The Strikers don’t have the best record in the Big Bash League, but they may surprise if Pollard, Hodge and Simmons can come off. regularly.  In Laughlin and Richardson they have two high quality T20 bowlers but we can’t see them making it into the finals this year.

Brisbane Heat

The squad: Joe Burns, Daniel Christian, Ben Cutting, Ryan Duffield, Jason Floros, Peter Forrest, Cameron Gannon, James Hopes, Mitchell Johnson, Chris Lynn, Alister McDermott, Simon Milenko, James Peirson, Nathan Reardon, Mark Steketee, Dan Vettori, Shane Watson, Andrew Flintoff.

The player to watch: Andrew Flintoff. The Heat’s recruitment policy is clearly to opt for older overseas players.  The ageing Daniel Vettori has been joined by English import Andrew Flintoff for the 2014 edition of the BBL.  Once a fearsome fast bowler also capable of giving it a decent whack, Flintoff is now 37 and played just three of Lancashire’s T20 matches last season back home. Flintoff is expected to have a heavy workload especially after Samuel Badree’s recent injury – that makes him our player to watch.

The odds: $7.00

The history: fifth, fourth (winners), fifth

The 2014 chances: Much like the other sides in the competition the test for the Heat will be whether their fringe players and domestic warriors can cover the loss of Watson and Johnson on Australia duty.  Cutting, Lynn and Christian are now vastly experienced players at this level and will need to perform exceedingly well to match their efforts in 2012/13.

Hobart Hurricanes

The squad: George Bailey, Travis Birt, Tim Bresnan, Cameron Boyce, Xavier Doherty, Ben Dunk, Evan Gulbis, Alex Hales, Ben Hilfenhaus, Joe Mennie, Dominic Michael, Tim Paine, Sam Rainbird, Jake Reed, Darren Sammy, Timm van der Gugten, Jonathan Wells, Beau Webster, Michael Hill.

The player to watch: Alex Hales. The Englishmen is no stranger to the attention of the Big Bash League.  He marked his arrival to the competition by smashing 89 in BBL2 and has since gone on to become the third ranked T20 batsman in the World.  He’s nit in the best form but this format suits him to a tee as he showed during the World T20 earlier in the year, becoming the first Englishman to score a century in the format.

The odds: $6.00

The history: second, sixth, fourth

The 2014 chances: The Hurricanes have recruited four overseas players to fill the gaps in their squad but we are of the view that none of them are of the quality needed to win the competition.  They still have power don’t get us wrong, Dunk, Bailey and Birt are all proven at this level, but we can’t see them being a factor at the end of the tournament.

Melbourne Renegades

The squad: Fawad Ahmed, Thomas Beaton, Dwayne Bravo, Tom Cooper, Alex Doolan, Callum Ferguson, Aaron Finch, Jayde Herrick, Peter Nevill, Aaron O’Brien, James Pattinson, Nathan Rimmington, Ben Rohrer, Andre Russell, Matthew Short, Peter Siddle, Matthew Wade, Nicholas Winter. Overseas replacement player: Jesse Ryder

The player to watch: Aaron Finch is one of Australia’s most important limited overs players. He captains the T20 side and is also a mainstay of the ODI team.  His excellent performances against South Africa in the recent series outlined his importance to the Renegades.  Expect big things from Finch.

The odds: $7.50

The history: seventh, first, sixth

The 2014 chances: Pretty good.  Perhaps a little light in bowling which may come back to haunt them throughout the Big Bash League.  However, they have recruited well, all of their overseas players are capable of match winning innings.  Worth a punt to take it out.

Melbourne Stars

The squad: Michael Beer, Jackson Bird, Scott Boland, James Faulkner, Luke Feldman, Peter Handscomb, John Hastings, David Hussey, Alexander Keath, Glenn Maxwell, Clint McKay, Kevin Pietersen, Rob Quiney, Clive Rose, Marcus Stoinis, Cameron White, Daniel Worrall, Luke Wright

The player to watch: Glenn Maxwell. Anyone in the side really but we’ve earmarked Glenn Maxwell for greatness this time around. The “Big Show” is an innovative strokemaker with an impressive strike rate wherever he bats.  Even his off spin has the x-factor required to win games so he is quite obviously the player to watch.

The odds: $4.33

The history: fourth, third, first

The 2014 chances: If their fellow city goers the Renegades are a pretty good chance, then the Stars are an excellent chance.  They have a formidable line-up and have performed well in all previous BBL’s.  Wright and Pietersen should be available for much of the tournament to help deliver the much needed trophy for the glamour franchise.

Perth Scorchers

The squad: Ashton Agar, Yasir Arafat, Jason Behrendorff, Michael Carberry, Hilton Cartwright, Nathan Coulter-Nile, Brad Hogg, Michael Klinger, Mitchell Marsh, Shaun Marsh, James Muirhead, Joel Paris, Ashton Turner, Andrew Tye, Adam Voges, Sam Whiteman.

The player to watch: If injuries and Australia commitments don’t prevent Marsh form turning out for the Scorchers then expect him to clear the boundary on more occasions than anyone else in the competition.  Marsh is one of the biggest hitters of a cricket ball in the country and has also been one of the main reasons for their success in the Big Bash League thus far.

The odds: $6.50

The history: first, third, third (winners)

The 2014 chances: It would be stupid to write off a side that has hosted each of the three Big Bash League finals.  The Scorchers get tremendous support at the WACA and will again go close this year.  One thing they have always done well is their slow bowling, and this year should be no different with Agar and Hogg supporting the death bowling nous of Yasir Arafat.

Sydney Sixers

The squad: Sean Abbott, Doug Bollinger, Ryan Carters, Trent Copeland, Ed Cowan, Benjamin Dwarshuis, Brad Haddin, Josh Hazelwood, Moises Henriques, Brett Lee, Michael Lumb, Nathan Lyon, Nic Maddinson, Stephen O’Keefe, Jordan Silk, Steven Smith, Mitchell Starc.

The player to watch: Jordan Silk is no that well known in Australia cricket but he should be.  In fact he’s probably best known for his catching and fielding more than his batting.  But on his day he is a talented player and an exciting prospect for the future.  Could the BBL4 be the time for Silk to shine.

The odds: $8.00

The history: third (winners), seventh, second

The 2014 chances: If you won the toss and had Abbot, Bollinger, Copeland, Halewood, Henriques, Lee and Starc in your team what would you do?  Exactly, bowling is the strength of the Sixers and they’ll need to knock over teams cheaply to get anywhere near qualification for the Champions League T20.

Sydney Thunder

The squad: Ahillen Beadle, Aiden Blizzard, Patrick Cummins, Jake Doran, Christopher Green, Chris Hartley, Nathan Hauritz, Daniel Hughes, Michael Hussey, Jacques Kallis, Usman Khawaja, Josh Lalor, Andrew McDonald, Eoin Morgan, Dirk Nannes, Kurtis Patterson, Gurinder Sandhu, Christopher Tremain.

The player to watch: Jacques Kallis never actually had the best T20 career for South Africa or for Kolkata in the IPL.  Nevertheless, the soon to be 40-year old still brings an element of quality that the Thunder have always been lacking.  News yesterday is that Khawaja is out for nine months increasing the pressure on Kallis to perform.

The odds: $13.00

The history: eighth, eighth, eighth

The 2014 chances: Excellent chance….of registering a fourth consecutive eighth placed finish.  Not enough quality; too much pressure on Hussey, Kallis, Morgan and Cummins; and a lack of confidence in the Big Bash League.

Cricket: Smith leads Australian team full of changes

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The Gabba is the new WACA as far as Australian cricket pitches go.  It’s full of pace, bounce, and for the Indian batsmen, fear.  Fresh from a modest paced and decidedly easy batting surface in Adelaide the Indians now face a much sterner test on the more bowler friendly Brisbane strip.  The surface is expected to be much more like the surfaces the Indian batsmen have historically struggled on; the recipe is the WACA from 2012 where India were bundled out for 161 and 171.

That puts India on the back foot immediately, but there could be silver linings in the return of their inspiration leader and the vast number of changes to the opposing side.  Both sides have new captains at the helm for game two; one with all the experience under the sun, and the other with zero – thrust into the spotlight as the third youngest captain in Australia’s test history.  If Steven Smith’s batting is any indication as to captaincy ability, he’ll be fine, but the World will be watching in earnest as to whether he can command the respect of senior players like Shane Watson, Brad Haddin and Warner who all would have had their own captaincy ambitions.

MS Dhoni certainly commands respect and he’ll also bring a more conservative game plan to his teams approach; he’ll likely be a little more defensive / pragmatic than Virat Kohli.  The Gabba surface won’t only favour the home side; Ishant Sharma, Varun Aaron and Mohammed Shami could find assistance in the bouncy deck if they pitch the ball up and don’t get carried away bowling short stuff.  They will, however, need to bowl a much tighter line to David Warner if they don’t want the game to get away from them in the first session again.

The Last Time These Two Met

Game one will go down in history as an absolute classic, not only for the emotional ties to Phillip Hughes’ but also for the scintillating individual performances.  Two players scored hundreds in both innings (David Warner and Virat Kohli) and Steven Smith scored an unbeaten hundred followed by an uneaten fifty.  Then there was Nathan Lyon.  In fairness Australia were the better side through most of the game and will take more momentum and confidence into this one.

The Teams

Australia: 1 Chris Rogers, 2 David Warner, 3 Shane Watson, 4 Steven Smith (capt), 5 Shaun Marsh, 6 Mitchell Marsh, 7 Brad Haddin (wk), 8 Mitchell Johnson, 9 Mitchell Starc, 10 Josh Hazlewood, 11 Nathan Lyon.

Injuries to Michael Clarke and Ryan Harris sees Shaun Marsh and Josh Hazlewood given a chance to prove their wares.  Marsh is well tested at this level and should suit the lower order more than his previous struggles at 3.  Exciting quickie Josh Hazlewood earns his baggy green on the back of some impressive one day form.  Mitchell Starc replaces the ineffective Peter Siddle in the other change.

India: 1 M Vijay, 2 Shikhar Dhawan, 3 Cheteshwar Pujara, 4 Virat Kohli, 5 Ajinkya Rahane, 6 Rohit Sharma, 7 MS Dhoni (capt,wk), 8 R Ashwin, 9 Varun Aaron, 10 Ishant Sharma, 11 Umesh Yadav.

MS Dhoni is expected to return to captain the side.  He’ll add some middle order stability that was lacking with Wriddhiman Saha in the side.  Ravichandran Ashwin is also added at the expense of Karn Sharma.

The Key Players

Steven Smith – Everything Smith does in this test will be questioned.  The toss, the bowling rotations, the field placements and his batting.  He can probably withstand the heightened attention on his batting and the quality of the Australian team should paper over any cracks in his captaincy.  Much like the coaching of John Buchanan when he inherited such a strong side nothing could go wrong.

Rohit Sharma – For someone that has two ODI double hundreds (including a top score of 264) Sharma hasn’t exactly excelled in the test environment.  Admittedly he has been in and out of the squad and also frustratingly waiting patiently for a chance while Dravid, Laxman, and Tendulkar finished their careers.  However, his record needs to improve.  He needs to kick on from the starts.  He needs a big score.

The Odds*

Australia – $1.55

Draw – $4.25

India – $5.00

*International Cricket odds courtesy of Luxbet.

The Prediction

Australia will be far to strong on the bouncy surface.  The bounce tests the Indian batsmen techniques too much and all of them are susceptible to defending with their hands and half a bat outside off stump.  Expect the Australia seamers to have a field day and win this one by an innings.