South Africa’s concern over their revamped batting line-up was misguided. In their first outing without Smith and Kallis (and Duminy to an extent) the side amassed a whopping 552/5 to ease the worry about the post veteran era. The truth is however, that their opponents are significantly weaker and are unlikely to test too many international batting lineups, especially given the uncertainty surrounding the WICB and with their bowling likely to suffer with the injury to Kemar Roach.
Port Elizabeth shapes as a test of depth for the West Indians. The players are the best available save for injuries and now they just need to prove it. While the tour will provide a heap of experience for youngsters like Blackwood and Johnson, for the sake of the cricket it still needs to be an even contest and for that reason it needs runs from the pair; along with more telling contributions from Chanderpaul, Smith and Ramdin.
The Last Time These Two Met
The first test went exactly to plan for the favourites. Their batsman got some valuable crease time and added centuries to their career stats columns. What’s more their new number six (and possible opening solution if Alviro Petersen continues to fail) got in on the act too. Stiaan van Zyl scoring 101* to match hundreds from AB de Villiers and Hashim Amla. That meant South Africa only needed to bat once as the West Indies struggled to just 201 and 131 with none of their batsmen passing 40.
The Teams
South Africa (likely): 1 Alviro Petersen, 2 Dean Elgar, 3 Faf du Plessis, 4 Hashim Amla (capt), 5 AB de Villiers (wk), 6 Stiaan van Zyl, 7 Temba Bavuma, 8 Vernon Philander, 9 Dale Steyn, 10 Morne Morkel, 11 Imran Tahir
South Africa have lost wicketkeeper Quinton de Kock for the series to an ankle injury which will see AB de Villiers take back the gloves to assist the balance of the team. The final batting spot should go to Temba Bavuma in a historic selection. Kyle Abbott is also out; Imran Tahir replaces him.
West Indies (likely): 1 Kraigg Brathwaite, 2 Devon Smith, 3 Leon Johnson, 4 Marlon Samuels, 5 Shivnarine Chanderpaul, 6 Jermaine Blackwood, 7 Denesh Ramdin (capt, wk), 8 Jerome Taylor, 9 Shannon Gabriel, 10 Sulieman Benn, 11 Sheldon Cottrell
Shannon Gabriel for Kemar Roach is expected to be the only change.
The Key Players
Dale Steyn – Steyn had no wickets in the first innings at Centurion but destroyed the West Indies in the second dig snaring 6 in just over 8 overs. It was his 25th five wicket haul and further outlined his potency in his home conditions. He is so effective on bouncing wickets and Port Elizabeth should be be no different. I hope for the West Indies sake they have tightened their back foot defence in preparation for some Steyn chin music.
Shivnarine Chanderpaul – It’s rare when Chanderpaul doesn’t score runs. For someone that has scored over 11,000 test match runs at an average above 52 there are not many rough patches. However, he may be going through one at the moment. It may only be three innings but the 40 year old has struggled in South Africa thus far. He followed up his warm up game duck with 21 and 4 in the first test, getting caught behind the wicket on both occasions. The tourists will be desperate for Shiv to bounce back from the double failure and rediscover the form he had in the Bangladesh series.
The Odds*
South Africa – $1.22
Draw – $5.00
West Indies – $15.00
*International Cricket odds courtesy of Ladbrokes Australia.
The Prediction
The menacing South African pace attack of Steyn, Philander and Morkel will inevitably be too skilful for a West Indies team that is missing two quality batsman to pose any real threat. The South African batsman could really feast out on the West Indies attack too, so steer clear of any low odd run scoring and lump on a South African win.
