Cricket World Cup: Day 1 Preview

Welcome to Betcirca’s coverage of the 2015 Cricket World Cup.  We’ll be bringing you a preview and a recap of each and everyday of the tournament – posing three important questions about the day’s play or the tournament thus far.  We’ll also preview each game with odds from BetEasy, while also keeping an eye on tournament betting odds and the leading wicket takers and run scorers.

Welcome to Day One.

The Three Big Questions

Of the spate of injuries and withdrawals announced so far, whose is the most worrying for their team’s chances?

Mohammad Hafeez, Ishant Sharma, Sunil Narine, Junaid Khan, and James Faulkner have all either pulled out of the tournament or have had their chances of playing a part diminished on account of injury or bowling action concerns.  Of those, two stick out as crucial.  Narine has confused batsman for years and might just be the best limited overs bowler going around.  After remodelling his action he was back to his best in a recent match for Trinidad & Tobago where he took 6/9, but has pulled out over doubts about his new action.  He’s a huge loss for a West Indies team that is lacking in inspiration and likely to struggle at the Cricket World Cup.

Likewise, Faulkner is one of the best death hitters in the business, as well as contributing key overs when required.  His injury is not expected to keep him out of the entire tournament but if kept out of the knockout stages is a huge blow to Australia’s chances.

Will this be the year New Zealand finally gets past the semi-finals?

The six-time semi finalists have never made it to the showcase event of a Cricket World Cup.  Neither have they ever really been expected to though (save for 1992 when they were arguably the form team during the round robin stages).  2015 is different.  The Black Caps are being backed heavily by experts and amateurs alike.  They have a balanced side, form, and home soil as factors aiding their cause.  But we’re of the view that they won’t like the added pressure or expectation of being contenders.  They’ll be beaten by eventual finalists South Africa or Australia in the semi…again.

Will Michael Clarke’s inclusion hinder or help the Australians?

There has been plenty of media coverage about whether the Australian team is more harmonious with or without Michael Clarke.  The team has thrived with Steven Smith (or George Bailey) at the helm, and the uncertainty over Clarke’s fitness and his differences with the bosses of Cricket Australia, could become an unwelcome distraction as the home team attempt to life their fifth Cricket World Cup.  The one thing in Clarke’s favour is Bailey’s woeful form.  Despite being more destructive than Clarke at his best, Bailey’s recent woes will mean Clarke slots straight back in, and Australia are better for it.

Today’s Matchups

1. New Zealand v Sri Lanka, Hagley Oval (Christchurch – overcast conditions forecasted), starts 11:00am local time.

New Zealand – $1.52

Sri Lanka – $2.55

Having just beaten Sri Lanka 4-2 in a pre-tournament series, New Zealand start as obvious favourites.  New Zealand were clinical in most of their efforts in the series and also followed up with a 2-0 win over Pakistan.  However, they were troubled at times (falling to 5 down for less than 150 on three occasions), and add to the the Lasith Malinga factor and this one could be much closer than the odds suggest.

2. Australia v England, Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne – chance of showers), starts 2:30pm local time

Australia – $1.36

England – $3.15

The second game of the day also features two teams who have only recently squared off.  During the Carlton Mid Tri-Series Australia beat England on three occasions (two of them emphatically and one where they chased down over 300).  Australia are therefore overwhelming favourites and should be too strong at the home of Australian cricket.

Today’s Multi

The World Cup Welcome ‘W’ Multi

Kane Williamson (Top Score) + Shane Watson (Top Score) – $18.75

Cricket World Cup: Betting Specials

Many of the major Australia bookmakers are offering specials on the Cricket World Cup.  We’ve scoured the best offers and summarised them for you below.  Happy Betting!

Sportsbet Australia

World Cup Money Back Special!

  • Place a Top Runscorer Team A or Team B bet on a Cricket World Cup match
  • If your bet loses but your selection hits a 6, we’ll refund your bet up to $100!
  • Your first bet for each team’s Top Runscorer is eligible, so you can take advantage of this special twice per match!

Max $100 refund per team, applies to Top Runscorer Team A or Team B markets only, first bet per team eligible, online bets only*

 

Ladbrokes Australia

1. Cricket World Cup Batters Bonus

Bonus bet if your player is bowled or out LBW.

Have a top batsman bet in ANY World Cup match, and if your player is either bowled or out LBW, you’ll get your stake back as a bonus bet. Max bet $100.

2. Cash Back – Cricket World Cup

.Money back if Australia score 250+ runs but lose!

Australia play England in their first World Cup match, and this is an offer too good to refuse! Have a bet on the Aussie’s in head to head market, and if they score 250+ runs but lose, you’ll get your CASH BACK! That’s money back in your account to have another crack. Max bet $100.

 

BetEasy

World Cup Bonus

  • Place a bet on the Australia Top Run Scorer Market for any of Australia’s group matches
  • We’ll match your stake up to $25 with a Bonus Bet to place on the Australia Top Wicket Taker Market for that match!

Applies to your first Australia Top Run Scorer bet on each group match involving Australia.

 

TopBetta

World Cup Cricket – Bigger Bat Promo

It’s World Cup Cricket on TopBetta and throughout the competition we are boosting each batsmans willow by 50%! Pick the Top Batsman in either team market (EG: Top New Zealand Batsman and Top Sri Lankan Batsman) and if he does knock up the most runs we will increase your odds and payout by 50%!

 

PalmerBet

ICC World Cup Top Run Scorer Promotion

How does it work?

A Free Bet Reload applies to all Top Runs scorer bets placed on all ICC World cup matches that select a player who scores 50 runs or more in his innings and does not win the Top run scorer market.

 

TAB Australia

High Bat Money Back

Place a High Bat bet on any player in the Cricket World Cup and if your batsman scores 50 or more runs but doesn’t top score, we’ll give you your money back.

 

 

Cricket World Cup Preview – Top Run Scorers

In no particular order here’s our list of batsman we expect to be near the top of the run scorer charts at the Cricket World Cup beginning on February 14th in Australia and New Zealand.

1. David Warner

54 matches, 1702 runs, 32.73 average, 3 hundreds, 10 fifties, 163 high score

Arguably one of the most destructive batsman in the game will never have abetter opportunity to contribute to a World Cup campaign.  The tournament, on home soil after a difficult summer, presents an opportunity to improve on his relatively mediocre and set himself in the limelight that he so obviously craves.  Warner’s fearless approach will be well suited to the Australian conditions, and his presence will strike fear in opposition bowling attacks.  He’s the bookies favourite to top score in the tournament.

Odds – $9.00

2. Kumar Sangakkara

397 matches, 13693 runs, 40.99 average, 21 hundreds, 93 fifties, 169 high score

When people talk about Lara, Ponting, Tendulkar and Kallis as the modern greats they often overlook on of the very best.  Kumar Sangakkara epitomises class and professionalism, and his record in every corner of the globe speaks for itself.  Sangakara arrives at the tournament in peak form after a successful New Zealand tour and won’t miss out too often in the tournement.  Thus, he’s a good pick for top run scorer.

Odds – $15.00

3. Kane Williamson

65 matches, 2452 runs, 46.26 average, 6 hundreds, 15 fifties, 145* high score

If Martin Crowe was the batting catalyst for New Zealand’s semi final run in the 1992 World Cup, then Kane Williamson is destined to play a similar role in 2015.  The most accomplished New Zealand batsman has an uncomplicated technique and is building in confidence just before the commencement.  Over the past two years he is average over 74 in the ODI game and has slowly added more flamboyance to aid his scoring rate.  He’ll go very close to being the best batsman in this edition.

Odds – $15.00

4. Virat Kohli

150 matches, 6232 runs, 51.50 average, 21 hundreds, 33 fifties, 183 high score

The Indian showman owns an incredible one day international record.  The one-day format is where Kohli announced his arrival into the top echelon of international batsman with a raft of composed hundreds in winning chases.  Kohli’s in peak form too after he scored hundred after hundred in the test series against Australia.  If India manage to get themselves into the semi-finals Kohli will be near the top of the run scoring charts.

Odds – $15.00

5. AB de Villiers

179 matches, 7459 runs, 52.16 average, 19 hundreds, 43 fifties, 149 high score

The best batsman in the world faces only one obstacle in taking out the top run scorer honours at the World Cup.  That is his teams inability to close out games, or to put it another way, his teams tendency to choke on the big stage.  If they progress to the final de Villiers will be a big part of the march and his ability to score all over the park, at a good clip, makes him a batsman to watch.

Odds – $14.00

6. Hashim Amla

107 matches, 5359 runs, 56.41 average, 19 hundreds, 27 fifties, 153* high score

Alma’s record speaks for itself.  After taking some time to develop a blueprint for ODI runs, Amla has stuck to it impeccably and continues to score runs in every series he plays.  Strong off the back foot and with supple wrists to manoeuvre the ball into gaps, the conditions should suit Amla.  His technique is also more than capable to cope with early movement and bounce  if it comes his way.  Second favourite to top the table.

Odds – $11.00

7. Rohit Sharma

127 matches, 3890 runs, 38.90 average, 6 hundreds, 23 fifties, 264 high score

The holder of the record for the highest score in a ODI has always been a prodigious talent.  Unfortunately though, fans have not always seen enough of him as he had a tendency to throw his wicket away will nonchalant lapses.  However, many feel he has turned the corner after his mammoth double hundred, and he’s scored runs recently too against Australia in Melbourne.

Odds – $21.00

8. Brendon McCullum

240 matches, 5480 runs, 30.27 average, 5 hundreds, 27 fifties, 166 high score

The New Zealand captain has transformed his side from World Cup also-rans into genuine contenders, and the belief he has in his side is very much evident in his own approach to batting.  In the Warner mould, McCullum has opted to open the innings for his side at this World Cup and deliver the type of flyers that are likely to lend themselves to big totals.  McCullum has delivered rapid runs in test cricket over the past 12 months and just needs to build on the cameos he’s contributed during the recent Sri Lanka and Pakistan series’ in order to guide his side to the trophy.

Odds – $15.00

9. Mahela Jayawardene

441 matches, 12525 runs, 33.48 average, 18 hundreds, 77 fifties, 144 high score

The second  veteran in the Sri Lankan middle order is Mahela Jayawardene.  The vastly experience stroke- maker is one of the best batsman to watch when in full flight and Sri Lankan fans and neutrals will be hoping for plenty of crease time for the diminutive right hander.  The World Cup swan song is the perfect opportunity for Jayawardene to end his exemplary career on a high.  Jayawardene also has a history of big game runs and in the 2011 Cricket World Cup final made an epic hundred.

Odds – $34.00

10. Steven Smith

50 matches, 1147 runs, 35.84 average, 3 hundreds, 3 fifties, 104 high score

Probably the most improved cricket on the face of the planet.  Once a bit part leg spinner, table end slogger and specialist fielder, Smith is now a world class batsman in every format of the game.  He’s in the form of his life after a dominant test and ODI series against India (and England).  Has a strange technique that opposition bowlers struggle to adapt to and has developed an uncanny knack of hitting it to difficult areas of the ground.  His pre-delivery movement opens up the entire ground for both cute glances an power blows.

Odds – $13.00

Cricket World Cup Preview – Team by Team Guide

We’ve put together a comprehensive guide of every side competing in the Cricket World Cup with odds from Beteasy.

Afghanistan

History: Despite taking part in three editions of the World Twenty20, Afghanistan are yet to take part in the 50-over format. 2015 is a new era for Afghanistan cricket.

Form: Afghanistan had an excellent Premier League tournament in Malaysia where they won four out of their five matches.  They followed that with a tied series against Zimbabwe, and then toured New Zealand and Australia playing first class sides to varying levels of success.  They also managed to sneak in another series against fellow World Cup newcomers UAE where they lost 3-1.

Squad: Mohammad Nabi (capt), Afsar Zazai (wk), Aftab Alam, Asghar Stanikzai, Dawlat Zadran, Gulbadin Naib, Hamid Hassan, Javed Ahmadi, Mirwais Ashraf, Najibullah Zadran, Nasir Jamal, Nawroz Mangal, Samiullah Shenwari, Shapoor Zadran, Usman Ghani.

StrengthsLed by Hamid Hassan Afghanistan possess a decent pace bowling unit.  They are also coached by former New Zealand coach Andy Moles, who is an excellent planner.  He should be able to get the best out of his players and provide valuable insights into opposition players.

Weaknesses: A lack of x-factor is the glaring worry.  They rely too heavily on captain Mohammad Nabi, and  the others may get found out.  Would love to be wrong though (and we do think they’ll do very well in future World Cups).

Player to Watch: Hamid Hassan is in the rare-breed of sub-continent quicks who can generate express pace.  Capable of bowling 145km/h, Hassan will love the pitches of Australia and New Zealand.

Odds: $1001

Australia

History: Australia is the most successful nation in Cricket World Cup history, having won the trophy four times (1987, 1999, 2003, 2007).  Their most recent effort was a quarter-final loss to India in 2011.

Form: Australia wrapped up their preparations with an easy win in the Carlton Mid Tri-Series final.  In fact, the favourites have lost just one of their last eight ODIs; all played against India, England or South Africa.  Ominous form.

Squad: George Bailey, Michael Clarke (capt), Patrick Cummins, Xavier Doherty, James Faulkner, Aaron Finch, Brad Haddin (wk), Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Johnson, Mitchell Marsh, Glenn Maxwell, Steve Smith, Mitchell Starc, David Warner, Shane Watson.

StrengthsBalance and depth come to mind when you think of Australia’s strengths.  They bode a fearsome mix of power, craft, aggression and patience and are likely to be able to call upon any of their players to deliver a match-winning performance.  Intent is another term that can describe the mindset of both their top order batsman and wicket-taking seam attack.

Weaknesses: The only hole in the line-up is a world class spin option.  For the second consecutive Cricket World Cup Australia enter the tournament without a recognised slow bowler capable of taking big wickets. Xavier Doherty might not even play that often as Australia rely on Maxwell to play the containing spin role.

Player to Watch: If David Warner can avoid getting himself banned for some stupid sledging incident he could be a big factor in this World Cup.  One century in an otherwise quiet Carlton Mid Tri Series means he due to punish opposition bowling attacks.  The matches against associate nations could springboard him into some form for later in the tournament.

Odds: $2.90

Bangladesh

History: 2007 was the highlight in an otherwise underwhelming record at World Cups.  In that year they beat India to make the group stage but haven’t made it there in any of the other tournaments.  Have won only eight of 26 World Cup games.

Form: Bangladesh began 2014 searching for a win for the longest time, but as its recent 5-0 rout of Zimbabwe at home shows, the signs were there of the side coming together well.  It played 18 ODIs in 2014, winning five, losing 12 and with one match against India in Dhaka abandoned due to rain.

Squad: Mashrafe Mortaza (capt), Tamim Iqbal, Anamul Haque, Mominul Haque, Shakib Al Hasan (vice-capt), Mahmudullah Riaz, Mushfiqur Rahim (wk), Nasir Hossain, Taijul Islam, Taskin Ahmed, Al-Amin Hossain, Rubel Hossain, Soumya Sarkar, Sabbir Rahman, Arafat Sunny.

StrengthsBangladesh could play as many as four spinners in their run on World Cup side in what is an obvious strength.  They won’t get too many pitchers that turn, and the small grounds of New Zealand won’t suit them, but may take wickets by benefitting from some team’s aggressive pursuit of runs.

Weaknesses:  Too often the likes of Shakib, Mushfiqur and Mahmudullah are tasked with picking up the pieces.  If Bangladesh are to do well in this tournament the top order must contribute.

Player to Watch: Shakib Al Hasan is one of the best players to ever play for Bangladesh (if not the best).  He consistently gets runs and wickets in all situations with his handy left arm spin and quality ball striking.  For a little guy he has an uncanny knack of finding the boundary, and his round arm slingers have already proven effective in Australia after a brief Big Bash League stint.

Odds: $201

England

History: Pretty woeful recent results (9th, 6th and 7th) have masked earlier success in which they finished second on three occasions.

Form: England have not won an ODI series since beating West Indies in their last four attempts.  After discarding Alastair Cook, England have appointed Eoin Morgan to lead them to glory.  To do so they need to get past their poor recent efforts.  Showed glimpses of form in the Carlton Mid Tri Series but still outsiders.

Squad: Moeen Ali, James Anderson, Gary Ballance, Ian Bell, Ravi Bopara, Stuart Broad, Jos Buttler (wk), Steven Finn, Alex Hales, Chris Jordan, Eoin Morgan (capt), Joe Root, James Taylor, James Tredwell, Chris Woakes.

StrengthsProbably seam bowling from Broad, Finn, Woakes and Anderson but even then they have struggled on their recent Australian tour.  Broad and Anderson are proven performers in Australia and Woakes and Finn took trip-series wickets too, so they could bundle out sides quickly if they have momentum.

Weaknesses: Moeen Ali is an ultra talented opener and off spinner, but it’s a lot to ask to do both.  Lacking a World Class spinner could hurt England and Ravi Bopara’s form is a big concern.

Player to Watch: Joe Root is handily placed to break-out as an ODI player during the World Cup.  Despite some epic test knocks he’s yet to really set the world alight despite being ranked 14th best in the World.  Root is one of those players who can accumulate quickly if he doesn’t get stuck on the crease and knick out as is often the way in Australia.

Odds: $11

India

History: Defending champions after a faultless run through the Asian hosted edition.  Also won in 1983 and finished second in 2003.

Form: Is inconsistent.  In 2014 in New Zealand they lost 4-0.  At home they beat the West Indies and Sri Lanka easily. But back to Australia they didn’t win a game in the tri-series.  The form in the conditions in which tournament will be played is a huge worry.

Squad: Ravichandran Ashwin, Stuart Binny, Shikhar Dhawan, MS Dhoni (capt & wk), Ravindra Jadeja, Virat Kohli, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Akshar Patel, Ajinkya Rahane, Suresh Raina, Ambati Rayudu, Mohammed Shami, Ishant Sharma, Rohit Sharma, Umesh Yadav.

StrengthsThe top order is undoubtedly the strength of the 2nd ranked ODI side.  In Rahane, Kohli, Rayudu, Dhawan and Raina they have players who can score big runs in the shorter format, and because they’ve been in Australia for such a long time, should be well suited to the conditions.  The draw has been kind to India too.  They play just two games at the bouncy WACA (against West Indies and UAE); a ground where their batsman may have struggled against quality opposition.

Weaknesses: The Indian seam bowling attack resembles a bit of a rabble at the moment.  Struggling in both the long formats and the shorter formats, the bowling is definitely the achilles heal of the squad.  That isn’t worrying India though, they are working on a theory whereby they play one more batsman and back themselves to chase any total.  Bowlers can concede as many as they do and their strength will bail them out.

Player to Watch: Virat Kohli is the third ranked ODI batsman in the world (and 12th best test batsman).  He has the ability to score big ODI hundreds, with 21 hundreds already to his name.  He has also been in one pretty decent form in Australia during the recent test series.  The only question is whether his shoulders can carry the weight of expectation that is now on him following Sachin Tendulkar’s retirement.

Odds: $10

Ireland

History: The Irish shocked everyone in 2007 when they qualified for the Super 8’s.  They couldn’t repeat that in 2011 but did upset England when they chased down 329 courtesy of Kevin O’Brien’s record breaking hundred.

Form: Have been okay against the minnows but hasn’t beaten a test playing nation since the last World Cup.  They are generally one of the better associate nations.

Squad: William Porterfield (capt), Andrew Balbirnie, Peter Chase, Alex Cusack, George Dockrell, Ed Joyce, Andrew McBrine, John Mooney, Max Sorensen, Kevin O’Brien, Niall O’Brien, Paul Stirling, Stuart Thompson, Gary Wilson, Craig Young.

StrengthsIn a word accuracy.  They might not have out and out speed demons but their bowlers are all accurate and stifling.  In Young, Mooney and Dockrell they have three bowlers who should frustrate the opposition enough to make mistakes.

Weaknesses:  The experienced Irish are getting on in age these days.  A large portion of their squad are now over thirty, and while theres no substitute for experience we think that will mean they’re behind the eight ball for most of their matches.  They could also struggle when the pace is taken off the ball.

Player to Watch: Ed Joyce has the strange honour of having represented two different sides in consecutive World Cups.  After playing for England in 2007, Joyce then switched back to Ireland for the 2011 version.  Joyce is also a quality player, who has a huge amount of first class cricket experience and is more than capable of helping Ireland to big totals.

Odds: $501

New Zealand

History: The Black Caps have reached six semi-finals from ten tournaments and boast a record of 40 wins, 29 losses (including a forfeit against Kenya in 2003) and a no result.

Form: The co-hosts are in top form.  After knocking off Sri Lanka 4-2, the Black Caps then beat Pakistan 2-0.  Further back still they beat Pakistan again in Dubai.  The draw has also been very kind to them as they play all of their round-robin games at home.

Squad: Brendon McCullum (captain), Corey Anderson, Trent Boult, Grant Elliott, Martin Guptill, Tom Latham, Mitchell McClenaghan, Nathan McCullum, Kyle Mills, Adam Milne, Luke Ronchi (wkt), Tim Southee, Ross Taylor, Daniel Vettori, Kane Williamson.

StrengthsThe New Zealand form is pretty special, and most of their players are in decent knick themselves.  They field sensationally, they are playing an aggressive brand of cricket and in front of their home crowd will be a force to be reckoned with.

Weaknesses: None in the makeup of the side, although they’ll be hoping Martin Guptill’s notoriously slow starts and inconsistency doesn’t derail them.  Belief could also be a factor as the Black Caps have made a host of Cricket World Cup semi-finals without ever making the final.

Player to Watch: Kane Williamson may be the most important player to any team in this tournament.  The rock in the New Zealand batting line-up Williamson holds New Zealand’s chances in his hands, despite their increased depth.  Williamson’s role is to bat through the middle overs so that McCullum, Taylor, Ronchi and Anderson can all play their naturally attacking games.  Williamson i s averaging 70 in one-day cricket matches for 2014/2015.

Odds: $6

Pakistan

History: The last time the tournament was hosted by Australia and New Zealand a star-studded Pakistan side won it.  Since then they were runners up to Australia in 1999, and semi-finalists most recently in 2011.

Form: Three consecutive ODI series defeats to Australia, New Zealand and New Zealand again mean Pakistan are not entering on the best foot. If we were being optimistic we would point out their impressive test form in 2014.

Squad: Ahmed Shehzad, Ehsan Adil, Haris Sohail, Misbah-ul-Haq (capt), Mohammad Hafeez, Mohammad Irfan, Sarfraz Ahmed (wk), Shahid Afridi, Sohaib Maqsood, Sohail Khan, Umar Akmal, Wahab Riaz, Yasir Shah, Younis Khan.

StrengthsExperience is important in World Cups.  Pakistan have it by the game-load.  In Younis Khan, Misbah, Hafeez and Afridi Pakistan have proven performers who could guide their side to the final staes of the comp.  They’ll need runs from all of them if they are going to compete.

Weaknesses:  The Pakistan seam bowling stocks have taken a bit of a hit.  Junaid Khan is out, Wahab Riaz is injured, and Bilawal Bhatti got smashed all round the place by New Zealand.  Come to think about it, their spin bowling stocks have also been reduced with Saeed Ajmal’s ban.

Player to Watch: Shahid Afridi has x-factor by the bucket load.  Even at 34, he will still play an important role with both bat and ball.  A top 10 ranked bowler and a destructive batsman is desirous in every team, and we’ll be watching his every move.

Odds: $15

Scotland

History: Scotland have not won a World Cup game in two appearances (1999, 2007).

Form: The Scots were excellent in World Cup qualification where they won seven straight games.  They also had some experience in Australia and New Zealand in a pre-Christmas tour of first class outfits.

Squad: Preston Mommsen (capt), Richie Berrington, Kyle Coetzer, Freddie Coleman, Matthew Cross (wk), Josh Davey, Alasdair Evans, Hamish Gardiner, Majid Haq, Michael Leask, Matt Machan, Calum MacLeod, Safyaan Sharif, Rob Taylor, Iain Wardlaw.

StrengthsMommsen, Coetzer, Machan are all excellent batsman in their own right.  Aggressive stroke-makers who often attempt to take the game to opposition bowlers, they also represent the best chance of winning games.

Weaknesses: As much as Mommsen, Coetzer, Machan are the strengths of the side, they also represent a reliance or a weakness for the Northern underdogs. If these three don’t score runs, Scotland won’t either, and won’t win games.

Player to Watch: Majid Haq is a quality spinner with over 200 games experience.  The crafty veteran is considered one of the better bowlers from the associate nations and has a best of four wickets against the West Indies.

Odds: $2001

South Africa

History: South Africa have a shocking record considering their cricketing stocks having never won or never made the final.

Form: Most recently South Africa beat New Zealand 2-0 away from home, and then visited Australia where they lost 4-0.  In truth they did rest a few players in both of those match-ups.

Squad: Kyle Abbott, Hashim Amla, Farhaan Behardien, Quinton de Kock (wk), AB de Villiers (capt & wk), JP Duminy, Faf du Plessis, David Miller, Morne Morkel, Wayne Parnell, Aaron Phangiso, Vernon Philander, Rilee Rossouw, Dale Steyn, Imran Tahir.

StrengthsEverywhere.  But if we were to pinpoint one, it’s their pack bowlers.  Steyn, Morkel and Philander all contribute to a well balanced and threatening attack.  Look to them to devastate the world’s best batsman, before spinner Imran Tahir plays the supporting role.

Weaknesses: In the absence of Jacques Kallis the South Africans have struggled to find an impressive all-rounder.  The options – Wayne Parnell and Farhaan Behardien (after Ryan McClaren was left out) – have a big task ahead of them, one that requires them to bowl overs and score valuable runs.

Player to Watch: AB de Villiers is the best batsman in the World.  He showed that recently when he pummelled a hundred off 31 balls against the West Indies.  de Villiers was incredible when South Africa played in Australia recently, and his form will dictate how deep South Africa go.

Odds: $4

Sri Lanka

History: Sri Lanka have a consistent history of excellent World Cup performances.  The blow of losing finals in 2011 and 2007, and a semi-final in 2003, is softened by the win in 1996.

Form: A bit inconsistent of late.  Losses to India and New Zealand surrounds a series win against England.

Squad: Dinesh Chandimal (wk), Tillakaratne Dilshan, Rangana Herath, Mahela Jayawardene, Dimuth Karunaratne, Nuwan Kulasekara, Suranga Lakmal, Lasith Malinga (subject to fitness), Angelo Mathews (capt), Jeevan Mendis, Thisara Perera, Dhammika Prasad, Kumar Sangakkara (wk), Sachithra Senanayake, Lahiru Thirimanne.

StrengthsBig players in big games with big experience.  Sangakkara, Jayawardene and Dilshan are those players. Sri Lanka rely on them, but that doesn’t phase the imperious three who have all scored runs in the recent New Zealand series.

Weaknesses: Probably another team weak in the seam bowling department.  Without Malinga the attack is too same/same and have failed to stop NZ lately.  Herath is quality; Mendis is handy; Dilshan useful; that leaves too much expectation (and thus targeting by other teams) on the balance.

Player to Watch: If de Villiers is the best in the World, Kumar Sangakkara is the second best.  Officially he’s the best test batsman and the fourth best ODI batsman – how good is that record?  He’ll score runs that is for certain, the test is whether does it in the big games and his bowlers can support him.

Odds: $11

United Arab Emirates 

History: Just one appearance in 1996, where they shocked the Netherlands.

Form: The most improved associated side by a long way.  They deserve their spot in the World Cup on the back of some excellent lead up form.

Squad: Mohammad Tauqir (capt), Khurram Khan (vice-capt), Swapnil Patil, Saqlain Haider, Amjad Javed, Shaiman Anwar, Amjad Ali, Nasir Aziz, Rohan Mustafa, Manjula Guruge, Andri Berenger, Fahad Al Hashmi, Muhammad Naveed, Kamran Shahzad & K Karate.

Strengths: The two 43-year olds are the mainstays of the side and their best players.  Mohammad Tauqir (capt), Khurram Khan will hopefully put their captaincy differences aside to be the key contributors for the UAE.

Weaknesses: The UAE lack the experience of the other competitors.  There are also reports that their fielding is a bit below par.

Player to Watch: The player to watch is also their captain, Mohammad Tauqir.  The offie has taken 34 wickets at 29.05 in his first class career.

Odds: $2001

West Indies

History: In the glory days the West Indies won the title in 1975 and 1979, and finished runners up in 1983. However, of late, there has been nothing to write home about.

Form: Pretty ropey.  Losses to South Africa and India on the pitch and battles off it mean the West Indies enter the tournament without posing a serious threat.

Squad: Sulieman Benn, Darren Bravo, Jonathan Carter, Sheldon Cottrell, Chris Gayle, Jason Holder (capt), Nikita Miller, Denesh Ramdin (wk), Kemar Roach, Andre Russell, Darren Sammy, Marlon Samuels, Lendl Simmons, Dwayne Smith, Jerome Taylor.

StrengthsBig hitting batsman are nothing new to West Indies cricket.  Smith, Gayle, Samuels, and Russell can all swing the willow to devastating effect, but can they do it consistently?  They recently cause 236 in a Twenty20 game in South Africa but all too often if Gayle fails so does the team.

Weaknesses: Consistency issues still plague West Indies cricket.  World beaters one day, calamitous the next, the West Indies need to form throughout the full six weeks.  It could also be said the WICB selection methods are also weak after they left out stars Dwayne Bravo and Kieron Pollard.

Player to Watch: Chris Gayle is the rock-star of the side and with multiple World Cups under his belt needs to finish with a bang to ensure he’ll still get picked up by various Twenty20 franchises from around the world.

Odds: $26

Zimbabwe

History: Zimbabwe has played in all subsequent editions of the ICC Cricket World Cup. It peaked in the 1999 and 2003 editions, making the Super Six stage each time.

Form: In its last ten ODIs, it has managed only one win, but that came against Australia in August, a three-wicket victory in Harare led by Chigumbura’s unbeaten half-century.

Squad: Elton Chigumbura (capt), Sikandar Raza, Regis Chakabva, Tendai Chatara, Chamu Chibhabha, Craig Ervine, Tafadzwa Kamungozi, Hamilton Masakadza, Stuart Matsikenyeri, Solomon Mire, Tawanda Mupariwa, Tinashe Panyangara, Brendan Taylor (wk), Prosper Utseya, Sean Williams.

StrengthsMore than ever before Zimbabwe have some players to rely on.  Cigumbura, Taylor, Williams, Masakadza and Utseya are more than capable of performing against ever nation, so even if they suffer early blows this Zimbabwe side can bounce back.

Weaknesses: When Heath Streak and Tatenda Taibu played the lower order more than held their own.  However, this year’s squad lacks that solidity and could be wrapped all too easily by decent bowling attacks.

Player to Watch: Brendan Taylor is the best batsman in the Zimbabwe team.  He has put together a nice record in the many forms of the game and should be comfortable on the bouncy surfaces of Australia and New Zealand (that’s probably being generous to the NZ pitches though).

Odds: $501

 

 

 

 

Cricket: Teams face off in final hit out before World Cup

The pre-cup bilaterals are almost at an end.  The endless warm up matches will soon be replaced by the real deal, the main event.  Accordingly, game two between Pakistan and New Zealand at McClean Park is one of the final opportunities to fine tune games and plans before the pressure gets crippling.

Pakistan need the game more than New Zealand.  The home side are well settled, in form and winning.  The World Cup couldn’t come sooner for them.  Pakistan on the other hand still need time to acclimatise.  They need to experience a win (after losing game on and losing to a mediocre invitational side).

Napier’s game two day-nighter presents the perfect opportunity.

The Last Time These Two Met

Game one featured plenty of rust.  Not the kind coming from the empty seat at the Cake Tin either.  Mainly it was the evident rust of the paisan line-up that will be better for the blow out.  Batting first Pakistan limped to just 210.  That was only possible because of Shahid Afridi who struck 67 off just 29 balls.  His strike rate was 231, the rest of the line-up’s was just 53.

New Zealand chased it comfortably.  Ross Taylor and Grant Elliott guiding the chase with a pair of unbeaten half centuries.  The only real interest in the second innings was who would top score between the two, a bet that came down to the last run.

The Teams

New Zealand (likely): 1 Martin Guptill, 2 Brendon McCullum (capt), 3 Kane Williamson/Tom Latham, 4 Ross Taylor, 5 Grant Elliott, 6 Luke Ronchi (wk) , 7 Corey Anderson, 8 Nathan McCullum/Daniel Vettori, 9 Tim Southee, 10 Kyle Mills, 11 Trent Boult

Kane Williamson’s shoulder is still not 100%, so it’s probable he’ll sit this one out again.

Pakistan (likely): 1 Mohammad Hafeez, 2 Ahmed Shehzad, 3 Younis Khan, 4 Haris Sohail, 5 Misbah-ul-Haq (capt.), 6 Umar Akmal, 7 Sarfraz Ahmed (wk), 8 Shahid Afridi, 9 Bilawal Bhatti, 10 Mohammad Irfan, 11 Sohail Khan/Ehsan Adil

The fifth seamer is the troubling aspect of Pakistan’s squad with Haris Sohail expected to make up the bulk of the overs with the injuries to Wahab, Junaid – who has toady been ruled out of the World Cup.

The Key Players

Ross Taylor –  We don’t generally like focusing on the same player over an over again, but Taylor’s record in Napier is simply too good to ignore.  The Central Districts prospect played lots of his first class cricket at McLean Park and has subsequently carved out an amazing record on the batsman friendly ground.  In 11 ODI’s at the ground, Taylor has scored 584 runs with 2 hundreds at an average of 73.  Look for him to cash in again.  Although, one anomaly, the only time he’s failed at the ground was against Pakistan in 2011.

Shahid Afridi – Afridi is building a handy little record against New Zealand of late.  In the Abu Dhabi series Afridi played much more like a composed batsman and had an excellent series.  He didn’t quite play in the same way on Saturday, reverting back to his old school Boom Boom approach, yet he still scored big runs.  The small McClean Park could be ideal for his destructive game.

The Match Odds*

New Zealand – $1.40

Pakistan – $3.00

*Courtesy of Ladbrokes Australia.

The Prediction

Pakistan were predictably blown away by New Zealand’s seamers in game one, and while Napier isn’t expected to swing and seam as much New Zealand will still be too strong.  Remember a pitch that assists Southee and Boult also assists Irfan – and thus Napier could nullify the threat of the giant quick.

The Longshot

Hard to go past Ross Taylor to top score.  Even despite the Napier record, without Kane Williamson playing, Taylor’s a strong chance.  He’s at $5.

Cricket: Carlton Mid Tri Series Final Preview

Australia’s summer ODI tri-series traditionally features a three game final series and a much longer round robin format that gives a much better indication of form for the big final(s).  This year though, in the absence of a protracted series on account of the Cricket World Cup, the final is a little harder to predict.

On the face of it, Australia have the upper hand after going through the tournament unbeaten until now.  However, if Friday night’s match at the WACA was any indication, the pitch might have a few uneven demons that could even out the fixture.  England’s familiarity with the surface could prove the only advantage they hold, that, or the weird phenomenon that sees Australia struggle after most Alan Border Medal ceremonies.

The Last Time These Two Met

Australia won both the round robin games against England.  In the first match-up of the series in Sydney, England couldn’t recover from two wickets in the opening over and eventually lost by three wickets while trying to defend just 234.  Seven days later in Hobart Ian Bell led England to 303 but once again they couldn’t stop Steven Smith (102*) and Australia running over them.  England scored 303 against a much different bowling attack and given their top order stutters in other games it’s hard to see them getting near 300 again today.

The Teams

Australia (likely): 1 David Warner, 2 Aaron Finch, 3 Steven Smith, 4 George Bailey (capt), 5 Mitchell Marsh, 6 Glenn Maxwell, 7 Brad Haddin (wk), 8 James Faulkner, 9 Mitchell Johnson, 10 Mitchell Starc, 11 Josh Hazlewood.

Despite trialling a few different combinations in the series thus far, the Australian number one line-up is relatively settled.  The side expected to play today is likely to be the side that contests the bulk of the World Cup games, save for Michael Clarke.  Mitchell Johnson returns to action for the first time in the series.

England (likely): 1 Ian Bell, 2 Moeen Ali, 3 James Taylor, 4 Joe Root, 5 Eoin Morgan (capt), 6 Ravi Bopara, 7 Jos Buttler (wk), 8 Chris Woakes, 9 Stuart Broad, 10 James Anderson, 11 Steven Finn.

England will not make any changes to the side that has remained unchanged in their last three games.

The Key Players

Mitchell Johnson – Mitchell Starc’s success in the series – he has 12 wickets to top the wicket takers chart – shows just how lethal Australia could be with two genuinely quick left armers who swing it.  Therefore, Mitchell Johnson’s inclusion is important to see how Australia’s game plan develops. i.e. is there room for another left armer in Faulkner? Will they play a spinner at all during the World Cup?

England’s Bowlers – Rather than single out one English bowler who has performed well in the series up to this point, and one that will take wickets again, we have chosen to earmark the pace quartet as being crucial to this match up.  Finn has ten wickets for the series; Woakes eight; Anderson five; all averaging less than 23.  Even Stuart Broad hinted at a return to form with two against India a few days ago for his first wickets in the series.  On an uneven WACA wicket, these four could be crucial.

The Match Odds*

Australia – $1.37

England – $3.11

*Courtesy of Sportsbet Australia.

The Prediction

We’re giving England a chance only if they bowl first and take 3 or 4 early wickets.  Otherwise, Australia have too much depth and should be too strong.  Australia by 60 runs or 4 wickets.

The Sportsbet Australia Special

Place a Top Runscorer Team A or Team B bet on the Australia v England Final to be played on Sunday February 1st.  If your bet loses but your selection hits a 6, we’ll refund your bet up to $100!

Your first bet for each team’s Top Runscorer is eligible, so you can take advantage of this special twice per match!