Tag: Cricket

Cricket: Carlton Mid Triangular Series Preview

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With the World Cup ominously close, the tri-series that begins in Sydney on Friday provides an excellent opportunity for all teams taking part to get some match practice in.  This year, Australia host England and India in a seven game (including the final) series featuring three fire rivals.

Here’s our guide to the action with odds from Luxbet.

Australia 

Squad: Michael Clarke (capt), George Bailey (vc), David Warner, Aaron Finch, Shane Watson, Steven Smith, Brad Haddin (wk), Glenn Maxwell, Mitchell Marsh, James Faulkner, Mitchell Johnson, Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood, Pat Cummins, Xavier Doherty, Kane Richardson, Gurinder Sandhu

Key Player: David Warner shapes as the crucial cog in the Australian one day machine just as he is in the other forms of the game.  We all saw how much he intimidated the Indian bowlers from the outset of test matches, causing them to bowl some absolute trash, and the one day game shouldn’t be any different.

X-Factor: The death overs of a one day international can be critical these days.  It’s no longer acceptable to score a pedestrian 60 from the final ten overs, instead totals of 100+ are closer to the norm.  One player who helps Australia achieve this more than any other is James Faulkner.  Whether it’s a rearguard bailout or capping off an already impressive total, Faulkner is equipped to take advantage of the final overs.

Form: Very strong.  Australia have prevailed in seven of their last eight one day internationals.  The results included wins against Pakistan and South Africa, and given the most recent of those games was in November 2014, the form should still be good.  The test series win against India will also do wonders for their confidence.

Odds: $1.75

Chances: The odds say it all really.  The saying goes that the shorter the cricket format the more even the playing field and the greater opportunity for upsets.  However, in their own backyard, with loads of players in form, we can’t see anything other than an Australia win.

England

Squad: Eoin Morgan (capt), Moeen Ali, James Anderson, Gary Ballance, Ian Bell, Ravi Bopara, Stuart Broad, Jos Buttler, Steven Finn, Alex Hales, Chris Jordan, Joe Root, James Taylor, James Tredwell, Chris Woakes

Key Player: Moeen Ali is shaping up as the England’s key man for the Carlton Mid Tri Series and the Cricket World Cup.  His combative and aggressive approach to batting is very un-English-like and is likely to kickstart England’s power play efforts.  His part time bowling is effective too making him a valuable all-rounder for the series underdogs.

X-Factor: Jos Buttler is a wicket-keeper batsman with a history of innovation and excitement.  The 24-year-old is experienced in Australian conditions after a stint in the Big Bash League with the Melbourne Renegades and that’s why we’re picking him to provide the fireworks for England.  Considering the likes of Bell, Taylor and Root can score sedately, his role is crucial.

Form: Coming off back to back series losses against Sri Lanka and India.  But, since they have arrived in Australia they have posted warm up scores of 364 and 391, possibly suggesting a change in fortune in 2015.

Odds: $4.50

Chances: The warm up form could suggest England are a chance in the tri-series, especially if they are viewed as the underdogs throughout.  Cook’s dropping might be the catalyst to a new era of ODI dominance under Eoin Morgan.

India

Squad: MS Dhoni (capt & wk), Shikhar Dhawan, Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Ajinkya Rahane, Suresh Raina, Ambati Rayudu, Ravindra Jadeja, R Ashwin, Akshar Patel, Ishant Sharma, Mohammed Shami, Umesh Yadav, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Stuart Binny, Dhawal Kulkarni, Mohit Sharma

Key Player: If you thought Virat Kohli was a decent test match player, just wait until you watch him play the one day game.  It’s the game where he made his name, and it’s the game in which he owns this incredible record: 146 games, 6208 runs, 21 100’s, 33 50’s, 90.5 strike rate, and 183 high score.  Kohli is the key.

X-Factor: Don’t let the pair in Sydney fool you.  Suresh Raina can play, and shorter form cricket is the game suited to the destructive left-hander.  His record at home is much better than it is away, but we’re backing him totter it around in the Carlton Mid Tri Series.

Form: Impressive.  After the West Indies walked out of the series they were losing 2-1, India called in Sri Lanka and thumped them 5-0.

Odds: $3.50

Chances: In Rahane, Kohli and Rayudu they have players in form.  That should serve them well in the format they play the most.

Cricket: Sri Lanka a big chance against weakened hosts

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Unbelievably, Sri Lanka have failed to win a game on their tour of New Zealand thus far.  Therefore, Thursday’s game two at Hamilton’s Seddon Park may be the perfect opportunity to do so.  New Zealand are missing some key players and look beatable in game one even though they managed a three wicket win.

If Sri Lanka can make an impression with the bat, post a decent total in excess of 270, there’s no reason why they can’t exploit some nervousness in the opposition batting line-up.  Doing so will allow them to build some momentum before the teams meet again in the World Cup opener.

The Last Time These Two Met

Not for the first time in the last 12 months most of the headlines from game one belonged to Brendon McCullum.  The Black Caps captain equalled his record for the fastest ODI half-century when he bashed 51 from 22 balls to set his team on their way to victory.  Although the final margin wasn’t as comprehensive as it seemed, Corey Anderson’s 81 got the home team over the line by three wickets.  The chase of 219 could have been for less but for the contribution from Mahela Jayawardene, who made a timeless 104.  His first ODI century in New Zealand was full of elegance and grace, and notwithstanding McCullum’s aggressive approach, he easily looked the best batsman on show.

The Teams

New Zealand (likely): 1 Martin Guptill, 2 Brendon McCullum (capt.), 3 Tom Latham, 4 Ross Taylor, 5 Grant Elliott/ Daniel Vettori, 6 Luke Ronchi (wk) , 7 Corey Anderson, 8 Nathan McCullum, 9 Adam Milne, 10 Mitchell McClenaghan, 11 Trent Boult

For New Zealand, Williamson is being rested to overcome a slight shoulder injury, however, Ross Taylor’s return offsets the loss.  Grant Elliot is also doubtful after missing Wednesday’s training for a family health matter.  If Elliot is unavailable Daniel Vettori may have to make up the numbers.  A move that would expose the Black Caps middle and lower order.

Sri Lanka (likely):  1 Dimuth Karunaratne, 2 Tillakaratne Dilshan, 3 Kumar Sangakkara (wk), 4 Mahela Jayawardene, 5 Angelo Mathews (capt.), 6 Lahiru Thirimanne, 7 Thisara Perara, 8 Jeevan Mendis, 9 Nuwan Kulasekara, 10 Sachithra Senanayake, 11 Suranga Lakmal

Possible changes include: Dinesh Chandimal for the surprisingly disappointing Thirimanne who really was strangled in game one; and Lakmal for Shaminda Eranga.  Rotation is inevitable in a seven match series but it remains to be seen whether things will change this early in the series.

The Key Players

Tom Latham – Latham has impressed most with his test match temperament which was showcased during hundreds against Pakistan and West Indies during New Zealand’s winter tours.  His challenge now is to transfer that form to the ODI game.  He has an excellent opportunity to secure the final middle order World Cup bert and this match is perfect platform.

Sachithra Senanayake – The fact that Senanayake bowled the fifth over in Christchurch’s game one is testament to either, McCullum’s intimidating start, or Senanayake tremendous control.  Since returning from an ICC imposed bowling ban he’s been an absolute revelation.  Look for more wickets from the crafty operator in game two as well.

The Match Odds*

New Zealand – $1.60

Sri Lanka – $2.90

*International Cricket odds courtesy of TopBetta.

The Prediction

We’re a bit anxious about the fragility of New Zealand’s middle order core.  Latham at three, Taylor without form and cricket at four, and Elliot at five is worrying for a nation with a history of batting collapses.  The Black Caps could falter to the spin of Senanayake and struggle to post a defendable total at Seddon Park.  For that reason we’re picking Sri Lanka to even the series up.

Cricket: Gayle, West Indies eye series sweep

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Chris Gayle has launched a number of attacks over the past few days.  First, a scintillating record beating fifty in game one.  Then came even better 90 in which he hit 8 sixes and equaled the record for the total number of sixes hit in international T20 cricket.  To cap it off, his most scathing attack wad directed at the WICB who refused to pick Dwayne Bravo and Pollard in the West Indies World Cup squad.  Kingsmead could be on the receiving end of the fourth.

To prevent that, South Africa must find a way to quell Gayle.  However, even if they do, they still have the rest of the West Indies line up to contend with, which is not an easy prospect for a side playing with as much confidence as they are.  The best bet is to play in the disciplined way they know how and by winning the smaller battles first – the fielding, the catching, the 1%’ers.

The Last Time These Two Met

44 fours and 24 sixes tells the story.  The Wanderers record breaker was a match of epic proportions.  Remarkably the West Indies chased down 232 with four wicket and four balls to spare; exactly the same winning margin as at Newlands. Chris Gayle, as our preview predicted, was again the star of the show bludgeoning 90 off 41 balls and partnering with Marlon Samuels (60 off 39) to cap off a memorable win.  The chase overshadowed South African captain Faf du Plessis’ special hundred, which he scored from just 46 balls.

For the record, with his century du Plessis became the eight international cricketer to have scored hundreds in all three formats.  The others are: Gayle, Tillakaratne Dilshan, Brendon McCullum, Suresh Raina, Mahela Jayawardene, Martin Guptill and Ahmed Shehzad.

The Teams

South Africa (likely): 1 Morne van Wyk (wk), 2 Rilee Rossouw, 3 Farhaan Behardien, 4 David Miller, 5 Justin Ontong (capt), 6 Wayne Parnell, 7 David Wiese, 8 Kyle Abbott, 9 Kagiso Rabada/Aaron Phangiso, 10 Marchant de Lange, 11 Imran Tahir

Justin Ontong steps in to captain the side after du Plessis was given the day off.

West Indies (likely): 1 Chris Gayle, 2 Dwayne Smith, 3 Marlon Samuels, 4 Kieron Pollard, 5 Andre Russell, 6 Dwayne Bravo, 7 Darren Sammy (capt), 8 Denesh Ramdin (wk), 9 Jason Holder, 10 Sulieman Benn, 11 Sheldon Cottrell

There may be a temptation to try Carlos Brathwaite or Andre Fletche, but we sense West Indies will opt for momentum and chase the series sweep.

The Key Players

Imran Tahir – The energy that this man displays when celebrating wickets defies his age, and although he didn’t get to do so during game two, he was the only bowler who went for less than 8 runs an over.  Tahir will play a key role again in stifling the West Indies run rate with his flat turners, and he’ll much prefer the Durban conditions to the batsman friendly altitude of Wanderers.

Another West Indies Player Chris Gayle – Just kidding.  Chris Gayle is the key again, obviously.  Two matches in the series and two rapid half centuries to the tall left-hander outline his importance to the West Indies.  He’s also voiced his disappointment at Pollard and Bravo missing out on World Cup selection, so we expect him to take his anger out on Kyle Abbot and the rest of the South African bowlers again.

The Odds*

South Africa – $2.02

West Indies – $1.78

*Courtesy of Luxbet.

The Prediction

There is a slight doubt hanging over the West Indies if Gayle doesn’t score runs.  How will they respond if their talisman fails?  Who will score the runs?  And for those that don’t think lightening can strike three times, South Africa’s odds look awfully enticing.

Having said that, we’re backing the West Indies for the whitewash.

Cricket: Gayle the key in second Twenty20

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It’s not often South Africa start any game of cricket in their own back yard as underdogs.  But that’s exactly how the bookies see game two after the Gayle storm in the first match of the series.  The Windies have rushed to the favourites tag for the Johannesburg encounter.  A tag that is rightly placed when you look through their talented team.

The altitude at Wanderers could see Gayle and his teammates hit the ball even further.  A scary prospect for the South African team given Gayle has a history of scoring runs at this ground.  A repeat of his World T20 effort in 2007 in which he scored 117 off 57 balls would put the series well and truly to bed.

The Last Time These Two Met

In game one Chris Gayle single handedly destroyed the South African chances with the fastest T20 fifty in his country’s history.  He bullied his way to 77 off 31 balls in a masterclass that featured 8 sixes and 23 off a Wayne Parnell over.  Gayle’s return buoyed his team and despite a lat wobble, got home with four wickets in hand and four balls to spare.

The Teams

South Africa (likely): 1 Morne van Wyk (wk), 2 Reeza Hendricks, 3 Faf du Plessis (capt), 4 Rilee Rossouw, 5 Farhaan Behardien, 6 David Miller, 7 Wayne Parnell, 8 David Wiese, 9 Kyle Abbott, 10 Marchant de Lange, 11 Imran Tahir

We featured Marchant de Lange in our preview for game one and he missed out.  He may get a run at the expense of young Rabada in one of the few expected changes.

West Indies (likely): 1 Dwayne Smith, 2 Chris Gayle, 3 Marlon Samuels, 4 Dwayne Bravo, 5 Kieron Pollard, 6 Andre Russell, 7 Denesh Ramdin (wk), 8 Darren Sammy (capt), 9 Jason Holder, 10 Ashley Nurse, 11 Sheldon Cottrell

Probably no reason to make any changes to the side.  Although Dwayne Bravo and Kieron Pollard have missed out on World Cup selection so may not be used.  If they are, expect (angry) fireworks.

The Key Players

Rilee Rossouw – An excellent fifty at Newlands has helped solidify the hype on the young left hander that first cam about during his trip to Australia in November.  During the T20 and ODI series there he scored valuable runs in an attractive manner.  He must be pushing for Miller’s middle order place, or Duminy’s if he can’t get himself fit.  He’s the favourite to top score along with his captain Faf du Plessis.

Dwayne Smith – While all the attention was on Chris Gayle in the series opener, Smith quietly (in comparison) went about his business, forging an excellent partnership with the former captain.  His work ended on 20, but he helped the West Indies get off to an incredible start that eventually sealed the result.  Smith is now an experienced T20 traveller in his own right with plenty of experience to boot.  He’s paying $5.00 to top score if you can consider any one other than Gayle.

The Odds*

South Africa – $1.95

West Indies – $1.85

*International Cricket odds courtesy of Unibet Australia.

The Prediction

The nice thing about the West Indies side is that if Gayle doesn’t come off they still have the players to win the game.  Smith, Simmons, Pollard and Sammy can all change a game with bat and hand, and for those reasons we’re picking them to go back to back.

Cricket: Australia dominant in Sydney draw

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Australia wrapped up the Border-Gavaskar Trophy with a dominant display in a drawn fourth and final test in Sydney.  The match went right to the final session as India battled bravely to avoid a third defeat in the condensed test series.  Set a final day target of 349, India looked relatively untroubled when they went into tea at 160/2 with Kohli and Viajy in command, needing a further 189 for victory.  Of the three possible results, only an Indian victory or a draw looked possible.  However, a flurry of wickets in the final session (3 for 10 at one stage when Kohli, Raina and Saha were all dismissed) ensured a tense finish for the sizeable Sydney crowd.  Ajinkya Rahane and Bhuvneshwar Kumar were able to save the match for India; lasting 12 overs, including ten with the second new ball.

The decision to take the new ball may in hindsight have been incorrect.  Josh Hazlewood had the old ball reversing nicely, and series leading wicket-taker Nathan Lyon had it dancing out of the footmarks on a wearing surface.  While the new ball decision may have contributed to the draw, the docile Sydney pitch also played it’s part.  Lacking in pace or movement, the SCG joined the other venues in the series in contributing to a batsman friendly series that produced 5870 runs across the four tests.

Two players in particular dined out; Steven Smith for 700, Virat Kohli for 692. On the other side, Suresh Raina contributed 0 from his two innings’ in the Sydney test.

The Sydney test started, not for the first time in the series, with hundreds to David Warner and Steven Smith.  In fact most of the Australian top order got amongst the runs in a daunting first up effort of 572/7 declared.  Of note, was Shane Watsons handy half century which probably did enough to see him on the Ashes plane, but would have still irked plenty of Australian fans.  Chris Rogers missed a hundred too, but he scored six consecutive fifties to close out the series.

India’s reply was typically pugnacious.  On plenty of occasions in this series their batsman have replied well to an imposing first innings target (probably while cussing their bowlers lack of control) and this was no different.  Two test batsman KL Rahul registered a fighting first hundred; he combined nicely with Virat Kohli (147) to ease India past the follow on and make the day task much simpler.  The strengthening made to the lower order paid dividends as Ashwin, Kumar, Saha and Shami all contributed to the cause.

When they were eventually dismissed 97 behind they needed some disciplined bowling to prevent Australia from dictating the game and the timing of any declaration.  They were not able to restrict the scoring rate however, and conceded 6.27 runs per over over the 40 second innings overs.  Australia therefore raced to 251/6 with Rogers (56), Smith (71) and Burns (66) all boosting averages and strike rates against a weak attack.

Despite the late wobbles, India survived defeat in what was a fair reflection of the game.  Although the 2-0 was deserved, the Indian side showed a lot more fight than previous touring teams and have discovered some important points about their team.  Ashen was excellent in overseas conditions for the first time, KL Rahul could be a long term opening solution, and Rahane and Kohli were confirmed as World Class.

For Australia, the new captain is now one of the brightest players in the World, and while there are question marks over 3 and 6 (Burns and Marsh too) the core group of contributors all played well and got through the series injury free (Michael Clarke aside).

The teams will now compete in a Carlton Mid Triangular Series with England to warm-up for the Cricket World Cup.  The action begins January 16.

India 475 (Kohli 147, Rahul 111, Starc 3-106) and 7 for 252 (Vijay 80) drew with Australia 7 for 572 dec (Smith 117, Warner 101, Rogers 95, Shami 5-112) and 6 for 251 dec (Smith 71, Burns 66, Rogers 56, Ashwin 4-105)

Cricket: NZ favourites in seven match series

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Seven matches can tend to drag on.  The hope is that this series between New Zealand and Sri Lanka won’t suffer from the same fate because of its proximity to the Cricket World Cup beginning in February.  Teams will tinker with line-ups, change Powerplay tactics, and generally familiarise themselves with the conditions they will face in the upcoming showpiece.  Those maths make the series an exciting prospect, and given New Zealand’s recent form it should be well patronised by a supporting public.

The Last Time These Two Met

The teams drew a three match series (one was washed out) in November 2013 in the sub-continent, but history shouldn’t count for much after the surprising two-nil result in the test series and the likelihood of significant rotation of the personnel used in this series.  If anything, the teams form in their respective past series give a better reflection of the expected evens; Sri Lanka beat England at home and New Zealand beat Pakistan away. 

The Teams

New Zealand (likely): 1 Martin Guptill, 2 Brendon McCullum (capt.), 3 Kane Williamson, 4 Grant Elliott, 5 Tom Latham, 6 Luke Ronchi (wk) , 7 Corey Anderson, 8 Nathan McCullum, 9 Mitchell McClenaghan/Adam Milne, 10 Kyle Mills, 11 Trent Boult

Tim Southee and Ross Taylor have been rested for the first match which allows Tom Latham and Grant Elliot to battle it out in the middle order for the final World Cup spot.  Trent Boult returns to limited overs cricket for the first time in a while, meaning McClenaghan and Milne will in all probability compete for the third seamer role.

Sri Lanka (likely):  1 Dimuth Karunaratne, 2 Tillakaratne Dilshan, 3 Kumar Sangakkara (wk), 4 Mahela Jayawardene, 5 Angelo Mathews (capt.), 6 Lahiru Thirimanne, 7 Thisara Perara, 8 Jeevan Mendis/ Dhammika Prasad, 9 Nuwan Kulasekara, 10 Sachithra Senanayake, 11 Suranga Lakmal

Dilshan and Jayawardene provide a much needed boost to the Sri Lankan squad.  Their presence will undoubtedly raise the belief of the team; something that is much needed after the test defeats.  Karunaratne may get a chance to open, so Mahela will have to move down the order to accommodate him.  Perara, Kulasekara and Senanayake (and possibly Mendis) are also available.

The Key Players

Corey Anderson – The all-rounder is still riding the coattails of his record-breaking hundred in Queenstown some 12 months ago.  Since then he’s struggled to reach those lofty heights and has struggled for runs in most forms of the game.  The big but though is that New Zealand wickets and small grounds suit his play, Hagley could be where he rediscovers his mojo.

Lahiru Thirimanne – A key piece in the Sri Lanka’s World Cup armoury the stylish left hander found some form in the Wellington test and will be hoping to continue it in his middle order role.  He’s at $7.50 to top score if you willing to take the risk of a middle order play getting enough overs to outscore the others.

The Match Odds*

New Zealand – $1.59

Sri Lanka – $2.35

The Series Odds*

New Zealand – $1.40

Sri Lanka – $2.95

*International Cricket odds courtesy of Luxbet.

The Prediction

New Zealand were devastating with the bat when they batted in Christchurch in the test series.  Brendon McCullum’s fond memories will assist his return to the top of the order and will set the scene for a close win.