Tag: Daily Horse Racing Tips

Well, I’m still trying to work out how Opera Og didn’t win. The eventual winner was ridden going to 3 out, Opera Og kicked on 2 out, went 6 lengths clear, jumped the last 4l clear, but lost by 6l on the 1 furlong run in. Sensational stuff. Not seen a horse come to such an abrupt halt in a long time, so annoying!!

Rebel fitz on the other hand was soundly beaten, fair enough.

The flat season starts tomorrow, not sure how i feel about that. Results are going to be random as horses return to the turf after either the whole winter off running, or after running on the all weather. So with that being said, I’ll be looking elsewhere for my selections.

Ancient Times NAP 14:50 Sedgefield

This horse has won twice out of the last 3 runs, once on Heavy and once on soft. The ground currently for the card tomorrow is Heavy. Only one other horse has won on Heavy (or has any form of note) and that’s Dun To Perfection. I can see this being a match between the two. Ancient times has won over C&D and his last two wins have been won by 22lengths and 6 lengths in this grade. The only downside to my NAP is the 12lb higher mark he now has, but Philip Kirby has his horses in fine order lately with a 28% strike rate over chases and 10% over hurdles.

Treble Jig NP 11:30 – Jebel Ali (UAE) (Forecast 2-1)

This horse is a course specialist, the tip in its last 3 runs is because he tried Meydan and didn’t like it, returning now to Jebel Ali i’d fully expect him scoot in. He’s 5 from 5 at Jebel Ali having won a class 1 and group 3 events at Jebel Ali.

I feel dirty tipping this up, as it’ll be odds-on, but i’d eat my hat if it didn’t win. There is very little opposition in the race. The only horse with any reasonable form is Zain Shamardal, this horse in 2011 won a class 5 maiden at Newmarket and has run several times at Meydan as well as Jebel Ali. The horse started 3 starts ago at Meydan in a handicap, then contested a group 2 and grade 1 finishing 10th and 4th, that’s what’s known as punching above his weight. He could be an interesting alternative to Treble Jig if you didn’t want to take a short price.

Having looked at the race cards for Thursday there is very little I can get excited about, so I’ve decided to look into the Dubai World Cup at Meydan next Saturday.

Antipost betting is open, and there could be one or two quite good bets for the race.

The dogs have been barking all day for Planteur on Twitter. Even before the horse was purchased by Sheik Joaan Bin Hamad Al Thani. Planteur finished 3rd last year, and broke the track record at Lingfield a few weeks ago during his warmup race. Now, I’m not suggesting he’ll win but he has a cracking each-way chance. Currently around 20-1 with most bookies, he’ll go off much shorter as horses are withdrawn. He’s worth an interest.

The likely winner to me is Hunters Light. This Godolphin trained horse won the latest Al Maktoum Challenge group 1 race as a prep for this, beating the ultra consistent Kassiano into 2nd. Little Mike made his UAE debut in this race (Breeders cup turf winner) and finished 8th behind Hunters Light. Also behind Hunters light that day was Monterosso, last years Dubai World Cup winner. That form looks top draw and any reproduction of that form can see Hunter’s light win this race.

Another line of format that looks good is the defeat of Zazou at Velifendi (turkey) in a group 2 race. The opposition weren’t that good to be fair, but Zazou (joint odds on favourite with Hunters Light) had beaten Cirrus Des Aigles in France, then finished 5th at the Dubai world cup. That horse was 5 lengths behind Hunters Light that day.. Zazou also finished ahead of Cirrrus Des Aigles and the HK horse Ambitious Dragon, who has enjoyed 18 placed efforts out of 25 including multiple grade 1 wins. 

All roads lead to Hunters Light ladies and gentlemen. Take the 5-1 available now, it won’t last long.

Well, we had a winner yesterday (Jump city out jumped them at 5/4). Shame our other selection let us down.

Today isn’t the most inspiring days racing, but there are a few standout horses for me here.

Thunderstorm 2:40 Haydock – 5/4 Paddy Power

This horse should really of been beaten already, but hasn’t been. 5 wins out of 5. Mccoy rides this horse with obvious instructions, be gentle on him, get him up on the line. It’s worked so far, and it could well work again. As a punter, these are the sorts of rides you hate to watch, you’re convinced you will lose the race until the final 200 yards, it’s heart in mouth stuff. This horse has bigger plans, and although he’s up against Seymour Eric, who’s going for a 5 timer, i’ve got to stick with Thunderstorm who could well be being teed up for the Aintree festival next month.

Mystical Sapphire 8:15 Kempton 6/4 Paddy Power

This horse, much like Thunderstorm, is unbeaten, has copious amounts of potential and could cement his claim today of being a useful sort. After a maiden victory Mystical Sapphire took on class 5 company and got up to beat Ashamaly by 2 lengths. Ashamaly, has won twice since then in class 4 company, and competed in bluesq spring cup (listed) race on Saturday were Teophilip won for Marco Botti. Ashamaly was 3 lengths behind the winner that day. That form line stands Mystical Sapphire in good stead.

Melvin The Grate and Flashlight both make handicap debuts today and could well be anything potentially, and Byroness is 2 from 2 at Kempton. I just feel Mystical Sapphire’s class should see her through today despite an 8lb rise for beating Ashamalay in January over C&D.

I fully expect both horses to go off at odds on. Get on sooner rather than later.

Well, Red Ramesses was a disappointing NB for us yesterday, but Flambrough Breeze was by far the most disappointing. When watching the race i felt he wouldn’t get there due to being too far back, but my word, he fairly flew home and was only foiled by the gambled on Tadabeer (14-1 into 7-2) by half a length. Nevermind, we can’t win them all?

Still trying to get used to the come down after Cheltenham. Multiple grade 1 races to modest class 6 affairs on the all weather, this will take a while.

Today I am going to focus on the jumps at Exeter, and for a change, I’m going to put up a double.

2:00 Exeter – Lauberhorn 6/4 VC
3:00 Exeter – Jump City 1/1 VC

5.25-1 Double

Lauberhorn came right back to form last time out picking up a handicap at Huntingdon by 9 lengths. No one noticed this win as it happened during Cheltenham, but it really was a taking performance. Jump City should be a better horse than he actually is. Once upon a time it was expected this horse would go onto great things, but it hasn’t materialised. This is a 2 horse race between it and Dare me, and for that reason alone, i have to side with Jump City (who’s at least won a few times recently against a place animal).

We advise 3 pts @ 5.25-1 on VC. Happy days!

Well, wasn’t last week profitable? If you followed our Cheltenham tips you’d be up thousands!

Unfortunately, all good things must come to an end, we now need to wait another year for Cheltenham 2014, and I for one, cannot wait.

I’ve found two bets worth doing tomorrow, both on the all weather at Kempton.

NAP

Flamborough Breeze, 15:20 Kempton best odds 9/4 Paddy Power

This horse won 3 on the bounce then got beaten by a head last time out when he switched venues to Lingfield. Back at the course where he’s won 3 of his last 4, he can make it 4 out of 5 tomorrow. He was backed from 6/4 into 4/6 last time he ran at Kempton, in a pretty competitive race. He cut through the 13 opponents like a knife through butter, on the bridle, to win by nearly 2 lengths. He did this carrying an extra 6 pounds penalty. When he lost by a head at Lingfield, he was carrying an extra 12lbs on top of that! Sensational performance given the fact the handicapper had his say.

He races off 9s 5lb today, which is a whopping 9lbs less than when he won at Kempton the last time. The reason for this is he’s up in grade from class 6 to 5, but I fancy him to get back to winning ways regardless.

NB

Red Ramesses 17:20 Kempton best odds 7/2 Bet365

I love horses in form, and Red Ramesses is one of them. Going for 3 wins on the trot tomorrow, he has a 8lb rise in the weights to contend with, but when you factor in that Chevise is the 2nd favourite at 6-1, you can be confident of a bold bid for the hat trick. Chevise ended a 24 race losing streak to get up at Lingfield last time by a head. Red Ramesses is lightly raced in comparison having only his first race this time last year, 11 runs, 2 wins, 2 placed efforts. With Luke Morris onboard, i am confident this horse can get the hattrick tomorrow.

A cheeky double on the two perhaps? Don’t mind if i do.