Tag: Daily Horse Racing Tips

Daily Horse Racing Tip – 14 -11- 2012

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Not the best racing domestically it has to be said, my NAP is based in Ireland, my NB is back in blighty.

NAP – 14:25 Clonmel– Forecast with – Sizing Europe and Magnanimity  – 3 pts.

Sizing Europe. What more has to be said? Pleasing start to the new campaign last time when beating Forpadydeplaster at Gowran park 8 days ago. That was won in easy style, all the money that day was for First Lieutenant, ultimately, that money went wayward as he finished 4th, beaten over 10 lengths by Sizing Europe.

In this company today, he has to be strongly fancied. 2/7 is the best price currently, which is terrible. Even I can’t tip that up as a bet. I’d suggest the forecast with Magnanimity. The horse stayed on really well at last year’s Cheltenham Festival to come 4th in the RSA chase behind Bostons Angel. 4th in the context of this race is very strong, he was only beaten by 1 length so almost rewarded each way backers who took the 33-1 about him on the day (gambled into 16-1).

Some horses Magnanimity beat that day went on to achieve the following in 2012: Quel Espirt (Since gone on and won 3 group 1 races) Mikael D’haguenet (Won and placed 2nd in two group 1 races)

The Giant Bolster (Group 3 chase at Cheltenham and placed 2nd in Cheltenham Gold Cup behind Synchronised) Now, Magnanimity doesn’t win very often, but he’s always game. Staying on late to place. There are only 5 runners here tomorrow, so fingers crossed he can chase down the weakening Tranquil Sea on the run in to nab 2nd.

Best odds currently are on boylesports.

NEXT BEST – 13:10 Taunton – Well Mett –  5-1 B365 – 2 pts.

I feel I’ve been falling over a cliff backing this horse. He’s well thought of, and has placed 2nd in his last 3 runs. Two runs back he came 2nd by a neck in class 5 company, and connections decided to up him in grade to take on class 4 company. He finished 2nd, but was beaten easily by nearly 3 lengths. This group back in grade MIGHT do the trick.

Everything will be crossed tomorrow hoping he can win. He’s currently a nice 5-1 with b365, I fully expect him to go off around the 11/4 – 3/1 mark when people realise he brings the best form into the race. Don’t go in large; anything can happen at this grade. Let’s hope he breaks his sequence of 2nd places by getting his head in front today.

Melbourne Cup 2012

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Once a year there is a grade one race that takes place on a Tuesday morning at 4am. Once a year some European raiders head down under in an attempt to bring home the largest prize Australia has to offer.

Last years race was won by Dunaden(FR), with Red Cadeux (UK) in 2nd. I backed Red Cadeux last year at 20-1 and was gutted when I saw the still on the line.. How unlucky was this?

Melborune Cup photo finish

NAP – Dunaden – 04:00 – Flemington  13-2 William Hill 25pts

Now, you might be thinking, why am I napping a horse that beat mine the previous year? After my sob story I gave you about losing by a nostril hair? I’ve had my fingers crossed  that Red Cadeux may show some sparkle over the past year to make me want to back him for the Melbourne cup again, but there isn’t any.

Since this day, Dunaden has beaten Red Cadeux 3 ¼ lengths in the Hardwicke Stakes at Ascot in June and 1 ½ lengths in the Hong Kong Vase. There is nothing to suggest RC can get the upper hand over Dunaden, unless something wrong happens in the race that impedes my NAP.

This is a strong selection from me. I don’t understand why the Aussies are gambling on Amercain, he’s shown nothing (like RC) in the build-up to this and is currently the $5 (5-1) favourite, madness.

NEXT BEST – Mount Athos – 19:10 04:00 Flemington 6-1 B365 10pts

This was almost the nap, well I say almost, it was strongly considered before common sense prevailed and I went for Dunaden. Mount Athos has done nothing wrong this year, winning 3 two listed races then a group 3 (demolishing the group 1 placing brown panther by 3+ lengths).  This was tipped up to me 3 months ago at 14-1 and I chose to rest on it. I am now regretting not making a small investment at over double the current available odds, that’s punting for you. Mount Athos has been hyped up by the british media after strong comments from his owner Dr Marwan Koukash, and, to be fair, I also would happily hype up a horse in the form of its life. If its travelled ok and eaten up, it has to be there or there about.

Outsider with a shout: Green Moon – 18-1 BetVictor

Been keeping tabs on this horse after it won the turnbull stakes (group1) by ½ length in early October. Digging through its form I noticed it has glimpses of fine form. Winning big handicaps at the highest level domestically, but could never run a string of wins together. Sometimes it bombed .It was the well supported favorite for the Cox plate 2 weeks ago and could only manage 7th, having prior to that won a group 1 handicap. This time last year it took part in the Group 3 lexus stakes and went off as the 8/5 favourite, and finished 12 of 13.

He’s 18-1 as he doesn’t win often enough and hasn’t done the 2 mile distance.. He’s done 1m5f. What you need if you back this is for your horse to wake up on the right side of the bed, and to handle the extra distance, he’s won at Flemington on the same course, so the course isn’t a worry. All in all I feel this is a poor renewal of the Melbourne cup. The fact Maluckyday is the shortest of the aussie/NZ horses tells you that. That horse hasn’t won for over 2 years.

 

Daily Horse Racing Tip – 01-10-2012

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

1st November 2012 – Monthly total +0pts

NAP – Surprise Moment – 15:20 – Lingfield 2-1 b365 2pts

I’ve followed this with much interest. Unbeaten in 3 starts, won a class 3 fillies handicap at Newmarket last time out, not entered in a listed race on the polytrack. Stables first choice jockey rides. Not much more needs to be said.

Danger = Rumh 6-1 B365. Why? It took an age for it to win again (It has contested class 1 races after winning a maiden at Wolverhampton). It won a fillies listed class 1 race in 2011 beating an average bunch, then went on to finish 9th of 9 against Masked Marvel, 12 of 13th behind Gatewood (Since gone to Australia and won a group 2) and 7th of 8th against the impressive Blue Blunting. I could go on and bore you more, essentially, he’s raced against way better animals and this year hes gone back down to a much lower level and finds himself with 2 wins from 4 after the downgrade..

NEXT BEST – Volcancic Wind – 19:10 Kempton 5-1 B365 2pts

I assure you, I am not a godolphin fanboy. I just feel that they warrant being my nap and next best today. Volcanic wind came 2nd in its maiden (the 3rd has won since, winner not run) – went into a maiden race at Kempton and hosed up winning by 3 ½ lengths, making all. I feel this horse has got improvement in it.
Danger: Basseeterre 9/2 BetVictor – To be fair, I could of also picked Kiz Kulesi or True to Form. I like last time out form. Bassetere being an improving 3 year old, I expect him to give Volcanic Wind most to think about.

Double pays 17-1 on Bet365. 1pt
Mystery punter