Rugby League: NRL Round 3 Preview

The NRL season is now in full flight after a riveting first two rounds of Rugby League action.  Round 3 is set to continue the trend of upsets, crushers, and Brett Morris heroics.   Round 3 also features our worst article introduction.

Check out our NRL Round 3 Preview:

Manly Sea Eagles v Canterbury Bulldogs 

Sea Eagles – $2.05

Bulldogs – $1.80

The Bulldogs are slight favourites to get the better of Manly in the round’s opener at Brookvale.  The Bulldogs have played exactly as you would expect; ruthless, disciplined and favouring solid defence patterns over expansive attacking plays.  The approach has led them to one win and one loss thus far.  The loss coming in close fashion against the impressive Panthers.  The Bulldogs are also enjoying a settled line-up with just Josh Reynolds facing time off.

The Sea Eagles are also one and one.  A win last week against arch rivals the Storm atoning for a weak effort against the Eels in round one.  The win against the Storm was delivered by the experienced trio of Cheery-Evans, Matai and Lyon; all stepping up to help during a minor injury crisis.  The crisis does have a silver lining.  Feleti Mateo gets to show off his ball skills at five-eighth and the promising Jake Trbojevic gets to show off his ability.

We’ve gone Bulldogs 1-12.

Sea Eagles: 1 Brett Stewart 2 Cheyse Blair 3 Jamie Lyon (c) 4 Steve Matai 5 Peta Hiku 6 Feleti Mateo 7 Daly Cherry-Evans 8 Luke Burgess 9 Matt Ballin 10 Willie Mason 11 Jamie Buhrer 12 Tom Symonds 13 Dunamis Lui.

Interchange: 14 Jesse Sene-Lefao 15 Blake Leary 16 Jake Trbojevic 17 Ligi Sao 18 Justin Horo.

Bulldogs: 1 Brett Morris 2 Curtis Rona, 3 Josh Morris 4 Tim Lafai 5 Sam Perrett 6 Moses Mbye 7 Trent Hodkinson 8 Aiden Tolman 9 Michael Lichaa 10 James Graham (c) 11 Josh Jackson 12 Tony Williams 13 Greg Eastwood

Interchange: 14 Sam Kasiano 15 David Klemmer 16 Frank Pritchard 17 Tim Browne 18 Lloyd Perrett.

Brisbane Broncos v North Queensland Cowboys

Broncos – $1.94

Cowboys – $1.90

The Queensland derby is in danger of being a Broncos boiler.  Not for the form of the Broncos, but for the woeful start the nervy Cowboys have made with three time Dally M Medal winner and captain Johnathan Thurston uncharacteristically uncertain.  The Broncs have one win to their names, but have at least improved slightly from week to week as Hunt and Milford find out more about each other’s games.  Their also likely to get more out of origin stars Corey Parker and Matt Gillett as they build into the season and get accustomed to following Wayne Bennett’s new Brisbane vision.

We expect them to beat North Queensland by 13+.  Mainly due to the horrific form of the Cowboys outside backs and halves.  They’ve turned to Lachlan Coote at fullback and asked Michael Morgan to replace Robert Lui at five-eighth.  It won’t have an impact in our view.  They’ll slump to 0-3 and in straight to panic mode.

Broncos: 1 Jordan Kahu 2 Corey Oates 3 Jack Reed 4 Justin Hodges (c) 5 Lachlan Maranta 6 Anthony Milford 7 Ben Hunt 8 Josh McGuire 9 Andrew McCullough 10 Adam Blair 11 Alex Glenn 12 Matt Gillett 13 Corey Parker

Interchange: 14 Jarrod Wallace 15 Jo Ofahengaue 16 Sam Thaiday 17 Kodi Nikorima

Cowboys: 1 Lachlan Coote 2 Justin O’Neill 3 Matthew Wright 4 Kane Linnett 5 Kyle Feldt 6 Michael Morgan 7 Johnathan Thurston (c) 8 Matthew Scott (c) 9 Rory Kostjasyn 10 Ben Hannant 11 Gavin Cooper 12 Ethan Lowe 13 Jason Taumalolo

Interchange: 14 Jake Granville 15 Kelepi Tanginoa 16 Scott Bolton 17 James Tamou 18 John Asiata

New Zealand Warriors v Parramatta Eels

Warriors – $1.38

Eels – $3.05

Mt Smart gets its first look at the 2015 Warriors when New Zealand hosts the Ells on Saturday afternoon.  The locals will see a vastly different Warriors outfit with some unfamiliar names that are turning out to be real superstars.  Sam Lisone and Albert Vete are names for the future.  They have both made an immediate contribution to a squad that was short of a couple of their household names.  So much so, Sam Rapira has signed to play in the Super League, presumably understanding Lisone and Vete are the future.

The Warriors are favourites after picking up a win in Canberra last week.  However, the money on the Eels will no doubt prove attractive for some who witnessed the first round domination they inflicted on the Sea Eagles.  Sandow’s the key.  He plays well against the Warriors and should have some decent memory bank ammunition to kickstart his side into contention.

Last year, the teams thrashed each other at home.  That’s why we’ll give the Warriors the win on account of the home advantage.  Warriors 13+.

Warriors: 1. Sam Tomkins 2. Jonathan Wright 3. Tuimoala Lolohea 4. Solomone Kata 5. Manu Vatuvei 6. Chad Townsend 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Jacob Lillyman 9. Thomas Leuluai 10. Ben Matulino 11. Bodene Thompson 12. Ryan Hoffman 13. Simon Mannering (C).

Interchange: 14. Nathan Friend 15. Ben Henry 16. Sam Lisone 17. Albert Vete 18. Matt Allwood (One to be omitted).

Eels: 1. Will Hopoate 2. Vai Toutai 3. Ryan Morgan 4. Brad Takairangi 5. Reece Robinson 6. Corey Norman 7. Chris Sandow 8. Darcy Lussick 9. Nathan Peats 10. Tim Mannah 11. Manu Ma’u 12. Tepai Moeroa 13. Anthony Watmough

Interchange: 14. Isaac De Gois 15. Joseph Paulo 16. Danny Wicks 17. David Gower

Canberra Raiders v St George Illawarra Dragons

Raiders – $1.60

Dragons – $2.35

Two rounds into the competition these two sides have accumulated 38 points collectively at an average of just 9.5 points a game.  The Raiders contribute 30 of those and the Dragons just 8.  Thus, we wouldn’t expect this match to be a cracker.

The Dragons points problem are not their halves doing.  They have no go forward from their forward pack. They need more out of Frizell, Ah Mau and Merrin.  They need to give Widdop and Marshall more opportunity to control the game.

For the Raiders, who look to be the most improved team in the competition, they need to reduce their error count if they are to pick up two more completion points.  Without all the errors last week against the Warriors they might have had more of a chance of releasing Wighton and Soliola down the left hand side.  Unfortunately, Wighton is out with injury in a blow for the Raiders.  They should still win though.  Raiders 1-12.  Opt to read about this one rather than watch it live.

Raiders: 1 Jordan Rapana, 2 Sisa Waqa, 3 Jarrod Croker (c), 4 Jarrad Kennedy, 5 Edrick Lee, 6 Blake Austin, 7 Mitchell Cornish, 8 Shannon Boyd, 9 Josh Hodgson, 10 Dane Tilse, 11 Josh Papalii,12 Iosia Soliola, 13 Shaun Fensom

Interchange: 14 Josh McCrone, 15 Frank-Paul Nuuausala, 16 Paul Vaughan, 17 Luke Bateman

Dragons: 1 Peter Mata’utia, 2 Etonia Nabuli, 3 Dane Nielsen, 4 Dylan Farrell, 5 Jason Nightingale (c), 6 Gareth Widdop, 7 Benji Marshall, 8 Leeson Ah Mau, 9 Mitch Rein, 10 George Rose, 11 Tyson Frizell, 12 Joel Thompson, 13 Jack de Belin

Interchange: 14 Trent Merrin, 15 Heath L’Estrange, 16 Rory O’Brien, 17 Mike Cooper, 19 Jake Marketo

Melbourne Storm v Cronulla Sharks

Storm – $1.28

Sharks – $3.65

Apparently the Sharks season ticket holders haven’t received their seat passes this years despite playing two games at home this season.  Fortunately, they needn’t worry this week as Melbourne hosts them at AAMI park where there is no chance of something similar happening to the Storm fans.  There’s also no chance of a Sharks win.

The match will be one of the most interesting forward battles of the whole season.  Gallen and Fifita against Procter and Bromwich, with Smith, Finucane, Graham and Ennis thrown in their too.  The bruising battle up front might take away from the action outside them, though will likely settle the match either way.

Huge pressure on Ben Barba to front this week.  His place looks like going to Jack Bird if he’s a passenger through another 80 minutes.  Storm 1-12 in a low scorer.

Melbourne: 1. Billy Slater 2. Young Tonumaipea 3. Will Chambers 4. Kurt Mann 5. Marika Koroibete 6. Blake Green 7. Cooper Cronk 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Cameron Smith 10. Jordan McLean 11. Kevin Proctor 12. Tohu Harris 13. Dale Finucane

Interchange: 14. Ryan Hinchcliffe 15. Tim Glasby 16. Dayne Weston 18. Tom Learoyd-Lahrs

Cronulla: 1. Michael Gordon 2. Sosaia Feki 3. Gerard Beale 4. Ricky Leutele 5. Valentine Holmes 6. Ben Barba 7. Jeff Robson 8. Andrew Fifita 9. Michael Ennis 10. Sam Tagataese 11. Jayson Bukuya 12. Wade Graham 13. Paul Gallen

Intercharge: 14. Matt Prior 15. Chris Heighington 16. Anthony Tupou 17. David Fifita 18. Luke Lewis 19. Tinirau Arona

South Sydney Rabbitohs v Wests Tigers

Rabbitohs – $1.22

Tigers – $4.25

The NRL frontrunners are overwhelming favourites to make it three from three to start the season when they meet the West Tigers in the first of the Sunday action.  The all conquering Rabbitohs (NRL, Nines, World Club, Arizona Night Life) will look to inflict the first loss of the season on a young Tigers side that is building nicely under Jason Taylor with Luke Brooks and Mitchell Moses at the helm.

No injury issues for either side, therefore, form will give the best indication of the winner.  Almost impossible to argue with the form of the Rabbits.  We can see them using George Burgess and the rest of the forward pack to run at Luke Brooks all day; inflicting serious pain.  Bunnies 13+.

Rabbitohs: 1 Greg Inglis 2 Alex Johnston 3 Dylan Walker 4 Bryson Goodwin 5 Joel Reddy 6 Luke Keary 7 Adam Reynolds 8 George Burgess 9 Issac Luke 10 Dave Tyrrell 11. Glenn Stewart 12 John Sutton 13 Chris McQueen

Interchange: 14 Chris Grevsmuhl 15 Jason Clark 16 Ben Lowe 17 Thomas Burgess 18 Tim Grant 19 Cameron McInnes 20 Darryl Millard.

Tigers: 1 James Tedesco 2 Kevin Naiqama 3 Tim Simona 4 Chris Lawrence 5. Pat Richards 6 Mitchell Moses 7 Luke Brooks 8 Aaron Woods 9 Robbie Farah 10 Keith Galloway 11. Curtis Sironen 12 Sauaso Sue 13 Martin Taupau

Interchange: 14 Dene Halatau 15 Ava Seumanufagai 16 Matthew Lodge 17 Brendan Santi 18 Lamar Liolevave.

Gold Coast Titans v Newcastle Knights

Titans -$2.15

Knights – $1.70

Another of the “avoid” games of the round gets slightly more interesting thanks to the return of drug barons Beau Falloon, Dave Taylor and Greg Bird.  The three previously suspended stars get their first chance of the season and will be looking to make an immediate impact for the winless Titans.

The Titans have been conceding points for fun in the two outings this season, and they won’t get any respite from surprise packages the Knights on Sunday.  In Gagai and Leilua the Knights have two of the form centres in the competition, both capable of destroying any opposition flank defence, especially one welcoming back three new faces into their setup.

Close game predicted, but we’ll go the Knights to get another 1-12 win.

Titans: 1 Josh Hoffman, 2 Anthony Don, 3 James Roberts, 4 William Zillman, 5 David Mead, 6 Aiden Sezer, 7 Daniel Mortimer, 8 Luke Douglas, 9 Beau Falloon, 10 Nate Myles, 11 Ryan James, 12 Dave Taylor, 13 Greg Bird.

Interchange: 14 Eddy Pettybourne, 15 Matt White, 16 Ryan Simpkins, 17 Kierran Moseley

Knights: 1 Kurt Gidley 2 James McManus 3 Dane Gagai 4 Joey Leilua 5 Akuila Uate 6 Jarrod Mullen 7 Tyrone Roberts 8 Kade Snowden 9 Adam Clydsdale 10 Korbin Sims 11 Beau Scott 12 Robbie Rochow 13 Jeremy Smith.

Interchange: 14 Tyler Randell 15 Chris Houston 16 David Fa’alogo 17 Jack Stockwell 18 Sione Mata’utia.

Sydney Roosters v Penrith Panthers

Roosters – $1.42

Panthers – $2.85

The third round finale should be the game of the season.  It’s a shame it’s been scheduled for a Monday and the crowds might not give it the attention it warrants.  If any club can get numbers through a Monday gate though its Sydney.  Their membership is booming and they’re again looking like genuine title contenders.  So too are Penrith however; looking mightily handy in two unbeaten rounds.

Penrith’s strong squad gets a boost from the retuning man-beast Josh Mansour, coming on to the wing at the expense of youngster George Jennings, and offsetting the loss of Jamie Soward.  Penrith’s unity will allow Sowards’ replacement Isaac John to settle in seamlessly and assist Peter Wallace to steer the ship.

It will need to be manoeuvred well too; the Roosters are incredibly strong 1 through 17.  We’ll give it to the Roosters by 1-12.

Roosters: 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, 2 Daniel Tupou 3 Michael Jennings 4 Blake Ferguson 5 Shaun Kenny-Dowall 6 James Maloney 7 Mitchell Pearce 8 Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9 Matt McIlwrick 10 Sam Moa 11 Boyd Cordner 12 Aidan Guerra 13 Isaac Liu.

Interchange : Mitchell Aubusson 15 Dylan Napa 16 Kane Evans 17 Sio Siua Taukeiaho 18 Willie Manu 19 Martin Kennedy.

Panthers: 1 Matt Moylan 2 Josh Mansour 3 Dean Whare 4 Jamal Idris 5 Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 6 Isaac John 7 Peter Wallace 8 Sam McKendry 9 James Segeyaro 10 Brent Kite 11 Sika Manu 12 Lewis Brown 13 Elijah Taylor.

Interchange: 14 Tyrone Peachey 15 Jeremy Latimore 16 Reagan Campbell-Gillard 17 Bryce Cartwright.

Round 3 Mutli

A $1 multi on the above predictions will return the following:

Head to Head = $28.68

Margin = $1209

Odds available at CrownBet (formerly BetEasy)

Rugby League: NRL Round 2 Review

The NRL continued its early trend of unpredictability in Round 2.

As always, the start of an NRL season is proving an interesting time as new players and coaches come to grips with each other and attempt to implement all of the off-season plans.  The result of which has seen a host of upsets and some dramatic improvement in some of the teams.

Here are the individual results from Round 2:

Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs (32) v Parramatta Eels (12)

The round started off with bruising encounter between the Eels and Bulldogs at ANZ stadium.  The Eels coming off second best with an array of injuries to key personnel throughout the half (Watmough, Radradra, Champion and Sandow), although Watmough and Sandow returned later in the game to battle on.  The Bulldogs took advantage of a make shift left side defence and a tired Eels outfit running away with the game 32-12.  Brett Morris was again superb for the Dogs, while Moses Mbye filled in well for Josh Reynolds, and Michael Lichaa is a candidate for signing of the season so far.

Cronulla Sharks (2) v Brisbane Broncos (10)

Next up, the Broncos v Sharks at Remondis Stadium, two teams struggling for form made worse by severe wet weather.  Both sides were guilty of turning over too much ball in conditions that did not suit expansive rugby league, but both handled themselves solidly on defence throughout.  The Broncos taking the two competition points with a narrow 10-2 win.  Concerns remain over the Anthony Milford / Ben Hunt combination, but Milford’s young, he’s learning and has the talent to pick up a position – he just needs time.  Corey Parker spent less time at hooker, and therefore made a bigger impact in the middle of the park.  For the Sharks, Barba was a little disappointing, he seems to have lost all of his Dally M spark and is not driving any attacking creativity to the Sharks play.

Penrith Panthers (40) v Gold Coast Titans (0)

Perfect conditions at Bathurst played host to the Panthers and Titans in front of a very small crowd (6,240). A relatively error ridden and uneventful first half from both sides saw the Panthers lead by just 8-0.  However, a relentless Penrith turned up in the 2nd half scoring 32 points, mainly orchestrated by their halves, with Idris dotting down three times and Whare twice in a dominant performance.  Panthers head straight to the top of the table, but have to win their next match against the impressive Roosters without Jamie Soward, but with Josh Mansour.

Manly Sea-Eagles (24) v Melbourne Storm (22)

At Brookvale the Sea Eagles hosted the Melbourne Storm.  A first half barrage and excellent execution by the Sea Eagles saw them get up 24-6 at half time.  Daly Cherry-Evans putting the controversy surrounding his Titans deal behind him to play a major part in the first half action.  Many would have expected the Sea Eagles to capitalise on such a lead, however a resilient Storm pushed the Sea Eagles for 40 minutes, keeping their hosts scoreless but falling short by 2 points.  Solid defence from the Sea Eagles late in the dying minutes getting them home.  Melbourne are getting some solid minutes out of Tohu Harris at the moment, and Blake Green looks a good fit in the number 6 jersey (he crossed for two tries), they should continue to improve over the coming weeks.

North Queensland Cowboys (14) v Newcastle Knights (16)

Much like Brookvale, Townsville hosted a game of two halves with the Knights getting up over the Cowboys 16-14.  The Cowboys led 14-4 at half time, but yet another scoreless half from an NRL side allowed the Knights to pull away and register an unlikely win – their second in a row.  The Knights are one of four unbeaten teams after two weeks and easily the least expected of the four.  Jarred Mullen is loving the responsibility under Rick Stone, and Joey Leilua is probably the hardest man to tackle in Rugby League at the moment – just as he was during the Four Nations last year.  One of the major talking points of the match was the Knights borderline illegal targeting of Jonathan Thurston when he was kicking.  Attacking the legs of a kicker is still frowned upon, and the Knights toed the line brilliantly to nullify the threat of JT. The Knights players all escaped judiciary attention too.

South Sydney Rabbitohs (34) v Sydney Roosters (26)

The match of the round at ANZ resulted in the 2014 Premiers once again getting the better of their finals counterparts with a 34-26 victory.  A true spectacle of rugby league saw 5 tries in the first half with the Roosters leading 16-12 at half time.  The Roosters strengthen that advantage and led by as much as 26-18 while Adam Reynolds spend some time on the sideline going through a concussion test.  When he returned, he sparked three tries in the final quarter to demonstrate the Rabbitohs inability to concede defeat.  The set up for Joel Reddy in particular was something truly special.  George Burgess enjoyed his best game of the season; relishing the match-ups with Hargreaves and Napa.

Canberra Raiders (6) v New Zealand Warriors (18)

GIO Stadium hosted the Raiders and Warriors on Sunday afternoon.  An uneventful first half with plenty of errors meant the teams were locked at 6-6 at half-time.  The second half saw these errors continue for the Raiders gifting the Warriors possession twiced inside 5 minutes; both opportunities the Warriors converted through tries to Ryan Hoffman and Solomone Kata.  Shaun Johnson again struggled; this time with an injured forearm compounding his troubles.  He’s run the ball just five times in two games, which is not enough for the Golden Boot (best player in the world) holder.  The Warriors are seeing some incredible returns from Albert Vete and Sam Lisone.  The newbies have been so effective that Origin representative, Jacob Lillyman, has been restricted to just 25 minutes per game.  The Raiders are simply making too many mistakes, but they’ve shown enough in the first two rounds to suggest their much improved from last year.  On the point of signings of the season, throw Sia Soliola in the mix, he’s been incredible.

West Tigers (22) v St George Illawarra Dragons (4)

The last game of the round at Campbeltown was awfully dire.  We caught only the second half but wished we’d spent our time putting pins in our eyes instead of watching.  The second half witnessed just two points, off the boot of Pat Richards, as the Dragons tightened the defence that had been so easily penetrated earlier by young whizz kid, James Tedesco.  Teddy was the key in three tries in the first 27 minutes as the Tigers paved the way for a second straight win.  Worryingly for the Dragons they have mustered just 8 points in their first two games of the season – the least number of points in the first two games of a season for any team in the last 15 seasons.  Adding insult to the loss, were Greg Alexander’s comments during commentary likening their attack to that of a “seven year old’s passing drill”.  Paul McGregor has responded by putting his halves (Marshall and Widdop) on notice.  Improve or head to the Holden Cup.