Tag: football betting

Portugal Expected to Run Riot on the Algarve

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

EUROPEAN champions Portugal host minnows Latvia at the Estadio do Algarve on Sunday night in World Cup qualifying Group B, and this could get very messy for the visitors.

The Portuguese are a very warm favourite for the win at general 1.07 which will give them their third successive international win and in the last two they’ve been banging in the goals for fun with 12 scored in two 6-0 wins over Andorra and The Faroe Islands.

Latvia arrive in the Algarve after back-to-back home defeats and even though some might be tempted by the massive 51.0 on the visitors to win this with Bet365, a $10 on them at the 50s means that you will LOSE $10.

The Latvians struggled to get past one of the worst sides in Europe, Andorra 1-0, in their only win in this campaign, and up against a Portugal side that is buzzing after their success in the summer, this is expected to be very, very one-sided.

The Asian handicap line is pitched at -2.75 for Portugal, which is 1.84 with Ladbrokes, and I can see them covering that line very easily and maybe before half-time.

In their previous meeting in 2005 Portugal ran out comfortable 3-0 winners and against a side that’s only scored just ONCE in qualification so far; for bigger hitting clients a Portugal win to nil looks like finding the cash on the street at the 1.45 that is being offered by BetVictor.

In recent Portugal matches, they’ve raced into early leads. I can see them flying out of the traps yet again in this one, and Portugal half-time/Portugal full-time will also appeal to money buyers at the 1.40 with Coral.

Cristiano Ronaldo is the star-man for the Portuguese, but the Real Madrid superstar is a very short 2.75 favourite to open the floodgates with the first goal.

Porto’s Andre Silva has scored four goals in four matches, and the 21-year-old striker is flying for both club and country at present with seven goals already in the Portuguese league; he makes much better appeal in the first goalscorer markets at the general 4.50, and in a match which could turn into a rout, I also like the 21.0 with Betfair Sportsbook on him to score his first international hat-trick.

World Cup Qualifier: Wales vs. Serbia to be a Cracker

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Wales vs. Serbia on November 12 is a chance for the home side to not only take another step closer to the 2018 World Cup, but erase the memory of a 6-1 defeat. Back in 2012, long before they shocked the world by reaching the semi-final of the European Championship, The Dragons suffered a thumping loss in a similar situation.

Bidding to reach the 2014 World Cup finals, Chris Coleman’s Wales travelled to Serbia in search of something special. Unfortunately, defensive errors before the 30-minute mark put the visitors two goals behind. A Gareth Bale free kick closed the deficit soon after, but a lack of ambition and attack, Wales went on to lost 6-1.

Same Players but a New Look Wales

On that occasion, a young Jonny Williams was watching from the dugout wondering if he’d get a run out. Now, four years on and with another World Cup beckoning, things are a little different. Williams is no longer a regular on the subs’ bench and he believes his country has what it takes to win. Not only that, but Wales have proven they can compete on the international stage.

Unfortunately, Serbia still look as tough an opponent as they ever were. Slavoljub Muslin’s team are a typically tough, well organised outfit and, so far, they’ve been faultless in the World Cup qualifying campaign. Currently sitting top of Group D with seven points, Serbia have won two and drawn one.

Although conceding goals has been a slight issue, Serbia have scored seven in three which is impressive by any team’s standards. Fortunately, however, Wales have been equally prolific in front of goal with a 4-0 win over Moldova being the best of the three results so far. With the bookies unable to separate the two teams when it comes to goals, it seems as though home advantage will be the deciding factor this time around.

Goals are a Given in this One

The outright betting line at Coral currently has Wales as the favourites at 11/8 while 21/10 is the price for a draw of a Serbia win. Over at SunBets it’s a similar story with the home side leading the way at 7/5.

With both teams showing they’re capable of scoring and conceding, there are two likely scenarios in this match. The first is that there will be goals. Now, if you want to take a punt (and it really would be a punt) on history repeating, Coral will give you 200/1. If, however, you’re a fan of money and don’t enjoy setting fire to it, a high scoring line looks like good value. Over 2.5 goals is 5/4 at bet365 and looks a possible outcome as does an 11/5 on a draw with SunBets.

Italy Heavy Favourites Against Liechtenstein

Over in Group G, Italy will be looking for a comfortable win when they travel to Liechtenstein. The landlocked principality isn’t noted for its prowess in the football world and, if we’re honest, are only a few notches above the likes of San Marino. But, for all their diminutive qualities, they’re in the qualifying rounds for the World Cup and will pose at least some resistance to Giampiero Ventura’s side.

After three games the Italians have been true to form. Seven points from three puts them level with Spain, but a goal difference of just three puts them in second place in the group. Much like Italian teams of old, the current squad is often content to squeeze out a win, but things might be a little different against Liechtenstein. Indeed, with 12 conceded in three and an 8-0 loss to Spain on the recent list of results, November 12 could prove to be a long night for Liechtenstein.

Italy Will be in the Driving Seat

In fact, when you consider that Italy held Spain to a 1-1 draw, and they were able to decimate Liechtenstein, it’s hard to see how the home side will come away with anything other than a spanking. The bookmakers’ outright odds are frankly embarrassing at this point with SunBets making Italy the 1/16 heavy favourites.

For any value in this match at all the best bets are in the scorecasts. 4-0 Italy is currently 11/2 at Coral while a repeat of the Spain result is a generous 66/1. Of course, there’s always the chance of an upset in this one, but it’s unlikely. Whereas Wales and Serbia will be competitive and may go either way, this game should be all one-way traffic in favour of the Italians.

City to Continue Their Winning Run

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

POOR old Middlesbrough face the toughest of challenges this weekend when they travel to an expectant Ethiad Stadium to face top of the table Manchester City.

City will still be buzzing after their super midweek 3-1 Champions League win against Barcelona. After a winless run of six games in October, they’ve won their last two matches remaining at the top of the Premier League table, and on course for the last 16 in the Champions League.

Pep Guardiola’s side are the shortest price on the Premier League coupon this weekend at just 1.25, and although those prices are far from attractive, they will win and should be included in all of our weekend accumulators.

City won their last Premier League match at West Brom 4-0. At home they’ve been scoring goals for fun, and this is a real test for the newly promoted visitors at the weekend.

Middlesbrough arrive in Manchester not in the best of form after just one win in their last eight matches; they haven’t won away from The Riverside since August at arch-rivals and bottom of the table Sunderland, and I really don’t give them much of a chance of an upset even at the 15.00.

Aitor Karanka’s side has drawn their last two away matches at West Ham and Arsenal, but this is a much tougher challenge, and if the home side get off to a flying start as I expect, this could turn into a rout very quickly.

City will win, but 1.25 is too short for me; but 1.72 with Coral is a decent price on City to be leading at half-time and then again at full-time, and on the asian handicap lines I also like the general 1.80 on a City win -1.5 goals.

Sergio Aguero has been getting all the plaudits for his goals and performances this season, and the Argentinian is a very short 3.75 to open the goalscoring. However, former Borussia Dortmund midfielder Ilkay Gundogan is in fine goalscoring form with four goals in his last two games. In a match that is expected to feature a whole host of goals, and mostly City ones, the 4.50 with Betfred on the German to score at anytime looks worth taking as well.

Chelsea vs. Everton: Will the Blues Unstick the Toffees?

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

In the battle between fourth and sixth, many would expect the former to snatch a narrow victory, but will Chelsea really have it that easy when Everton come knocking on November 5? In seasons gone by, a visit from the Toffees would have been seen as another routine win for Chelsea. However, this season, things look set to be a little different.

Although the Premier League stats are currently weighting in favour of Antonio Conte’s side, it’s worth remembering that the last time the two teams squared off it was Everton who clinched the win. Yes, that game was back in March, and yes it was an FA Cup quarterfinal, but the fact remains that Everton won 2-0.

The Odds Tell a Different Story

Now, if you looked at the current football betting odds on Sun Bets, you’d probably never guess that the last meeting between these two went the way of Ronald Koeman’s men. At the time of writing, £10 on Everton will earn you a £50 profit thanks to a 5/1 betting line at Sun Bets.

Branching out across the industry, Sky Bet’s odds makers have a similar outlook at 19/4, while BetVictor has priced the away team at 11/2. On the other side of the coin, 11/20 and 5/9 can be found at BetVictor and Sun Bets respectively, which would suggest all three points will stay at Stamford Bridge on Saturday.

At this point, it’s important to say that living in the past isn’t a particularly strong strategy for a team playing in the present. But, it’s hard to ignore the fact Everton hold the upper hand. Of course, if we leave the past behind, the current dynamics certainly favour Chelsea. 21 goals in ten Premier League games is a testament to the work Diego Costa et al have put in so far this season.

Equally impressive has been Chelsea’s defensive record of late. The combination of David Luiz, Gary Cahill and Cesar Azpilicueta paid dividends in October with clean sheets becoming the norm. Indeed, it’s this combination of defence and attack that has left Chelsea nipping at the heels of the top three.

Stats Belie an Everton Injury Crisis

However, as strong as Chelsea’s stats are, Everton have been equally impressive this season. Just eight goals against in ten games (compared to Chelsea’s nine) have earned Everton some impressive results. Indeed, with 18 points already in the bag and a place in the Champions League still on the table, the Toffees will start the game with a lot of confidence.

Unfortunately, confidence might not be enough to get Everton through an untimely injury spell. Keeper Maarten Stekelenburg is out due to a foot injury while Leighton Baines will also be watching from the sidelines with a hamstring strain. The loss of two key players couldn’t come at a worse time, and that could be the reason the odds are against Everton this time around.

There’s no doubt Everton have a much better chance of beating Chelsea than they have in previous seasons; however, that might not be enough. Although 5/1 is an extremely attractive price given the situation, it’s hard to see past Chelsea and that’s why the bookies appear to have it right this time.

Champions League Preview: Will Leicester Continue Their European Adventure?

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While Leicester City’s defence of their Premier League title can be described as stuttering at best, there’s no denying that the Foxes are flying in the UEFA Champions League.

Handed a relatively favourable group on their European debut, Claudio Ranieri’s men have taken to the competition like ducks to water and are remarkably one of only three teams to boast a 100% record after their opening trio of matches. As such, Leicester travels to the Danish capital on Wednesday knowing that even a point against FC Copenhagen will guarantee their progress into the round of 16.

That being said, the bookmakers certainly aren’t expecting an easy night for the visitors, with Copenhagen rated as 13/10 favourites and Leicester coming in slightly behind at 5/2 with Bet365. It is worth noting that Ståle Solbakken’s team are unbeaten at Telia Park this season and were also fairly unfortunate not to come away with something in the reverse fixture, so steaming into the away side may be foolhardy here.

Given Ranieri’s team are yet to concede a goal in this season’s Champions League, the 15/2 offered by Sky Bet on the game finishing 0-0 should perhaps be of more interest. Obviously the Italian will want to have qualification from Group G wrapped up on the night, but when an unstoppable force like Leicester’s perfect record meets an immovable object like Copenhagen’s home form, it is often best to back the stalemate.

Ronaldo To Run Riot

Things are unlikely to be so tentative over in Group F where Real Madrid make the trip to Poland to face a Legia Warsaw side that they thrashed 5-1 a fortnight ago. The hosts are without a point in the Champions League so far and have conceded a staggering 13 goals in their previous three matches, making Bet365’s quote of 28/1 on them causing an upset look anything but wide of the mark.

Despite his team’s comfortable victory, Cristiano Ronaldo cut a frustrated figure in the reverse fixture as he failed to find the net, but it certainly wasn’t for want of trying. The Portuguese fired nine attempts at goal – finding the target twice – and is unlikely to be in such a charitable mood as he closes in on a century of European strikes on Wednesday. Indeed, BetVictor has Madrid’s star man down at odds as short as 2/1 to score two or more goals in Warsaw, but it remains an attractive price given the host’s defensive woes.

While a best price of 1/8 from BetFred on Zinedine Zidane’s side emerging with all three points in the game is unlikely to get the blood pumping, the winning margin market may yet prove a more viable option. With Legia shipping six goals to Borussia Dortmund without response in their previous Champions League home fixture, you can get a decent price of 15/8 on the visitors winning by four goals or more with PaddyPower.

Do Or Die For Spurs

With Tottenham full-back Danny Rose describing his side’s upcoming games against Bayer Leverkusen and Arsenal as ones that could “make or break” Spurs’ season, Mauricio Pochettino will be eager to see his team send out the right message as they host the Germans at Wembley Stadium.

Unbeaten in the Premier League, it’s been a mixed bag of results for the North London side in Europe, with a loss, a win and a draw leaving them precariously placed in a tight Group E. Having failed to find the net more than once in any of their Champions League fixtures this season, it looks likely to be another nervy night for Spurs and Bet365 currently have them down at evens to secure victory with the visitors at 13/5.

Given Roger Schmidt’s side have been similarly shy in front of goal in the competition so far, the over/under market may be the way to go and 888sport are offering 29/10 that the game is decided by a single strike. Those wishing to boost their odds will find better value in William Hill’s 15/2 quote that the hosts win the game 1-0, but whichever way you cut it, it looks like anything but a comfortable evening for the home team.

Tottenham and Man City Need to Bounce Back

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The 2016/17 Premier League season may just turn out to be the most unpredictable league season on record. No fewer than six teams are in with a shout of winning the title, but which six you may ask?

In the past, perhaps two or three teams had a chance of taking home the big prize. This season is a different story. Would you bet against Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal, Tottenham, Chelsea or Man United winning the title next May?

Spurs Need to Exercise the Ghost

The ghost of last seasons’ poor finish to the season that handed Leicester City the title still haunts the fans at White Hart Lane. Tottenham always flatter to deceive but then crack when the pressure is on. They were held to a 0-0 draw at Bournemouth last weekend. So, getting all three points at home to Leicester on Saturday holds even more importance now.

The problem for Spurs is that the Foxes are coming into form. Leicester have been winning game after game in the Champions League. They also beat Crystal Palace 3-1 last weekend. Tottenham are firm favourites at 4/6 with William Hill, while Leicester City can be backed at 5/1 with Betfred.

The best price on the draw is 14/5 with Boyle Sports, and opposing Tottenham is probably where the value is. Tottenham are strong at home and have recently beaten Pep Guardiola’s Man City, but Leicester City are the champions and that shouldn’t be forgotten.

Man City Badly Need a Win

Man City were absolutely brilliant in all competitions until they recently went to Celtic Park in the Champions League. That 3-3 draw against Celtic was the start of a five game winless run. Pep Guardiola now needs a big result away to West Brom on Saturday. If City fail to win again, this could signal a crisis at the Etihad!

The number of individual errors that City players are making is growing in number. It is too early to suggest that City have a problem, but they certainly need a win against West Brom. Pep’s boys are 2/5 with Betfred, but those odds seem terribly short.

West Brom are strong at home and can be backed at 15/2 once again with Betfred. The best odds for the draw are 7/2 with Stan James. It seems that the short odds for City are based on their early season form.

Current Form is a More Accurate Indicator

If you want to find a good value bet current form reveals more clues than league position. Man City are still top of the league, but their form isn’t that of table toppers. The recent City performances seem to indicate that all is not well with Guardiola’s team of would be champions. City are deservedly favourites against West Brom, but a City victory is far from certain.