Cricket: West Indies need to adjust to pace ahead of 2nd ODI

The change of pace from T20 cricket to ODI cricket did not suit the West Indies in game one of their ODI series against South Africa, proving the longer the format the harder it is to sustain their entertaining but reckless form of cricket.

The longer format brought about a 61-run Duckworth-Lewis loss, and in reality exposed a widening chasm between the two teams.  Game two at Wanderers could highlight the gap again with the surface offering pace and bounce, and the outfield supposedly quick.  Expect plenty of runs, but also expect the change in pace (both format and pitch) to factor against the tourists.

The Last Time These Two Met

After a T20 series that hinted at a new level of competitiveness between the teams, South Africa emptied the weapon cache and thrashed the West Indies in game one.  Calling on their most experienced players South Africa accumulated 279 in their 50 overs; mainly thanks to half centuries from Hashim Amla, AB de Villers and David Miller.  In reply, West Indies folded to just 164 with Tahir, Philander an Steyn taking three wickets each.

The Teams

South Africa (likely): 1 Hashim Amla, 2 Rilee Rossouw, 3 Faf du Plessis 4 AB de Villiers (capt & wk), 5 David Miller, 6 JP Duminy, 7 Farhaan Behardien, 8 Vernon Philander, 9 Dale Steyn 10 Morne Morkel, 11 Imran Tahir

Probably no cause for changes in the South African’s top side unless they intend to manage workloads.  Morne van Wyk, Kyle Abbott and Wayne Parnell will likely be left on the sidelines.

West Indies (likely): 1 Chris Gayle, 2 Dwayne Smith, 3 Leon Johnson, 4 Marlon Samuels, 5 Denesh Ramdin (wk), 6 Jonathan Carter/Lendl Simmons, 7 Andre Russell, 8 Darren Sammy, 9 Jason Holder (capt), 10 Jerome Taylor, 11 Sulieman Benn

The West Indies might need to find room for Lendl Simmons to bolster the batting.  Despite previewing him below, Jonathan Carter might miss out if that’s the case.

The Key Players

Hashim Amla – Once boxed as a test specialist Amla continues to churn out ODI runs for fun against all sides.  His run a ball 66 in game one got him to 5000 ODI runs in just 101 innings, becoming the the fastest in the history of the game.  In doing so, he broke the previous record of 114 innings (Virat Kohli and Viv Richards).  Amazingly, Amla also holds the record for reaching 2000, 3000 and 4000 ODI runs the quickest.

Jonathan Carter – Carter was one of two West Indies players who made the World Cup squad without having played a one day international match.  Sheldon Cottrell was the other, but at least he has some experience in the T20 and test team environment.  Carter has played most of his recent cricket with the A team where he impressed enough to warrant World Cup selection.  He scored an excellent List A hundred against India A, and didn’t look out of place in scoring 17 on debut in game one.  Hopefully he gets a chance again at Wanderers.

The Odds*

South Africa – $1.28

West Indies – $3.70

*Courtesy of Palmerbet.

The Prediction

A bet on West Indies is effectively a bet on one of their batsman to score a hundred and win the game on his own.  South Africa are a better complete team and have more people who can contribute.  That’s why they are favourites.  The $3.70 is tempting and the West Indies did chase down 230-odd in a T20 here at Johannesburg the other day.  Even still, we’re going with South Africa by 30 runs or four wickets.

Cricket: Newlands hosts New Year battle

Rain may have ruined the second test between these two, however, it hasn’t ruined the series for the West Indians though who survived a series loss thanks to the frequent rain.  Now at just 1-0 down they could do the unthinkable and sneak a series draw against one of the best around.  The green pitch at Newlands should aid the South African team’s cause and a win to them is the most foreseeable result, for bookmakers and cricket experts.

The Last Time These Two Met

It rained centuries.  And it just rained.  So much so that a result wasn’t possible in Port Elizabeth.  The game worked well for the career statistics of the four centurions (Elgar, du Plessis, Brathwaite, and Samuels), but it wouldn’t have made too many punters pleased.

The Teams

South Africa (likely): 1 Alviro Petersen, 2 Dean Elgar, 3 Faf du Plessis, 4 Hashim Amla (capt), 5 AB de Villiers (wk), 6 Stiaan van Zyl, 7 Temba Bavuma, 8 Vernon Philander, 9 Dale Steyn, 10 Morne Morkel, 11 Imran Tahir/Simon Harmer

Simon Harmer is an uncapped 25 year off-spinner who will be pushing the inconsistent Imran Tahir for a place in the side.  Other than his potential inclusion, the team should be unchanged giving van Zyl and Bavuma another chance to shine.

West Indies (likely): 1 Kraigg Brathwaite, 2 Devon Smith, 3 Leon Johnson, 4 Marlon Samuels, 5 Shivnarine Chanderpaul, 6 Denesh Ramdin (capt & wk), 7 Jason Holder, 8 Jerome Taylor, 9 Shannon Gabriel, 10 Sulieman Benn, 11 Kenroy Peters 

Numbers 3 and 7 are the big concerns as Johnson, Blackwood and Holder have all struggled for runs.  If the West Indies are tempted to make changes they’ll make them in this positions.

The Key Players

Hashim Amla – The South African captain finally gets a chance to lead his side at the intensely patriotic Newlands crowd.  The last time Newlands saw the South African test side was Graeme Smith’s last in charge so they now get to welcome a new captain – one who failed in the second test and will be looking to make up for it here.

Jason Holder – Another newly appointed captain is Jason Holder.  After only 23 ODI games, Holder was appointed ODI captain in a surprising move by the WICB.  At just 23-years-old it’s a big test for the young all-rounder, but some wickets in runs in this match would make everyone a little bit more comfortable with the promotion.

The Odds*

South Africa – $1.22

Draw – $5

West Indies – $15.00

*International Cricket odds courtesy of Ladbrokes Australia.

The Prediction

No matter how appetising the draw money is looking, South Africa will win.  Steyn, Morkel and Philander are just too good for the out of for West Indies batting lineup.  There has been, and there could be again, some money to be made on tipping the first wicket partnership of the West Indies team outperforming their South African counterparts so look out for that.