Sha Tin Preview 3rd May

HONG KONG RACING SUNDAY 3 May 1915

SHA TIN

The Champions Mile

Yet another sensation days racing at Sha Tin with the feature race being The Champions Mile. Certainly void of runners but it has been billed as the best miller in the world at current standings in “Able Friend” who has rose to an amazing ranking this season. Should be the one to beat once again as his form over this distance and up to 2000m is outstanding. However he comes up against the very talented “Luger” who won the Hong Kong Derby in very good fashion so he does have what you would expect to be a good test on his hands today. I do expect both going on the performances today will be racing in the UK when all the Group racing begins so it really is worth getting involved here and at least watching just how this race pans out. The last three races on the card also look very solid class races and will prove to be every entertaining. Have a great day and above all enjoy the card at Sha Tin.

 

Track and Conditions: Turf A+3 course and the track will be rated as good.

Expected Weather: Sunny Intervals with a few showers and a top temperature of 30 degrees so it will be on the humid side. Wind will be from the south to southwest at around the 20Km/h mark so there will be a slight tailwind down the straight which will only slightly assist closers but it should be a fairly even playing ground just the same.

 

Best Bet: Race 10 No 11 Lucky Year

Best Value: Race 11 No 4 Dashing Fellow

Best Exotic Races: Race No’s 9-10-11

Quaddie:-

Race 7: 1-3 Race 8: 1-10-3-6 Race 9: 11-1 Race 10: 3-4-5-10

 

Race 1: — Time: 4.30am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Griffin Race

Top Pick: No 3 Highland Hammers

Value Selection: No 6 Happy Chappy

Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Super Dragon and No 2 Eastern Express

 

Race Overview

 

Highland Hammer stuck on well behind Happy Chappy last start over the 1000m.Both have trained on very well since that first start. They meet again today over the extra ground and both have widish gates but it is a small field. He should be improved by that first up run and I expect there should not be too much between the top four here. Happy Chappy recorded a very nice win first up from a draw which was wide so he appears to have a bit of talent. Goes over the extra ground today and comes up with another wide draw in gate 9 but looks to be a nice type and can go well once again in a small field.

 

Race 2: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 5

Top Pick: No 9 Jun Hao

Value Selection: No 1 Best Jade Triumph

Exotic Inclusions: No 4 On The Way and No Fantasticlife

 

Race Overview

 

Jun Hao certainly looks close to a win going on his current performances this season. He has never been far away and ran a very nice close up 3rd last start over this distance. Always has good hoops in the saddle and today is no exception with Douglas Whyte back in the saddle. Retains the same weight as he has been carrying all season and comes up with the rails draw so he should get a nice trail in the running. Best Jade Triumph always seems to go well at this class and distance and since dropping back in class this time he has gone close on all occasions. No real difference in the weights today. Comes up with a nice draw and should be well placed in the running and he also retains the master of the weave in Brett Prebble in the saddle.

 

 

Race 3: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 1 Spitfire

Value Selection: No 10 Never Better

Exotic Inclusions: No 12 Peace Combination and No 8 Distinct Commander

 

Race Overview

 

Spitfire has never been far away recently since dropping back to this class and has not been over this distance since class three when he found it a bit much but at his class and from a very nice draw in gate 11 with Douglas Whyte in the saddle he has to come under strong consideration here. Never Better just the two starts in Hong Kong and does appear to be improving. Drops a touch in weight and comes up with a nice draw in gate 12 which is close in over this course. Retains regular hoop and would not have to improve too much to be a bit of a hope here in a fairly open race.

 

 

Race 4: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 2 Happy Agility

Value Selection: No 9 Thewisardofoz

Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Regency Darling and No 11 Fun Tapestry / No 13 Bernard’s Choice

 

Race Overview

 

Happy Agility just the one start in Hong Kong and won well on that occasion with a very nice on paced performance over this distance at this class an d as a result goes up in the weights but does still look ok as he carries 127Lbs first up and has to be a consideration today going on his last start. Drawn wide today but has the speed to offset that. Retains Zac Purton in the saddle and goes in as another good chance today. Thewizardofoz is currently at just on or around each way but by start time may be favourite with Joao Moreira in the saddle despite drawing gate 14. His trials have been excellent and if drawn in closer he would certainly be hard to beat on those results. However he has good natural speed and should be able to cross into a forward position just the same. On trial form he looks a very nice type.

 

Race 5: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 5 Joyful Moments

Value Selection: No 4 Young Ranger

Exotic Inclusions: No 12 Sparkling Sword and No 2 Asia Rising

 

Race Overview

 

Open affair here if you take out Joyful Moments who does look the form way to go here. Just the three starts in Hong Kong but all have been good being placed 2nd at his last two starts and his last run was over this distance at Sha Tin from a similar draw. He gets Joao Moreira in the saddle today which will most likely keep his odds under’s so if you fancy him I would be getting in early. Young Ranger dropped back to this class recently and ran a nice race last start over the 1400m when he went to the line well in running 3rd only 1/2 of a length from the winner. Has trained on well and looks a bit of a chance with Zac Purton in the saddle. Only query is the wide gate and the slow pace but Zac will most likely look to get across early and he does look to have the pace to do just that.  Sparkling Sword has not been very far away since going up to this class recently and with what is expected to be a slow paced race should lead and may very well run a cheeky race at nice odds here.

 

Race 6: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 10 Bear Pop

Value Selection: No 4 Winner St Paul

Exotic Inclusions: No 11 Master Viking and No 3 Jolly Spring / No 8 Unique Awesome.

 

Race Overview

 

Bear Pop was getting home well last start until being held up in the straight and gives the impression that he may be ready to put in a good race looking at that effort as he was only 1 3/4 of a length away in the wash up. Should be at nice each way odds and can run well against this field despite the wide gate. Winner St Paul just the five starts in Hong Kong and he has been consistent and continues to improve. Comes up with a nice gate today and Zac Purton jumps back on board for the first time since his first start which was a failure at Happy Valley when he ran all over the place. But has shown good form since which has all been at Sha Tin. Looks close to breaking through.

 

Race 7: — Time: 7.35am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 9 Charity Kingdom

Value Selection: No 3 Horse Of Fortune

Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Red Dancer and No 7 Cheeky Too / No 1 Good Choice.

 

Race Overview

 

Charity Kingdom has been very consistent over the 1400m at his last three starts at this class and has been closing well on all those occasions. Goes up to the 1600m today and certainly looks like he will appreciate the extra ground today. Retains Zac Purton in the saddle and stays at a nice weight which will certainly help. Solid chance. Horse Of Fortune just the four starts in Hong Kong and the last two were over the Happy Valley mile where he put in decent efforts on both occasions. Comes up with a nice draw today and should once again enjoy a nice run just behind the speed near the rails. Does come across as a decent each way chance today.

 

Race 8: — Time: 8.05am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Group One

Top Pick: No 1 Able Friend

Value Selection: No 3 Luger

Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Dan Excel and No 4 Rewarding Hero

 

Race Overview

 

Only a six horse field but it is all class. Able Friend is certainly the star performer of the season in Hong Kong but I wasn’t completely taken by his last start performance even though he won well but it may have been due to the transition up and down to the 1400m then back to the mile. Did not seem to possess the same very quick turn of foot as he has shown previously but he is without doubt a class act and will be hard to keep out here. Is at the peak of his career and is without doubt a sensational race horse that deserves to have a crack at richer races in the UK. But he will not have it all his own way as Luger has gone from strength to strength since a few set backs earlier this season and has really shown his class. If all had gone well early this season I really did expect he would have gone to Dubai. He should be somewhere near the lead running into the straight and should be the one to run down however Dan Excel who has taken a bit of time to get going in his preparations looks to have been set for this as well and ran a very nice on paced 4th last start over this distance at HKG2 and may very well ensure a decent pace which will play into the hands of the other runners who like to finish hard with the exception of Secret Sham who may try to pinch the race if it is a slower pace than expected. Great race despite the small field and tactics will play a big part.

 

Race 9: — Time: 8.40pm GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 2

Top Pick: 1 Not Listenin’ Tome

Value Selection: No 10 Dane Patrol

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Looks Like A Cat and No 6 Jet wings

 

Race Overview

 

Good quality class two sprint here. Not Listenin’ Tome just the one start in Hong Kong and that was over this distance at HKG3 when he ran a very nice on paced race from a draw which was no help what so ever. Gomes up with a much better draw today in gate 11 which is much closer to the grandstand rail. Gets a big hit up in the weights today but he also has a senior hoop in the saddle in Douglas Whyte. Would like to see him over a bit more ground but just the same may have the class to go close here. Dane Patrol is a very under rated runner and has proven that this season with a very honest score card after winning on two occasions and placed in another two and never far away in his other starts. Has very good gate speed and will be in this for a long way.

 

Race 10: — Time: 9.15pm GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3

Top Pick: No: 11 Lucky Year

Value Selection: No 1 Strathmore

Exotic Inclusions: No 7 Spicy Sure and No 8 Lucky Day / No 2 Righteous

 

                                                         Race Overview

                                                                       

Now this is a very solid Class Three and it is very very competitive but the way Lucky Year won at his first start in Hong Kong he certainly has to be the one to run down here. Up in class today but will trot around with just 115lbs on his back in retaining his last start hoop and a small claim. Comes up with another great draw in gate 2 and should get a very nice run in transit once again. Strathmore won well last start and going on his lead up form prior to that win he has to go in with another very good chance once again today. Certainly been hit hard with the weights but if he carries it he has to go close from a gun gate and Tommy Berry in the saddle. Weight the only issue here. Spicy Sure only the one run in Hong Kong but it was a very pleasing effort running second to Strathmore on that occasion and even though he was well beaten in the wash up there was a lot to like about that run. Comes up with another nice draw today in gate five and should be well placed in the running as a result of that. Overseas form indicates that he should go well at this class.

 

Race 11: — Time: 9.50pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 3

Top Pick: No: 3 Sky Hero

Value Selection: No 4 Dashing Fellow

Exotic Inclusions: No 5 Secret Command and No 10 Forever Accurate

 

                                                         Race Overview

                                                                       

Sky Hero only the four races in Hong Kong and all have been very good. Went up to this class and gave them a canning all be it with a light weight. Been hit up in the weights as a result of that run but does appear to have talent and should progress beyond this class if he continues to improve as he has been. Dashing Fellow has been on song all season as well and won well last start at this class and even though up in the weights as a result of that win he has to come under consideration on form alone.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sha Tin Saturday 21st March tips!

Bet on Sha Tin races with Bet365!

HONG KONG RACING SATURDAY MARCH 21 

SHA TIN

Hong Kong Wrap Up

Fantastic racing last Sunday with 4 on top selections getting up and seven out of the 10 races producing exactas on the selections when boxed. Amazing win by Able Friend in the Cup race. Don’t know if he will get a chance at the world stage but if he does watch out as he is certainly something special. The owners love him heaps and it may take a bit of persuading to get him to part from Hong Kong and how can you be more impressed by the win by Luger in the Derby. He was our on top selection and left nothing else a chance over the concluding stages. More to our home stats and our best value selection of the day is running along at just over a 65% e/w strike rate and returning a profit or just over the 60% mark. Stick with them as well as the boxed exacta’s and not only will you have heaps of fun you will do extremely well over the course of the season.

 

Track and Conditions: Turf C+3 Course. All on the turf with the exception of races and 4 which will be on the All Weather Dirt Track. Track currently rated as Good on both surfaces.

 

Expected Weather: Cloudy but there will be sunny intervals. Visibility will be relatively low but should not impact on the running of the races. A top temperature of 23 degrees and wind will be from the east to northeast up to and around the 30Kh/m. 

 

Best Bet: Race 10 No 1 Packing Pins 

Best Value: Race 2 No 1 Art of Success

Best Exotic Races: Race No 7-8-9-10

Quaddie:- 

Race 7: 9-11-8-5 Race 8: 11-2-9 Race 9: 1-9-11-4-12 Race 10: 5

 

Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1800m—Class 5

Top Pick: No 6 Bachelor Dragon

Value Selection: 8 My Cup Overflows

Exotic Inclusions: No 1 Gold Tartini and No 14 All My Benefit

 

Race Overview

Very ordinary field to kick of the card today so would not be getting too involved here however Joao has had the pick of the rides once again and when you look at the form well I suppose Dragon Bachelor after dropping back in class recently has to be a reasonable chance here. Hard to go past in this field even though he has not won this season. Does look weighted at his best but should run well just the same in this field. My Cup Overflows Should get a nice on paced run after coming up with the inside draw here. Has fairly good early gate speed which should allow him to sit in a forward position here. This may very well develop into a sit and sprint race which will certainly assist on paced runners.

 

Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 6 E-Super

Value Selection: No 1 Art of Success

Exotic Inclusions: No 10 Gallant Rock and No 2 Sunshine Glory

 

Race Overview

E-Super has been in Hong Kong for a while now and missed a bit of track work with a leg injury but has trialled well since then. This three year old may very well have some promise going on those trials and it would not surprise to see him go very close here. Art of Success Recently dropped back to class four and went well on the first occasion but was bumped from pillar to post last start and as a result was eased out of it. Comes up with a very nice draw in gate 13 which is right on the rails down this 1000m straight today. Should jump well and with Zac Purton in the saddle is certainly expected to put in a good performance here.

 

Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 8 Goldweaver

Value Selection: No 10 Jun Hao

Exotic Inclusions: No 5 Fantasticife and No 4 Rising Power / No 2 Optimational Star

 

Race Overview

Goldweaver is another Zac Purton mount and even though this does look like a very ordinary class five I do expect he will run well on recent form. Always seams to be in the firing line and should get a nice trail from gate 4 today. Still looks well weighted at 125Lbs and certainly has to be a bit of a chance here. Jun Hao has never been too far away in most of his runs since coming to Hong Kong and looking at his last three starts he has to be an inclusion here at each way odds. Very open here with the exotic inclusions all having a chance as well.

 

Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 10 Modern Fortune

Value Selection: No 2 Easy Success

Exotic Inclusions: No 7 Glorious Avenue and No 3 Hurry Hurry Up / No 8 Jade Pippo.

Race Overview

Modern Fortune ran a pretty good race last start with the same weight he has today and comes up with the rails draw once again. He looks a solid chance here but he may be a bit unders with Joao Moreira in the saddle. Easy Success just gets in ok at barrier 7 and has been fairly consistent recently at this class and does look to be a nice chance once again today. Weighted at his best but he does have Brett Prebble in the saddle who is the master of the weave so he should be able to be well placed in the running. Appeals as a bit of a chance here at nice each way odds.

 

Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1800m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 8 Ah Bo 

Value Selection: No 11 Kids and Win

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Heroic Guru and No 13 Victoria Charter

 

Race Overview

Ah Bo has never been very far away and gets a chance to break his Hong Kong duck here. Drew a bit wide last start but still closed off well. Draws in a bit closer today and carries the same weight. Retains Joao Moreira in the saddle who has had a couple of rides on him now and been close. Should get a nice trail in the running as well. Kids and Win has been at this class previously and dropped back to class five and picked up a couple of very nice wins. Still gets into this well weighted and has to be a bit of a chance here as he will trot around with 118Lbs on his back and retains the same hoop. But it is an open class four just the same.

 

Race 6: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 2 Country Melody

Value Selection: No 1 Dane Patrol

Exotic Inclusions: No 5 Beauty Kingdom and No 10 No Money No Talk

 

Race Overview

Just have to love these 1000m sprints at Sha Tin. Country Melody has only had the four starts in Hong Kong and won his first two. Went up in the weights as a result of that but has still been very consistent just the same and does appeal as another very good chance today. Drawn a bit better than mid field which is not too bad and of course he has Joao Moreira in the saddle. Dane Patrol is an eight year old now but is still sprinting in great fashion. Went very close last start with Jack Wong in the saddle last start and get’s another 10 Lb’s off today with Jack retaining the ride. That will certainly help as he is up in the weights after that last start performance. But when you look at his overall form this season he has been very consistent and has raced very well over the odds on most occasions. Certainly appeals as good value here at current odds of around the 6/1 mark.

Race 7: — Time: 8.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class – Group One

Top Pick: No 9 Multimax

Value Selection: No 11 Thor The Greatest

Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Kynam and No 5 Billante

 

Race Overview

Multimax is a very improving three year old and has adjusted to the class rise last start. Ran a very nice 4th on that occasion all be it with a very light weight. Has the ability to go close today with a senior hoop in Douglas Whyte in the saddle. Come up with another good draw in gate four and should enjoy a very nice trip from that draw. Thor The Greatest well it does look like they have picked the right time for him to go up in class. Not only does he drop 9 Lbs due to the class rise he also gets a further 10 Lbs off with Jack Wong in the saddle. Will be very close to the pace with that weight and can certainly run a very cheeky race here.

 

Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 11 So Caffe

Value Selection: No 2 Red Dancer

Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Supreme Profit and No 8 Colossus

 

Race Overview

So Caffe has always shown promise but has not broken through this season. Gets his chance today against this lot and comes up with another nice draw today in gate 3 which was what he had last start and closed off very well and was not far off the winner on that occasion. Has not got great early gate speed but will be getting home hard late and he has Joao Moreira in the saddle as well today.  Red Dancer is a good performer over this distance at this class having won twice this season over the Sha Tin mile. Was working home well again last start from a wide gate. Gets in closer today and retains his last start hoop. Can certainly get in the finish here once again today at nice each way odds.

 

Race 9: — Time: 9.10am GMT—Distance: 2000m—Class – HKG1

Top Pick: No 1 Key Witness

Value Selection: No 9 Lang Tai Sing

Exotic Inclusions: No 4 Teofilo Calvo and No 11 Supreme Falcon / No 12 Lovely Delovely

 

Race Overview

Key Witness is a very good on paced runner but will most likely be taken back today from the wide gate due to the early inside pace in this race. Four year old who is really showing his form with a very nice win at Class one last start. Back to class two today and carries a similar weight to what he won at class two two starts back. Douglas Whyte has been on him on most occasions and sticks with him today. Lang Tai Sing is a nice type and has never been far away and is mostly at nice odds as well. Closed off extremely well from a wide gate last start and was less than 2 lengths away on the post. Different set up today after coming up with the rails draw and should get a very nice trail in the running from that position. Certainly has appeal at each way odds here.

 

 

Race 10: — Time: 9.50pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 2

Top Pick: No: 5 Packing Pins

Value Selection: No 12 presidentparamount

Exotic Inclusions: No 13 Mah May Baby and No 4 Secret Weapon / No 1 Big Four

 

                                                         Race Overview          

 

Packing Pins does possess good gate speed and should be eased into a nice slot in the running from gate two. You can forget he went around last start as shortly after the jump he was caught wide and was unable to settle infield and as a result was forced to race four wide for almost the entire trip and yielded ground in the straight. Form prior to that was extremely good and certainly looks up to this with a similar weight today and Joao Moreira in the saddle. Certainly a bit of a puzzle after you take out the on top selection here but we may find a bit of value just the same. Presidentparamount goes up in class after two very good performances at class four. He has drawn wide in gate 12 but does look very well suited at this distance and may very well get a bit more but for today he certainly looks very nice odds and would not have to improve too much to get into the finish here. Open race to finish off the card today.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sha Tin 8th March Horse Racing Tips

HONG KONG RACING SUNDAY 8 March 1915

SHA TIN

Hong Kong Wrap Up

It’s another great days racing at Sha Tin today and yet another group race with the Hong Kong Group Three Macau Cup which is always a hotly contested race and nothing has changed this time around.

Arpinati does look extremely well placed here at the weights in the Cup race. Comes up with gate one which will suite his racing style. Ran a very impressive race at HKG1 two starts back when he finished not far away in 4th position. Certainly looks suited here and he does have Joao Moreira in the saddle. Not an overly strong HKG3 but very competitive just the same. Super Lifeline has been racing at Class 1 or above for a while now and has done very well in the process. Comes up with a nice draw today in gate 4 and on current form looks ok at the weights and they have lost nothing in having Mattie Chadwick in the saddle for the first time today. Looks a very good chance.

The last four races today look to be great races and our form is done and dusted and I hope our results continue as we hit 6 exactas last Sunday and had a great day so follow the form and let’s take it to the bookies. The exotics look to hold some value today so best of luck if having a go.

Track and Conditions: Turf  C+3 Course with the exception of Races 1-3-7  which will be on the All Weather Dirt Track.

Expected Weather:          Mainly cloudy with a few mist patches in the morning which should clear during the day. There will be a top temperature of 21 degrees and the wind will be from the east gusting up to and around the 30Km/h mark. This will create a cross to head wind down the straight which will aid on paced runners but it is expected to be a fair playing ground just the same.

Best Bet: Race 3 No 3 Sergeant Titanium

Best Value: Race 8 No 1 Disciples Twelve

Exotic Races: Race No’s 7-8-9-10

Quaddie:-

Race 7: 1-3-8-6-7 Race 8: 8-9-2-1-3-7 Race 9: 9-3 Race 10: 9-7

 

Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1650m—Class 5 – AWT

Top Pick: No 5 La Cote De Bleu

Value Selection: No 1 Mr Marc

Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Sledge Hammer and No 6 South China Command / No 7 Croatia

Race Overview

La Cote De Bleu Produced a nice win over this distance on this surface last start after some fairly consistent form throughout the season. That run was from a wide draw in gate 12 and gets in a fair bit closer today in gate 7.Certainly looks a good chance once again today, retains Mattie Chadwick in the saddle and still looks in well at the weights. Mister Marc had been very consistent at class five this season and went up to class four last start to taste the waters again but was well and truly run over in the latter parts of that race which was over the 2200m on the turf. His previous form at Happy Valley which does lend itself to the AWT has been good along with some nice performances on the AWT. Certainly looks much better suited today despite having to carry top weight. Has the new Kid on the block in the saddle in Jack Wong and as a result will get a 10 Lb weight drop. Jack has had a fair bit of experience in New Zealand and I am sure he will go well.

 

Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 2 Diamond Master

Selection: No 4 The Prince

Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Lean Journey and No 1 Addole / No 11 Diamond Mysterious

Race Overview

Diamond Master has been in reasonable form since arriving in Hong Kong however had excuses last start and he does come up with a very nice draw today in gate 12 and Neil Callan is back in the saddle. Carries top weight once again today but does appear to be much better placed here. The Prince has not gone over this trip this season and the last time he did go over this trip it was at class three so he does look much better suited today. Comes up with a nice draw in gate 11 and should have enough speed to take up a very nice position in the running. Certainly has appeal here.

 

Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1650m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 4 Happy Moments

Value Selection: No 2 Expedite

Exotic Inclusions: No 7 Harbour Delight and No 1 Health Wise

Race Overview

Happy Moments certainly has the ability to be hot and cold but if on song he can certainly get into the finish here. Joao is sticking with him however he does not have a great gate and will need a bit of luck early. However this field is a bit ordinary and his hoop may play a good part here. Expedite has bounced up and down between class 3 and class 4 this season and ran a very nice race last start on this surface at this class last start. Had top weight on that occasion and gets a little of weight relief today and most important he retains Zac Purton in the saddle. Draw a bit of a query but should go well just the same.

 

Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 2 Dashing Fortune

Value Selection: No 9 Athena Baby

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Penny Lane and No 1 Sunny Pearl

Race Overview

Dashing Fortune Has been up and down in class since arriving in Hong Kong and does look better suited here. Just has to get a nice run in transit which he should get from gate 4 today. Even though he was 6th last start he was only 1 1/4 lengths from the winner and he does have Zac Purton in the saddle today for the very first time. Athena Baby just the three runs in Hong Kong and all have been fairly even and does show promise. Only needs to lift a bit to be right in the finish here. Comes up with a nice draw in gate 5 and has Joao Moreira in the saddle for the first time.

 

Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1800m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 3 Sergeant Titanium

Value Selection: No 1 Faster More

Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Percy Jackson and No 5 Electronic Phoenix

Race Overview

Sergeant Titanium did very well last start after coming from a near impossible position to get up on the line. If he gets an open shot at them today he has to be right in this once again. Draw the only queary but he does no how to find the line. Faster More is dropping back in class today for the first time this season and his class three form was not too bad at all as he was placed on two occasions and ran 4th on another three. His form last season was all at class four and he was most consistent and went up in class after winning over the Sha Tin mile by a good margin. Has to be a certain consideration today at each way odds even with top weight. Neil Callan rides.  Electronic Phoenix is an interesting runner here. He has only had the three starts in Hong Kong and has been moving up in distance and may even appreciate longer but he was starting to get interested last start and made up a fair bit of ground over the concluding stages. Does look like he will be even better placed over this distance today. Gets a couple of Lb’s off his back today with the allowance so will be 5 Lbs better off than last start. Should be each way odds here and a nice inclusion as he does look an improving type as he steps up in distance. At current odds of around the 18/1 mark he goes in as my BOLTER of the day here.

 

Race 6: — Time: 7.35am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 2

Top Pick: No 1 Brilliant Shine

Value Selection: No 2 Santa Fe Sun

Exotic Inclusions: No 14 Principal and No 1 Travel Brother

Race Overview

Brilliant Shine has won all three starts this season and is a very improving type. Only just got up last start at this class over the 1400m and it does look like a good move to go up to the 1600m today as he has been closing off extremely well and does look well placed here. Has to be a strong chance if he gets the distance but it is expected and he does retain Zac Purton in the saddle. Santa Fe Sun Does look well placed in a race of this type. Comes up with a nice draw in gate four and should suit his running style and get a nice trail in the running. Very nice closing third last start over this distance and would only have to repeat that effort to be a very good chance once again today.

 

Race 7: — Time: 8.05am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 1 Startling Power

Value Selection: No 3 Dehere’s The Love

Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Hidden Value and No 6 Able Warrior / No 7 Hearts Keeper

Race Overview

Interesting training tactics here and it is always worth looking at. Startling Power has won well with Joao Moreira in the saddle at his last two starts and does look to still hold a fair bit of potential. Gets six Lb weight rise today but it will be offset with a 5lb weight allowance with the jockey change. Drawn well and does look a very good hope here. Well ! Joao is off him and onto Dehere’s The Love but is no stranger to this horse and has ridden him on a fair few occasions as well so he does know this horse and has to go in as a very positive chance in that situation. Drawn exceptionally well in gate one as well. Looks like a nice exotic race as the next three in line all have chances.

 

Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 1000m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 8 Lovely Deloverly e/w

Value Selection: No 1 Disciples Twelve

Exotic Inclusions: No 2 My Little Friend and No 9 Dane Patrol / No 3 Supreme Falcon

Race Overview

Lovely Deloverly is a very consistent sprinter who goes well over this course. Has to be a very good chance after coming up with gate 13 which is right in the rails section of this course. Gets in extremely well at the weights after a 7 Lb allowance and will trot around today with just 122lb’s on his back. Just has to be pointed in the right direction to go close here. Disiples Twelve does perform very well over this distance and at this class. Won over the Happy Valley 1000m last start with top weight but more importantly he ran a very solid race the previous start at Sha Tin down the 1000m straight. Comes up with another very nice draw in gate 10 which will see him very well positioned down the grandstand rail and even though Zac is not on him today he gets a bit of weight relief as well. No 9 Dane Patrol goes around with just 115Lbs on his back with the new hoop in Jack Wong in the saddle. He can certainly be hard to run down with that weight. No 3 Supreme Falcon even though going over this distance for the first time is far too good at this class to leave out and has came up with the best draw in gate 14 which is the rails over this course. I also like the newcomer No 7 High Five but only room for so many but if going for a Trifecta or 1st 4 looks like a possible inclusion. Watch the markets. Currently 9/1.

 

Race 9: — Time: 9.10pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class – Hong Kong Group Three

Top Pick: No Arpinati

Value Selection: No 3 Super Lifeline

Exotic Inclusions: No 1 All You Wish and No 11 Pikachu

Race Overview

Arpinati does look extremely well placed here at the weights. Comes up with gate one which will suite his racing style. Ran a very impressive race at HKG1 two starts back when he finished not far away in 4th position. Certainly looks suited here and he does have Joao Moreira in the saddle. Not an overly strong HKG3 but very competitive just the same. Super Lifeline has been racing at Class 1 or above for a while now and has done very well in the process. Comes up with a nice draw today in gate 4 and on current form looks ok at the weights and they have lost nothing in having Mattie Chadwick in the saddle for the first time today. Looks a very good chance.

 

Race 10: — Time: 9.45pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 3

Top Pick: No: 9 Packing Pins

Value Selection: No 7 Up And Coming

Exotic Inclusions: No 1 Dr Good Habit and No 2 Ho In One

                                                         Race Overview         

Nice race here with a few chances however I do like Packing Pins. Always liked this horse since arriving in Hong Kong. Only the three starts but has never been worse than 2nd at this class and does look to be a certain chance once again today if he can handle the wide draw in gate 13. Should be eased back but what he does have in his favour is that the pace should be good enough to close off well and put him in with a good chance. Up And Coming has really picked up the bit since moving up to this distance. Just the four runs this season but he did win at this class over this distance last start and still looks very well weighted today. Retains Douglas Whyte in the saddle and is expected to come up at decent odds.

 Head over to bet365 for Sha Tin betting!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday 1st March Sha Tin Tips

HONG KONG RACING SUNDAY 1 MARCH 2015

SHA TIN

Hong Kong Wrap Up

The racing just keeps getting better at Sha Tin and once again today we have an outstanding group one race in the CitiBank Gold Cup. Small field but packed full of talent. Looks to be a very exciting race with the likes of Designs On Rome and Military Attack in the field. It does look to be a sensational race with those runners involved. To add to that we have Blazing Speed and California Memory just breathing down their necks along with Harbour Master who certainly has shown potential. Yet another great days racing in Hong Kong and we certainly found some winners there last week. On top selections and value selections as well as six exactas. Get amongst it and enjoy the day.

Track and Conditions: Turf B+2 Course with the exception of Races 2-5  which will be on the All Weather Dirt Track.

Expected Weather:  Mainly cloudy with one or two rain patches and a top temperature of 20 degrees. Wind will be from the northeast up to 30 Km/h and on occasions up to 40 Km/h. This will create a direct head wind down the straight which will aid on paced runners.

Best Bet: Race 3 No 7 Pop-Bear

Best Value: Race 8 No 1 Celestial Smile

Exotic Races: Race No’s 7-8-9-10

Quaddie: – Race 7: 1-2 Race 8: 9-1-13-7-5 Race 9: 4-1 Race 10: 2-11-9-1-6

 

Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 2000m—Class 5

Top Pick: No 1 Enjoy The Game

Value Selection: No 10 Win Chance

Exotic Inclusions: No 12 Glamorous Ryder and No 4 Super Strike

Race Overiew

Not the sort of race you want to get too involved in first up today. Looks a bit of a minefield over this distance at this class. But there may be a bit of value just the same if keeping your stakes small. Enjoy The Game went well recently when going up to class four and certainly enjoyed the weight drop. Back to top weight today with the class rise but his previous form was very good at this class so if he can carry the weight he has to be a bit of a chance here.  Win Chance has never looked like making it at lesser distances and performed as such. However after stepping up in distance has shown a fair bit of improvement. Both his last starts all be it have been at Happy Valley and he did close off exceptionally well last start over the 2200m. Looks suited today over the 2000m Has a senior hoop in Brett Prebble in the saddle and you would have to expect he should be value as well.

 

Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 4 – AWT

Top Pick: No 4 Kingston Jumbo

Value Selection: No 10 Horse Supremo

Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Modern Fortune – No 7 Lovely Naughty – Hello Kimberly

Race Overview

Kingston Jumbo Is an Australian breed four year old who appears to have matured very well this season. Improved a fair bit since going to the All Weather Track and has won both his last two starts at this class on that surface. Up a bit in the weights as a result of that but still looks ok and has to be another strong chance with Joao Moreira retaining the ride today. Horse Supremo has mixed his form this season at Happy Valley and the AWT at Sha Tin and looks to prefer this surface going on his last two starts. They are both tight tracks and the draws are important. Just gets in with gate eight today and is well weighted. Only has to repeat his last two starts to be a good chance once again today.  Hello Kimberley normally when he drops back in class he performs very well but had a few issues last start and coped a few knocks early so may pay to forgive that effort. Not drawn well in gate 10 but does get a 2 Lb claim here and this is certainly not a strong class four and may very well pay to follow here. Goes in as my BOLTER of the day.

 

Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4

Top Pick: No 4 Bear Rapper

Value Selection: No 5 Thor The Greatest

Exotic Inclusions: No 1 Fun Tapestry and No 2 How Speedy

Bear Rapper has never been very far away in all his races since arriving in Hong Kong and closed off very well from a wide gate last start and was not very far away in the wash up at all. Comes up with a nice draw today in gate four and I expect this will certainly help. Interesting to see a bit of hoop swapping going on here with Joao Moreira off Thor The Greatest and onto Bear Rapper and Brett Prebble off Bear Rapper and onto Thor The Greatest as they both certainly have appeal here although. Thor The Greatest has drawn wide but he has been very consistent this season. He will most likely try to cross early and if he gets in with cover he certainly has to come under consideration as well.

 

Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1200 —Class 4

Top Pick: No 13 Winner St Paul’s

Value Selection: No 4 Forever Accurate

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Telecom Boss and No 1 Kokoda

Race Overview

Very open affair here and it does look like it will be each way the field. Winner St Paul’s just the three starts in Hong Kong and is improving with racing. Went to the line well last start and was only 1 1/4 lengths of the winner on that occasion. Comes up with a nice draw in gate 2 and always has a good hoop in the saddle and nothing has changed today with the master of the weave in Brett Prebble taking the over. Forever Accurate is much better than last run would suggest as he lost a plate in the running on that occasion and it did appear to affect his chances. Previous runs leading into that start were very good and is expected to do much better today. each way chance here. Telecom Boss Dropped back to this class last start and although he did not get into a place he did get much closer in the wash up only 1 3/4 lengths from the winner. That was his first go with the extra weight with the class drop and would not have to improve very much to be a good chance here.

 

Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 1 – AWT

Top Pick: No 9 Master Kochanwong

Value Selection: No 4 Access Years

Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Super Jockey and No 7 Lord Sinclair / No 1 Sterling City

Race Overview

Interesting Class 1 race here with some good runners engaged. But when looking at the AWT form it is hard to go past  Master Kochanwong who does look the best weighted runner in this race as he handled the class rise last start and recorded a nice win with 122Lbs on his back. Drops to 119 Lbs today and comes up with a great draw in gate 2. Retains Douglas Whyte in the saddle and certainly has to come under consideration here. Access Years as a few of these are untried over this surface. Make no bones about it this is a very classy race but he has been a very consistent type since arriving in Hong Kong and certainly deserves to be in this company. Drops 7 Lbs on his last start 2nd at this class and should be very competitive here. I currently at each way odds which does make him value here.

 

Race 6: — Time: 7.30am GMT—Distance: 1400m —Class 3

Top Pick: No 12 Bossie

Value Selection: No 5 Da Vinci

Exotic Inclusions: No 4 Cheeky Too and No 1 Noble Alpha

 

Race Overview

Bossie Only the four starts in Hong Kong and does look like a nice type. Went up to this class last start and ran a very nice 2nd. Looks extremely well weighted and should get a very nice trail in the running from gate 2 and retains Joao Moreira in the saddle. Should go close here. Da Vinci does look like a very nice type and will certainly get away with a win or two at this class before too much longer. Well beaten last start but looking at the margins he was not very far away at all , only 1 1/2 lengths in the wash up and does look a bit of a hope today as he goes around with the same weight as last start.

 

 

Race 7: — Time: 8.00am GMT—Distance: 2000m—Class- Group One

Top Pick: No 1 Designs On Rome

Value Selection: No 2 Military Attack

Exotic Inclusions: No 3 Blazing Speed and No 4 California Memory

Race Overview

At set weights this should be a great race. Let’s put it under the microscope 🙂  Well looking at Designs On Rome and Military Attack there is never much between them and only the Jockey has managed to time their runs to perfection. Designs On Rome has managed to come out in front on most occasions and did so the last time these two met over this distance all be it by a short head. On that occasion it was at set weights so if their form is up to par it is a bit of a toss up today. Military Attack has a huge heart and will never stop trying so if any hiccups he will certainly take advantage of it. On the other side of the coin we also must look at California Memory. He has been a bit out of sorts since his early career wins at very good class races.. What I did notice was the way he finished off his last start. He did on that occasion have a very light weight but gets into this race today with a nice weight as well. He finished 7th at his last start which was won by Designs On Rome over the 1800m but what you can read into it is that he was only 1 1/2 lengths from the winner on that occasion and was closing off very well. Gives you the impression he has been set for this and the extra distance will be right up his ally. Should certainly be a bit of value here. Blazing Speed and Harbour Master can also figure on recent form. Interesting Race just the same.

 

Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 3

Top Pick: No 9 Colossus

Value Selection: No 1 Celestial Smile

Exotic Inclusions: No 13 So Café and No 7 Renaissance / No 5 Jun Huo

Race Overview

Colossus has only had the one start in Hong Kong but it was for a very nice third over the 1400m. Closed off very well on that occasion indicating that the extra distance up to the Sha Tin mile may very well be his go. Does look like Tommy Berry’s better chances today. Celestial Smile is far too consistent to leave out here even with top weight. Only needs a sniff over the concluding stages and will be hard to hold out at this class.

 

Race 9: — Time: 9.10am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class – 3

Top Pick: No 4 Why Why

Value Selection: No 1 Eroico

Exotic Inclusions: No Mutimax and No 14 Blizzard / No 7 Happy Meteor

Race Overview

Why Why has been in sensational form of late and does appeal as another very good chance once again today. Won at his first go at this class last start and still looks well treated at the weights today. Drawn well and retains his regular hoop. May very well pay to follow here. Eroico will be the one they will be wanting to be on here with Joao Moreira retaining the ride. Went a bit a miss over the concluding stages last start but can improve on that effort. May have been the weight but will certainly see today if that was the case. However not a strong class three and if on song can get away with this.

 

Race 10: — Time: 9.45pm GMT—Distance: 1800m—Class 2

Top Pick: No 2 Packing Llaregyb

Value Selection: No 11 Contentment

Exotic Inclusions: No 9 Obliterator and No 1 Flame Hero / No 6 Mr Gnocchi

Very nice class two here. I do like Packing Llaregyb in a race of this type. Certainly showed that he is very well up to Group racing with his effort last start in finishing a very close up 2nd over this distance at G3. He had on that occasion a very light weight and closed off extremely well. Gets a big weight rise today but on the same token this is a good class drop as well. I must say some of the lower weighted runners certainly have very good chances as well. Great Race. Without doubt Contentment does look extremely well weighted today with just 114Lbs on his back. Drawn well and has Joeo Moreira in the saddle and has to be respected at the weights as well as he was only 3 Lengths away last start at HKG1.       

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sha Tin Hong Kong Racing Preview

Our resident Hong Kong racing expert has put together his race by race previews for Sundays Sha Tin card. If you’re based in Europe you can place bets via Bet365 via their international section.

Most interestingly for European horse racing fans is Dundonell running in race 3. This former Roger Charlton trained individual won a Group 3 and listed contest in the UK before being sold off to Hong Kong, as well as a creditable 4th in the Breeders Cup Turf in 2012.

Race 1 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 10 Ah Bo – P
Value Selection:          –    No. 1 Blizzard – T
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 7 One More World – P and No 4 Lean Journey

Race 2 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 2 Mellifuent
Value Selection:          –    No. 1 Good Luck Boy – T
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 5 Faithful Boy and No 13 Excitable Boy / No 8 Timely Arrived

Race 3 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 1 Dundonnell – T
Value Selection:          –    No. 4 Tour De Force
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 7 Guru’s Dream and No 5 Kabayan

Race 4 –Top Pick:                      –    No. 1 Jun Ju – T
Value Selection:          –    No. 9 Everyone’s Choice – T
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 5 Kids And Win and No 2 King On Earth – B

Race 5 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 9 King Of Patch
Value Selection:          –    No. 1 Health Wise
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 2 Born To Win and No 5 Supreme Profit

Race 6 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 2 Dashing Fellow – T
Value Selection:          –    No. 1 Demokles
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 3 Unique Joyous and No 12 O’Socoole

Race 7 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 5 System Overload – P
Value Selection:          –    No. 10 Top Act – P
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 6 Industrailist Way – T- P and No 11 So Caffe / No 4 Level Player – P

Race 8 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 1 Divine Calling – T
Value Selection:          –    No. 10 Gaint Treasure – T
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 3 Beauty Only and No 8 Appinati – P

Race 9 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 8 Radiand Bunny – T
Value Selection:          –    No. 2 Big Four
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 12 Thunder Flyer – P and No 10 Short Squeeze – P

Race 10 – Top Pick:                      –    No. 7 Got Fly – T – P
Value Selection:          –    No. 1 Packing Llaregyb – T
Exotics Inclusions:     –    No. 5 Ashkiy
r – T and No 2 Winning Leader – P