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HONG KONG RACING SUNDAY 15 March 1915
SHA TIN
Hong Kong Wrap Up
It’s another great days racing at Sha Tin today and yet more Group racing with the Hong Kong Derby over the 2000m and the Queens Silver Jubilee Cup over the 1400m. Both look to be sensational races and we have Able Friend going around today as well in the Cup which will be excitement plus as he is dropping back in distance to contest this race today. If he can win this he certainly is a real talent and all indications are that he can certainly do just that. The Derby does look to have some serious talent and a fair few chances which have to be proven over the 2000m and it does look like being a very exciting race. What I can tell you about today is that it does look open early in the card but there is a lot of value there as well if the on top selections get rolled and it may very well be a day of taking a few flexi boxed exacta’s on the side as if they hit they will result in nice dividends. We went well last week and have a bit in the kitty as a result of that with our best bet winning along with our best value selection at odds of 12/1 along with 6 exacta’s. On average the results are very good so enjoy the form and have great meet.
Track and Conditions: Turf A Course. Track currently rated as Good.
Expected Weather: Sunny intervals with coastal fog which may be present throughout the morning and day. Top temperature of 22 degrees and the wind will be from the east to south east which should give a slight tail wind down the straight assisting closers to some degree but overall it should be a fair playing ground.
Best Bet: Race 6 No 4 Righteous
Best Value: Race 8 No 12 Super Talent
Best Exotic Races: Race No’s 7-8-9-10
Quaddie:-
Race 7: 1-2 Race 8: 4-12 Race 9: 1-4-2-6-3 Race 10: 2-14-5-1
Race 1: — Time: 5.00am GMT—Distance: 1650m—Class 5
Top Pick: No 1 Fortune Territory
Value Selection: No Opitimizational Star
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Best Jade Triumph and No 9 Solar Boy
Race Overview
Well Joao just keeps getting the good mounts and no different today. Fortune Territory dropped back in class last start for the first time in a long while and looks to have made an instant improvement. Ran a very nice close up third on that occasion and was closing off well with top weight from a very wide draw. Comes up with a much better draw today in gate 2 and has to be a strong consideration here. Optimizational Star has found himself in some good form lately winning two of his last three over this distance at this class hence the weight rise. He ran on well on both those occasions and there should be enough pace throughout this race to allow him to close off well once again today. Certainly appeals at current odds of 10/1 with Zac Purton in the saddle.
Race 2: — Time: 5.30am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 8 Tracker
Value Selection: No 1 Trendy World
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Unique Joyful and No 10 Thunder Dash
Race Overview
This does look open and very hard to separate the form here so I would be taking it easy in this one. Tracker Just the one start in Hong Kong and that was over this distance at Sha Tin. Did not begin the best on that occasion but mustered to make up ground. His hoop on entering the straight lost his right rein and took some time to regather. All the same he fought on well on that occasion and should certainly strip fitter today. Trendy World raced very well first up in Hong Kong then put in a sub standard performance last start. Not quite sure where they are going with this one but I do have a feeling that he will race very much better today. Retains his usual hoop and I would not be surprised to see him go very close here from a good draw in gate 5.
Race 3: — Time: 6.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 3 Bear Rapper
Value Selection: No 1 Plenty Of Speed
Exotic Inclusions: No 6 Royal Elegance and No 14 Jade Pippo
Race Overview
Bear Rapper well he really was expected to win last start but looking at that race he really did not have much luck in the early stages and was left with too much ground to make up. Retains Joao Moreira in the saddle and drawn well once again and if he gets away ok he is the one to beat and does deserve to break through on current form. Plenty Of Speed recently dropped back to this class and has gone close on both occasions since doing so. He crossed and sat on the speed on both those starts from gate 14 and it will be no surprise see him perform even better after coming up with a decent gate today. Weighted at his best but he does get a 7 Lb claim today as well. Appeals as value here at nice odds.
Race 4: — Time: 6.30am GMT—Distance: 1600m—Class 4
Top Pick: No 8 Gold Dragon
Value Selection: No 1 D’or Wongchoy
Exotic Inclusions: No 12 Rugby Ambassador and No 4 Vara Pearl
Race Overview
Gold Dragon Just the four starts in Hong Kong but all have been good and placed on three occasions. Has been closing off very well over the 1400m which does suggest that the extra 200m today may very well be what he is looking for. From Barrier four you would expect he will be well placed in the running and would not have to improve too much to be right in the finish once again. D’or Wongchoy won first up this season over this distance at this class then went up to class three and found it tuff going. Back to class four today and as a result back up in the weights but he has won at this class with only 1 Lb less so has to be a strong consideration today even from the wide gate. Vara Pearl I am going to throw this one in as my BOLTER of the day here as his form overall is certainly consistent enough to match up against these runners. Has drawn wide but there should not be enough early pace to prevent him getting across into a nice trail position. He has Bernard Fayd’Herbe in the saddle today and following in Douglas Whyte’s footsteps this South African rider from Durbin does have some class and will certainly be egar to display it in his first race in Hong Kong. Certainly looks over the odds here and is currently around the 30/1 mark.
Race 5: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1800m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 4 Ensuring
Value Selection: No 5 Industrialist Way
Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Photon Willie and No 6 Top Act
Race Overview
Ensuring is a last start winner and has been much more consistent at this distance this season. Still just gets in ok at the weights on those performances and certainly has appeal at current odds as well. Industrialist Way is far too consistent to leave out here as he has really been on song at this class over these distances this season. Won and placed twice over this distance at this class this season and still retains the same weight as last start. All points for another very good performance once again today as he just has to hold form which you would expect he should do. Retains Brett Prebble in the saddle who is the master of the weave and a very good hoop in staying events. The other rated runners will all have their chances as well looking at this field
Race 6: — Time: 7.00am GMT—Distance: 1200m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 4 Righteous
Value Selection: No 10 Lucky Day
Exotic Inclusions: No 8 Sight Seeing and No 1 Chater Legend
Race Overview
Righteous Just the three starts in Hong Kong and all have been at Sha Tin over this distance. Won his first two in good style but certainly looked to have been robbed last start as he was hampered early on and to me looked to get into a pocket running into the straight and really never got out until very late. Looked to be a victim of the way the hoops ran that race. Should atone here and really does look the one to beat. Lucky Day has been bouncing up and down between class 3 and class 4 and has been consistent without winning this season. Up a touch in the weights but looking at this field he has another good chance today. Does come across as the value selection here.
Race 7: — Time: 8.00am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class – Group One
Top Pick: No 1 Able Friend
Value Selection: No 2 Gold-Fun
Exotic Inclusions: No 6 Beauty Flame-No 5 Gordon Lord Byron / No 4
Ambitious Dragon
Race Overview
This is the first of two sensational group races today. If Able Friend can drop back in distance today he really is the real deal. I really do suspect he will do just that as he does look to be something right out of the box. From winning a Maiden at Wyong to winning G1’s in Hong Kong it certainly is a great story and I do believe it will only continue. Would love to see him on the world stage or even back in Australia for a tilt at something special but the owners love him and will have the final say but for me he has the class to win this especially at set weights. Gold – Fun ran a sensational race last start over the 1200m and was closing off very hard late on that occasion to just get up in the shadows of the post. Looks even better suited today over the 1400m and under set weights looks right in this up to his neck. Retains his last start hoop and will certainly be in the firing line at some point. I must say I can certainly see some value in the rest of the field here so I have to include some at good odds but will need luck just the same but Beauty Flame is by far too consistent to leave out here and will certainly test this lot. Very nice 2nd at G1 last start over the mile. Has great early speed and is always close up in the running. Nothing should change today as he comes up with another good gate and retains his regular hoop as well. Has to go in as a very solid chance once again today.
Race 8: — Time: 8.35am GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 3
Top Pick: No 4 King of Mongolia
Value Selection: No 12 Super Talent
Exotic Inclusions: No 13 Dashing Fellow and No 7 Divine Diya
Race Overview
King Of Mongolia Just the two starts in Hong Kong and both have been at Sha Tin over the 1200m. Improved a fair bit to record a nice win last start although helped a bit by the way things went in the straight. Never the less he did close off extremely well indicating that the extra 200m will certainly be in his favour today as he has won over 1600m prior to coming to Hong Kong and yes that was at Kembla Grange. :). Will test this field over this distance. Super Talent is never very far away and in fact has only missed a place on one occasion since coming to Hong Kong and that was for a 4th at his first start. Has certainly came on since then and closed off very hard at his first attempt over this distance last start and in running 3rd he was continuing to make ground on the post. Goes around with the same weight as last start which is a bonus and Douglas Whyte sticks with him. Only query is the wide gate but he does like to close off and you would expect that is what they will do with him today.
Race 9: — Time: 9.10am GMT—Distance: 2000m—Class – HKG1
Top Pick: 1 Luger
Value Selection: No 4 Giant Treasure
Exotic Inclusions: No 2 Beauty Only and No 6 Redkirk Warrior / No 3 Thunder Fantasy
Race Overview
This looks like a great race and I reckon we can go close to getting the top four fairly close here but just the same there is some serious talent in this race. Set weights once again and that will certainly help the runners with a touch more class as they have displayed. I don’t think there is too much between Redkirk Warrior,Giant Treasure.Beauty Only,Luger and Thunder Fantasy. Luger has not drawn well but it should not affect things much over the 2000m . Had a setback but looks to have that behind him now after a very nice win over the Sha Tin mile last start. No real stayers in that race but it did have some very good quality runners just the same. Interesting to see that Douglas Whyte is off him and onto Giant Treasure but Zac Purton is the perfect replacement. Giant Treasure has been there about and obviously set for this race. Douglas Whyte sticks with him and he certainly looks very well placed over the extra distance today the way he has been finishing off his races since arriving in Hong Kong and does look suited at set weights.
Race 10: — Time: 9.50pm GMT—Distance: 1400m—Class 2
Top Pick: No: 2 Let Me Go
Value Selection: No 14 Travel First
Exotic Inclusions: No 5 Eroico and No 1 Formular One / No 9 Jazzy Feeling
Race Overview
Let Me Go went up for the one start at Class two last start and performed very well . Back to class two today but does look well suited at this class after some very polished performances this season. Only has to produce that form today to be another very good chance once again. Looks fine at the weights and it is very good to see Tommy Berry back in town. Appeals as a solid chance here. Travel First has been a very consistent type at class three since arriving in Hong Kong without winning but the class rise and the drop in weight may certainly help today as he dose get a 15Lb weight drop today. Comes up with a nice draw in gate four and currently at each way odds appeals as value here.
