Tag: Horse Racing Tips

£1 million up for grabs in Scoop6!

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The popular Scoop6 could reach a pay-out of over £1 million on Saturday for the opening day of the new turf flat racing season. We’ve studied the form and come up with a couple of selection in each of the six races in the hope of helping some lucky punter towards the jackpot prize! A word of warning though…both the Spring Mile and the Lincoln Handicap are included.

Doncaster 2.35

The Cammidge Trophy looks a tricky opener for punters with a decent case to be made for nine of the eleven runners. Naadirr has to be included after some progressive form last season while there seems to be plenty of confidence behind Astaire in the betting market.

NAADIRR, ASTAIRE

Kempton 2.50

The Rosebery Handicap is a competitive event but there seems no reason to desert Godolphin’s New Year’s Day. He won with a bit in hand last time and is nicely drawn in stall 2. Saoi is weighted to get closer this time but I just prefer Latin Charm who looked progressive last winter for Marco Botti.

NEW YEAR’S DAY, LATIN CHARM

Doncaster 3.10

Punters finding the winner of the Spring Mile and the Lincoln Handicap are going to need a large slice of luck or psychic powers! Donny Rover is still fairly treated after ending last season with back-to-back victories while Boots And Spurs was second here two years ago and races off a lower mark.

DONNY ROVER, BOOTS AND SPURS

Kempton 3.25

Boomerang Bob looked to be coming back to form last time and should give us a good run for Charlie Hills. Perfect Pasture won well at Southwell last time but will need to break quickly from stall 10.

BOOMERANG BOB, PERFECT PASTURE

Chelmsford 3.30

The Scoop6 organisers haven’t done punters any favours by including this race. Dungannon was disappointing last time but lost his chance as the start. He could bounce back to form here with Zac Brown also capable of much better.

DUNGANNON, ZAC BROWN

Doncaster 3.45

The last four winners of the Lincoln have returned 16-1, 25-1 and 20-1 twice. That tells its own story but we have to keep the faith with our ante-post choices of Zarwaan and Gabrial’s Kaka. Good luck if you’re playing the Scoop6 this weekend!

ZARWAAN, GABRIAL’S KAKA

Totesport Scoop6

Doncaster Saturday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The going looks likely to be good for Saturday’s Lincoln Handicap at Doncaster, the traditional curtain-raiser to the new turf flat season.

Our ante-post selections Zarwaan (12-1) and Gabrial’s Kaka (14-1) have both received favourable draws in 18 and 22 respectively. If you backed Buckstay, he missed the cut and runs in the Spring Mile instead but stakes will be returned.

Bookmakers are finding it hard to split Mange All, Zarwaan and Gm Hopkins and will be delighted if anything outside of these three passes the post in front. The Spring Mile may show whether or not the favoured high draw theory is correct and I am passing over Buckstay from stall 1 in that contest. The money has all been for Certificate here but this is a stiff test for such an inexperienced horse and it may be worth taking a chance with Donny Rover.

He ended last season with victories at Newmarket and Nottingham, both over ten furlongs. That may not seem the best preparation for a straight mile but he did win first time out over this trip. He is also racing off the same mark as his last start in October and will be staying on at the finish.

Tullius looks difficult to oppose in the Doncaster Mile but could still represent value if you can get close to even money. He was runner-up in the Lincoln last year but ended the season holding his own in Group 1 company. He was a fine second to Olympic Glory and fourth to Charm Spirit, both at Ascot. He probably prefers a bit of cut in the ground but there certainly won’t be any danger of fast ground at Town Moor.

Glory Awaits is something of an enigma having chased home Dawn Approach at 150-1 in the 2000 Guineas a couple of years ago. He hasn’t produced anything like that since and Baltic Knight will probably pose the biggest threat for Richard Hannon.

The Cammidge Trophy looks wide open and I’m siding with Naadirr who was tough and consistent last season for Marco Botti. He looks the type of horse to improve from three to four and can kick of the new campaign with a victory.

Aetna, Astaire and Heaven’s Guest are all capable of winning this on their best form but Naadirr looks good each-way value.

Tullius 2.00 @4-6 888Sport

Naadirr 2.35 @7-1 Boylesports

Donny Rover 3.10 @16-1 Stan James

Zarwaan @12-1 Ante-post

Gabrial’s Kaka @14-1 Ante-post

Lincoln Handicap – Ante-post Update

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In last week’s Lincoln preview we recommended Zarwaan at 12-1 and he is now a top-priced 10-1 with Bet Victor.

Mange All and Gm Hopkins continue to dominate the market for William Haggas and John Gosden. Both stables have a fine record in the race so they should certainly give their supporters a run for their money. I don’t think that there can be much value left at odds of 11-2 and 7-1 respectively so I’ve been looking further down the weights in the hope of unearthing an each-way alternative.

With recent winners returned at 16-1, 25-1, 20-1 and 20-1, we know from experience that the market can get this race badly wrong. The draw is another factor to take into account, although that too is something of a mystery. Most pundits had satisfied themselves that a middle to high draw is ideal. Lo and behold, the winner Ocean Tempest emerged from stall 3 last season.

One horse that does catch my eye is Peter Chapple-Hyam’s Buckstay. I tipped him for last season’s Cambridgeshire and he ran a fine race to be fourth behind Bronze Angel. He is now a staggering 16lbs better off with the winner.

Maxime Guyon rode him that day and hit the front over a furlong from home before being swamped in the closing stages. He again clashed with Bronze Angel at Ascot in heavy ground in the Balmoral Handicap but the draw gave him no chance that day. He finished third on his side but was only ninth overall and that run can be safely ignored.

Buckstay has some form with cut in the ground but does not look as though he appreciates extremes of going. Cam Hardie has been booked for the ride and he takes off a handy 3lbs. With a massive 93 horses left in, Buckstay may not get a run from 33 in the handicap but we can take a bit of the 25-1 and get a refund if he is balloted out.

It looks as though Bronze Angel will carry top weight for Marcus Tregoning with Ocean Tempest just below him, attempting to repeat last year’s triumph. The three market leaders are safely in the top of the handicap and Richard Fahey hopes to run three including both Gabrial’s Kaka and Gabrial. It’s anybody’s guess how Gabrial will cope with this large field but Gabrial’s Kaka should go well. Fahey is optimistic about his chances and 14-1 represents fair value.

Zarwaan @12-1*

Buckstay @25-1 BetVictor (non-runner – no bet)

Gabrial’s Kaka @14-1 William Hill

*Ante-post

£750,000 on offer in Scoop6!

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Last weekend’s Scoop6 was lost when Catching On and Tony McCoy crashed out of the Midlands National at Uttoxeter. The well-backed gelding was carrying the last remaining ticket so the pool has been carried over with a forecast £750,000 up for grabs.

All of this weekend’s Scoop6 are televised by Channel 4 so we’ve had a quick comb through the form in the hope of coming up with a winning permutation.

2.00 Newbury

As you would expect, there are no easy races and the opening Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase sets the ball rolling. Pepite Rose won this race last year and is now on a 1lb lower mark. O’Maonlai absolutely bolted up here last month but has been raised 15lbs.

PEPITE ROSE, O’MAONLAI

2.15 Kelso

This is a decent race with Harry The Viking having much the best form after being beaten on the nod in the Grand National Trial at Haydock. That was on testing ground, formerly believed to be against the gelding. Cloudy Too has a touch of class but has been weighted accordingly and a bigger danger may be unlucky faller The Last Samuri.

HARRY THE VIKING, THE LAST SAMURI

2.35 Newbury

The EBF Mares’ Hurdle Finale looks wide open but Nicky Henderson’s Spartan Angel should go well along with the Warren Greatex-trained Hannah’s Princess showed a liking for this ground last time.

SPARTAN ANGEL, HANNAH’S PRINCESS

2.50 Kelso

Spookydooky won with a bit in hand last time but has gone up 13lbs. Nicky Richards has his team in good form and Cultram Abbey could be worth considering.

SPOOKYDOOKY, CULTRAM ABBEY

3.10 Newbury

The form choice here is Financial Climate with the added bonus of AP McCoy in the saddle. He is only up 4lbs for a workmanlike success at Sandown but may have most to fear from No Duffer.

FINANCIAL CLIMATE, NO DUFFER

3.45 Newbury

The going has definitely firmed up in the last week or two and that favours the speedier flat race types. The two that catch the eye here are Andrew Balding’s Storm Force Ten and Alan King’s Gimme Five.

STORM FORCE TEN, GIMME FIVE

Totesport Scoop6

Newbury Saturday Preview

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Richard Johnson stole the show at Newbury on Friday with a treble including two for Philip Hobbs. It’s good to see the Hobbs yard back in form after a miserable Cheltenham where they sent out 15 runners to no avail, one-third of them failing to complete the course.

It was not such a good day for Nicky Henderson but he could be back in the winners’ enclosure after Saturday’s big race with Spartan Angel. The EBF Mare’s Hurdle Finale takes some winning and there are eighteen set to line up on Saturday. You could make a case for most of them and it is no surprise to see the bookmakers going 7-1 the field overnight.

The weight range is no more than 13lbs but bottom weight gives Spartan Angel an excellent charge for the Lambourn stable. She has been very lightly raced since winning a small race at Worcester in the summer. The daughter of Beneficial raced twice at Ascot before Christmas and was a fair second to Batavir. David Pipe’s gelding followed up at Wincanton before disappointing in the Doncaster race won by Call The Cops.

Henderson’s stable were not firing on all cylinders at the time and it may be that she has simply been put away for better ground and/or this race in particular. Hannah’s Princess is another worthy of consideration after winning comfortably on similar ground last time.

Every Tony McCoy winner is cheered to the rafters at present and Financial Climate should go close in the 3.10 race. He never really looked in any danger once he kicked on two fences from home at Sandown and a 4lbs penalty could be lenient. The opposition are a mixture of ageing chasers and unreliable handicappers.

Andrew Balding has kept Storm Force Ten for hurdling this season but he was a late withdrawal from the Cheltenham festival. I had given him a chance in the Fred Winter after a couple of encouraging runs, notably when fourth to Triumph winner Peace And Co. Four-year-old handicaps are a devil to unravel but he won’t mind the quicker ground and may have most to fear from Gimme Five. Alan King has been running this one on the all-weather and he looks quite well in with 10st 10lb.

2.35 Spartan Angel @7-1 Bet365

3.10 Financial Climate @9-2 William Hill

3.45 Storm Force Ten @7-2 Bet365

Lincoln Ante-Post Preview

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With Cheltenham now behind us, Flat racing fans will be getting excited about the new turf season. Apparently Gleneagles has been catching pigeons at Ballydoyle and has been backed off the boards for the 2000 Guineas while the powers-that-be have been tinkering with the jockeys’ championship dates. Of more immediate interest is the Lincoln Handicap, the traditional cavalry charge at Town Moor.

There will be all of the usual debate about the draw and the going and the last four results makes you wonder whether or not it is wise to get involved. They have been 16-1, 25-1, 20-1 and 20-1. Prior to that there were two well-backed favourites in Expresso Star and Penitent. They were trained by John Gosden and William Haggas respectively so that is a good place to start.

At present, the Haggas-trained Mange All is 6-1 favourite with the Gosden-trained Gm Hopkins at 8-1. Mange All won a decent prize at Ascot in July when just getting up to beat American Hope by a neck. He ran a good race under a penalty next time when beaten by The Corsican and rounded off his three-year-old season by finishing fourth to Gm Hopkins in the Silver Cambridgeshire. He is 3lbs better off for three and three-quarter lengths with the winner.

Gm Hopkins was put up 9lbs for that win and was only fourth at York before finishing third at Nottingham off the same mark. Both trainers obviously know what they are doing but neither really appeals at single figure prices.

Ed Dunlop has an interesting contender in Zarwaan, a winner over six furlongs at Haydock in July and runner-up to Chatez in the Silver Bowl at the same course. He then ran a fine fifth of 30 in the Britannia at Royal Ascot before finishing fourth at Newmarket in a Listed race.

Last season we tipped Gabrial’s Kaka with trainer Richard Fahey quite bullish about his chances in the build-up to the race. He was there with every chance three furlongs out but faded back into sixth place. He won the Newbury Spring Cup next time out and had a crack at most of the big mile handicaps after that. He was badly drawn on his final start and now races off a 6lbs higher mark than last season.

Before rushing in on him, it is worth noting that he is also entered in the Irish Lincoln and is a possible for the Doncaster Mile. Just to confuse matters further, stable companion Gabrial also holds an entry her. He would be a blot on the handicap on his best form but he has been tried in everything except the boat race in recent seasons. He showed that he still retains his ability when winning at Leicester in October but he is still 11lbs lower than his previous best.

Mindurownbusiness and Belgian Bill are others worthy of note. The former did this column a favour when winning at Wolverhampton recently in the trial race and gets in here on a 2lbs lower mark. Belgian Bill has been running with great credit in Dubai but neither is proven on soft ground. Zarwaan gets a tentative vote at this stage.

Zarwaan @12-1 William Hill

Each-way ¼ odds, 1,2,3,4