Horse Racing Preview – Saturday 13th July

On Friday we suffered a bad case of Seconditis. The “Big Two” didn’t really fire after their victories at Royal Ascot. Rizeena seemed to hang fire and lug to her left when Doyle asked her to quicken. Perhaps the ground was too fast for her.

I’m not quite sure what to make of the Falmouth Stakes. As I mentioned in my preview, it is simply amazing how much trouble a jockey can find in a small field in the wide open spaces of Newmarket. There is no doubt that Elusive Kate would have been disqualified a few years ago for carrying Sky Lantern across the track. Apart from it being impossible to overtake something travelling diagonally in your path, the whip-cracking across the horse’s face just about put the tin hat on it!

You don’t realise how often this goes on until you see the head on footage. A classic case in point was the closing race of the Royal meeting when Shahwardi was swiped across the head by an exaggerated whipping action from Jimmy Fortune on the eventual winner. Apparently it is an accepted part of race riding. Because the jockey is facing forward, they are deemed to be unaware that they are smacking a rival over the face.

Anyway, not content with two seconds we finished off with Moviesta looking certain to win the sprint handicap and yet somehow failing to do so. Whether Mulrennan was over-confident I’m not sure but I suppose you have to hand it to Fahey’s filly, Heaven’s Guest. She has been on the go all season and just gives everything she’s got.

Our Saturday ante-post bets are on Shea Shea at 9-2 in the July Cup and Niceofyoutotellme at 12-1 in the Magnet Cup. I think the race planners have gone in for overkill this weekend as there is top quality racing at Newmarket, York and Ascot. The Magnet Cup is playing second fiddle to Newmarket which means Ascot’s Summer Mile gets third billing.

Aljamaaheer has been a good friend of mine, remarkable considering that he has still only won two races. I’ve backed him at big prices in the Lockinge and Queen Anne and collected handsomely on the each-way bet. Tomorrow he’s got to go and win a race and, on past experience, he will come second!

Godolphin’s two-year-olds are starting to get into overdrive and I think Outstrip could be one of the better ones. The horse he beat here last time bolted up on Friday and he should follow suit on Saturday.

I could write a book about the runners in the Bunbury Cup! There’s Brae Hill who seemingly likes to be alone in his races (as when winning last year), Dance And Dance trying to make up for being balloted out of the Hunt Cup and Excellent Guest who pops up when you least expect it. But I’m siding with the Irish raider Burn The Boats. He landed a gamble at the Curragh, stays a mile and could be less exposed than some of these.

Ascot also stages a £100,000 sprint handicap to open the card and last year’s 1,2,3 are back for more. I’m torn between Barnet Fair and Taajub as both ran eye-catching prep races last time out. I’m just going to go with Barnet Fair because he seems to finish his races better than Taajub.

Channel 4 are covering 10 races tomorrow. Apart from the fact that we get more racing, we also get less waffle!

Ante-Post
Niceofyoutotellme 12-1
Shea Shea 9-2

Aljamaaheer 5-2 William Hill
Outstrip 3-1 Coral
Burn The Boats 10-1 William Hill
Barnet Fair 10-1 Coral

Tipsy Tipster Friday Horse Racing Tips

Feels like dancing did us proud yesterday, as did Figure of speech really, only caught on the line to deny us a superb 23-1 double. We had the winner and the each way, so cannot complain really.

Friday sees many top class races, including the group 1 fillies race at Newmarket, but although i think Sky Lantern can win, and should win, i cannot support her at the price, i’ll just sit back and watch that.

The bet today is a Jollies and rags 4 fold on Bet365. You back several horses to win in each race as opposed to one, it gives you interest in tough races where you’re able to narrow selections down to just a handful of runners.

Here goes..

1:40 Newmarket: Dream Wild, Jubilante & Nardin
2:10 Newmarket: Rizeena & Bye Bye Birdie
2:25 York: Rosdhu Queen & Body And Soul
3:05 Ascot: Caravan Rolls On & Noble Silk

£10 pays £135.69 with Bet365.

Bare in mind, this bet can only be placed on Bet365.

I’ve had a single on Jubilante at 6-1 on William Hill, along with a cheeky double on Rizeena & Sky Lantern (last night it was 7-2 on William Hill). Also a double on True Story (3:50 Newmarket) and Vermont 4:25 Newmarket at 5-1 on Bet365. Let’s bash the bookies today, if the fancied horses go in, we’ll be laughing all the way to the bank.

Newmarket July Meeting Day 2 July 12th

We got off to a great start on the opening day with Feel Like Dancing (100-30) and what a good ride by William Buick. He never allowed the leader to get too far ahead and his mount kept answering the call despite coming under pressure a long way from home. Even so, I seriously doubt whether it is St Leger form.

We were out of luck in the handicap where Buick’s mount Space Ship was outpaced before staying on again in the closing stages. He may have had enough racing for the time being whilst Goodwood Mirage may want a bit of give in the ground. Thankfully our banker bet on Montiridge (5-6) was never in danger so we’re still in their fighting going into day 2.

The standout bet tomorrow has to be a double on the flying fillies Sky Lantern and Rizeena. The grey was the most impressive winner at the Royal meeting when winning the Coronation Stakes by four lengths from a poor draw. The four-runner field raises question marks over race tactics but I’d think Sky Lantern is the quickest of these off any pace. I would have thought it impossible to get into difficulty with only four runners on Newmarket’s wide expanse but I only need to recall the recent win for Lost In The Moment to realise that is not the case!

Rizeena produced a terrific burst of speed to win the Queen Mary Stakes and I cannot see the extra furlong making any difference to the result here. Fig Roll and Bye Bye Birdie may be useful fillies but Rizeena looked to have a touch of class and I’m happy to put her in a double with Sky Lantern.

William Hill and Coral are both going 10-11 and 11-8 respectively at the time of writing. They may be offering enhanced terms for the double so good luck if you’re prepared to shop around.

The opening race looks tricky and Sir Michael Stoute’s Dream Wild is a bit of a mystery at the bottom of the weights. She put in a very laboured performance when beaten at odds-on at Salisbury and I’m not aware of any excuses. If she bolts up tomorrow we will no doubt find out! I prefer to side with the proven form of Jubilante. She is very closely weighted with Nardin but the booking of Ryan Moore just swings the vote in her favour.

The main betting race of the day is the handicap at 3.15 and I have to keep faith with Moviesta after his gallant effort at York. He was actually fly jumping in the early stages and I was surprised that he still managed to finish second. If he settles better he should win.

Double
Rizeena 11-8 Coral
Sky Lantern 10-11 Coral

Jubilante 6-1 William Hill
Moviesta 8-1 Ladbrokes

Tipsy Tipsters Thursday Horse Racing Tips

Today sees the start of some rather juicy graded racing at Newmarket. With 2 group 2 races on we are in for a treat of top quality racing (hopefully).

There are 3 horses i like today, these are:

Feel Like Dancing 7/2 Bet365 Newmarket 1:40

John Gosden has won the last 2 runnings of this race and is looking to make it a hat-trick for his yard with Feel Like Dancing. After beating Boite (who re-opposes today) on his debut, he went to take on the big boys in the Chester Cup and ultimately strugged. The step up to 2m last time at Royal Ascot saw him in a much better light, finishing 2nd to Leading Light by just over a length. Today he steps down slightly to 1m 5f but shapes as if he won’t mind that. The danger is definately Dare To Achieve who finished behind Royal Ascot winner Remote two starts back.

Figure Of Speech 9/2 Bet365 Newmarket 2:10

Godolphin are on fire at the moment, literally. I was at Sandown last week when Emirates Flyer was backed in from 12-1 into 9-2 and absolutely hosed up. Yes, i was on him, he looked a picture in the paddock.

Figure Of Speech may of only won a maiden, but he did it in impressive enough fashion by 4 lengths. His maiden was over the course and distance, which is a plus and Barzalona is booked to ride, which is always a positive. Sir John hawkins went off as 6/1 2nd favourite in the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, only to be beaten by the unfancied War Command by 7 lengths. That was seen as a miniature fluke by the 3rd string of the Ballydoyle camp, so he could well be a very serious threat to my selection today, so small stakes here.

Tipsy Tipster Wednesday Horse Racing Tips

You’d think betting on mid-week tips would be suicidal, low grade racing that is usually a punters graveyard but despite the usual doom and gloom, i think i’ve picked out 2 decent bets to whack into a double.

Just Paul Catterick 15:20 13/8 Skybet

Philip Kirby is on fire at the moment. His representative here is Just Paul, who is quickly turned out under a penalty after scoring over the distance at Beverely on Saturday. Declan Cannon is onboard today, taking off 3lbs off his back. He only won by a neck on Saturday, but everything points towards a big run again from a horse going for 4 wins in a row.

Drahem Yarmouth 15:40 6/5 Betfred

This horse was 7/4 last night and has been steadly backed into 6/5. I can’t see the punters holding back on this one, i fully expect it to go off around 4/6. This James Fanshawe trained fillie successfully disposed of The Scuttler by 3 1/2 lengths last time out. The Scuttler won last night easily enough so that win has already been franked. I’m a firm believer she’ll complete the hatrick and it would appear so does everyone else. I’m not entirely sure i’d steam in at 6/5, but the fact i got 7/4 last night makes me feel pretty good. The class horse in the race and if putting best foot forward, should win. She’s won twice as many races as the entire field combined..

Newmarket July Cup Preview

Things didn’t quite work out for us last week even though we got great value with our ante-post prices. Albasharah (tipped at 6-1) was backed to 5-4 favourite but could do no better than third. Mars (20-1) finished fourth whilst I feared the chances of Wentworth when he was drawn in the car park. In the circumstances he didn’t run badly at all and surely has a decent race in him.

The show moves on to the carnival atmosphere of the July course at Newmarket with the July Cup on Saturday. This has all the makings of a championship race with three Royal Ascot winners set to clash.

Sole Power was overlooked at Ascot after his sub-standard run in Haydock’s Temple Stakes. There was a general opinion that he had gone off the boil from the dazzling form that he showed at Newmarket and perhaps his spring campaign in Dubai had taken its toll. Not a bit of it. He was brilliantly produced by Johnny Murtagh to cut down Shea Shea late on and reverse placings with those that had beaten him soundly at Haydock.

Among them was Reckless Abandon, third at Haydock but only fifth at Ascot. I was surprised that connections opted for the King’s Stand Stakes rather than the six-furlong Diamond Jubilee Stakes. Clive Cox also saddles Lethal Force who showed that his York run behind Society Rock was no fluke when winning at Ascot. The runner-up had to take an unusual route to throw down his challenge but appeared to be well held at the line.

Gale Force Ten is an intriguing runner having won the seven-furlong Jersey Stakes. He looked to be in trouble when Montiridge loomed up alongside but pulled out more in the closing stages. There has been plenty of money for him from 10-1 down to 7-1 but I’m just a little concerned that he will be tapped for toe early on.

Sovereign Debt is another curious participant having been racing over a mile. He was an 80-1 shot when second to Farhh in the Lockinge but ran well below that at Ascot. He ought to have been closer to the runner-up Aljamaaheer even if we allow for Declaration Of War’s improvement.

The bookies have made Shea Shea favourite after his run behind Sole Power and have no doubt that he will reverse the form. Sole Power is as big as 14-1 due to the fact that he has never won over six furlongs. The South African won his race on the far side fair and square but cannot even have seen the Irish horse arriving on the opposite side of the course.

Sole Power’s stable companion Slade Power missed the break in the Jubilee and did well to finish as close as he did. He then won well over five furlongs at the Curragh and could run into a place here. It is difficult to make a case for any of the others.

The draw may come into play again here but Shea Shea is just about the form pick and 9-2 still represents a little bit of value.

Shea Shea 9-2 Paddy Power