Tag: Horse Racing

Tipsy Tipsters Sunday tips

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

With Royal Ascot being over I am now able to come out hiding. Royal Ascot was an absolute disaster for me personally, horses either slipped over, got pipped in the final half furlong or just didn’t feel up to racing (see Animal Kingdom). I’ve been keeping my head above water by finding winners elsewhere thankfully, so not all is lost. At least the big priced Shropshire (advised at 33-1) got into the frame to reward us with at least some profit, it wasn’t going to win, as I’d tipped it!

Thankfully, the temptation to back horses at Royal Ascot is over! We can return to the daily grind of trying to find low grade winners.

Going to throw together a small double for Sundays racing, there are only two horses that standout, so here goes.

Cirrus Des Aigles – Saint-Cloud (France) 2:55 6/4 William Hill & Kikonga – Pontefract 4:40 6/5 William Hill

Cirrus Des Aigles doesn’t need much introduction. This multiple group 1 winner has traveled the world and picked up Group 1 victories in the UK, France, UAE. Along side this a respectable 5th in the Hong Kong Cup. His last race was against Frankel, where he gave him the toughest group race of his career, losing by a length and 3 quarters. He hasn’t gone well fresh in the past, but i’m not going to let that put me off as the opposition he’s up against today isn’t anything “special” as it were.

Kikonga is a progressive horse out of the Luca Cumani yard who, after 2 maiden defeats, was stepped up in distance twice, winning both times. His last run was especially impressive, tearing apart a 4 runner field at Nottingham by 3 lengths, turning over a hot 8/11 shot easily enough.

Fingers crossed both of these horses come in for us! A change of fortune is definitely on the cards for us I feel.

Royal Ascot Day 5 Preview – Saturday 22nd June

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The bookmakers were the winners on day 4 with our double on the O’Brien horses thwarted by Hillstar. Congratulations to connections of Sky Lantern after she put Just The Judge firmly in her place. Perhaps we will see the grey take on Dawn Approach in the Sussex Stakes? We’re still well ahead on the week but the effect of the draw is a real head-scratcher going into Saturday’s big sprints.

On Thursday night it was an established fact that it was an advantage to be drawn low but that all changed with the result of the Buckingham Palace Stakes. Low numbers never got a look in with stalls 32, 30 and 24 the first three home. Could it have simply been a question of there being more pace on the near side or did Thursday nights watering all fall on the far side of the track? We will never know.

Our ante-post wagers on the Wokingham are Duke Of Firenze (10-1) drawn 31 and Nocturn (25-1) drawn 12. The form of Nocturn was not exactly boosted by a miserable effort from Enrol today but we’ve still got good value. My main concern is whether he will continue to hang left in his races. He got away with it at Newmarket and Windsor but I’m not sure he could afford to do it here.

As it is the last day of the meeting and we’ve got funds in the bank I’m going to put up another couple of long shots. Mass Rally left me cursing when swooping to catch Nocturn on the Knavesmire but has been leniently treated by the handicapper here. Whether or not stall 6 is good I have no idea but 25-1 does not do him justice. The other is Shropshire, trained by Charlie Hills. He suffered a nightmare run at Newmarket and is just the sort to pop up in a race like this. He’s coming out of 18 so we’ll have covered most eventualities!

In the opening race I like Autumn Lily at 14-1. Her stable companion Ihtimal has been slashed in price for finishing second to today’s runaway winner Kiyoshi but I liked the attitude of Autumn Lily at Haydock and hope she can at least reach a place.

In the Hardwicke Stakes I am keen to oppose Mount Athos, not because I have anything against the horse, but simply because the race he won at Chester was hardly worthy of the name. There are some good tough horses up against him tomorrow and Ektihaam will presumably attempt to run them ragged. I like Aiken but Gosden’s horses have been shaping as though they will benefit from the run all week and Sir John Hawkwood is another tough nut to crack. I’ll side with Ektihaam.

Our Diamond Jubilee hopes rest with Society Rock and Hawkeyethenoo. I’d like to see enough rain to ease the going a fraction for Hawkeyethenoo as I’m convinced he could spring a surprise. There seems to be growing confidence in Sea Siren so I’m going to have a saver on the Australian raider.

In the penultimate race I am keen on Rye House after the way he won at York. I thought he looked a possible Ebor contender that day and I’ll be disappointed if he can’t defy a 9lb rise in the weights. You could make a decent case for Hammerfest or Blue Surf but I’m going to have an each-way on Lahaag. He did nothing wrong when second to First Mohican last time out and should make the frame for team Gosden.

Finally, class should tell in the last race as Shahwardi is way better than these on his form in Australia last winter. Admittedly his last run looks pretty awful but I can’t believe Monsieur Royer-Dupre would bring him over to Ascot half-cooked. The rest of the field are the usual mixture of non-stayers and prospective hunter chasers.

2.30 Autumn Lily 14-1 Stan James

3.05 Ektihaam 5-2 Coral

3.45 Ante-Post Hawkeyethenoo 16-1, Society Rock 9-2
Sea Siren 9-1 Coral

4.25 Ante-Post Nocturn 25-1, Duke Of Firenze 10-1
Mass Rally 25-1 Betfair
Shropshire 20-1 William Hill

5.00 Rye House 6-1 Totesport
Lahaag 11-1 Bet365

5.35 Shahwardi 7-2 Coral

Royal Ascot Day 3 Preview – Thursday 20th June

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Rizeena came to my rescue yesterday at 7-1 to limit the damage from some disappointing performances. It looks as though the fast ground is starting to have a real impact with some quick times and some horses running well below their best.

Who would have guessed that Chigun and Thistle Bird would run so badly? As for the Royal Hunt Cup…well, for once I have to agree with the post-race reflections of Channel 4. As soon as I saw Prince Of Johanne running diagonally across to get on the “wrong” side of the course I knew my fate. Poor Richard Hughes took the same decision on the well-backed favourite Stirring Ballad and then failed to get any sort of run whatsoever.

Anyway…onwards and upwards and let’s take a look at day 3. Our ante-post involvement is on the Gold Cup with Simenon (16-1), Estimate (10-1) and Biographer (40-1). All three have tumbled in price so I’m hoping for a similar result to the Queen Anne with a couple of nice place returns at least. I haven’t seen any reason to alter my opinion on the race.

I’ve been very impressed with Richard Fahey’s runners this week. He’s managed to get two juveniles into second place and Garswood ran a good race in the Jersey Stakes in fourth. I think that’s probably as good as he is but I wouldn’t be surprised if we didn’t see him drop back to six furlongs next time.

I’ll have to back Eccleston at 10-1, his representative in the opener. I’m expecting No Nay Never to be very difficult to peg back but there doesn’t seem great value at 5-1.

Having picked out The Lark ante-post for the Oaks at 33-1 I am a big fan of hers for tomorrow’s Ribblesdale. Of course I know that Ascot is something of a graveyard for Epsom horses but she didn’t have too hard a race there and I think she can win this. I am a little worried about the fast ground but 5-1 is too big.

I usually like a bet in the Britannia but this year’s field has got me a bit confused. You can usually rely on Haydock’s Silver Bowl as the best trial but the first and second from this year are not wanted by the punters? Wentworth has emerged as favourite after a nightmare run at Goodwood but it may be worth remembering that it was a pretty poor event. I’m certainly not going to be tripping over myself to take 4 or 5-1 in a race like this.

There is a bit of hype about Cape Peron and I can understand why. He won with a stone in hand last time and looks destined to make up into a group horse. As with The Lark, the quick ground is a worry but I’m prepared to take the risk at 7-1.

The 5.00 race features another horse going places in John Gosden’s Remote. I quite liked Baltic Knight before Doncaster but reassessed my views after he received a six-length drubbing. Baltic Knight then landed a big gamble at York so it is pretty obvious that Remote was masquerading as a handicapper. He is pitched in against horses with proven classic form but he is expected to prove up to the task.

The last race on the card is another minefield but I’m going to pick a couple out against the field. Space Ship would appear to be handicapped out of it on the face of his Epsom run but I don’t think anything went his way that day and he looked smart at Chester. Excellent Result absolutely bolted up in his maiden and could have suddenly twigged what the game is all about. Both are available at silly prices so they should give us some each-way interest.

Eccleston 2.30 10-1 Paddy Power
The Lark 3.05 5-1 Ladbrokes
Gold Cup 3.45 Ante-Post: Estimate 10-1, Simenon 16-1, Biographer 40-1
Cape Peron 4.25 7-1 Ladbrokes
Remote 5.00 100-30 Stan James
Space Ship 5.35 18-1 Stan James
Excellent Guest 5.35 14-1 Paddy Power

Tipsy Tipsters Royal Ascot Day 2 Tips

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Well, blow me. I was very much in the Animal Kingdom camp yesterday and couldn’t for the life of me seeing Declaration of war winning on all known form. Every bet went down the pan rather quickly, when, after 4 furlongs, Animal Kingdom was being rode along like a 60 rated horse that was entered so the connections could have a fun day out at the races.

My bank balance may be hurt by Day 1, but there are amble opportunities to do well on day 2.

Prince Of Joannes 14-1 Coral – 4:25 Ascot

In a previous post i did about Royal Ascot i flagged Prince Of Joannes as a potential great each way shout. He’s primed for this race, and is back down to his last winning mark. I’m sure it’ll be difficult to string back to back Hunt Cup victories together, but if any horse is well enough handicapped, and proven over C&D and on this ground, this is the horse.

Reroute VCBet 8-1 5:00 Ascot

This horse was so impressive on debut, it was jaw dropping. Yes, it was a class 3 maiden, yes the horses he was up against, we know very little about. The fact he was 0.016s off breaking the all time York 2m track record leads me to believe he could well be a very special horse, a reproduction of such immense pace could see him in with a really live shout of winning, and placing.

Al Kazeem 5/2 Boylesports 3:45 Ascot

I’ve also spoken about this horse quite a bit. A winner of a 4 runner Group 1 contest at the Curragh where he readily brushed aside Camelot, this exciting horse has the world at his feet. I’ve explained in depth his chances on my Royal Ascot preview from last week, so i wont repeat myself. Al Kazeem seems the most progressive horse in the lineup. Strong challenges come from Camelot, who could of just under performed the last day, and Maxios, the winner of a fairly average Group 1 in france, who could turn out be anything.

All aboard the Al Kazeem express?

Special mention: Trade Commissioner 14/1 William Hill 4:25 Ascot

In the form of his life last summer, but then went off the boil slightly. Had a strong word directly from the stable on this one. They all piled into the 25-1 available a few days ago, you could well struggling to get 14-1 by the morning tomorrow. Just passing on the word, could be a good horse to couple with Prince Of Joannes.

Tipsy Tipster Ascot Day 1

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Here we have it ladies and gentlemen, the Cheltenham of the flat is upon us, Royal Ascot. 5 days of top quality group races for the whole family to enjoy, and as an avid punter i’m going to throw up a few fantastic bets for tomorrows action.

Animal Kingdom 2:30 Ascot 2-1 Coral

Fill your boots people, the guys over at Coral have woke up this morning and decided to take on Animal Kingdom for some reason! The max bet is only £25, but as it stands, £25 at the current price would only give you £25 profit! Take the extra £25 right out of Corals purse at once. I’ve heard so many people say there are serious question marks about this horse, and my reply is, so what? He’s never won at a mile, but he’s come 2nd by a length to the worlds best miler (Wise Dan), he’s not won on turf, this is true, but he’s won on EVERY other surface in racing, showing he’s versatile? Bookies will be out to take on this horse, let’s show em who’s boss.

Declaration of War vs Elusive Kate Match bet 5/6 Elusive Kate Bet365

Cannot be having Declaration Of War finishing ahead of a proven Group 1 performer in Elusive Kate, no sir, not for me. DOW was a bitterly disappointing, overhyped horse who completely bombed in the lockinge. Why he went off 5/4 favourite having only won a weak group 3 race in Ireland is beyond me.

It was this time last year Elusive Kate came 2nd to Giofta in the Falmouth stakes at Newmarket, 2 weeks later, won the Prix Rothschild Group 1 at Deauville. Since then she’s raced against Excelebration and finished 3rd both times in group 1s. That form is absolutely head and shoulders above DOW form who won an egg and spoon group 3 at Dundalk on the all weather.

For good measure, throw in a Animal Kingdom to beat Elusive Kate RFC for the craig, ahhh go on now.

Tipsy Tipster Tips – Monday

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Still trying to get over Quick Wit not winning on Saturday, the drift was beautiful and everything was tee’d up nicely for a 10-1 winner. Found one too good as usual for me, boo! If you got on each way you were handsomely rewarded at least.

Monday is the final day before one of the best flat festivals on the global stage takes place, so finding some value bets to build your bank roll is my job here, although I expect it will be trickier than it looks.

However.. I may of found a potential gem. This will be my one and only selection for the day.

Postscript 8:50 Warwick 6-1 Bet365

It doesn’t take a genius to work out why this is my NAP of the day, go look at the form figures, go on, work this out yourself.

.. Too lazy to look into it? Well basically, this horse should have the word “plot” branded onto its rear, its quite possibly one of the most blatant plots I’ve seen recently. The horse has many duck eggs by its name, having run over unsuitable distances. He’s now down to the his last wining mark after a decent 3rd place last time out.

You just don’t get a horse that wins easily enough, then finish in the following positions: 29 of 33, 5 of 9, 10 of 10, 12 of 15, then 3 of 6. All over different distances and different class levels (going up to class 3 and 2 after his last win). He’s back to the same mark, and down in class today.

If he doesn’t win, then I’ll hold my hand up. But I fully expect people to research the race in the morning and see what I’m seeing. He’s already gone in from 8-1 into 6-1 best odds, and is shorter with Ladbrokes (5-1) and others. He’s worth an each-way stab for sure.

MY NB is Royal Holiday. I originally planned not to have a NB, but this horse has transitioned well from the all weather and is potentially progressive enough to land the 3 timer in the 4:15 at Carlisle. Go ahead and enjoy the 4-1 with Bet365, if it wins, you’ll get a free bet in the 7:35 at Windsor.

**Update** Since this post was written, Postscripts price has drifted to 8-1. So after some early bets were struck at around 8-1 last night, the horse contracted and has now drifted again. Read into that what you will.