Grand National Day Betting Tips

This is our day at the bookies on the Grand National Day. It starts with an egg and bacon roll and a nice cup of tea. Then we head to the sofa and crack on researching our bets for the day. So we are going to share our Chicken Dinners today and give you our insight into what we are putting our cash on.

Aintree EW bet.

1 Utopie Des Bordes – 1.45 Aintree
2 Alderwood 2.15 – Aintree
3 Celestial Halo – 2.50 Aintree
4 Storm Survivor – 3.25 Aintree
5 Lost Glory – 4.15 Aintree
6 Local Hero – 5.10 Aintree

Aintree Double

Up & Go 1:45 Aintree & Solwhit 2:50 Aintree

Aintree Grand National singles

TeaForThree, Treacle, Imperial Commander, Quel Espirt, Always Waining, Seabass

Daily Double

Greenhead High 1:35 Newcastle & Up & Go 1:45 Aintree

Football Bets – Both Teams to Score.

1 Reading v Southhampton
2 Norwich City v Swansea City
3 West Brom v Arsenal
4 Watford v Cardiff
5 Coventry City v Brentford
6 Ayr United v Alloa
7 Stranraer v Brechin City

1 Reading v Southampton
2 Norwich v Swansea
3 Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town
4 York v Accrington Stanley
5 Bolton v Wolverhampton
6 Stoke v Aston Villa
7 Coventry v Brentford

Scoop6 Betting

1 Utopie Des Bordes (7) 1.45 Aintree 3 Places To Run
2 Alderwood (1) 2.15 Aintree 2 Places
3 Wildomar (8) 2.25 Lingfield 3 Places
4 Solwhit (12) 2.50 Aintree 3 Places
5 Cantlow (4) 3.25 Aintree 4 Places
6 Seabass (6) 4.15 Aintree 4 Places
Ballabriggs (9)
Teaforthree (10)
Cappa Bleu (18)

Grand National – Saturday 6th April 2013 Tips

Well ladies and gents, today is Grand National day, and i for one, couldn’t a flying expletive.

Don’t get me wrong, as a spectacle, it’s great. As a betting proposition, it’s horrible. I’m going to stick to horses i have more of a read on, as opposed to trying to find the winner of the yearly equine lottery.

Greenhead High – 1:35 Newcastle – NAP 2-1 Bet365

Pass the fire extinguisher, this horse is on fucking fire. After a successful AW campaign Greenhead High came out on turf last time (Previous best placing was 3rd) and won in decisive fashion. The draw is a concern, and the extra weight is a concern, but i have got a soft spot for a horse that can dominate all weather, then head to turf and continue the trend. He obviously likes the ground and although he has an extra 6lbs to carry, he firmly put two of todays rivals (Roy’s Legacy & Pull The Pin) in their places last time. Roy’s legacy who finished 2nd that day has an extra 5lbs to carry, a weight he’s only managed to win off once.

Greenhead High won off 10-6 three runs ago, 10-2 two starts ago..

Decent Fella – 17:25 Lingfield – NB – 9/2 Bet365

Now, i feel dirty next besting this. But i was alerted on Twitter earlier as to a potential dirty plot being setup by Violet Jordan, the dodgiest, and Rakebackmypoker who own the horse. This horse has run over a wide range of different trips to what it’s used to, and is now back to a distance he’s won at, and at a weight he’s won off.. This could go horribly wrong, but if we know Violet Jordan like we do, we feel this was obviously one big plan to win here today. Two years ago it won a class 3 event at Newmarket, and came 5th in the Buckingham Palace stakes at Royal Ascot, but has done very little since, hmmmm…

UPDATE Oh look, what a surprise, Decent Fella has been withdrawn..

Time for a quick replacement:

Up & Go – 13:45 Aintree – NB – 2/1 Paddy Power

I’ve won some decent money on this beast so he owes me nothing, but as a replacement for Decent Fella he’ll be my NB. In Feburary this horse demolished a decent class 2 field that included the ceaserwitch winner Aim To Prosper. Today he takes on a proven class 1 winner in Dodging Bullets who will find this lineup easier to beat than before, but he hasnt really shown his class over his last few runs, so hes a live danger. Uptoie Des Bordes was one of my Cheltenham Antepost selections and she ultimatly disappointed despite finishing 5th behind At Fishers Cross. She’s a group 1 winner in france, so rates as a real danger if she puts her best foot forward, but I’m more than happy to stick by Up & Go.

Aintree Festival Tips – Friday 5th April 2013

Great day for us on Thursday! Cheeky double landed again. Lets see if we can continue the winning trend.

Broadway Buffalo– 16:50 Aintree – NAP 8-1 Skybet

This horse has been a bit of a revelation over the last 6 months. He started life out in a Worcester maiden and has since gone on to win 5 races on the bounce. Undefeated. He won last time as top weight in a class 4 race at Plumpton at 39 lengths. He’s been around Aintree before at 2m 1f, so is familiar with the course. This race is wide open to be honest, with the likes of Cheltenham Festival winner Salubrious and County Hurdle flop Cotton Mill.

He could progress further and is an unknown quantity in terms of racing in Listed company, but you just never know.. will be interesting.

Rathvawn Belle – 17:25 Aintree – NP 20-1 Bet365

Bit of a stab in the dark here, we’ve only got 1 race to go on. Rathvawn Belle won a Punchestown maiden quite easily on debut at an un-fancied 33-1. It then changed hands and joined the Lucinda Russell yard for 45,000£. The 2nd from that maiden (25-1 shot) won next time out beating the supported Aerlite Supreme at limerick, nothing else from the race has won however(front two well enough clear, so not surprising). I’d advise small stakes here, based on Thursdays results, it wouldn’t suprise me if some big prices win today.

Thursday 4th April – Horse Racing Tips

How annoying was the Hurricane Spirit race? The jockey must of dropped her whip, wasnt asked to go on and win the race, just nurses along.. Amazed no stewards was called.

Anyway. Apologises in advance, but i’am steering clear of Aintree today. It’s a really uninspiring card and doesn’t tickle my fancy from a betting angle.

Hunt Ball – NAP – 15:20 Taunton 6/4 Bet365

This horse rocketed up the weights last year, winning 6 from 7 enroute to Cheltenham Festival. He turned up and demolished a grade 1 field to land the Pulteney Land Investments Novices Hurdle. Since then, he’s continues to be campaigned at the top level, and although he’s been placing, he hasn’t won since the Cheltenham Festival last year. Todays trip is shorter for him which will make it a bit sharper for him but his class should prevail. The main danger is Jump City, who receives alot of weight from Hunt Ball. This horse has finished 2nd to the ill-faited Darlan (1/2l) and Smad Place (2l) earlier in its career. It showed plenty of potential, then failed to live up to it, he’s up from class 3 to class 2 this time (with Hunt Ball down from a Grade 1 to Class 2) which could prove quite a stumbling block.

Karinga Dancer – NP – 14:45 Taunton

In good form currently, beating the decent Nicholls horse Suerte Al Salto in a Jumpers Bumper at Kempton, before headng over to a class 4 maiden hurdle at Wincanton by 10 lengths. He’s nicely weighted today, the main danger Fox Run is on 4lbs worse terms which could and should be enough to Karinga Dancer get up. Not priced up currently (22:15 Wednesday) – No one is willing to be the first to price up a two horse race!

Wednesday 3rd April 2013 Horse Racing Tips

After Tuesdays madness, we look forward to what isn’t the greatest set of race cards on Wednesday, but we’re confident we’ve found a few good selections.

Hurricane Spirit – Kempton 18:30 – NAP

There is no price on this horse yet, this is probably because the bookies aren’t sure how short they should make it. I am going to hope the odds are odds against, like the 11/8 forecasted price. This horse is in impeccable form. Nicole Nordblad has ridden this horse the last 6 runs, winning 5 times! With her valuable 5lb claim, amazingly the horse carries 8s 2lb, over a full STONE less than the top weight Paradise Spectre. The horse LOVES Kempton and keeps on winning these low grade claimers. I just cant see passed the horse today, i really can’t. Prehaps the odds will reflect my confidence, but i hope not. Let’s hope for odds against.

Galway Jack – 16:10 Weatherby – NP 5-2 William Hill

This horse absolutely bolted up last time out at Uttoexter in a 4 runner race. That was over m 5f on heavy ground, but his other win was over 3 miles on soft ground at Southwell, this is 2m 6f on Good to soft. Over his 9 starts he’s placed 6 times, winning two. He’s up 8lbs for that romp which is a concern, but he come’s into the race in good enough form to take this. Allanard had the beating of Galway Jack last time they raced against each other, over C&D, which is a concern. He makes up an excellent reverse forecast opportunity if you were that way inclined. Tough race, but if Galway Jack shows the same impressive round of jumping on a surface he works well on, he could be a strong contender to take this.

Aintree Melling Chase Betting Preview

Normally when i write a preview with Sprinter Sacre in it, the preview usually goes along the lines of:

Sprinter Sacre, jumps and he wins.

Not in this preview however. Don’t get me wrong, hes a class animal, the most gifted of the Melling Chase field and a potential legendary superstar in the not to distant future. He’s unbeaten over fences at 2miles. He was beaten over hurdles at 2m 3f a few years ago, and the distance in the Melling Chase is 2m 4f. When you look at the sorts of horses he’s beaten over the past 2 years, you can ask yourself, what has he actually beaten? Sure, he beat Cue Card by 7lengths at Cheltenham last year, but after that he beat Toubab, Kumbeshwar, Mad Moose and Sizing Europe.

Now, i’m not knocking the horse in any way, he can only beat whats put in front of him. Henderson recently told Channel 4 that the horses parents both have 3m pedigree, and that they’re desperate to try further distances. The Melling Chase will be his biggest task to date. Flemenstar(4-1 Stanjames) and Cue Card come here in top form. Flemenstar has won multiple group 1s between at distances over 2 miles, including over the 2m 4f distance (when he got the better of Sir Des Champs by 5 lengths over Christmas). He took the step up to 3 miles as prep for the Cheltenham Gold Cup, but was beaten twice, by small margins. Had he won both those races, he could of quite easily placed at the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

One major concern for Flemenstar is the fact he hates to travel. He gets himself so worked up it effectives him mentally. This is why he hasnt left ireland yet, currently trips across ireland to race cause much distress. This isn’t a good sign. No one will know whether he’ll travel soundly to the UK, if he does, he has a great chance of challenging Sprinter Sacre, if he doesn’t, he could even be withdrawn as to not distress the animal. It’s entirely possible they may not even try to travel him over if he shows signs of distress. Hmm.

Cue Card (6-1 Paddy Power) is interesting. He’s beaten all of the horses in the lineup apart from Sprinter Sacre and Flemenstar, obviously. He beat First Lieutenant over 2m 5f last time by 9lengths in the Ryanair at Cheltenham. First Lieutenant prior to that beat Sir Des Champes and Flemenstar in the Gold Cup Trial over 3 miles. Read into that what you will. We know Cue Card handles the ground, the trip and has course form, finishing 2nd in the Mersey Novices Hurdle in 2011. He’s really matured well and is turning into an exciting individual.

What’s the bet? Well, the equation to work out this race is:

If Sprinter Sacre stays 2m4f he wins
If Sprinter Sacre doesn’t stay 2m4f as well as two horses with distance form, he loses.

The fate of the race is in Sprinter Sacres hoofs. He’s currently 1/3 to win and rightly so on reputation alone. This is his toughest test and i could see Sprinter Sacre -> Flemenstar/Cue Card forecasts being the way to play here. I’ve already done an antepost wager on Cue Card on Coral, at 8-1 in a Sprinter Sacre, Flemenstar & Cue Card match bet.

It’s not a race to put your house on, my heart tells me Cue Card can beat Sprinter Sacre, but my head keeps on telling me Sprinter Sacre has pedigree to run over further and can progress yet again. Caution is advised.