Aintree Betfred Bowl Chase Preview

To me, this really couldn’t be more of a two horse race. There are some sorts in here who keep turning up and just cant beat the best horses around.

The Giant Bolster (9-1 Stanjames) – Sure, he came 3rd in last years Gold Cup at a huge price(beaten 11 lengths), and finished 2nd and 3rd to Silviniaco Conti (beaten 7 lengths both times), but the only horse of any note hes managed to beat in the last 3 years is Poquelin.. If you want a horse that could creep into 3rd for a small each way return, this could be your horse. To win? No chance.

Menorah (12-1 Stanjames) – Once upon a time he threatened to actually be a decent horse. He won the Betfred Manifesto Novices Chase at last years Aintree festival beating Cristal Bonus and Al Ferof, then struggled in Ireland and got beaten 34 lengths by the progressive Cue Card. He has since then beaten a regressive Hunt Ball, finished 21 lengths behind Silviniaco Conti at Newbury and and a tailed off and eventually pulled up effort in the Ryanair, again against Cue Card. He keeps failing to bring home the bacon. He’ll no doubt have his supporters as an each way proposition, but he’s not for us.

Golden Chieftain (28-1 Stanjames) – Won the JTL Speciality at Cheltenham this year (Grade 3). This is a Grade 1. He was targetted for that race and that race alone, he’s punching above his weight here.

Quito De La Roque (10-1 Stanjames) – I was actually a big fan of this horse a few years ago, he couldn’t stop winning! 2012 was a bad year, he kept placing, but not winning. He bounced back in amazing fashion to win a grade 2 race (beating the ultra consistent Roi Du Mee by 6l). He’s won grade 1 races before and is a bit of a dark horse here. Interesting.

Wishfull Thinking (20-1 Skybet) – This horse almost falls into the same category as the Giant Bolster, but the difference is, Wishfull Thinking has actually won races over the last few years, including a win in the Totepool Manifesto Stakes in 2011 at the Aintree Festival. He either runs a blinder and gets placed (albiet, a long way behind the winner) or runs an absolute shocker. His jumping isnt great (He famously fell at Cheltenham last year, falling into a crowd of photographers, luckily no one was seriously hurt..) Again though, if Each way is your thing, he could cling on for a place.

What a friend, Wayward Prince, Whodoyouthink – Not the same class as the above

Then, we get onto Silviniaco Conti and First Lieutenant

First Lieutenant (7-2 Bet365) – Won 2 from 12 over Fences, but he loves to place. He’s placed in 10 out of his 12 starts. He had the beating of Sir Des Champs and Flemenstar two runs back, only to be headed by Tidal Bay. At Cheltenham he was a laboured 2nd 9 lengths behind Cue Card (that made us quite a bit of money that day, lovely forecast and tricast returns!). He’s a serial placer and makes for near perfect forecast material..

Silviniaco Conti (1/1 Paddy Power) – Went on a 4 win streak beating the likes of Long Run and The Giant Bolster (not a massive achievement that one, but still reasonable). He beat Cheltenham course specialist Champion Court by 13l in last years Mildmay Novices Chase (Grade 2) at Aintree Festival last year and ended up being well fancied by the nicholls camp for the Gold Cup. He went off at 4-1 and was in with a shout when falling 3 out. Would he of won? Who knows, we think not, but he’d of made a race of it for sure.

The play here would be a forecast, but it won’t pay a great amount mind. Silviniaco Conti to beat First Lieutenant. Throw in Wishfull Thinking / Quito De La Roque for a tricast for optimal returns.

Monday 2nd April 2013 Horse Racing Tips

Today sees two really inform horses attempt to win yet again. If a 7/2 double isn’t your thing, switch off now. This *should* be fairly nailed on.

Jupiter Rex – 17:40 – Exeter – NAP – 1/1 on Bet365

Remember Hunt Ball? That horse worked his way up the weights and ended up winning at Cheltenham Festival after starting life in a class 6 handicap. This horse is looking to do something similar. Venetia Williams has this horse in the form of its life, and it goes for an EIGHT timer tomorrow. This horse has disposed of everything in-front of it the last 7 times. I can’t even make a case for anything else in the race and i fully expect Jupiter Rex to take the world of beating tomorrow. The fact the horse won off 105 over bigger obstacles and is running off 100 here enhances his chances.

Elusive Hawk – 16:10 – Southwell – NB 5/4 on Bet365

We put up this horse twice last week, the first time it got carried off the course by a loose horse which blew its chances of winning, it amazingly made up about 8l and ended up 1 1/2l off the lead. He then turned out two days later and won with ease. The length and three quarters winning distance doesn’t do him justice. He was held up, swooped and led in the final two furlongs.

The fact Mata Hari Blue is 2nd favourite at 9/2 fills me with confidence. He hasn’t won for a year, and an 8l 4th last time out behind Dr RedEye i’snt good enough form to get the better of Exlusive Hawk today.

7/2 Double on Bet365. Enjoy.

Sunday 31st March 2013 Horse Racing Tips

Ahh, easter weekends, don’t you just love them? Waking up hungover to buggery at midday, no work to worry about tomorrow. Lovely.

There are some interesting races on today, not least the Powers Gold Cup at Fairyhouse which takes centre stage for us.

Mikael D’Haguenet 4:30 Fairyhouse – NAP

At Betcirca we’re on this horse antepost, and we’ve had a sizeable bet today on it. NAP selections are meant to be super confident selections, selections that if they put their best foot forward, win. Well, Mikael can do that today, although his jumping can be rather iffy at the best of times. Last time out he was travelling sweetly when he pecked badly on landing and 20 or so lengths. He then recovered to be a staying on 3rd. If he does that sort of thing today, he loses. If he doesn’t peck, takes each fence safely, he has a superb chance under Ruby Walsh to win the Powers Gold Cup. A RFC with Dedigout is also advised for a nice payday, and a bit of insurance should he get to the last and not jump it as well as Dedigout

Defy Logic 2:55 Fairyhouse – NB

This horse was a well punted, well fancied horse last time out when running into the ultra consistent (and undefeated) Annie Power. When they got into the straight to do battle that day, Defy Logic waved the white flag quite quickly. Cheltenham was on the agenda after that, which i saw as punching a bit above his weight, he ended up being diverted to this. This race is a much easier proposition, there isnt the likes of an Annie Power in this race to trouble him.

Saturday 30th March 2013 Horse Racing Tips

Today its all about the Dubai card ladies and gents. Months of form study has come to this.

Trade Storm – NAP 16:40 Meydan

I’m a big Trade Storm fan. He won his latest Group 2 race cheekily, cutting through the field to win easily. Jamie Spencer even had time to look over at Christophe Soumillion on the run over and give him a wave, that’s how cheeky it was. This is a big ask for Trade Storm, he’s up against a seasoned campaigner in Ocean Park, but we’re confident he can put in a solid performance. If Each-way at 11/2 is your thing, he could well be an EW bet to nothing.

Mental – NB 15:45 – Meydan

This is a tough race. Mental is a group 1 winner down in Australia. When reading into the group 1 he won, only one horse has come out and won from that race, the better fancied horses have been ultimately disappointing.

That being said, Mental came to Meydan and won a group 3 as his prep race in decent enough fashion. Is that good enough form to win this race? Quite possibly, but there are dangers to the favourite. Trinniberg could be a potential danger with his good form in North America.

Each way horses with a great EW shout: Barbeque Eddie 13:10 (around 14-1 on Betfair to place) – Haateq 50-1 ew 13:10.

Wednesday 27th March 2013 Horse Racing Tips

That picture of Red Cadeaux coming 2nd in the Melbourne Cup still brings a tear to my eye every time i see it.. Anyway.

Jupiter Rex won impressively for us today, shame our 2nd horse didnt do so well, drifted like a barge and finished way down the field, for a horse that loves Fontwell.. i was fairly suprised he didnt put up more of a fight, nevermind.

I am going to be boring with my selections today, going to attempt a potentially nailed on double.

Hannahs Turn
1545 (4/6) Southwell & Elusive Hawk 16:20 Southwell (11/8).

Elusive Hawk should of won a few days ago, when he got impeded big time by a loose horse, as he turned into the straight he went to the front and then was forced over to the other side of the track. Lost about 6 lengths with that and still amazingly stayed on strongly for 3rd. If he goes out and tracks the leaders like he did that day, he can kick on down the straight and finally pick up his 2nd win in 3 runs.

Hannahs Turn has put in some solid performances after switching away from Lingfield, Kempton and Wolverhampton. Now at Southwell, she’s 2 from 2 over C&D and has won over 5 furlongs at Southwell too. The extra furlong seems to be to her liking, where she oblitorated the field at 6l over 7f last time out. Against some in and out performers in a small field race, i fully expect her to notch up her 3rd C&D win.

The double pays just under 3-1 with Paddy Power currently. Get on.

Cheltenham 2014 Antipost

We’ve got Cheltenham Fever here at Betcirca. We can’t get enough of it. We tipped up a plethora of winners for you during the 4 days of this years festival, and now we are going to have a little stab at next years festival, a cool 11 1/2 months before the first race is due off.

If you aren’t a fan of doing antipost bets, i’d close this page now. We understand that if a horse is withdrawn, we lose our bet. This is the risk you take. We’ve missed out on some fancy prices with this double, but it still pays really well considering everything we know about the two horses. Let’s hope the horses plans don’t change between now and Cheltenham.

Our Conor 5/1 Champion Hurdle William Hill
Bobs worth 7/2 Gold Cup William Hill
£20 @ 26-1 pays £540 with William Hill

Now, i’d be amazed if Bobs Worth isnt campaigned with the Gold Cup as the target, Our Conor however, with a new owner, could do anything. So proceed with caution. If they both run in their respective races they both have sensational chances to win them both, heres to hoping..

Another potentially cracking bet is Big Bucks, When was the last time you saw Big Bucks at 4-1 anti post for anything? The new brigade are out in force with At Fishers Cross and The New One both in the betting, but my word, Big Bucks is a massive price and you could look at doing a cheeky each way treble? You currently get 134-1 with William Hill for the treble, juicy.