Tag: Hot Snap

Sunday 5th May Horse Racing Tips

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Hmm. Both my selections went down in flames yesterday, not the best day in terms of punting. It was a joy to watch Dawn Approach destroy his opposition, some well touted horses are still running i think, that’s how bad they were. The O’Brian trio were major flops, and Hannon’s “good thing” couldn’t hold a candle to Dawn Approach, despite reassuring us he’ll win the 2000 guineas. Canford Cliffs anyone? He was meant to win the 2009 2000 guineas, but got beat by a 33-1 shot! Oh and he was meant to beat Frankel in the 2011 renewal of the Sussex Stakes at Goodwood. Couldn’t hold a candle to Frankel either.

What i’m saying is, ignore the hype were possible, trainers telling us their going to win isnt a good sign. Over confidence. I’d rather a trainer keep quiet and be super confident amongst his friends as opposed to telling the world!

Blerb over. Time to start making some money.

Hot Snap – 1000 Guineas – 3:50 Newmarket 11/4 Bet365

What’s not to like about Hot Snap. Blisteringly fast times against Sky Lantern last time out, was a bit green and actually off the bridle 2 furlongs out, but when she got the hang of things she shot off like a rocket. Instantly went 4-1 from 25-1 to win the guineas based on that performance, and, to be honest, i can see why. Very impressive. Issues? Well, inexperience is one, greenness is another. In the context of this race today, the opposition is decent but not great enough that she cant overcome what’s put in front of her. If she races like she did in the Nell Gynn, she wins.

A suggested bet is 16-1 Stanjames Hot Snap to win 1000 Guineas & The Oaks. I’ve filled my boots on that one.

My coverbet will be What A Name, from guineas winning french duo Mikel Delzangles and Christophe Lemaire.

Newmarket 1000 Guineas Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Whilst the 2000 Guineas looks likely to fall to one of the favourites, the 1000 Guineas has a far more open look. Up until the eye-catching performance of Hot Snap in the Nell Gwynn Stakes it was anybody’s guess what would be sent off favourite. You had to be impressed with her performance that day in sprinting clear of a useful yardstick in Sky Lantern, especially as it was only her second racecourse appearance. She didn’t seem to know what was expected of her in the early stages but she quickened past some decent fillies in a matter of strides.

Those who were quick off the mark could have got 5-1 about her but she is now half that price and no longer represents value in an open race. I have still have a healthy respect for Sky Lantern and if you have backed her ante-post I would certainly not have given up hope of a return. She looked to have strengthened up through the winter and would have posted an impressive performance but for Sir Henry Cecil’s filly. I would not put you off supporting either on Sunday but there are several other fillies with sound claims.

Any French raider for this contest is worth a second look and What A Name has to be considered. She won the Prix Impudence on her latest start despite meeting trouble in running off a slow early pace. The French trials can be misleading as they invariably dawdle through the opening stages before gradually quickening up. The 1000 Guineas can be a very different race as we discovered last year when Homecoming Queen ran the field ragged. Even so, there are reasons for believing that What A Name can play a leading role here. Her trainer does not waste money on entries abroad and the daughter of Mr Greeley hasn’t been out of the frame in five starts. She looked to have more to offer at the end of seven furlongs last time and looks fairly priced at around 5-1.

Moth is an intriguing supplementary entry from the O’Brien stable after running away with a poor race recently. They had always regarded her as more of an Oaks filly so were surprised when she left her rivals flat-footed over seven furlongs. This is a much tougher assignment and 7-1 looks a bit short to me. Charlie Hills has great hopes of Just The Judge as he bids to follow in his father’s footsteps. She did nothing wrong as a two-year-old but could find one or two of these too sharp first time out. I was not impressed with the trial won by Maureen at Newbury and much prefer Sky Lantern of the Hannon runners.

But the one I fancy to give a good run for each-way supporters is Dermot Weld’s Rasmeyaa. Admittedly she hasn’t raced this season either but was very impressive in winning her maiden last year and is bred to get the mile. This looks a tall order first time out but Weld is another trainer who knows the time of day and would not be running here unless he felt she was in this class.

What A Name 5-1 Paddy Power
Rasmeyaa (each-way) 16-1 Ladbrokes

Guineas weekend – Horse Racing Tips

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Two big races take place this weekend, firstly, the 2000 guineas. On Sunday we are treated to the 1,000 guineas.

There are two horses i fancy very strongly, and unfortunately they are fairly obvious. Months ago i put Dawn Approach up at 7-2 to win the 2000 guineas, he’s now as short as evens in places. This unbeaten Godolphin horse trained by Jim Bolger is going for 7 wins out of 7 here. No prep run would normally concern, but when you consider the facilities available to trainers to train horses in race course conditions, i wouldn’t be too put off by this.

Toronado won impressively last time out and saw his price get slashed as a result. Richard Hughes was very vocal in saying this is the best horse in Hannon’s yard and he’ll have an exceptional chance of winning the 2000 guineas. I do rate him as a serious danger, and i will be doing reverse forecasts with Dawn Approach as a result of this. Nothing else in the race even tickles my fancy. I’ve done a small bet on George Vancouver, but i cant realistically see him holding a candle up to these two.

In the 1,000 guineas i can only focus on one horse. Hot Snap. I backed Sky Lantern big when Hot Snap beat him, my bank balance is still crying as a result. As soon as i saw the horse win i was convinced she was the one for the 1,000 guineas. I am going to leave that there, apart from What A Name, i cannot see this horse getting beat, i really cant. The 11/4 on offer now looks juicy.

Suggested bets:

Dawn Approach & Hot Snap double 8.92 Skybet
Dawn Approach to beat Toronado FC

Hot Snap to win 1,000 Guineas & Oaks 14-1 Paddy Power

All i would say is, i really fancied Camelot & Maybe last year, and did a tasty double. Camelot won, and Homecoming Queen popped up and caused a 25-1 shock in the the 1,000 guineas. I find it difficult to comprehend something similar to that happening this time. I may have blinkers on, but i still seriously think these two horses are the real deal.

Newmarket Craven Stakes Day Preview

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Garswood kept up the good work for us on the opening day of the Craven meeting, running out a most impressive winner of the European Free Handicap. Such is the nature of racing these days that any horse that wins a half decent race is given quotes for everything from the Derby to the Boat race! However, I was surprised to see Garswood being quoted for the 2000 Guineas.

Before the race even trainer Richard Fahey had some reservations about whether or not he would stay seven furlongs. The colt dispelled those fears by winning with his ears pricked but you have to question whether or not it was classic form. I don’t think I shall be re-investing the winnings at 25-1 for the Guineas but he certainly looks one to follow.

Talking of re-investing winnings, Wednesday’s card poses a problem with our 9-1 Doncaster winner Move In Time turning out quickly for the Group 3 Abernant Stakes. At first glance this looks like a stiff task after winning a handicap off 95 on Saturday. Even if we give him a rating of 100 for his victory he still has to find at least 7lb with Captain Ramius, Hawkeyethenoo, Jimmy Styles, The Cheka and Tiddliwinks. Of those, Captain Ramius is race fit having chased home Jack Dexter at Doncaster but he might need seven furlongs on this better ground. I tipped Hawkeyethenoo when he won the Stewards Cup last season so I have plenty of time for his chances and The Cheka usually runs well fresh. With the bookies going 5-1 the field, I think I am going to have to put this race in the “too difficult” drawer.

A field of just four for the Craven Stakes is disappointing but they are all smart colts. Richard Hannon runs Havana Gold and Toronado and the vibes from the stable suggest that the latter is a genuine classic contender. Dundonnell and Tawhid are no slouches and this could be a very tactical affair. Another potential classic colt is on show in the Tattersalls Millions Trophy when Ghurair is expected to go off odds-on favourite. On official ratings he has the best part of a stone in hand on this lot but he is untried over a mile and a quarter. There are some promising types in the field, notably Luca Cumani’s Greatwood who looks sure to relish the extra distance. The stable had a runner in the Nell Gwynn Stakes today that ran very poorly so I shall keep a watchful eye on Greatwood for the time being.

The Nell Gwynn produced a 10-1 winner in Hot Snap, trained by Sir Henry Cecil. Although she beat a good sort in Sky Lantern it seems a little early to be making her 1000 Guineas favourite. Bookies slashed her odds to 5-1 from 40-1! Connections were apparently thinking about the Coronation Stakes as her main target before the race but will presumably run her at Newmarket now. I’d rather see the other trials before wading in at those sort of odds.

I do have one bet for Thursday and it is provided by Move In Time’s trainer David O’Meara. Bet365 have chalked up Sandy Lane at 2-1 for the 4.30 at Ripon tomorrow. The horse had the race won two furlongs out last time and could have won by fifteen lengths. Enough said!

Sandy Lane 4.30 Ripon 2-1 Bet365