Tag: Kempton tips

Kempton Thursday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The flat turf season may be over until March but there are still some interesting betting opportunities on the all-weather. This surface is no longer reserved exclusively for the low grade horses and the top trainers are happy to run their late developing horses on it through the winter.

A case in point could be Jeremy Noseda’s three-year-old filly Havelovewilltravel who runs under a 6lbs penalty in the 5.50 on Thursday. The daughter of Holy Roman Emperor did not appear until the end of September when just getting the better of Checkpoint over a mile under Ryan Moore at this venue. She must have been showing something at home because she was sent off the 5-2 favourite and was confidently ridden, swooping late from off the pace to win by a head.

The runner-up won his next race by seven lengths, admittedly only a claimer, whilst the third also won next time out and the fourth was just beaten here last month. The handicapper took a chance by putting Havelovewilltravel on a mark of 65 for her next race, again over a mile at Kempton. She was well supported into 2-1 favourite but things did not go to plan under William Buick. She was slowly away and slightly hampered early on and could not get to Diplomatic despite coming home strongly.

Diplomatic came out and won again here and was unlucky not to complete a hat-trick when second to Sugarformyhoney on Monday. Havelovewilltravel came back here to win off the same mark of 65 last week and was most impressive. Once again she was dropped to the rear by Buick but she picked the field up easily between the three furlong and two furlong marker before stretching clear to win by six lengths. I am sure that the handicapper would like to have reassessed her a lot higher than her 6lbs penalty and it will be disappointing if she cannot win off this mark.

Anything trained by William Haggas has to be considered these days and Araqella could give the favourite most to do. She also looks well treated on her earlier form but disappointed at Wolverhampton last time out. The consistent Lady Sylvia and Wakeup Little Suzy will be thereabouts but I’m confident that Buick can deliver Havelovewilltravel late on to take the spoils.

Havelovewilltravel 6-4 Bet365

Kempton Thursday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Volume (9-4) did the business for us yesterday at Nottingham after a good tussle with Gold Trail. The pair drew well clear of the third so they should both make up into decent three-year-olds.

I’m switching to the all-weather tomorrow for the nap selection with Much Promise in the 6.10 race at Kempton. This John Gosden-trained filly lived up to her name on her debut at Lingfield when second to the useful Along Again. The winner was well backed in the Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot and was far from disgraced in third.

Not surprisingly, Much Promise was sent off favourite for her next race at Goodwood but things did not go to plan. Having raced keenly up front, she started to hang between the two-furlong and furlong marker and eventually Buick had to give up the ghost and let her finish in her own time, a disappointing ninth. The race was won by Valonia who has since been purchased by Qatar Racing and the form of the race could hardly have worked out better.

Remarkably, the next six horses home have all won since. They include Roger Charlton’s Stars Above Me, Clive Brittain’s Aqlaam Vision and Charlie Hills’ Coral Mist. My regular readers will know that Coral Mist has been a good friend to this column by landing two winning bets including a valuable race at Ayr last time out.

At the risk of over-egging the pudding, the tenth home Arranger has also won whilst eleventh was Fashion Fund who has run three cracking races subsequently. Valonia also hung across the course slightly and it was probably just the inexperience when passing the crowd in front of the stands that started the wayward manoeuvre. Much Promise may also have been inconvenienced by the good to soft going that day and I’m optimistic that she won’t repeat her swerve on Thursday.

The biggest danger has to be Mick Channon’s Isabella Bird who was fourth on her debut at Newbury. Amazing Mariah was not far in front of her that day and natural improvement will make her a big threat. Richard Hannon’s Magnus Maximus showed promise first time out but floundered in the heavy ground at Salisbury whilst Secret Hint is an unknown quantity.

Much Promise 6.10 Kempton

Salisbury Wednesday Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Vorda (2-1) made sure that we finished Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire meeting on a winning note. She looked very impressive to me and it will be fascinating to see how she gets on at the Breeders’ Cup next month. It was certainly a great week of trials for the 1000 Guineas and I wouldn’t despair if you have backed Rizeena or Ihtimal ante-post. Neither got the run of the race and could still make live classic contenders next spring.

After a quiet start to the week, there is some decent racing at Salisbury on Wednesday. The Conditions race at 4.30 brings together Justice Day and Expert who were second and third at Doncaster recently. With Figure Of Speech also in the field and all three having had busy seasons, this looks like a race to watch rather than get involved in.

One horse that should offer some value is John Gosden’s Nabucco. The four-year-old landed some nice bets when winning a decent handicap at Newmarket in June and was last seen finishing second at Glorious Goodwood. That was a decent effort as he had to overcome a wide draw and race more prominently than would have been ideal. He fought off all challengers bar the confidently ridden Viewpoint who is again in opposition tomorrow.

Nabucco is only 2lbs better off with Viewpoint for a length so it could be close between the pair but I just feel that Gosden’s horse will come out on top. If Buick can settle him on or near the lead without having to chase after him, he will tough to pass in the closing stages. Most of the field are well exposed with the exception of Andrew Balding’s Open Water who was a beaten favourite at Windsor in May. Paddy Power and BetVictor have chalked up Nabucco at 5-2 and he looks the best bet on the card.

Red Galileo is a nice colt and has been unlucky to finish runner-up in all three starts to date. He looks set to get off the mark under Ryan Moore at Kempton tomorrow evening with only three opponents. Mark Johnston’s Zumurudah is the obvious threat having won comfortably at Carlisle last time out but Red Galileo should have his measure.

Nabucco (3.55 Salisbury) 5-2 Paddy Power, BetVictor

Red Galileo (7.40 Kempton) 5-11 Betfair