Tag: Lingfield

Horse Racing Preview 31st October

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Lingfield stages a decent card on Thursday featuring two well-contested Listed races. The second of these at 3.20 has attracted a field that wouldn’t be out of place in a Group 3 on turf with many familiar names on show.

Banoffee was a popular choice for the Epsom Oaks after she had cut through the field to win the Cheshire Oaks under Kieren Fallon in May. She was only seventh in the classic and has since lost her way with a couple of woeful efforts.

Phiz put up a cracking effort to finish second to The Lark in the Park Hill Stakes at Doncaster and I fancied her to go one better next time at Newmarket. Unfortunately she ran a lifeless race and trailed home eighteen lengths behind Astonishing! It wouldn’t surprise me to see her pop up here at a big price but I cannot support her after that lack-lustre effort.

Astonishing had previously been touched off in the dying strides by Lady Cecil’s Phaenomena and this is the filly that interests me most tomorrow. That was her first run over a mile and a half and she needed every yard of it to get to Sir Michael Stoute’s filly. The fifth home that day was Zipp who just failed to land a gamble in a handicap on Saturday. Whilst it would be a mistake to take her victory over Astonishing too literally, it was still a fine effort and she has a handy draw in stall 2. That should enable Paul Hanagan to keep her handy and kick on round the final bend.

I also like the look of Horsted Keynes in the handicap at 2.20. He was given a good lead throughout by Invisible Hunter last time and picked him off at his leisure in the home straight. He sneaks in off bottom weight and has most to fear from wide-margin Chepstow winner Favourite Treat.

Nursery races have proved quite difficult to pick this season but there seems no reason to desert Spiritual Flame in the 6.00 at Kempton. He battled on to beat Hiking here last time, a horse that is quite highly regarded at home. He is only up 4lbs in the handicap for that success and should go well again.

Horsted Keynes 2.20 Lingfield 13-8 Bet365

Phaenomena 3.20 Lingfield 4-1 Bet365

Spiritual Flame 6.00 Kempton 3-1 Bet365

Lingfield Preview 24th September

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Wins for Coral Mist (7-1) and Supplicant (5-1) gave us a tidy profit on a busy Saturday. The highlight this week is the Cambridgeshire meeting at Newmarket but we’ll start the week with a look at Lingfield on Tuesday.

I’m not a great fan of the all-weather but the big Newmarket stables seem to be happy to run their maidens at Lingfield and there are a couple that catch my eye. The first is Sir Michael Stoute’s Alex Vino in the 3.00 race.

He finished third on his debut behind 33-1 shot Learaig at Newmarket when ridden by Kieren Fallon. As a son of High Chaparral, he’s bred for a mile and a half in time so the seven furlongs was barely enough to get him going. Fallon was noticeably easy on him, pushing out with hands and heels. Ryan Moore steps in for the ride tomorrow and has one significant opponent in Alpine Retreat. The Godolphin colt finished second on his debut at Kempton so will handle the surface and rates a live danger. I’m just hoping that Alex Vino has more scope and I expect him to be ridden more prominently here.

My second bet of the day is in the closing race at 5.30. If any Lingfield regulars are thinking of leaving early to beat the traffic, they may want to hold on for an interesting maiden. Squire Osbaldeston is the selection, running for Lady Cecil who has just confirmed her intention to remain in charge at Warren Place next season.

This colt has always been held in some regard but has only managed three racecourse appearances. The most recent was back in May when he saw no daylight at all behind Eshtiaal at Goodwood. There are some useful sorts in opposition, notably Godolphin’s Hawker, but I’m hoping that Lady C has her charge fully wound up for this. By the way, Squire Osbaldeston himself once won a 200-mile endurance race by completing it in ten hours. Hopefully his namesake will come home a lot quicker tomorrow!

Alex Vino 3.00 15-8 Skybet

Squire Osbaldeston 5.30 5-2 Bet Victor

Oaks Ante-Post Preview Update

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Last week I recommended taking the 4-1 about Secret Gesture for the Epsom Oaks and she is now down to 5-2 favourite. The form of her runaway win in the Lingfield Oaks Trial is nothing to write home about but it was the manner of her victory that caught the eye. She looked happy at every stage of the race, responded to a shake of the reins and could have quickened up again if it had been necessary. There may not be that much of her but there is nothing wrong with her engine and she looks like being an outstanding filly.

Aidan O’Brien’s 1000 Guineas third Moth has been displaced as favourite and could possibly line up in the Irish Guineas this weekend. That would surely rule her out of contention for the Oaks but it is never a good idea to try and second-guess what trainers are planning to do. The same applies to Snow Queen who ran on well at Newmarket with the stable also having Cork winner Say entered for Epsom. A case could be made for all three but I’m happy to pass them over until running plans are confirmed.

Liber Nauticus ground out a victory in the Musidora Stakes last week but it was more of a workmanlike display than anything spectacular. I am surprised to find her as short as 7-2 as my first reaction was that she would be pushed out to 5 or 6-1 for Epsom. Sir Michael Stoute provided this column with a nice treble the following day so it is not easy to overlook anything he sends out at the moment. She looked the sort of filly that could go on to win a race like the Park Hill and I think she may meet a couple with a bit more toe at Epsom.

One runner that I was tempted to include as an each-way selection was Cheshire Oaks winner Banoffee. She is to be supplemented for the race after overcoming a slow start to sluice up the rail and pick off the leaders at Chester. She looked a little bit too keen in the early stages, although this could have been down to it being her first start of the season, but I’m just a little concerned about how she will settle in the Oaks. I wouldn’t put anyone off her at 10-1 but I’m not entirely convinced about her over this trip.

Secret Gesture will be joined by her stable companion Talent, winner of the Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket. Madame Defarge ran on into third that day but there seems no obvious reason for her to reverse the placings. The French raider Planete Bleue is an unknown quantity and runs in the famous colours of Daniel Wildenstein. Unfortunately I have not yet been able to see any “visual clues” as to how good she is but the fact that she is available at 50-1 suggests that she is no world-beater. At the moment, everything points to a victory for Secret Gesture.

Secret Gesture 5-2 Paddy Power

Thursday 2nd May Horse Racing Tips

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Well, what a day we had yesterday! I hope you got on the singles and the double. The drift meant we got paid at over 10-1!

Today we’re going to put up another cheeky double.

Hamoody 16:00 Redcar – 6/5 Bet365

Dandy Nicholls has a great strike rate in claimers, a cool 36%. This horse has been dictating the all weather scene over the past few months, with 3 wins out of 6 claimers. When you consider the opposition he has today he has a great chance. These lot have been all over the place recently. Let’s hope he enjoys turf as much as he does the all weather.

Mission Approved – 16:50 Lingfield 13/8 Bet365

Ryan Moore takes this ride for the Sir Michael Stoute Dansilli colt. Improved from a fair Kempton maiden to win class 5 maiden at Warwick. That day Mission Approved was headed over 3f out, and battled back to ease to victory within the final furlong. There is a 5lb rise for that, but any hints at progression should eliviate any rise in the weights. Khobaraa rates as the main danger, winning a class 6 maiden on debut for John Gosdan.

We’re happy with Mission Approved to continue improving, so we’ll take a chance with him.

Grand National – Saturday 6th April 2013 Tips

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Well ladies and gents, today is Grand National day, and i for one, couldn’t a flying expletive.

Don’t get me wrong, as a spectacle, it’s great. As a betting proposition, it’s horrible. I’m going to stick to horses i have more of a read on, as opposed to trying to find the winner of the yearly equine lottery.

Greenhead High – 1:35 Newcastle – NAP 2-1 Bet365

Pass the fire extinguisher, this horse is on fucking fire. After a successful AW campaign Greenhead High came out on turf last time (Previous best placing was 3rd) and won in decisive fashion. The draw is a concern, and the extra weight is a concern, but i have got a soft spot for a horse that can dominate all weather, then head to turf and continue the trend. He obviously likes the ground and although he has an extra 6lbs to carry, he firmly put two of todays rivals (Roy’s Legacy & Pull The Pin) in their places last time. Roy’s legacy who finished 2nd that day has an extra 5lbs to carry, a weight he’s only managed to win off once.

Greenhead High won off 10-6 three runs ago, 10-2 two starts ago..

Decent Fella – 17:25 Lingfield – NB – 9/2 Bet365

Now, i feel dirty next besting this. But i was alerted on Twitter earlier as to a potential dirty plot being setup by Violet Jordan, the dodgiest, and Rakebackmypoker who own the horse. This horse has run over a wide range of different trips to what it’s used to, and is now back to a distance he’s won at, and at a weight he’s won off.. This could go horribly wrong, but if we know Violet Jordan like we do, we feel this was obviously one big plan to win here today. Two years ago it won a class 3 event at Newmarket, and came 5th in the Buckingham Palace stakes at Royal Ascot, but has done very little since, hmmmm…

UPDATE Oh look, what a surprise, Decent Fella has been withdrawn..

Time for a quick replacement:

Up & Go – 13:45 Aintree – NB – 2/1 Paddy Power

I’ve won some decent money on this beast so he owes me nothing, but as a replacement for Decent Fella he’ll be my NB. In Feburary this horse demolished a decent class 2 field that included the ceaserwitch winner Aim To Prosper. Today he takes on a proven class 1 winner in Dodging Bullets who will find this lineup easier to beat than before, but he hasnt really shown his class over his last few runs, so hes a live danger. Uptoie Des Bordes was one of my Cheltenham Antepost selections and she ultimatly disappointed despite finishing 5th behind At Fishers Cross. She’s a group 1 winner in france, so rates as a real danger if she puts her best foot forward, but I’m more than happy to stick by Up & Go.