Tag: Newbury odds

Newbury Friday 20th September Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Mount Logan (5-4) got us back on the winning track yesterday at Yarmouth and looks like a decent colt in the making. Newbury and Ayr take centre stage on Friday and I’m keen on the chances of Richard Hannon’s Pupil in the one-mile Haynes, Hanson & Clark Stakes.

Those with long memories will recall that this is the race that saw the arrival of Shergar and Lammtarra on the racing scene, though I seriously doubt that there is anything of that class on show this season.

Pupil is a son of Mastercraftsman out of the speedy Blue Iris but stamina rather than speed seems to be his strong suit. Evidently he was well regarded at home before he made his debut at Newbury because he went off 7-2 favourite in a field of 12. There must have been some long faces after the race as he failed to pick up at all for Richard Hughes and beat only two home.

Whatever the reason for his disappointing debut, he looked a different proposition when stepped up to a mile at Doncaster on good to soft going. Once again, Hughes was able to settle him in rear but this time he made smooth progress with over two furlongs to travel. Mark Johnston’s Double Bluff took him into the race nicely and Hughes briefly had to get serious with Pupil to go in pursuit. In the final 100 yards he was well on top and powered clear to win by a length and a half.

None of the placed horses have reappeared to date so it is difficult to evaluate the form but Pupil looks sure to run well on Friday. Godolphin’s Pinzolo has won his only start at Newmarket but it looked a lot harder work than Pupil’s victory. It has to be said that he was going on strongly at the end so is another that should see out the mile well at Newbury.

Red Galileo has finished second on both of his outings, chasing home another Godolphin horse in Golden Town at York last month. He may have been slightly flattered to finish within a length and a half of the winner who wandered around in the closing stages. What About Carlo had Castle Combe behind him when winning at Goodwood but the latter could improve for the experience.

Pupil 3.40 Newbury 5-1 Bet Victor, William Hill

Newbury Saturday 17th August Preview

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The Group 2 Hungerford Stakes has attracted only five runners which is a bit of a disappointment. Perhaps there are just too many Group races at a mile at this time of the season? Last weekend we were treated to an exciting clash of the generations when Moonlight Cloud just got the better of Olympic Glory and Intello but this is certainly not in that league.

Soft Falling Rain comes here unbeaten and with a big reputation after reeling off a hat-trick of wins in Dubai in the spring. If he is rusty at all then he may struggle to cope with a rejuvenated Caspar Netscher who was a shade unlucky to be run out of it in the Lennox Stakes at Goodwood. If the favourite is as good as they say he is, then he should win this but there isn’t any great value at around 6-4 and it might be worth taking some of the 7-2 about Caspar.

Newbury maidens are always worth watching and Richard Hannon’s Tea In Transvaal looked like a ready-made future winner when finishing fourth on her debut at Ascot last month. A couple of fillies have come out of the race and run well and her experience should be enough to get favourite-backers off to a good start tomorrow.

The Geoffrey Freer Stakes has been a bit sub-standard in recent years but has attracted a decent field tomorrow. Regular readers of this column will know that I’d follow Lost In The Moment over a cliff quite happily and there was little wrong with his effort behind Forgotten Voice at Goodwood. Aiken must be a threat as Gosden’s horses are winning all over the place at present and I’d fancy Biographer if the heavens opened.

The French raider I’m Your Man looked a little unlucky not to beat Lost In The Moment at Newmarket but it is worth considering that the winner was virtually brought to a halt in a sandwich as well as smacked over the head with a whip before renewing his effort. I cannot really desert him can I?

Glen Moss ran a cracker at Ascot behind Galician last time and the booking of Johnny Murtagh can help him secure a well-deserved victory at Newbury tomorrow. It’s anybody’s guess whether stall one will prove to be good or bad but he should give a bold run.

Finally, Mr Gosden’s Thomas Hobson won easily last time and should follow up in the handicap later in the card. I’d be surprised if he returned as high as 9-4.

Tea In Transvaal 7-3 Betfair

Caspar Netscher 7-2 Stan James

Lost In The Moment 11-2 William Hill

Glen Moss 11-2 Bet Victor

Thomas Hobson 9-4 Bet Victor

Newbury Preview 20th July

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Super Sprint

Saturday’s Newbury card features the Super Sprint a.k.a. The Richard Hannon Benefit Stakes. He has won this two-year-old cavalry charge on no fewer than seven occasions! The first three winners of this race were Paris House, Lyric Fantasy and Risky, although the overall standard has dropped a little since.

According to the market, Lilbourne Lass is the one to be on from team Hannon this year. She is priced around the 3-1 mark in this huge field. That seems rather short to me for a horse with two victories at Bath and a defeat at Windsor to her name.

I had quite a strong tip for Alutiq for this race, the mount of Cathy Gannon. Her run at Ascot behind Rizeena wasn’t at all bad and she’s well drawn. I was hoping for around 10-1 but the best price is now a rather miserly 6-1. I’m just put off by the cramped odds when so much can go wrong in a big field over five furlongs so I’m having a saver on Lexington Rose. She won’t hang about here and Brian Smart almost pulled off a nice win with Moviesta for us last week.

Hackwood Stakes

The Hackwood Stakes has attracted a small but select field with Krypton Factor likely to go off favourite. I’ve been following Heeraat this season and was disappointed that he got turned over by Hamza at Beverley. He looked certain to win at York last week under a quiet ride from Graham Lee but got mugged on the line. I’m prepared to give Heeraat one more chance.

Day’s best bet

My best bet of the day is Music Master in the 4.25. I backed this one each-way in the Jersey Stakes and he eventually finished fifth to Gale Force Ten. Things didn’t really go his way as he had to race up with the pace on the stands side and faded near the finish. He had previously separated Dundonnell and Baltic Knight at Newmarket over this trip and he only needs to perform at that level to win on Saturday.

Alutiq 6-1 Boylesports
Lexington Rose (each-way) 10-1 Ladbrokes

Heeraat 3-1 William Hill

Music Master (NAP) 10-11 Bet365