Grand National meeting Day 2 Preview

Two races into the opening day and I was already putting a line through it and looking ahead to Friday’s card! In my opening day preview I had forgotten to mention that sometimes horses go backwards after running at Cheltenham. It is on days like these that you take comfort from the fact that the flat season will be getting into top gear shortly.

Friday’s card features the reappearance of Sprinter Sacre, the horse that has been the subject of more hype than any jumper in recent memory. He has coped with it admirably so far, winning the Arkle Trophy easily last year and then sauntering to victory in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last month. The problem is that there doesn’t appear to be anything around that can give him a race. Lining up against him on Friday are Ryanair Chase winner Cue Card and the Irish challenger Flemenstar. Cue Card was put in his place by Sprinter Sacre last season and Flemenstar is dropping back in trip after failing to stay three miles. The field also contains last year’s Champion two-miler in Finian’s Rainbow, finally getting the chance to race on a decent surface after floundering in the heavy going on his most recent outings.

The two and a half mile trip has been put up as a possible reason for Sprinter Sacre to be beaten but I don’t see it. Aintree is a flat turning track and the better ground is not going to make this a stamina test. The race does not offer much in the way of a betting contest but I’m sure that the hype will go into overdrive once again tomorrow.

Nicky Henderson’s My Tent Or Yours is odds-on to atone for his Cheltenham defeat in the opener and Dynaste (2.30) is also on a recovery mission after finishing second in the Jewson. Both horses cruised into the home straight at the festival but found one too good in the closing stages. At Fishers Cross is aiming for a sixth consecutive victory later in the 4.15, although trainer Rebecca Curtis will be anxious to make sure that there is sufficient give in the ground. With so many short-priced favourites on the card it could be a difficult day to eke out a profit. Perhaps one of those generous bookies will be offering enhanced terms on all four hot pots?

If you fancy a better price for your money, The Topham Trophy (3.40) and The John Smith’s Daily Mirror Punters Club Handicap (4.50) might be more to your liking. The Topham won’t quite be the same without Always Waining. He has won it for the last three years but will be going for the Grand National on Saturday. Races over the National fences are so few and far between that it’s difficult to be confident but I may have an each-way interest in Tartak here. He ran a good race at Cheltenham when finishing third behind Carrick Boy and he did win at this meeting in 2009. Alan King has his horses in fine form and poses a problem by saddling both Meister Eckhart and Manyrivertocross in the 4.50. Both ran well at the festival and look worthy of each-way support.

Accumulator: My Tent Or Yours, Dynaste, Sprinter Sacre, At Fishers Cross

Tartak 14-1 Skybet, William Hill
Meister Eckhart 10-1 Bet365
Manyrivertocross 14-1 Bet365

Grand National Meeting Day 1 Preview

In theory, picking winners at Aintree is a lot easier than picking winners at Cheltenham. The fields tend to be smaller and the Cheltenham festival form ought to stand up. Of course it is not always that simple but it is a reasonable place to start.

The opening race of the meeting Liverpool’s version of the Triumph Hurdle. There is no Our Conor on show here but disappointing favourite Rolling Star bids to redeem his reputation. Nicky Henderson’s French import was sent off 5-2 favourite for the Triumph but never really looked like justifying the plunge. Even allowing for the exceptional winner, it was surprising that he could do no better than sixth place. On his previous outing he had beaten the Paul Nicholls-trained Irish Saint by two and a quarter lengths and that horse has been saved for this meeting. Nicholls had been considering going for a 2 ½ mile novice event with him and I just wonder whether he will have enough pace for Aintree’s flat two miles. although there is a question mark about whether he will be fast enough over 2 miles here. Flaxen Flare won the Fred Winter Handicap Hurdle decisively but had been well beaten on his two previous starts.

Silviniaco Conti looks like nap material in the Betfred Bowl (2.30). He looked certain to be involved in the finish of the Gold Cup before he fell at the third last and he also has winning form at Aintree. Nicholls had been quite bullish about his prospects before the race and had always emphasised that he would come on a great deal for his victory at Newbury. Had he stood up, I’m sure he would have finished ahead of The Giant Bolster and Cape Tribulation at the festival. Mouse Morris wanted to run First Lieutenant in the Gold Cup and the horse was left flat footed by Cue Card in the Ryanair. He may again have to settle for second place.

The Aintree Hurdle (3.05) looks like being a classic but I’m staying loyal to Champion Hurdle form with Countrywide Flame. Last year’s Triumph Hurdle winner ran a fine third at the festival and holds Zarkandar on that form. Nicholls is applying blinkers to the latter whilst Grandouet is difficult to weigh up after an early fall in the Champion. I am surprised that The New One is the ante-post favourite and am yet to be convinced that he is a Champion hurdler. I still think that anything over 4-1 is a steal for Countrywide Flame.

I don’t usually bet on Hunter Chase races and I’ll be giving The Foxhunters Chase (3.40) a swerve. Nicky Henderson has chances in the last three races with Kid Cassidy (4.15), Captain Conan (4.50) and Ericht (5.25). Kid Cassidy finished second to Alderwood in the Grand Annual at Cheltenham but has to carry top weight here. I haven’t previously been a fan of Captain Conan but I thought he ran a good race behind Benefficient whilst Ericht finished fifth in a huge field in the Coral Hurdle. It could be worth putting them together with Rolling Star in the hope that the Henderson team has a field day. Stranger things have happened!

Silviniaco Conti (Nap) Even money with Totesport
Countrywide Flame (n.b.) 9-2 with Paddy Power

Henderson Super Yankee:
Rolling Star 5-2 with Bet Victor
Kid Cassidy 13-2 with Totesport
Captain Conan 15-8 with William Hill
Ericht 14-1 with Bet365