Cricket World Cup: Day 2 Preview

While the opening matches of the Cricket World Cup were not as close as we hoped, they did feature incredible batting efforts from New Zealand and Australia.  The matches highlighted the new norm of ODI totals; 250+ scores won’t cut the mustard this year,  320+ will.

The Three Big Questions

Which performance on day 1 was more dominant?

Probably New Zealand.  New Zealand came out from ball one and attacked.  While they wobbled slightly in the middle overs, Corey Anderson’s finish ensured an unassailable total.  The attacking intent shows an approach very un-New Zealand like.  Rather than nervous deal with the expectation, they thrived on it and look to be comfortable leading from the front.  Their bowling did, however, look a bit ragged – they’ll want to improve.

Australia, were expected to win, they had beaten England easily and were at home in conditions perfect for their batsman.  They laid down a marker but you wouldn’t expect anything less from the group of players they have at their disposal.  Bring on the 28th of February.

Can any of the so-called minnows get up and sneak a win against a test playing nation?

If we were to base our answer on warm up matches, then yes.  Scotland ran in some big totals in the warm up matches, Ireland have played in plenty of tournaments now and even Afghanistan showed some promise in their two warm up games against thought opposition.  Of the test playing nations, the West Indies look disinterested; Bangladesh look dreadfully underdone. Therefore, absolutely, there will be an upset in this Cricket World Cup.

Amla or de Villiers to score the most tournament runs?

The South Africans possess the top two international ODI batsman.  Both are quality players on all surfaces, against all types of bowlers.  Amla will get more opportunities being at the top of the order and this could aid his chances of cashing in against the associate nations.  The only area he gives up points to de Villiers is in scoring rate.  de Villiers can bat through all gears, and even if he faces 30 balls at the end of the innings has shown he can score hundreds in that time.  We’re picking de Villiers.

Today’s Matchups

1. South Africa v Zimbabwe, Seddon Park (Hamilton – sunny and hot), starts 2:00pm local time.

South Africa– $1.02

Zimbabwe – $13.00

After New Zealand and Australia got off to impressive starts, South Africa now need to send a similar message when they open their tournament in Hamilton.  Nothing short of a dominant display will be needed to make sure punters don’t write them off.  South Africa are expected to be far too strong for Zimbabwe, but Zimbabwe’s warm-up form has been impressive.  They had New Zealand in trouble before rain and then beat Sri Lanka by 7 wickets.  South Africa on the other hand lost to NZ, but we don’t expect that to change the team’s fortunes today.

2. India v Pakistan, Adelaide Oval (Adelaide – partly cloudy but humid), starts 2:00pm local time

India – $1.50

Pakistan – $2.55

The defending Cricket World Cup champions have not enjoyed their time in Australia thus far.  After a winless test series and ODI trip-series, they finally mustered a win against Afghanistan.  Fractured form aside, the Indians still have an abundance of class in Kohli, Dhoni, Sharma and Rahane and will back their batsman to chase anything their bowlers concede.  Pakistan have warmed up by losing to New Zealand but beating England and Bangladesh in warm up matches.  They rely too heavily on Misbah to justify low odds.  But if Mohammad Irfan can generate step bounce on the Adelaide Oval pitch they could surprise.

Today’s Multi

The Beard and Bounce Multi

Pakistan (Win) + Hashim Amla and Sean Williams (Top Score Combo) = $43.35

*Odds from Sportsbet Australia.

Cricket World Cup Preview – Top Wicket Takers

In no particular order here’s our list of bowlers we expect to be near the top of the wicket taking charts at the Cricket World Cup beginning on February 14th in Australia and New Zealand.  Odds courtesy of BetEasy.

1. Mitchell Johnson

145 matches, 224 wickets, 25.50 average, 4.82 economy rate, 6/31 best bowling

The left-arm quick has already ended a few cricket careers prematurely due to his fearsome pace, and there’s a very good chance he’ll do the same over the next six weeks.  His ability to swing the ball late in conjunction with his accurate short balls should be too much for many of the associate nations’ batsman. He’ll probably be too much for the batsman of test playing nations too.

Odds – $10.00

2. Dale Steyn

96 matches, 151 wickets, 25.14 average, 4.80 economy rate, 6/39 best bowling

With the tournament hosted in New Zealand and Australia and the threat of spin accordingly minimised, quickies will play a big role in the tournament.  One of the better quicks going around is the angry faced Dale Steyn.  The spearhead of the South African team will take his team deep into the tournament and will enjoy the swimming conditions of both host nations.  Unsurprisingly, he’s one of the favourites to top the wicket tally.

Odds – $11.00

3. James Anderson

188 matches, 264 wickets, 28.84 average, 4.90 economy rate, 5/23 best bowling

Another swing bowler that is likely to make an impression at the Cricket World Cup is England’s James Anderson.  Anderson’s major weapons are his accurate outswingers and impeccable length.  Not only will he nick off a lot of batsman, he’ll also keep the scoring rate down and take wickets by frustrating the opposition batting lineup by drying up their runs.

Odds – $21.00

4. Lasith Malinga

177 matches, 271 wickets, 27.21 average, 5.21 economy rate, 6/38 best bowling

Although’s Malinga has faced an uphill battle to get himself fit for the Cricket World Cup, we still expect him to play a huge role.  The “slinger” is one of the best death bowlers in the business and one of the most sought after Twenty20 players because of it.  An uncanny knack of bowling the perfect yorker is mixed with effective slower balls and change up bouncers in an arsenal of deliveries that will get wickets at the top and the tail of the innings.

Odds – $15.00

5. Morne Morkel

91 matches, 152 wickets, 24.69 average, 4.95 economy rate, 5/21 best bowling

At 6ft 5in Morne Morkel was never going to be anything other than a quick with steeling bounce (not Mohammad Irfan bounce, but close).  South Africa doesn’t quite have the bounce friendly draw they would have hoped for, but Morkel will still take wickets because unlike in test cricket, batsman have to find ways to score off him – they can’t just leave hime all day.

Odds – $17.00

6. Rangana Herath

67 matches, 71 wickets, 31.07 average, 4.36 economy rate, 4/20 best bowling

The first spinner on our list is the 8th best ODI bowler according to the official rankings.  Herath is a round arm leftie, who darts in tricky straight turners at an awkwardly slow pace.  His preferred mode of dismissal is bowled and lbw we also think his slow loop through the air will catch a few of his opponents short on the bigger grounds and have them caught on the boundaries edge.  Sri Lanka will be quarterfinalists at worst so he’ll get plenty of games in to take the wickets.

Odds – $26.00

7. Trent Boult

16 matches, 18 wickets, 34.94, 4.70 economy rate, 4/44 best bowling

It seems silly not to include a New Zealand when so many pundits are  predicting the Black Caps to go all the way in the tournament it seems a shame not to include one of their frontline bowlers.  But when the choice is between Southee, Boult, Vettori, Milne, McClengahan and Mills it gets tricky to pick one.  We’re going with Boult.  Complements Southee so brilliantly and makes top order batsman play more than any other opening bowler going around.  Even without the abundance of experience that others on this list have we’re predicting big things from Boult.

Odds – $26.00

8. Moeen Ali

17 wickets, 17 wickets, 37.29 average, 4.69 economy rate, 2/34 best bowling

Without Sunil Narine and Saeed Ajmal the tournament is lacking in quality spinners.  However, that doesn’t mean spinners won’t be a factor.  One spinner we think has a big role to play is England all-round Moeen Ali.  England might not play a specialist spinner in James Tredwell meaning Ali will more often than not bowl his ten overs, and with a support cast of Anderson, Stuart Broad, Chris Woakes at the other end, he’ll get some cheapie brought on by the pressure they impose.  Wickets in every single game of the recent tri-series indicates he’s in form too.  We’re picking a list of Cricket World Cup wickets longer than his beard in 2015.

Odds – $67.00

9. Mitchell Starc

33 matches, 61 wickets, 21.27 average, 5.00 economy rate, 6/43 best bowling

Starc may just be the most in form bowler heading in to the Cricket World Cup out of all the contenders.  He proved just how good he is with the first two balls of the Carlton Mid Tri-Series recently; taking wickets of both of them, dismissing Ian Bell and James Taylor, and he didn’t stop taking wickets at any stage during the tournament.  Swing, and toe-crushingly good yorkers have seen Starc join the other Mitchell (Johnson) as the player performance market favourite.

Odds – $10.00

10. Shakib Al Hasan

141 matches, 182 wickets, 27.92 average, 4.26 economy rate, 4/16 best bowling

Every list has to have a smokey right?  Even so, Shakib is an absolute smokey as he will probably play three less games than some of the others.  Can he make up those numbers in earlier games?  We think so.  If his Big Bash League form (played on Australian soil) is anything to go buy.  The canny spinner averaged 13.85 with the ball in the Twenty20 series, taking 7 wickets in just 16 overs.  Probably worth a $1 punt.

Odds – $126.00

Cricket World Cup Preview – Team by Team Guide

We’ve put together a comprehensive guide of every side competing in the Cricket World Cup with odds from Beteasy.

Afghanistan

History: Despite taking part in three editions of the World Twenty20, Afghanistan are yet to take part in the 50-over format. 2015 is a new era for Afghanistan cricket.

Form: Afghanistan had an excellent Premier League tournament in Malaysia where they won four out of their five matches.  They followed that with a tied series against Zimbabwe, and then toured New Zealand and Australia playing first class sides to varying levels of success.  They also managed to sneak in another series against fellow World Cup newcomers UAE where they lost 3-1.

Squad: Mohammad Nabi (capt), Afsar Zazai (wk), Aftab Alam, Asghar Stanikzai, Dawlat Zadran, Gulbadin Naib, Hamid Hassan, Javed Ahmadi, Mirwais Ashraf, Najibullah Zadran, Nasir Jamal, Nawroz Mangal, Samiullah Shenwari, Shapoor Zadran, Usman Ghani.

StrengthsLed by Hamid Hassan Afghanistan possess a decent pace bowling unit.  They are also coached by former New Zealand coach Andy Moles, who is an excellent planner.  He should be able to get the best out of his players and provide valuable insights into opposition players.

Weaknesses: A lack of x-factor is the glaring worry.  They rely too heavily on captain Mohammad Nabi, and  the others may get found out.  Would love to be wrong though (and we do think they’ll do very well in future World Cups).

Player to Watch: Hamid Hassan is in the rare-breed of sub-continent quicks who can generate express pace.  Capable of bowling 145km/h, Hassan will love the pitches of Australia and New Zealand.

Odds: $1001

Australia

History: Australia is the most successful nation in Cricket World Cup history, having won the trophy four times (1987, 1999, 2003, 2007).  Their most recent effort was a quarter-final loss to India in 2011.

Form: Australia wrapped up their preparations with an easy win in the Carlton Mid Tri-Series final.  In fact, the favourites have lost just one of their last eight ODIs; all played against India, England or South Africa.  Ominous form.

Squad: George Bailey, Michael Clarke (capt), Patrick Cummins, Xavier Doherty, James Faulkner, Aaron Finch, Brad Haddin (wk), Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Johnson, Mitchell Marsh, Glenn Maxwell, Steve Smith, Mitchell Starc, David Warner, Shane Watson.

StrengthsBalance and depth come to mind when you think of Australia’s strengths.  They bode a fearsome mix of power, craft, aggression and patience and are likely to be able to call upon any of their players to deliver a match-winning performance.  Intent is another term that can describe the mindset of both their top order batsman and wicket-taking seam attack.

Weaknesses: The only hole in the line-up is a world class spin option.  For the second consecutive Cricket World Cup Australia enter the tournament without a recognised slow bowler capable of taking big wickets. Xavier Doherty might not even play that often as Australia rely on Maxwell to play the containing spin role.

Player to Watch: If David Warner can avoid getting himself banned for some stupid sledging incident he could be a big factor in this World Cup.  One century in an otherwise quiet Carlton Mid Tri Series means he due to punish opposition bowling attacks.  The matches against associate nations could springboard him into some form for later in the tournament.

Odds: $2.90

Bangladesh

History: 2007 was the highlight in an otherwise underwhelming record at World Cups.  In that year they beat India to make the group stage but haven’t made it there in any of the other tournaments.  Have won only eight of 26 World Cup games.

Form: Bangladesh began 2014 searching for a win for the longest time, but as its recent 5-0 rout of Zimbabwe at home shows, the signs were there of the side coming together well.  It played 18 ODIs in 2014, winning five, losing 12 and with one match against India in Dhaka abandoned due to rain.

Squad: Mashrafe Mortaza (capt), Tamim Iqbal, Anamul Haque, Mominul Haque, Shakib Al Hasan (vice-capt), Mahmudullah Riaz, Mushfiqur Rahim (wk), Nasir Hossain, Taijul Islam, Taskin Ahmed, Al-Amin Hossain, Rubel Hossain, Soumya Sarkar, Sabbir Rahman, Arafat Sunny.

StrengthsBangladesh could play as many as four spinners in their run on World Cup side in what is an obvious strength.  They won’t get too many pitchers that turn, and the small grounds of New Zealand won’t suit them, but may take wickets by benefitting from some team’s aggressive pursuit of runs.

Weaknesses:  Too often the likes of Shakib, Mushfiqur and Mahmudullah are tasked with picking up the pieces.  If Bangladesh are to do well in this tournament the top order must contribute.

Player to Watch: Shakib Al Hasan is one of the best players to ever play for Bangladesh (if not the best).  He consistently gets runs and wickets in all situations with his handy left arm spin and quality ball striking.  For a little guy he has an uncanny knack of finding the boundary, and his round arm slingers have already proven effective in Australia after a brief Big Bash League stint.

Odds: $201

England

History: Pretty woeful recent results (9th, 6th and 7th) have masked earlier success in which they finished second on three occasions.

Form: England have not won an ODI series since beating West Indies in their last four attempts.  After discarding Alastair Cook, England have appointed Eoin Morgan to lead them to glory.  To do so they need to get past their poor recent efforts.  Showed glimpses of form in the Carlton Mid Tri Series but still outsiders.

Squad: Moeen Ali, James Anderson, Gary Ballance, Ian Bell, Ravi Bopara, Stuart Broad, Jos Buttler (wk), Steven Finn, Alex Hales, Chris Jordan, Eoin Morgan (capt), Joe Root, James Taylor, James Tredwell, Chris Woakes.

StrengthsProbably seam bowling from Broad, Finn, Woakes and Anderson but even then they have struggled on their recent Australian tour.  Broad and Anderson are proven performers in Australia and Woakes and Finn took trip-series wickets too, so they could bundle out sides quickly if they have momentum.

Weaknesses: Moeen Ali is an ultra talented opener and off spinner, but it’s a lot to ask to do both.  Lacking a World Class spinner could hurt England and Ravi Bopara’s form is a big concern.

Player to Watch: Joe Root is handily placed to break-out as an ODI player during the World Cup.  Despite some epic test knocks he’s yet to really set the world alight despite being ranked 14th best in the World.  Root is one of those players who can accumulate quickly if he doesn’t get stuck on the crease and knick out as is often the way in Australia.

Odds: $11

India

History: Defending champions after a faultless run through the Asian hosted edition.  Also won in 1983 and finished second in 2003.

Form: Is inconsistent.  In 2014 in New Zealand they lost 4-0.  At home they beat the West Indies and Sri Lanka easily. But back to Australia they didn’t win a game in the tri-series.  The form in the conditions in which tournament will be played is a huge worry.

Squad: Ravichandran Ashwin, Stuart Binny, Shikhar Dhawan, MS Dhoni (capt & wk), Ravindra Jadeja, Virat Kohli, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Akshar Patel, Ajinkya Rahane, Suresh Raina, Ambati Rayudu, Mohammed Shami, Ishant Sharma, Rohit Sharma, Umesh Yadav.

StrengthsThe top order is undoubtedly the strength of the 2nd ranked ODI side.  In Rahane, Kohli, Rayudu, Dhawan and Raina they have players who can score big runs in the shorter format, and because they’ve been in Australia for such a long time, should be well suited to the conditions.  The draw has been kind to India too.  They play just two games at the bouncy WACA (against West Indies and UAE); a ground where their batsman may have struggled against quality opposition.

Weaknesses: The Indian seam bowling attack resembles a bit of a rabble at the moment.  Struggling in both the long formats and the shorter formats, the bowling is definitely the achilles heal of the squad.  That isn’t worrying India though, they are working on a theory whereby they play one more batsman and back themselves to chase any total.  Bowlers can concede as many as they do and their strength will bail them out.

Player to Watch: Virat Kohli is the third ranked ODI batsman in the world (and 12th best test batsman).  He has the ability to score big ODI hundreds, with 21 hundreds already to his name.  He has also been in one pretty decent form in Australia during the recent test series.  The only question is whether his shoulders can carry the weight of expectation that is now on him following Sachin Tendulkar’s retirement.

Odds: $10

Ireland

History: The Irish shocked everyone in 2007 when they qualified for the Super 8’s.  They couldn’t repeat that in 2011 but did upset England when they chased down 329 courtesy of Kevin O’Brien’s record breaking hundred.

Form: Have been okay against the minnows but hasn’t beaten a test playing nation since the last World Cup.  They are generally one of the better associate nations.

Squad: William Porterfield (capt), Andrew Balbirnie, Peter Chase, Alex Cusack, George Dockrell, Ed Joyce, Andrew McBrine, John Mooney, Max Sorensen, Kevin O’Brien, Niall O’Brien, Paul Stirling, Stuart Thompson, Gary Wilson, Craig Young.

StrengthsIn a word accuracy.  They might not have out and out speed demons but their bowlers are all accurate and stifling.  In Young, Mooney and Dockrell they have three bowlers who should frustrate the opposition enough to make mistakes.

Weaknesses:  The experienced Irish are getting on in age these days.  A large portion of their squad are now over thirty, and while theres no substitute for experience we think that will mean they’re behind the eight ball for most of their matches.  They could also struggle when the pace is taken off the ball.

Player to Watch: Ed Joyce has the strange honour of having represented two different sides in consecutive World Cups.  After playing for England in 2007, Joyce then switched back to Ireland for the 2011 version.  Joyce is also a quality player, who has a huge amount of first class cricket experience and is more than capable of helping Ireland to big totals.

Odds: $501

New Zealand

History: The Black Caps have reached six semi-finals from ten tournaments and boast a record of 40 wins, 29 losses (including a forfeit against Kenya in 2003) and a no result.

Form: The co-hosts are in top form.  After knocking off Sri Lanka 4-2, the Black Caps then beat Pakistan 2-0.  Further back still they beat Pakistan again in Dubai.  The draw has also been very kind to them as they play all of their round-robin games at home.

Squad: Brendon McCullum (captain), Corey Anderson, Trent Boult, Grant Elliott, Martin Guptill, Tom Latham, Mitchell McClenaghan, Nathan McCullum, Kyle Mills, Adam Milne, Luke Ronchi (wkt), Tim Southee, Ross Taylor, Daniel Vettori, Kane Williamson.

StrengthsThe New Zealand form is pretty special, and most of their players are in decent knick themselves.  They field sensationally, they are playing an aggressive brand of cricket and in front of their home crowd will be a force to be reckoned with.

Weaknesses: None in the makeup of the side, although they’ll be hoping Martin Guptill’s notoriously slow starts and inconsistency doesn’t derail them.  Belief could also be a factor as the Black Caps have made a host of Cricket World Cup semi-finals without ever making the final.

Player to Watch: Kane Williamson may be the most important player to any team in this tournament.  The rock in the New Zealand batting line-up Williamson holds New Zealand’s chances in his hands, despite their increased depth.  Williamson’s role is to bat through the middle overs so that McCullum, Taylor, Ronchi and Anderson can all play their naturally attacking games.  Williamson i s averaging 70 in one-day cricket matches for 2014/2015.

Odds: $6

Pakistan

History: The last time the tournament was hosted by Australia and New Zealand a star-studded Pakistan side won it.  Since then they were runners up to Australia in 1999, and semi-finalists most recently in 2011.

Form: Three consecutive ODI series defeats to Australia, New Zealand and New Zealand again mean Pakistan are not entering on the best foot. If we were being optimistic we would point out their impressive test form in 2014.

Squad: Ahmed Shehzad, Ehsan Adil, Haris Sohail, Misbah-ul-Haq (capt), Mohammad Hafeez, Mohammad Irfan, Sarfraz Ahmed (wk), Shahid Afridi, Sohaib Maqsood, Sohail Khan, Umar Akmal, Wahab Riaz, Yasir Shah, Younis Khan.

StrengthsExperience is important in World Cups.  Pakistan have it by the game-load.  In Younis Khan, Misbah, Hafeez and Afridi Pakistan have proven performers who could guide their side to the final staes of the comp.  They’ll need runs from all of them if they are going to compete.

Weaknesses:  The Pakistan seam bowling stocks have taken a bit of a hit.  Junaid Khan is out, Wahab Riaz is injured, and Bilawal Bhatti got smashed all round the place by New Zealand.  Come to think about it, their spin bowling stocks have also been reduced with Saeed Ajmal’s ban.

Player to Watch: Shahid Afridi has x-factor by the bucket load.  Even at 34, he will still play an important role with both bat and ball.  A top 10 ranked bowler and a destructive batsman is desirous in every team, and we’ll be watching his every move.

Odds: $15

Scotland

History: Scotland have not won a World Cup game in two appearances (1999, 2007).

Form: The Scots were excellent in World Cup qualification where they won seven straight games.  They also had some experience in Australia and New Zealand in a pre-Christmas tour of first class outfits.

Squad: Preston Mommsen (capt), Richie Berrington, Kyle Coetzer, Freddie Coleman, Matthew Cross (wk), Josh Davey, Alasdair Evans, Hamish Gardiner, Majid Haq, Michael Leask, Matt Machan, Calum MacLeod, Safyaan Sharif, Rob Taylor, Iain Wardlaw.

StrengthsMommsen, Coetzer, Machan are all excellent batsman in their own right.  Aggressive stroke-makers who often attempt to take the game to opposition bowlers, they also represent the best chance of winning games.

Weaknesses: As much as Mommsen, Coetzer, Machan are the strengths of the side, they also represent a reliance or a weakness for the Northern underdogs. If these three don’t score runs, Scotland won’t either, and won’t win games.

Player to Watch: Majid Haq is a quality spinner with over 200 games experience.  The crafty veteran is considered one of the better bowlers from the associate nations and has a best of four wickets against the West Indies.

Odds: $2001

South Africa

History: South Africa have a shocking record considering their cricketing stocks having never won or never made the final.

Form: Most recently South Africa beat New Zealand 2-0 away from home, and then visited Australia where they lost 4-0.  In truth they did rest a few players in both of those match-ups.

Squad: Kyle Abbott, Hashim Amla, Farhaan Behardien, Quinton de Kock (wk), AB de Villiers (capt & wk), JP Duminy, Faf du Plessis, David Miller, Morne Morkel, Wayne Parnell, Aaron Phangiso, Vernon Philander, Rilee Rossouw, Dale Steyn, Imran Tahir.

StrengthsEverywhere.  But if we were to pinpoint one, it’s their pack bowlers.  Steyn, Morkel and Philander all contribute to a well balanced and threatening attack.  Look to them to devastate the world’s best batsman, before spinner Imran Tahir plays the supporting role.

Weaknesses: In the absence of Jacques Kallis the South Africans have struggled to find an impressive all-rounder.  The options – Wayne Parnell and Farhaan Behardien (after Ryan McClaren was left out) – have a big task ahead of them, one that requires them to bowl overs and score valuable runs.

Player to Watch: AB de Villiers is the best batsman in the World.  He showed that recently when he pummelled a hundred off 31 balls against the West Indies.  de Villiers was incredible when South Africa played in Australia recently, and his form will dictate how deep South Africa go.

Odds: $4

Sri Lanka

History: Sri Lanka have a consistent history of excellent World Cup performances.  The blow of losing finals in 2011 and 2007, and a semi-final in 2003, is softened by the win in 1996.

Form: A bit inconsistent of late.  Losses to India and New Zealand surrounds a series win against England.

Squad: Dinesh Chandimal (wk), Tillakaratne Dilshan, Rangana Herath, Mahela Jayawardene, Dimuth Karunaratne, Nuwan Kulasekara, Suranga Lakmal, Lasith Malinga (subject to fitness), Angelo Mathews (capt), Jeevan Mendis, Thisara Perera, Dhammika Prasad, Kumar Sangakkara (wk), Sachithra Senanayake, Lahiru Thirimanne.

StrengthsBig players in big games with big experience.  Sangakkara, Jayawardene and Dilshan are those players. Sri Lanka rely on them, but that doesn’t phase the imperious three who have all scored runs in the recent New Zealand series.

Weaknesses: Probably another team weak in the seam bowling department.  Without Malinga the attack is too same/same and have failed to stop NZ lately.  Herath is quality; Mendis is handy; Dilshan useful; that leaves too much expectation (and thus targeting by other teams) on the balance.

Player to Watch: If de Villiers is the best in the World, Kumar Sangakkara is the second best.  Officially he’s the best test batsman and the fourth best ODI batsman – how good is that record?  He’ll score runs that is for certain, the test is whether does it in the big games and his bowlers can support him.

Odds: $11

United Arab Emirates 

History: Just one appearance in 1996, where they shocked the Netherlands.

Form: The most improved associated side by a long way.  They deserve their spot in the World Cup on the back of some excellent lead up form.

Squad: Mohammad Tauqir (capt), Khurram Khan (vice-capt), Swapnil Patil, Saqlain Haider, Amjad Javed, Shaiman Anwar, Amjad Ali, Nasir Aziz, Rohan Mustafa, Manjula Guruge, Andri Berenger, Fahad Al Hashmi, Muhammad Naveed, Kamran Shahzad & K Karate.

Strengths: The two 43-year olds are the mainstays of the side and their best players.  Mohammad Tauqir (capt), Khurram Khan will hopefully put their captaincy differences aside to be the key contributors for the UAE.

Weaknesses: The UAE lack the experience of the other competitors.  There are also reports that their fielding is a bit below par.

Player to Watch: The player to watch is also their captain, Mohammad Tauqir.  The offie has taken 34 wickets at 29.05 in his first class career.

Odds: $2001

West Indies

History: In the glory days the West Indies won the title in 1975 and 1979, and finished runners up in 1983. However, of late, there has been nothing to write home about.

Form: Pretty ropey.  Losses to South Africa and India on the pitch and battles off it mean the West Indies enter the tournament without posing a serious threat.

Squad: Sulieman Benn, Darren Bravo, Jonathan Carter, Sheldon Cottrell, Chris Gayle, Jason Holder (capt), Nikita Miller, Denesh Ramdin (wk), Kemar Roach, Andre Russell, Darren Sammy, Marlon Samuels, Lendl Simmons, Dwayne Smith, Jerome Taylor.

StrengthsBig hitting batsman are nothing new to West Indies cricket.  Smith, Gayle, Samuels, and Russell can all swing the willow to devastating effect, but can they do it consistently?  They recently cause 236 in a Twenty20 game in South Africa but all too often if Gayle fails so does the team.

Weaknesses: Consistency issues still plague West Indies cricket.  World beaters one day, calamitous the next, the West Indies need to form throughout the full six weeks.  It could also be said the WICB selection methods are also weak after they left out stars Dwayne Bravo and Kieron Pollard.

Player to Watch: Chris Gayle is the rock-star of the side and with multiple World Cups under his belt needs to finish with a bang to ensure he’ll still get picked up by various Twenty20 franchises from around the world.

Odds: $26

Zimbabwe

History: Zimbabwe has played in all subsequent editions of the ICC Cricket World Cup. It peaked in the 1999 and 2003 editions, making the Super Six stage each time.

Form: In its last ten ODIs, it has managed only one win, but that came against Australia in August, a three-wicket victory in Harare led by Chigumbura’s unbeaten half-century.

Squad: Elton Chigumbura (capt), Sikandar Raza, Regis Chakabva, Tendai Chatara, Chamu Chibhabha, Craig Ervine, Tafadzwa Kamungozi, Hamilton Masakadza, Stuart Matsikenyeri, Solomon Mire, Tawanda Mupariwa, Tinashe Panyangara, Brendan Taylor (wk), Prosper Utseya, Sean Williams.

StrengthsMore than ever before Zimbabwe have some players to rely on.  Cigumbura, Taylor, Williams, Masakadza and Utseya are more than capable of performing against ever nation, so even if they suffer early blows this Zimbabwe side can bounce back.

Weaknesses: When Heath Streak and Tatenda Taibu played the lower order more than held their own.  However, this year’s squad lacks that solidity and could be wrapped all too easily by decent bowling attacks.

Player to Watch: Brendan Taylor is the best batsman in the Zimbabwe team.  He has put together a nice record in the many forms of the game and should be comfortable on the bouncy surfaces of Australia and New Zealand (that’s probably being generous to the NZ pitches though).

Odds: $501

 

 

 

 

Cricket: Teams face off in final hit out before World Cup

The pre-cup bilaterals are almost at an end.  The endless warm up matches will soon be replaced by the real deal, the main event.  Accordingly, game two between Pakistan and New Zealand at McClean Park is one of the final opportunities to fine tune games and plans before the pressure gets crippling.

Pakistan need the game more than New Zealand.  The home side are well settled, in form and winning.  The World Cup couldn’t come sooner for them.  Pakistan on the other hand still need time to acclimatise.  They need to experience a win (after losing game on and losing to a mediocre invitational side).

Napier’s game two day-nighter presents the perfect opportunity.

The Last Time These Two Met

Game one featured plenty of rust.  Not the kind coming from the empty seat at the Cake Tin either.  Mainly it was the evident rust of the paisan line-up that will be better for the blow out.  Batting first Pakistan limped to just 210.  That was only possible because of Shahid Afridi who struck 67 off just 29 balls.  His strike rate was 231, the rest of the line-up’s was just 53.

New Zealand chased it comfortably.  Ross Taylor and Grant Elliott guiding the chase with a pair of unbeaten half centuries.  The only real interest in the second innings was who would top score between the two, a bet that came down to the last run.

The Teams

New Zealand (likely): 1 Martin Guptill, 2 Brendon McCullum (capt), 3 Kane Williamson/Tom Latham, 4 Ross Taylor, 5 Grant Elliott, 6 Luke Ronchi (wk) , 7 Corey Anderson, 8 Nathan McCullum/Daniel Vettori, 9 Tim Southee, 10 Kyle Mills, 11 Trent Boult

Kane Williamson’s shoulder is still not 100%, so it’s probable he’ll sit this one out again.

Pakistan (likely): 1 Mohammad Hafeez, 2 Ahmed Shehzad, 3 Younis Khan, 4 Haris Sohail, 5 Misbah-ul-Haq (capt.), 6 Umar Akmal, 7 Sarfraz Ahmed (wk), 8 Shahid Afridi, 9 Bilawal Bhatti, 10 Mohammad Irfan, 11 Sohail Khan/Ehsan Adil

The fifth seamer is the troubling aspect of Pakistan’s squad with Haris Sohail expected to make up the bulk of the overs with the injuries to Wahab, Junaid – who has toady been ruled out of the World Cup.

The Key Players

Ross Taylor –  We don’t generally like focusing on the same player over an over again, but Taylor’s record in Napier is simply too good to ignore.  The Central Districts prospect played lots of his first class cricket at McLean Park and has subsequently carved out an amazing record on the batsman friendly ground.  In 11 ODI’s at the ground, Taylor has scored 584 runs with 2 hundreds at an average of 73.  Look for him to cash in again.  Although, one anomaly, the only time he’s failed at the ground was against Pakistan in 2011.

Shahid Afridi – Afridi is building a handy little record against New Zealand of late.  In the Abu Dhabi series Afridi played much more like a composed batsman and had an excellent series.  He didn’t quite play in the same way on Saturday, reverting back to his old school Boom Boom approach, yet he still scored big runs.  The small McClean Park could be ideal for his destructive game.

The Match Odds*

New Zealand – $1.40

Pakistan – $3.00

*Courtesy of Ladbrokes Australia.

The Prediction

Pakistan were predictably blown away by New Zealand’s seamers in game one, and while Napier isn’t expected to swing and seam as much New Zealand will still be too strong.  Remember a pitch that assists Southee and Boult also assists Irfan – and thus Napier could nullify the threat of the giant quick.

The Longshot

Hard to go past Ross Taylor to top score.  Even despite the Napier record, without Kane Williamson playing, Taylor’s a strong chance.  He’s at $5.

Cricket: NZ welcome Pakistan for 2 match World Cup warm-up

There were rumours of a ghost haunting the Pakistan’s team hotel in Christchurch early this week.  Harris Sohail was supposedly on the receiving end of a particularly nasty spiritual presence.  Whether the ghost was simply a figment of Sohail’s imagination or whether it was the ghost of series past between the two remains to be seen.

If it was a soul from the series the two recently completed in Abu Dhabi then it will hold memories of a closely fought series, and some strong individual performances from Sohail.  Perhaps that’s why he was awoken in the middle of the night.

Ghosts aside, the short turnaround to the Pakistan series will provide New Zealand with a sterner test than the one they have just encountered.  With concerns lingering over Guptill and Taylor, the Black Caps will welcome the chance to fine tune.

Fine tuning is also important for a Pakistan outfit that have traditionally struggled away from home.  After batting for days against New Zealand and Australia on flat pitches in Dubai, the move to New Zealand will no doubt come with trickier batting assignments against the moving ball.

Wellington is expecting a little rain.  Duckworth-Lewis may be a factor.

The Last Time These Two Met

Was recently actually.  In Dubai in November the teams endured a tense series which was eventually won by New Zealand in the final match.  After a see-saw five match series the Black Caps secure a 3-2 series win  thanks to a 68 run win.  In that series, Kane Williamson and Ross Taylor topped the bating charts for New Zealand; Haris Sohail and Shahid Afridi for Pakistan.  With the ball Matt Henry was the best followed by Mohammad Irfan.

The Teams

New Zealand (likely): 1 Martin Guptill, 2 Brendon McCullum (capt.), 3 Kane Williamson, 4 Ross Taylor, 5 Grant Elliott, 6 Luke Ronchi (wk) , 7 Corey Anderson, 8 Nathan McCullum/ Daniel Vettori, 9 Tim Southee, 10 Mitchell McClenaghan, 11 Trent Boult

The New Zealand set-up have not given any indication as to how serious Adam Milne’s injury is, but we suspect he’s still unfit for the Pakistan series.  Nathan McCulum may get some more match practice at Vettori’s expense.

Pakistan (likely): 1 Mohammad Hafeez, 2 Ahmed Shehzad, 3 Younis Khan, 4 Misbah-ul-Haq (capt.), 5 Umar Akmal, 6 Sarfraz Ahmed (wk), 7 Shahid Afridi, 8 Bilawal Bhatti, 9 Wahab Riaz, 10 Mohammad Irfan, 11 Sohail Khan/ Ehsan Adil

Plenty of options for the tourists in this series makes the predictions tough.  Only Misbah and Umar Akmal in the middle order seem sho0-ins after convincing knocks in the warm-up matches.

The Key Players

Corey Anderson – During the week Graeme Smith and Rahul Dravid pointed out the three players they thought were crucial to New Zealand’s World Cup chances.  One of them was Corey Anderson.  So well suited to thrashing the ball over the boundary, and now playing an increasing important role with the ball, Anderson’s form (which was decent against Sri Lanka) is likely to match New Zealand’s.

Umar Akmal – Scores of 77 and 68 in the two warm-up games point to Akmal being in quality form at the moment.  Pakistan hope so, as do the New Zealand sporting public who’ll be after a more fiercely competitive series.  Akmal’s form in Australia and New Zealand over the years has been excellent, this series may be another example of that and a springboard to World Cup success.

The Match Odds*

New Zealand – $1.50

Pakistan – $2.63

*Courtesy of Betstar.

The Prediction

Pakistan against the swinging and bouncing ball worries us.  That’s why we’re tipping New Zealand even though they’re coming off a loss only a few days ago.

The Longshot

Great money on Umar Akmal to top score for Pakistan.  $6.50 at Betstar.

Cricket: Williamson’s runs and Henry’s wickets deliver NZ win

New Zealand finally settled the long running debate over who was having the better tour between them and Pakistan.  After a tied test series, a tied T20 series, and the first four one layers also being split between the teams, the Black Caps’ 68 run win gave them bragging rights for the flight home.

The final one layer at Abu Dhabi was one of the more one-sided out of any of the games the two played.  In friendly batting conditions New Zealand’s middle order mainstay of Kane Williamson and Ross Taylor combined to do the bulk of the scoring.  Williamson completed his eight half-century from his previous ten innings (one of the others was 46) and Taylor made a measured 88 not out to see New Zealand through to 275/4 from their 50 overs.  The wickets in hand suggested New Zealand could have pushed on to a bigger total but without the likes of Brendon McCullum and Corey Anderson to clear the rope, 275 had to suffice.

Dean Brownlie continue his puzzling run of form.  His last few bats have yielded 47, 42, and 34 to indicate a level of comfort at the top of the order that could help solve NZ’s World Cup dilemma, but it has frustrated some that he couldn’t completely anchor the innings and score large totals himself.

As Pakistan set about their chase to win the series they immediately found themselves in early trouble when Matt Henry and Anton Devcich reduced them to 38/3.  Unfortunately, the Pakistanis could not find the consistency and momentum to get anywhere near the target – Henry in particular compounding their woes with 5-30.  Henry has already shown a tendency to take bags of wickets – this is his third fourth wicket in just six games – and like Brownlie is now a strong favourite to feature in the reduced World Cup squad.

Haris Sohail top scored for Pakistan, but as has been the case for much of the series, the top order left too much for him and Afridi to do.  Save for game three, the top order for Pakistan just haven’t been able to find form at he same time, with early wickets always curtailing the chances of big scores.  Ahmed Shehzad was the exception in this one, however he wasn’t able to recreate his game three knock and scored only a half century of his own in the disappointing chase.

Cricket continues soon for both sides.  New Zealand host Sri Lanka in 2 tests, 5 ODI’s, and 1 T20 before hosting the rest of the World when the World Cup begins in mid-Feb.  Pakistan on the other hand host Bangladesh and Zimbabwe in two short sharp encounters.

New Zealand 275 for 4 (Williamson 97, Taylor 88*) beat Pakistan 207 (Sohail 65, Shehzad 54, Henry 5-30) by 68 runs