I have been having some fun at Ascot this year by betting each way through the card. My fellow tipsters think I am crazy but I have already turned a profit of £300. The way I have been playing this madness is by studying the form of the races one by one and picking out the following.
1. Has the horse placed in its last three run out?
2. Has the horse run the distance in its last three run outs?
3. Whats the distance compared to the Racing Post Top Speed rating?
4. Who the stable is and jockey?
5. What is the Racing Post rating for the horse?
6. Has the horse run on this ground before and placed or won?
7. Is the price good for a mega EW accumulator or EW single.
Has the horse placed in its last three run out?
I always look for a horse that has shown it can run the race its been entered in for. I then look for if its been placed in the last three of its races. This gives me confidence that this horse can place again. With the right jockey and ground it will give me the place if its got a track record of placing and winning.
Has the horse run the distance in its last three run outs?
If the horse has never run the distance then it has to be a horse that is showing some improvement. But to be honest for this type of bet you really need to lower the odds and select a horse that has run in the same or a better class race and has placed or run over the distance or more.
Who the stable is and jockey?
It is very important to know that Jockeys do have a major impact of the performance of a horse when it is racing. The Jockey will know how to ride the horse and get the best from the horse. Simple things like riding the horse in to the areas of the track which best suit the horses form, so getting the horse running in a more firmer part of the track rather than a softer part. Plus he will know when to push the horse so it can kick on to the finish. You will see the top jockeys know there horses and will ride the horse a few times in meetings before the race you are about to bet in. If a top jockey is going to ride a horse and swop from one stable to another that’s a good sign that this horse has a chance to place.
What is the Racing Post rating for the horse?
The Racing Post rating give you an indication of the quality of the horse and who its has run against and beat or placed. Its a good indication of the class of the horse and if its worth a punt in a race or just been entered so it gains a better rating in future races. Don’t be fooled by the Racing Post Rating it can sometimes be blown apart if a good horse is having a bad day and a new up and coming horse is having a good day. So air with caution when picking horses just on the Racing Post Ratings.
Has the horse run on this ground before and placed or won?
The ground does play a big part in a horses performance. Some horses really like soft ground and will run in mud and win. Some like it hard and will bounce off hard ground as if it was like rubber. You should always look if a horse has run and won or placed consistently on its preferred ground. The great horses can run on anything and win but they are very few and far between. You should always be cautious of horses that run on AW and then switch to turf as they are two different types of surface and not many horse cross between both and win or place. Stables will enter there horses in to All Weather races so give them a run out plus to keep them in the ratings. So don’t be put off by bad form if the horse is a Turf runner and has a bad day or night on the All Weather track.
Is the price good for a mega EW accumulator or EW single.
My final and foremost thing I look for is the value for my accumulator. I am looking for over 6/1 as then it will form a very good accumulator across the card. Don’t take SP always take the price and with a bookie that gives you Best Odds Guaranteed.
So here are my horses for the final day at Ascot 2013. I would suggest you pick and choose and make up small £1 EW bets throughout the day or maybe do a placepot or scoop6 on Totesport.
Have fun punting and don’t forget to join our mailing list for great tips on all sports.
Ascot – 2:30
Somewhat – 7/2 Will Hill
Bureau – 20/1 20/1 Will Hill
Freedom Square – 12/1 Ladbrokes
Bunker – 3/1 Coral
Friendship – 9/1 Skybet
Autumn Lily – 8/1 Paddy Power
Ascot – 3:05
Aiken – 10/1 Coral
Noble Mission – 12/1 Coral
Thomas Chippingdale – 11/1 Coral
Ascot – 3:45
Lethal Force – 10/1 Bet365
Maarek – 20/1 Will Hill
Dandy Boy – 12/1 Bet365
Ascot – 4:25
Gabriels Lad – 10/1 Will Hill
Pooles Harbour – 18/1 Ladbrokes
Royal Rock – 20/1 Coral
Nocturn – 11/1 Paddypower
Arnold Lane – 28/1 Coral
Prodigality – 22/1 Coral
Ascot – 5:00
The Tiger – 20/1 Bet365
Carvan Rolls – 7/1 Will Hill
Stencive – 8/1 Skybet
Rye House – 6/1 Coral
Beaumonts Party – 14/1 Skybet
Ustura – 9/1 Ladbrokes
Voddoo Prince – 20/1 Will Hill
Ascot – 5:35
Junior – 12/1 Bet365
Stopped Out – 14/1 Coral
