It’s that time of the week again, Super Rugby Round 3 Preview with odds from Sportingbet Australia.
Highlanders v Reds
Highlanders – $1.35
Reds – $3.25
James O’Connor’s return from rehab Europe is the major feature of Round 3’s opener at Forsyth Barr. The Reds are the underdogs for their trip to Dunedin despite their strong performance against the Force last week, and will look to the former Wallaby to provide the inspiration. The Highlanders have gone for Marty Banks instead of Lima The Highlanders will be without Lima Sopoaga who hasn’t trained all week. Just one spot separates the two teams on the Super Rugby ladder so it should be a close encounter. In the end we’re tipping the Highlanders backline to be the difference in a 11 point win to the home side.
Force v Hurricanes
Force – $2.10
Hurricanes – $1.75
The Force have an appealing record against the Hurricanes having won just 1 match in the prior 8 encounters. However, 2015’s matchup could be a different story with the Perth franchise showing some okay form in their win against defending champions, the Waratahs. That was balanced out with a subdued loss against the Reds. The Hurricanes, who enter as slight favourites, had an immeasurably good run in South Africa winning both their road matches. They haven’t found an attacking spark yet but should still be too strong for the Force. Therefore, we’re predicting 2015 is not the year the Force get another win against the Canes. Canes by 13+.
Cheetahs v Blues
Cheetahs – $1.65
Blues – $2.26
The Blues will be filthy the Cricket World Cup is taking away their beloved Eden Park fortress, and while New Zealand and Australia destroy the turf with a drop in pitch, the Blues will travel to Bloemfontein to try and get their 2015 campaign up and running. 0 from 2 is a poor return for a side packed with All Blacks and led by the mercurial Jerome Kaino. They’ve moved Charles Piutau to centre, while the well-rested Cheetahs welcome back Springbok wing Cornal Hendricks. The Cheetahs have never won their first two games of a Super Rugby season, but if they were ever going to do it this is the year. We’re picking them to be as impressive as they were in Round 1 with a 6 point win.
Chiefs v Crusaders
Chiefs – $1.60
Crusaders – $2.36
The perennial clash of the New Zealand conference titans is at its sumptuous best this year. A powerful Chiefs backline vs a dogged Crusaders forward pack makes for a gripping contest of contrasting styles. The Chiefs have SBW and the form winger in the competition in James Lowe, whereas the Crusaders will rely on Richie McCaw and the improving Scott Barrett. Dan Carter’s injury is offset by Colin Slade’s impressive form so we find this incredibly difficult to pick. At the flip of a coin, we’ll go with the Chiefs by 5.
Rebels v Brumbies
Rebels – $3.00
Brumbies – $1.40
We’ll say it now – the Brumbies will win the comp this year. Stephen Larkham will celebrate his elevation to the National coaching set-up with another backroom scripted win. To do so, they’ll need to overturn a horrible run of just one win from their last four matches against the Rebels, and hope the Rebels can’t rediscover their Crusaders beating form. Stephen Moore returns to captain the Brumbies, and Nic Stirzaker is coming back from suspension, in the two major additions to each side. Brumbies to win by 8.
Bulls v Sharks
Bulls – $1.83
Sharks – $2.00
The bookmakers have predictably called this one to be especially close. The traditionally strong Bulls up against the always there or there about Sharks, should in most years be the match that settles the South African conference. But this year is different. The Sharks have won one, the Bulls none, in surprising early season form. The Bulls in particular have uncharacteristically dropped games at home, but get the chance to atone in Super Rugby Round 3. The most exciting inclusion this week, is Ryan Kankowski the man mountain, who reruns from a Japanese rugby stint for the Sharks. In a tricky decision, we will tip the Sharks by 6.
Lions v Stormers
Lions – $2.50
Stormers – $1.54
Another Super Rugby Round 3 all South African affair sees the unbeaten and table topping Stormers face off against the Lions in Johannesburg. The Stormers have gone with a similar side to last week and are hoping to continue their unbeaten run, which has been matched by only the Chiefs and Hurricanes. The Lions are yet to going this year, they have the worst record in the competition. Accordingly, they’ve sprung a major surprise and dropped Marnitz Boshoff and given a start to Elton Jantjies. We don’t think the tactical move will help them get up against the Stormers, we’ll back them by 10.
This Week’s Multi
A head to head multi on our picks pays $25.32
A margin multi pays $1597.84
