Rugby League: NRL Round 3 Preview

The NRL season is now in full flight after a riveting first two rounds of Rugby League action.  Round 3 is set to continue the trend of upsets, crushers, and Brett Morris heroics.   Round 3 also features our worst article introduction.

Check out our NRL Round 3 Preview:

Manly Sea Eagles v Canterbury Bulldogs 

Sea Eagles – $2.05

Bulldogs – $1.80

The Bulldogs are slight favourites to get the better of Manly in the round’s opener at Brookvale.  The Bulldogs have played exactly as you would expect; ruthless, disciplined and favouring solid defence patterns over expansive attacking plays.  The approach has led them to one win and one loss thus far.  The loss coming in close fashion against the impressive Panthers.  The Bulldogs are also enjoying a settled line-up with just Josh Reynolds facing time off.

The Sea Eagles are also one and one.  A win last week against arch rivals the Storm atoning for a weak effort against the Eels in round one.  The win against the Storm was delivered by the experienced trio of Cheery-Evans, Matai and Lyon; all stepping up to help during a minor injury crisis.  The crisis does have a silver lining.  Feleti Mateo gets to show off his ball skills at five-eighth and the promising Jake Trbojevic gets to show off his ability.

We’ve gone Bulldogs 1-12.

Sea Eagles: 1 Brett Stewart 2 Cheyse Blair 3 Jamie Lyon (c) 4 Steve Matai 5 Peta Hiku 6 Feleti Mateo 7 Daly Cherry-Evans 8 Luke Burgess 9 Matt Ballin 10 Willie Mason 11 Jamie Buhrer 12 Tom Symonds 13 Dunamis Lui.

Interchange: 14 Jesse Sene-Lefao 15 Blake Leary 16 Jake Trbojevic 17 Ligi Sao 18 Justin Horo.

Bulldogs: 1 Brett Morris 2 Curtis Rona, 3 Josh Morris 4 Tim Lafai 5 Sam Perrett 6 Moses Mbye 7 Trent Hodkinson 8 Aiden Tolman 9 Michael Lichaa 10 James Graham (c) 11 Josh Jackson 12 Tony Williams 13 Greg Eastwood

Interchange: 14 Sam Kasiano 15 David Klemmer 16 Frank Pritchard 17 Tim Browne 18 Lloyd Perrett.

Brisbane Broncos v North Queensland Cowboys

Broncos – $1.94

Cowboys – $1.90

The Queensland derby is in danger of being a Broncos boiler.  Not for the form of the Broncos, but for the woeful start the nervy Cowboys have made with three time Dally M Medal winner and captain Johnathan Thurston uncharacteristically uncertain.  The Broncs have one win to their names, but have at least improved slightly from week to week as Hunt and Milford find out more about each other’s games.  Their also likely to get more out of origin stars Corey Parker and Matt Gillett as they build into the season and get accustomed to following Wayne Bennett’s new Brisbane vision.

We expect them to beat North Queensland by 13+.  Mainly due to the horrific form of the Cowboys outside backs and halves.  They’ve turned to Lachlan Coote at fullback and asked Michael Morgan to replace Robert Lui at five-eighth.  It won’t have an impact in our view.  They’ll slump to 0-3 and in straight to panic mode.

Broncos: 1 Jordan Kahu 2 Corey Oates 3 Jack Reed 4 Justin Hodges (c) 5 Lachlan Maranta 6 Anthony Milford 7 Ben Hunt 8 Josh McGuire 9 Andrew McCullough 10 Adam Blair 11 Alex Glenn 12 Matt Gillett 13 Corey Parker

Interchange: 14 Jarrod Wallace 15 Jo Ofahengaue 16 Sam Thaiday 17 Kodi Nikorima

Cowboys: 1 Lachlan Coote 2 Justin O’Neill 3 Matthew Wright 4 Kane Linnett 5 Kyle Feldt 6 Michael Morgan 7 Johnathan Thurston (c) 8 Matthew Scott (c) 9 Rory Kostjasyn 10 Ben Hannant 11 Gavin Cooper 12 Ethan Lowe 13 Jason Taumalolo

Interchange: 14 Jake Granville 15 Kelepi Tanginoa 16 Scott Bolton 17 James Tamou 18 John Asiata

New Zealand Warriors v Parramatta Eels

Warriors – $1.38

Eels – $3.05

Mt Smart gets its first look at the 2015 Warriors when New Zealand hosts the Ells on Saturday afternoon.  The locals will see a vastly different Warriors outfit with some unfamiliar names that are turning out to be real superstars.  Sam Lisone and Albert Vete are names for the future.  They have both made an immediate contribution to a squad that was short of a couple of their household names.  So much so, Sam Rapira has signed to play in the Super League, presumably understanding Lisone and Vete are the future.

The Warriors are favourites after picking up a win in Canberra last week.  However, the money on the Eels will no doubt prove attractive for some who witnessed the first round domination they inflicted on the Sea Eagles.  Sandow’s the key.  He plays well against the Warriors and should have some decent memory bank ammunition to kickstart his side into contention.

Last year, the teams thrashed each other at home.  That’s why we’ll give the Warriors the win on account of the home advantage.  Warriors 13+.

Warriors: 1. Sam Tomkins 2. Jonathan Wright 3. Tuimoala Lolohea 4. Solomone Kata 5. Manu Vatuvei 6. Chad Townsend 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Jacob Lillyman 9. Thomas Leuluai 10. Ben Matulino 11. Bodene Thompson 12. Ryan Hoffman 13. Simon Mannering (C).

Interchange: 14. Nathan Friend 15. Ben Henry 16. Sam Lisone 17. Albert Vete 18. Matt Allwood (One to be omitted).

Eels: 1. Will Hopoate 2. Vai Toutai 3. Ryan Morgan 4. Brad Takairangi 5. Reece Robinson 6. Corey Norman 7. Chris Sandow 8. Darcy Lussick 9. Nathan Peats 10. Tim Mannah 11. Manu Ma’u 12. Tepai Moeroa 13. Anthony Watmough

Interchange: 14. Isaac De Gois 15. Joseph Paulo 16. Danny Wicks 17. David Gower

Canberra Raiders v St George Illawarra Dragons

Raiders – $1.60

Dragons – $2.35

Two rounds into the competition these two sides have accumulated 38 points collectively at an average of just 9.5 points a game.  The Raiders contribute 30 of those and the Dragons just 8.  Thus, we wouldn’t expect this match to be a cracker.

The Dragons points problem are not their halves doing.  They have no go forward from their forward pack. They need more out of Frizell, Ah Mau and Merrin.  They need to give Widdop and Marshall more opportunity to control the game.

For the Raiders, who look to be the most improved team in the competition, they need to reduce their error count if they are to pick up two more completion points.  Without all the errors last week against the Warriors they might have had more of a chance of releasing Wighton and Soliola down the left hand side.  Unfortunately, Wighton is out with injury in a blow for the Raiders.  They should still win though.  Raiders 1-12.  Opt to read about this one rather than watch it live.

Raiders: 1 Jordan Rapana, 2 Sisa Waqa, 3 Jarrod Croker (c), 4 Jarrad Kennedy, 5 Edrick Lee, 6 Blake Austin, 7 Mitchell Cornish, 8 Shannon Boyd, 9 Josh Hodgson, 10 Dane Tilse, 11 Josh Papalii,12 Iosia Soliola, 13 Shaun Fensom

Interchange: 14 Josh McCrone, 15 Frank-Paul Nuuausala, 16 Paul Vaughan, 17 Luke Bateman

Dragons: 1 Peter Mata’utia, 2 Etonia Nabuli, 3 Dane Nielsen, 4 Dylan Farrell, 5 Jason Nightingale (c), 6 Gareth Widdop, 7 Benji Marshall, 8 Leeson Ah Mau, 9 Mitch Rein, 10 George Rose, 11 Tyson Frizell, 12 Joel Thompson, 13 Jack de Belin

Interchange: 14 Trent Merrin, 15 Heath L’Estrange, 16 Rory O’Brien, 17 Mike Cooper, 19 Jake Marketo

Melbourne Storm v Cronulla Sharks

Storm – $1.28

Sharks – $3.65

Apparently the Sharks season ticket holders haven’t received their seat passes this years despite playing two games at home this season.  Fortunately, they needn’t worry this week as Melbourne hosts them at AAMI park where there is no chance of something similar happening to the Storm fans.  There’s also no chance of a Sharks win.

The match will be one of the most interesting forward battles of the whole season.  Gallen and Fifita against Procter and Bromwich, with Smith, Finucane, Graham and Ennis thrown in their too.  The bruising battle up front might take away from the action outside them, though will likely settle the match either way.

Huge pressure on Ben Barba to front this week.  His place looks like going to Jack Bird if he’s a passenger through another 80 minutes.  Storm 1-12 in a low scorer.

Melbourne: 1. Billy Slater 2. Young Tonumaipea 3. Will Chambers 4. Kurt Mann 5. Marika Koroibete 6. Blake Green 7. Cooper Cronk 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Cameron Smith 10. Jordan McLean 11. Kevin Proctor 12. Tohu Harris 13. Dale Finucane

Interchange: 14. Ryan Hinchcliffe 15. Tim Glasby 16. Dayne Weston 18. Tom Learoyd-Lahrs

Cronulla: 1. Michael Gordon 2. Sosaia Feki 3. Gerard Beale 4. Ricky Leutele 5. Valentine Holmes 6. Ben Barba 7. Jeff Robson 8. Andrew Fifita 9. Michael Ennis 10. Sam Tagataese 11. Jayson Bukuya 12. Wade Graham 13. Paul Gallen

Intercharge: 14. Matt Prior 15. Chris Heighington 16. Anthony Tupou 17. David Fifita 18. Luke Lewis 19. Tinirau Arona

South Sydney Rabbitohs v Wests Tigers

Rabbitohs – $1.22

Tigers – $4.25

The NRL frontrunners are overwhelming favourites to make it three from three to start the season when they meet the West Tigers in the first of the Sunday action.  The all conquering Rabbitohs (NRL, Nines, World Club, Arizona Night Life) will look to inflict the first loss of the season on a young Tigers side that is building nicely under Jason Taylor with Luke Brooks and Mitchell Moses at the helm.

No injury issues for either side, therefore, form will give the best indication of the winner.  Almost impossible to argue with the form of the Rabbits.  We can see them using George Burgess and the rest of the forward pack to run at Luke Brooks all day; inflicting serious pain.  Bunnies 13+.

Rabbitohs: 1 Greg Inglis 2 Alex Johnston 3 Dylan Walker 4 Bryson Goodwin 5 Joel Reddy 6 Luke Keary 7 Adam Reynolds 8 George Burgess 9 Issac Luke 10 Dave Tyrrell 11. Glenn Stewart 12 John Sutton 13 Chris McQueen

Interchange: 14 Chris Grevsmuhl 15 Jason Clark 16 Ben Lowe 17 Thomas Burgess 18 Tim Grant 19 Cameron McInnes 20 Darryl Millard.

Tigers: 1 James Tedesco 2 Kevin Naiqama 3 Tim Simona 4 Chris Lawrence 5. Pat Richards 6 Mitchell Moses 7 Luke Brooks 8 Aaron Woods 9 Robbie Farah 10 Keith Galloway 11. Curtis Sironen 12 Sauaso Sue 13 Martin Taupau

Interchange: 14 Dene Halatau 15 Ava Seumanufagai 16 Matthew Lodge 17 Brendan Santi 18 Lamar Liolevave.

Gold Coast Titans v Newcastle Knights

Titans -$2.15

Knights – $1.70

Another of the “avoid” games of the round gets slightly more interesting thanks to the return of drug barons Beau Falloon, Dave Taylor and Greg Bird.  The three previously suspended stars get their first chance of the season and will be looking to make an immediate impact for the winless Titans.

The Titans have been conceding points for fun in the two outings this season, and they won’t get any respite from surprise packages the Knights on Sunday.  In Gagai and Leilua the Knights have two of the form centres in the competition, both capable of destroying any opposition flank defence, especially one welcoming back three new faces into their setup.

Close game predicted, but we’ll go the Knights to get another 1-12 win.

Titans: 1 Josh Hoffman, 2 Anthony Don, 3 James Roberts, 4 William Zillman, 5 David Mead, 6 Aiden Sezer, 7 Daniel Mortimer, 8 Luke Douglas, 9 Beau Falloon, 10 Nate Myles, 11 Ryan James, 12 Dave Taylor, 13 Greg Bird.

Interchange: 14 Eddy Pettybourne, 15 Matt White, 16 Ryan Simpkins, 17 Kierran Moseley

Knights: 1 Kurt Gidley 2 James McManus 3 Dane Gagai 4 Joey Leilua 5 Akuila Uate 6 Jarrod Mullen 7 Tyrone Roberts 8 Kade Snowden 9 Adam Clydsdale 10 Korbin Sims 11 Beau Scott 12 Robbie Rochow 13 Jeremy Smith.

Interchange: 14 Tyler Randell 15 Chris Houston 16 David Fa’alogo 17 Jack Stockwell 18 Sione Mata’utia.

Sydney Roosters v Penrith Panthers

Roosters – $1.42

Panthers – $2.85

The third round finale should be the game of the season.  It’s a shame it’s been scheduled for a Monday and the crowds might not give it the attention it warrants.  If any club can get numbers through a Monday gate though its Sydney.  Their membership is booming and they’re again looking like genuine title contenders.  So too are Penrith however; looking mightily handy in two unbeaten rounds.

Penrith’s strong squad gets a boost from the retuning man-beast Josh Mansour, coming on to the wing at the expense of youngster George Jennings, and offsetting the loss of Jamie Soward.  Penrith’s unity will allow Sowards’ replacement Isaac John to settle in seamlessly and assist Peter Wallace to steer the ship.

It will need to be manoeuvred well too; the Roosters are incredibly strong 1 through 17.  We’ll give it to the Roosters by 1-12.

Roosters: 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, 2 Daniel Tupou 3 Michael Jennings 4 Blake Ferguson 5 Shaun Kenny-Dowall 6 James Maloney 7 Mitchell Pearce 8 Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9 Matt McIlwrick 10 Sam Moa 11 Boyd Cordner 12 Aidan Guerra 13 Isaac Liu.

Interchange : Mitchell Aubusson 15 Dylan Napa 16 Kane Evans 17 Sio Siua Taukeiaho 18 Willie Manu 19 Martin Kennedy.

Panthers: 1 Matt Moylan 2 Josh Mansour 3 Dean Whare 4 Jamal Idris 5 Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 6 Isaac John 7 Peter Wallace 8 Sam McKendry 9 James Segeyaro 10 Brent Kite 11 Sika Manu 12 Lewis Brown 13 Elijah Taylor.

Interchange: 14 Tyrone Peachey 15 Jeremy Latimore 16 Reagan Campbell-Gillard 17 Bryce Cartwright.

Round 3 Mutli

A $1 multi on the above predictions will return the following:

Head to Head = $28.68

Margin = $1209

Odds available at CrownBet (formerly BetEasy)

Super Rugby Round 3 Review

The Super Rugby table seems to be separating into three strong teams (Hurricanes, Stormers, Chiefs – maybe harsh on the Brumbies) and then everyone else.  The three unbeaten sides look comfortably better than most on show and are destined to spend a fair bit of time near the top of the table this year.

Read below for our review of Round 3.

Highlanders (20) v Reds (13)

Dunedin’s Forsyth Barr stadium (or “the Zoo” as its affectionately known) hosted a bumper crowd for Friday night’s Super Rugby Round 3 opener, and the stadium demographic (drunk students) were treated to an even encounter between the Reds and the Highlanders.  The Reds are still finding their feet this year; they’ve had injury concerns, off field distractions and look a little unfit if we’re honest, and again struggled to build on a good start, this time against the Otago men.  The visitors dominated the opening thirty minutes with Reds recruit James O’Connor and veteran Will Genia combining nicely, however, they fell behind when another new recruit, the Highlander’s Waisake Naholo crossed the line to effectively seal the points.

The Highlanders need to find the right balance between their world class backline and workmanlike forward pack.  The forwards just dragging the chain.  Still they’re on the board in 2015.

Highlanders: Tries – W.Naholo, Pen – M.Banks 4, H.Parker

Reds: Tries – J.Schatz, Pen – J.O.Connor 2, Con – J.O.Connor

Force (13) v Hurricanes (42)

The Hurricanes continued the unbeaten start to the Super Rugby season with a comfortable win over the Force in Perth.  Basing their game on strong defence, the Wellington side are now three from three without having played a match at home.  Chris Boyd is having no trouble getting the best out of his All Blacks – Cory Jane, Victor Vito and Beauden Barrett all going up a gear from last year.  The Hurricanes are out on their own at the top of the Super Rugby table, and we’re already looking forward to their New Zealand conference showdown with the Chiefs.

The Force’s opening win is now a distant memory as they disappointed in their first effort in front of home fans.  Not many positives in this one unfortunately.

Force : Tries – M.Scott, Pen – Z.Holmes, S.Ebersohn, Con – L.Burton

Hurricanes: Tries – C.Jane, M.Abbott,V.Vito, J.Savea, J.Marshall, Pen – B.Barrett 3, Con – B.Barrett 2, J.Marshall 2

Cheetahs (25) v Blues (24)

The Cheetahs are unexpectedly still unbeaten after disposing of the Blues in Bloemfontein.  Mind you, they shouldn’t be.  The Blues lost this one rather than the Cheetahs winning it.  The Blues should have sealed the match comfortably but some questionable decision making led to the one point loss that heaps even more pressure on John Kirwan.  As likeable as he is, JK just hasn’t been able to come up with a winning game plan at the Blues and his position is becoming increasingly untenable.

The Cheetahs look okay.  They’ll play better than this and still lose though when they meet sterner competition.

Cheetahs: Tries – C.Hendricks 2, S.Pretorius, Pen – J.Pietersen 2, Con – J.Pietersen 2

Blues: Tries – L.Braid, C. Faumuina, J.Kaino, Pen – I.West, Con – I.West 3

Chiefs (40) v Crusaders (16)

The Chiefs signalled their title aspirations with a demolition of the consistently decent Crusaders outfit at home on Saturday night.  The bonus point win, built around another fine performance from the most impressive 9, 10, 12 in the competition, is certain to worry the other sides due to make the trip to Waikato.  The Highlanders make the trip next, but are unlikely to fare any better.

The Crusaders are still struggling to shake the early season rust, and while they’ll have easier matches to make up the points, they are looking fractured and unenthused.  Tom Taylor struggled at fullback, Colin Slade didn’t run enough and Todd Blackadder needs to give his whole troop some advice on decision-making.

Chiefs: Tries – SB Williams, A.Pulu, C.Ngatai, T.Marshall, J.Lowe, Pen – A.Cruden 3, Con – A.Cruden 3

Crusaders: Tries – A.Ellis, Pen – C.Slade 3, Con – C.Slade

Rebels (15) v Brumbies (20)

The driving rain put paid to any chance of this one being an entertaining classic.  It also curtailed the Rebels chance of winning the game, as the Brumbies’ Wallabies-packed forward unit exercised complete control to stifle their opponents.  Led by the retuning Stephen Moore, the Brumbies choked the life out of the game with a possession based tip of the hat to percentage footy.

Nothing really to write home about in the entire eighty minutes, but enough to put the Brumbies in control of the Australian conference.

Rebels: Pen – M.Harris 5

Brumbies: Tries – T.Kuridrani, J.Butler, Pen – C.Lealiffano 2, Con – C.Lealiffano 2

Bulls (43) v Sharks (35)

The match of the round saw six tries and plenty of points as the Bulls finally recorded a win at home.  Facing the South African conference favourites, the Sharks, the Bulls scored four tries to two and survived the boot of Patrick Lambie to get their 2015 Super Rugby campaign back on course.

The battle featuring Adriaan Strauss and Pierre Spies against Ryan Kankowski was epic, with Kankowski celebrating his return from Japan with a try, as did Spies.

Neither the Sharks or Bulls are looking like contenders at this early stage of the competition.  Both have plenty to work on – and we suggest it begins with defence.  The Sharks have conceded the most points in Super Rugby, and the Bulls the second most.

Bulls: Tries – F.Hougaard, D.Stegmann, P.Spies, J.Serfontein , Pen – H.Pollard 3, T. Schoeman, Con – H.Pollard 3, T.Schoeman

Sharks: Tries – R.Kankowski, C.Reinach, Pen – P.Lambie 7, Con – P.Lambie 2

Lions (19) v Stormers (22)

The Stormers have started the best out of any of the South African teams and just as everyone was singing their praises they almost suffered a shock loss to the Lions.  It could have been a tie too, with the Lions turning down a shot at goal to tie things up after being awarded a penalty late on; instead seeking an unlikely win.

The enterprise wasn’t rewarded, much to the dismay of the home stand, but they put up a brave fight that was worth more than their place at the bottom of the Super Rugby table.  They are a lot more competitive than in seasons gone by and will not be easy beats at home.

The Stormers have their work cut out for them next week when they meet the high flying Stormers in Cape Town.  They must improve.

Lions: Tries – W. Tecklenburg, Pen – E.Jantjies 4, Con – E.Jantjies

Stormers: Tries – S.Kolisi, Pen – D.Catrakilis 5, Con – K.Coleman