Tag: Royal Ascot tips

Ascot 2013 – Each Way Betting Though The Card

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

I have been having some fun at Ascot this year by betting each way through the card. My fellow tipsters think I am crazy but I have already turned a profit of £300. The way I have been playing this madness is by studying the form of the races one by one and picking out the following.

1. Has the horse placed in its last three run out?
2. Has the horse run the distance in its last three run outs?
3. Whats the distance compared to the Racing Post Top Speed rating?
4. Who the stable is and jockey?
5. What is the Racing Post rating for the horse?
6. Has the horse run on this ground before and placed or won?
7. Is the price good for a mega EW accumulator or EW single.

Has the horse placed in its last three run out?

I always look for a horse that has shown it can run the race its been entered in for. I then look for if its been placed in the last three of its races. This gives me confidence that this horse can place again. With the right jockey and ground it will give me the place if its got a track record of placing and winning.

Has the horse run the distance in its last three run outs?

If the horse has never run the distance then it has to be a horse that is showing some improvement. But to be honest for this type of bet you really need to lower the odds and select a horse that has run in the same or a better class race and has placed or run over the distance or more.

Who the stable is and jockey?

It is very important to know that Jockeys do have a major impact of the performance of a horse when it is racing. The Jockey will know how to ride the horse and get the best from the horse. Simple things like riding the horse in to the areas of the track which best suit the horses form, so getting the horse running in a more firmer part of the track rather than a softer part. Plus he will know when to push the horse so it can kick on to the finish. You will see the top jockeys know there horses and will ride the horse a few times in meetings before the race you are about to bet in. If a top jockey is going to ride a horse and swop from one stable to another that’s a good sign that this horse has a chance to place.

What is the Racing Post rating for the horse?

The Racing Post rating give you an indication of the quality of the horse and who its has run against and beat or placed. Its a good indication of the class of the horse and if its worth a punt in a race or just been entered so it gains a better rating in future races. Don’t be fooled by the Racing Post Rating it can sometimes be blown apart if a good horse is having a bad day and a new up and coming horse is having a good day. So air with caution when picking horses just on the Racing Post Ratings.

Has the horse run on this ground before and placed or won?

The ground does play a big part in a horses performance. Some horses really like soft ground and will run in mud and win. Some like it hard and will bounce off hard ground as if it was like rubber. You should always look if a horse has run and won or placed consistently on its preferred ground. The great horses can run on anything and win but they are very few and far between. You should always be cautious of horses that run on AW and then switch to turf as they are two different types of surface and not many horse cross between both and win or place. Stables will enter there horses in to All Weather races so give them a run out plus to keep them in the ratings. So don’t be put off by bad form if the horse is a Turf runner and has a bad day or night on the All Weather track.

Is the price good for a mega EW accumulator or EW single.

My final and foremost thing I look for is the value for my accumulator. I am looking for over 6/1 as then it will form a very good accumulator across the card. Don’t take SP always take the price and with a bookie that gives you Best Odds Guaranteed.

So here are my horses for the final day at Ascot 2013. I would suggest you pick and choose and make up small £1 EW bets throughout the day or maybe do a placepot or scoop6 on Totesport.

Have fun punting and don’t forget to join our mailing list for great tips on all sports.

Ascot – 2:30

Somewhat – 7/2 Will Hill
Bureau – 20/1 20/1 Will Hill
Freedom Square – 12/1 Ladbrokes
Bunker – 3/1 Coral
Friendship – 9/1 Skybet
Autumn Lily – 8/1 Paddy Power

Ascot – 3:05

Aiken – 10/1 Coral
Noble Mission – 12/1 Coral
Thomas Chippingdale – 11/1 Coral

Ascot – 3:45

Lethal Force – 10/1 Bet365
Maarek – 20/1 Will Hill
Dandy Boy – 12/1 Bet365

Ascot – 4:25

Gabriels Lad – 10/1 Will Hill
Pooles Harbour – 18/1 Ladbrokes
Royal Rock – 20/1 Coral
Nocturn – 11/1 Paddypower
Arnold Lane – 28/1 Coral
Prodigality – 22/1 Coral

Ascot – 5:00

The Tiger – 20/1 Bet365
Carvan Rolls – 7/1 Will Hill
Stencive – 8/1 Skybet
Rye House – 6/1 Coral
Beaumonts Party – 14/1 Skybet
Ustura – 9/1 Ladbrokes
Voddoo Prince – 20/1 Will Hill

Ascot – 5:35

Junior – 12/1 Bet365
Stopped Out – 14/1 Coral

Royal Ascot Day 4 Preview – Friday 21st June

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

Hat’s off to a Royal winner and a 10-1 ante-post tip! My Gold Cup wagers on Estimate at 10-1 and Simenon at 16-1 could not have done any better. The later success of Remote and an unlucky second from Space Ship at 18-1 have left us over 40 points up on the week to date!

I could have done better had I included the American No Nay Never in my selections yesterday but you can’t get everything right. Three days down and two to go.

I’m afraid that Friday’s card could be a case of “After the Lord Mayor’s show” with the poorest card of the week. It opens with the Albany Stakes and I have to confess to knowing little or nothing about this lot. The Cecil horse will have a following for obvious reasons but that is built into her early quotes of around 7-2. In fact, it is difficult to get too excited about that race or the King Edward VII Stakes in which there appears to be no credible opposition to Battle Of Marengo.

The only doubt with the O’Brien horse is whether he genuinely stays a mile and a half. On form, the others are playing for places. I thought Greatwood could be a live outsider for the Derby after his first run behind Windhoek but he ran a stinker in the Dante Stakes. Rather like Highclere’s Bonfire last season, it is probably best to leave him alone until he shows something better.

The Coronation Stakes is a chance for Just The Judge to gain revenge on Sky Lantern for her narrow defeat in the 1000 Guineas. Connections felt that the challenge came too late to give their filly time to respond and she certainly won well at the Curragh. I’m confident she will beat Sky Lantern but I’m going to have an each-way interest in the supplemented Pavlosk too. She did me a favour when part of a huge treble for Sir Michael at York and they have stumped up £25k to run here.

The Wolferton Handicap at 4.25 is a real puzzle with several formerly smart performers hoping to regain their form at the Royal meeting. Labarinto would have a chance on his best form but he usually needs a run to put him straight and Dick Doughtywylie is capable of much better than he showed at Chester. Sheikhzayedroad put together some very quick fractions to come from last to first at Epsom but it was a strange race and he was running practically sideways up the straight.

The Queen’s Vase looks as though it should also go to Aidan O’Brien via Leading Light. There is no great value in his price either so I’ll double him up with Battle Of Marengo for a bit of interest.

I tipped Enrol to beat my old friend Nocturn at Newmarket and she didn’t quite catch him. The extra furlong should be perfect and she has drawn stall 1. I couldn’t support her from a high draw but stall 1 could present its own problems if they run down the centre as on Thursday. Even so, Ryan Moore is riding as well as anyone and can steer her home.

Win double: Battle Of Marengo (3.05) 5-6, Leading Light (5.00) 2-1 Coral

3.45
Just The Judge 3-1 Paddy Power
Pavlosk (each-way) 8-1 Paddy Power

5.35
Enrol (NAP) 7-1 Bet Victor

Royal Ascot Day 1 Preview – Tuesday 18th June

Posted on by Online Betting Pro

The big day has finally arrived and it’s time to take on the bookies at Royal Ascot! Our ante-post portfolio isn’t looking too bad on paper. Chapter Seven remains our only outright loss after his withdrawal from the Hunt Cup but we will be refunded even if Dance And Dance doesn’t make the cut.

I’ve snapped up early prices about three runners in the opening Queen Anne Stakes with Aljamaaheer (33-1), Gregorian (51-1) and Sovereign Debt (16-1). Just one of them placed will cover us and I’m still of the opinion that Animal Kingdom is far from a certainty. However, there’s no harm in covering your back so I’m going to take up Corals enhanced odds treble on Animal Kingdom, Shea Shea and Dawn Approach at 14-1. I personally can’t see them all winning but it’s a fair insurance policy. I don’t want to be the only one crying into my beer whilst Channel 4 are telling us how the bookies have taken a beating!

I am similarly placed in the sprint with Reckless Abandon (7-1), Kingsgate Native (14-1) and Spirit Quartz (27-1) running for team Betcirca! I think the value has gone from the market leaders so I’ll just let this one run.

The third race has not gone to plan having taken 2-1 about Magician before his minor knock. He’s now out to 11-4 but O’Brien wouldn’t be running him unless he was confident he was 100%. I still think Mars will make up into a decent colt and he will benefit from Leitir Mor setting a decent gallop for Dawn Approach. I’m going to have a little each-way on Mars.

One thing about Ascot is that it is the only meeting of the year bar Cheltenham where you can get massive odds about top class horses. Take a look at the Betfair price of George Vancouver. Where else would you get 132-1 about a Breeders’ Cup winner? Yes, I know his form this season is dire but he looked a rattling good colt last year and I can’t leave him out whilst supporting the other O’Brien horses.

Hopefully we will still be going strongly by race four when they line up for the Coventry. O’Brien and Hannon have carved up this race between them in recent years with nine victories and they have three runners each (just to make things simple!). I’m going to take a stab on War Command being overpriced at 14-1 whilst I also like Riverboat Springs at 11-1. The latter covered half of the Epsom downs before realising what it was all about in the Woodcote Stakes and he will be better running in a straight line.

Everyone is hoping that Tiger Cliff can win the Ascot Stakes so that we can get another rendition of three cheers for Sir Henry. There is a very good chance of that happening but I just wonder if this one has the stamina? I liked the run of Mubaraza behind him at Newmarket and I’m hoping Justification will run well to further boost the claims of Simenon in the Gold Cup. Both horses endured terrible traffic problems at the Roodeye.

By the time we get to the closing Windsor Castle Stakes I may have enough crumpled ante-post slips to start a small bonfire but I’m hoping that isn’t the case. My tip here has to be the American raider Ogermeister. Can it really be four years since Wesley Ward’s two-year-olds were making our youngsters look like donkeys? This one won by six lengths at Belmont Park but who knows how that will compare to York or Sandown? At 7-1 it’s worth taking a chance.

Looking to later on in the week, I am going to add Biographer (40-1) to my Gold Cup team. Whilst studying the video of Tiger Cliff’s race I noticed he was tenderly handled and looked full of running at the end. He may have a bit to find on official ratings but it wouldn’t take more than 7 or 8lbs improvement to see him in the frame.

Royal Ascot Day 1

2.30 Ante-Post Aljamaaheer 33-1, Gregorian 51-1, Sovereign Debt 16-1

3.05 Ante-Post Reckless Abandon 7-1, Kingsgate Native 14-1, Spirit Quartz 27-1

3.45 Ante-Post Magician 2-1.

Mars 12-1 Bet Victor
George Vancouver 132-1 Betfair

4.25
Riverboat Springs 11-1 Boylesports
War Command 14-1 Boylesports

5.00
Justification 7-1 William Hill
Mubaraza 12-1 888Sport

5.35
Ogermeister 7-1 William Hill

Special bet – Animal Kingdom, Shea Shea, Dawn Approach 14-1 Coral

Gold Cup
Biographer 40-1 Skybet