Newmarket Saturday Preview

Things have been very quiet on the racing front this week following Royal Ascot but the Irish Derby and some excellent action from Newcastle and Newmarket should bring some entertainment. Punters could do with a break from all of the amateur dramatics from the World Cup!

Ryan Moore and William Buick dominated proceedings at Royal Ascot and it would be no surprise to see them both among the winners on Saturday. Moore has a full book of rides and is employed by seven different trainers while Buick is kept busy by the powerful Gosden and Appleby yards.

There are some speedy fillies in the Listed two-year-old race at 2.20 with Moore riding Tigrilla for Roger Varian. The favourite will be Littlemissblakeney who was fifth in the Queen Mary but Zeb Un Misa and Accipiter also look smart. Moore’s mount is just preferred after travelling nicely last time out at Haydock.

Unless the rains arrive, I think Battalion will be taken out of the Fred Archer Stakes which would leave the way clear for Gatewood and Buick. The six-year-old has done well to get back on track after his abortive attempt at the Melbourne Cup and could have the class to defy his 3lbs penalty.

Richard Fahey has finally resorted to blinkers for Gatewood in the Group 3 Criterion Stakes and it remains to be seen if that makes life any easier for his jockey. Moore managed to get him home at Goodwood last season and this should be the right trip. Gregorian probably needed his run at Epsom last time and could be yet another for Gosden.

Manderley looks difficult to oppose in the Listed Eternal Stakes having followed up her fourth in the 1000 Guineas with an effortless win in maiden company. Gosden and Buick have another fine chance with Seagull in the 4.40. She won over a mile and a quarter and was always going to find it tough dropping back to a mile last time. She did well to finish second and should relish going up to a mile and a half on Saturday.

Llanarmon Lad struggled with the camber at Epsom last time but finished strongly to be second to Abseil. Kieren Fallon did the pushing that day and Ryan Moore takes over in the 5.15 here. Most of the opposition have been running below par recently and Llanarmon Lad can go one better.

Tigrilla 2.20  at 100-30 BetVictor

Gatewood 2.55 at 4-1 BetVictor, Paddy Power

Gregorian 3.30 at 11-2 William Hill

Manderley 4.05 at 11-4 BetVictor

Seagull 4.40 at 15-8 Bet365

Llanarmon Lad 5.15 at 7-2 BetVictor, Coral

Royal Ascot Friday Preview

It is no secret that Sir Michael Stoute’s horses have needed a run this season to sharpen them up. Time and again we have seen his runners improve by up to 7lbs from their seasonal debut, Integral being a case in point on Wednesday when comprehensively reversing Newmarket form.

The Newmarket handler has a strong team lined up for Friday and will be very disappointed if he comes away with nothing. Bold Sniper ran a great race at this meeting last year to be beaten just a length by Elidor in a competitive handicap and returns in peak form for the Wolferton Handicap at 3.05.

He was given a lot to do first time out at Newmarket but cut through the pack impressively to finish third to Niceofyoutotellme. As with the rest of the yard, he will surely improve for that run and my only concern is the shorter trip. This race is over a mile and a quarter which must be a minimum for the Royal runner so I’m hoping they go a fast gallop. He will love the ground and may have most to fear from old rival Café Society.

Snow Sky was nibbled at in the ante-post market for the Derby after winning the Lingfield Trial impressively. A minor knock prevented him from taking his chance at Epsom but that may have been a blessing in disguise. The Lingfield form looks weak but he is closely matched with Derby sixth Western Hymn on Newbury form. He was having his first start when beaten by the Gosden horse and his rival may be feeling his Epsom exertions.

Stoute also has a massive chance with Russian Realm in the closing Buckingham Palace Stakes at 5.35. He made rapid late headway to finish second first time out and then bolted up at Goodwood. He was racing off a mark of 88 that day and is now up to 96 but Ryan Moore only needed hands and heels to secure a comfortable win.

With 29 runners it is impossible to be too confident but he won in the style of a potential Listed or Group class winner and looks worth a bet at around 6-1. I would be kicking myself if I did not include Radiator as an each-way bet in the Coronation Stakes. Strictly on form she ought to be outclassed but she ran too freely when just beaten at York and will also improve markedly. The fact that she is running in the Group 1 is a hint in itself.

Bold Sniper 3.05 Royal Ascot at 4-1 BetVictor

Snow Sky 3.45 Royal Ascot at 5-1 Coral, William Hill

Radiator (each-way) 4.25 Royal Ascot at 16-1 Paddy Power

Russian Realm 5.35 Royal Ascot at 6-1 William Hill

Goodwood Thursday Preview

The Oaks form of Taghrooda comes under the microscope at Goodwood tomorrow in the Height Of Fashion Stakes.

John Gosden’s filly romped to a six-length victory in the Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket and has been favourite for the Epsom Oaks ever since. The trainer suffered frustration in the 2000 Guineas with Kingman being beaten narrowly and will be hoping to have better luck on Oaks day.

His nearest pursuer was Luca Cumani’s Jordan Princess but at a respectful distance with Uchenna further back in fourth. It will be fascinating to see how they perform in a race that also tests the value of the Cheshire Oaks form.

Feedyah is another interesting runner having been thrashed twice by Ihtimal in Dubai. That filly is my ante-post wager for the classic and I notice that Kieren Fallon has taken over from De Sousa. There are some strange goings on with Godolphin and their jockey plans at the moment.

I watched the performance of Psychometry that day with interest and she shaped well enough. As with most of Sir Michael Stoute’s horses, she needed the run to put her straight and I will side with her to improve enough to take this. Strictly on the book, she should not beat Secret Pursuit but that filly will be having her fifth start of the season tomorrow.

There are plenty of betting opportunities on a good card and I like the chances of Emef Diamond in the 2.40. Mick Channon’s horse ran well enough at Nottingham to suggest he can feature here. There are several dark horses to worry about including Fast Delivery who won easily on the all-weather but Emef Diamond is attractively priced.

Presto Volante can land the stayers handicap for Amanda Perrett despite the money being for stable companion Lion Beacon. You have to think that Ryan Moore’s booking is significant on the latter but Presto Volante could be picked out travelling best a long way from home at Kempton and he is only up 6lbs.

The Stoute bandwagon can roll on in the 3.50 with Russian Realm, a colt out of classic winner Russian Rhythm. He may not have her class but he ought to be up to taking this. The Rectifier may be a threat after a fine run at Haydock along with Roger Charlton’s So Beloved.

Emef Diamond 2.40 Goodwood at 14-1 BetVictor

Presto Volante 3.15 Goodwood at 15-2 BetVictor

Russian Realm 3.50 Goodwood at 9-4 William Hill

Psychometry 4.25 Goodwood at 5-1 Paddy Power

York Friday Preview

It has been a tough week at York and yesterday’s Dante result hardly clarified the Epsom Derby picture. Supporters of True Story have to be disappointed with his third place effort and they finished in a bit of a heap. Arod is probably the horse to take out of the race but perhaps he is more of a St Leger candidate than a Derby horse. His free running style in the early stages and his tendency to take a while to hit top gear will count against him on the Surrey track.

The third and final day of a long week looks like a red-letter day for Sir Michael Stoute. He has four runners, all with leading chances. Arab Spring should get the ball rolling in the handicap at 2.15. It is true that he is up 11lbs for his facile Doncaster victory but Sir Michael has entered him for the Group 2 Hardwicke Stakes. He has followed a similar route with his lightly-raced older horses in the past and Arab Spring shapes like a potential Group horse.

Next up is Gospel Choir in the Yorkshire Cup. He was most impressive when sweeping to victory in the Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket where his victims included last year’s Irish Derby winner Trading Leather. Pether’s Moon was second and he ran another solid race last week.

The toughest rival will be Tac De Boistron who breezed home at Ascot in the Sagaro Stakes. The form may be questionable as neither Simenon nor Harris Tweed appeared to run their races. Even so, he is a proven Group 1 stayer and must be feared.

Radiator was hyped beyond belief after winning a maiden at Lingfield by 15 lengths. Admittedly that is a rare occurrence but she was way too short at 11-10 for the Newmarket race won by Miss France from Lightning Thunder. Radiator was fourth but that form does not look too dusty after the 1-2 filled the same places in the 1000 Guineas!

The final leg of the Stoute four-fold is Mairise in the closing handicap over a mile and a half. The bare form is nothing to write home about but she was staying on strongly at Yarmouth last time over two furlongs shorter than she faces tomorrow. There aren’t many Stoute horses running with a handicap mark in the low seventies and the son of Authorized should be up to the task.

Arab Spring 2.15 York at 11-8 Paddy Power

Gospel Choir 2.45 York at 9-2 William Hill

Radiator 3.15 York at 9-2 William Hill

Mairise 5.00 York at 2-1 William Hill, Bet365

Epsom Wednesday Preview

Epsom stages its traditional curtain raiser for the new season on Wednesday and it is a good quality card. After a lovely sunny Easter, the rain returned on Tuesday and the going is officially soft for the fixture which includes the Derby Trial.

It is a long time since this race lived up to the title but there are some nice colts in action this season. John Gosden runs two unbeaten horses, the pick of which is Marzocco. He has been given an entry in the Dante Stakes at York so has to be respected. I am just going to side with the Godolphin horse Moontime who beat Munjaz at Newmarket last season.

In theory, Gosden will know the time of day with this one as he trains Munjaz. That colt duly won his maiden at the Craven meeting but Moontime has plenty of scope for improvement and could be another for Sheikh Mohammed’s promising bunch of three-year-olds.

The Great Met and The City And Suburban are two of the oldest handicaps on the calendar and it is good to see them attracting decent fields again. Ryan Moore is flying at the moment and he has a great chance of a big handicap double here with Red Runaway and Rock Choir.

Red Runaway is trained by Ed Dunlop and has a healthy weight advantage with Van Percy on last year’s Chester form. Van Percy did beat him at Haydock but that was on firm ground and Red Runaway will be more at home on this surface. He is yet to win over a mile and a half but Moore is not averse to offering his opinion on his mounts and this race looks to have been picked out following his easy Lingfield victory.

Rock Choir lost her way a little towards the back end of the season but only after winning twice for William Haggas and running a fair third in Listed company at Salisbury. She looked the type to progress from three to four and Moore could be a significant booking in a wide open race. Ajman Bridge was slightly disappointing last season for Luca Cumani but still has room for improvement and is rated the main danger.

Red Runaway 2.20 Epsom at 5-1 Bet365

Moontime 2.50 Epsom at 5-1 Coral

Rock Choir 3.25 Epsom at 11-2 Totesport

Winter Derby 2014 Preview

Jeremy Noseda’s Grandeur has already done us a few good turns including when winning the Winter Derby Trial recently. He looked a class above his rivals that day and the race will have brought him to his peak nicely for Saturday.

The £100,000 Winter has attracted a good class field but Grandeur still comes out on top on official figures. Surprisingly, he is yet to win above Listed class in Britain although he has won twice at Grade 2 level in America. He was runner-up to Mukhadram at York in July and also picked up a decent race at Goodwood in good style. His main target was the Arlington Million but he faced an impossible task from a wide draw that day and finished only seventh.

He had over a stone in hand on official ratings here last time but credit to Modernstone for getting fairly close in the closing stages. Ryan Moore gets on well with Grandeur and is already booked for Saturday. It looks like being a maximum field so hopefully he can avoid a wide draw.

The classiest performer in the opposition is 2011 Dewhurst Stakes winner Parish Hall. His last race was in the Champion Stakes at Ascot in October when ninth to Farhh. That was possibly flying a bit high and he would be a threat if he’s fit enough.

The former Mark Johnston-trained Windhoek won a handicap on his first start for Godolphin in January. He was a useful three-year-old last season, competing in several classic trials. His best chance is probably to be up with the pace as he seemed to lack a real turn of foot.

It will be interesting to see how Rebellious Guest gets on in this company. He did us a favour here a few weeks ago and I was kicking myself for deserting him at Kempton last time where he set a new track record. That was his first attempt at a mile and a quarter so there could be further improvement in him.

Graphic was progressive for William Haggas last season and I have plenty of respect for him too. He could develop into a group performer this season. It’s certainly shaping up to be a very good renewal of a race that hasn’t quite captured the imagination in recent years.

Grandeur at 6-4 Bet365